Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company has shown stable performance with a total operating revenue of 134.51 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.01% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.86 billion yuan, up 3.11% year-on-year [2][5] - The company is focusing on digital transformation and enhancing its cloud computing strategy, with significant investments in technology innovation, particularly in AI, satellite, and quantum technologies [4][5] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 134.51 billion yuan, with service revenue of 124.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.6% [3] - The overall expense ratio remained stable at 19.2%, with a decrease in sales expense ratio by 0.4 percentage points, while management and R&D expenses increased by 0.3 and 0.1 percentage points respectively [3] - The company expects revenue for 2025 to be 541.27 billion yuan, with projected earnings per share of 0.39 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 20.3 times based on the closing price of 7.91 yuan per share on May 7, 2025 [5][7] Business Growth - The mobile communication business is developing steadily, with mobile users reaching 430 million, an increase of 4.95 million in the quarter, and 5G network users reaching 270 million, with a penetration rate of 62.0% [8] - The fixed-line and smart home businesses are also showing good growth, with broadband users at 200 million and smart home revenue increasing by 11.5% year-on-year [8] - The company is focusing on high-quality development, with IDC revenue reaching 9.5 billion yuan, up 10.4% year-on-year, and significant growth in smart revenue (151.6%), video network revenue (58.4%), satellite communication revenue (37.2%), and quantum revenue (81.1%) [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company's operating performance remains stable, with traditional mobile communication business developing steadily and new emerging businesses, particularly IDC, experiencing accelerated growth [2][6] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 134.5 billion yuan, flat year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.9 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [6][12] - The company has provided clear guidance for the year, indicating expectations for good growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net profit [2][12] Summary by Sections Operating Performance - In Q1 2025, the mobile communication business showed steady growth, with 5G network users reaching 270 million, a penetration rate of 62.0%, and mobile internet traffic increasing by 14.2% year-on-year [12] - The smart home business also performed well, with revenue growth of 11.5% year-on-year [12] Emerging Business Growth - IDC revenue reached 9.5 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, with significant growth in intelligent revenue (151.6% year-on-year), video internet revenue (58.4% year-on-year), satellite communication revenue (37.2% year-on-year), and quantum revenue (81.1% year-on-year) [12] - The company is leveraging its cloud-network integration advantages to drive innovation and expand new business scales [12] Cash Flow and Accounts Receivable - The net operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 10.83 billion yuan, down 48.1% year-on-year, primarily due to longer payment cycles in the digitalization business [12] - However, the growth rate of accounts receivable has begun to decline, indicating improved control over accounts receivable [12] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 35.1 billion yuan, 37.2 billion yuan, and 39.3 billion yuan, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 6.4%, 6.1%, and 5.4% respectively [12]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 2024年资本开支935亿元人民币，同比下降5.4%，公司预计2025年资本开支836亿元，持续下降。根据公司 2024年报，公司2024年度以现金方式分配的利润为当年股东应占利润的72%，并承诺从2024年起，三年内 公司以现金方式分配的利润将逐步提升至当年股东应占利润的75%以上。 2025Q1，公司实现营业收入1345亿元人民币，同比增长0.01%；其中服务收入为1247亿元人民币，同比增 长0.3%。归属于上市公司股东的净利润89亿元人民币，同比增长3.1%。加权平均净资产收益率1.94%，同 比提升0.02pct。 基础业务稳健发展，用户数小幅提升 2025Q1，公司移动通信业务稳健发展，移动用户数达4.3亿户，净增495万户；5G 网络用户数达到2.7亿 户，净增1548万户，渗透率提升至62.0%；手机上网总流量同比增长14.2%，手机上网总流量2322.93万 TB，DOU 达到20.4GB，同比增长9.1%；固网及智慧家庭业务保持良好增长，有线宽带用户数2.0亿户， 净增67万户，千兆宽带用户渗透率约 30%，智慧家庭收入同比增长 11.5%。 充分发挥云网融合 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [3][5] Core Views - The company's core business is developing steadily, with a slight increase in user numbers and a focus on technological innovation and R&D investment [1][2] - The company is expected to see improvements in free cash flow and a continuous increase in cash dividends, aligning with long-term trends in the telecommunications sector [3][2] - The report forecasts a slight adjustment in net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026, with projected net profits of 359 billion and 376 billion RMB respectively [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 134.5 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.01%, with service revenue at 124.7 billion RMB, up 0.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.9 billion RMB, reflecting a 3.1% year-on-year growth [1] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 1.94%, an increase of 0.02 percentage points year-on-year [1] User Growth and Business Segments - The mobile communication business showed steady growth, with mobile users reaching 430 million, a net increase of 4.95 million [1] - The number of 5G network users reached 270 million, with a net increase of 15.48 million, resulting in a penetration rate of 62.0% [1] - Fixed-line and smart home services also maintained good growth, with broadband users at 200 million, a net increase of 670,000 [1] R&D and Innovation - The company reported IDC revenue of 9.5 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [2] - Smart revenue grew by 151.6%, while satellite communication revenue increased by 37.2% [2] - R&D expenses were 1.8 billion RMB, up 11.5% year-on-year, reflecting a commitment to technological innovation [2] Capital Expenditure and Dividends - Capital expenditure guidance for 2024 is set at 93.5 billion RMB, a decrease of 5.4% year-on-year, with expectations for 2025 to be 83.6 billion RMB [2] - The company plans to increase cash dividends, aiming for a distribution of over 75% of the profit attributable to shareholders within three years [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report provides a profit forecast with operating revenue expected to grow from 507.84 billion RMB in 2023 to 579.9 billion RMB in 2027 [4] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 35.93 billion RMB, with a corresponding A-share PE ratio of 20X [4][3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady operational performance in Q1 2025, with a focus on digital transformation and high-quality development, while achieving revenue growth and maintaining a strong customer base in the 5G sector [5][6][14]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was RMB 134.5 billion, with service revenue at RMB 124.7 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.6% [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 8.9 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with basic earnings per share at RMB 0.10 [5]. - Operating costs amounted to RMB 94.9 billion, with sales expenses decreasing by 3.9% to RMB 13.6 billion, while management expenses increased by 4.7% to RMB 10.4 billion [7]. Operational Highlights - The company reported a total of 270 million 5G network users, with a penetration rate of 62.0%, and mobile internet traffic increased by 14.2% year-on-year [6]. - The company’s IDC revenue reached RMB 9.5 billion, growing by 10.4%, while smart revenue surged by 151.6% and satellite communication revenue increased by 37.2% [6]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is committed to enhancing its digital capabilities and integrating AI, satellite, and quantum technologies into its services, aiming to transform into a service-oriented and technology-driven enterprise [6][7]. - The company plans to continue its cloud transformation strategy and strengthen its core technologies to foster innovation and improve operational efficiency [7]. Shareholder Information - The company’s board of directors confirmed the accuracy and completeness of the quarterly report, with no significant omissions or misleading statements [2][16]. - The company is in the process of electing a new non-executive director, with the nomination of Mr. Lv Yongzhong to be submitted for shareholder approval [19][23].