公司公告：1月23日，公司发布2025年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠道 零售销售流水同比持平，零售折扣7.0-7.5折；索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过 30%；2025全年，特步主品牌全渠道零售销售流水同比增长低单位数，年末渠道库销比约4.5个月；索 康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过30%。 国信纺服观点 第四季度特步主品牌流水同比持平、跑步品类表现亮眼，折扣保持稳定，库存小幅上升；索康尼流水增 长30%，迈乐流水增长双位数。 投资建议：看好主品牌发挥跑步品类优势销售稳健增长，专业运动品牌快速增长盈利提升。公司聚焦跑 步领域、发挥跑步品类专业优势，四季度在气温和春节延迟的负面因素影响下，主品牌流水保持同比持 平，跑鞋品类及核心系列"两千公里"、"冠军家族"表现亮眼；专业运动品牌索康尼环比提速至30%以上 增长，全年30%的增速达成管理层此前指引。 智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，看好特步国际(01368)未来主品牌聚焦大众市场获得稳健增 速，索康尼和迈乐分别聚焦"双精英人群"和户外，保持较快增速，并在未来3-5年盈利持续提升。该行 维持盈利预测 ...

据特步国际截止至2025年12月31日的第四季度中国内地业务营运状况显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长 同比持平，零售折扣水平维持在七至七五折；索康尼品牌的零售销售实现了超过30%的同比增长。2025 年度运营情况显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长为低单位数同比增长，渠道存货周转约为四个半月；索 康尼品牌同样保持了超过30%的同比增长。 (特步国际) ...

中金发布研报称，基本维持特步国际(01368)2025/26年EPS预测0.49/0.55元不变，引入27年EPS预测0.61 元，当前股价对应8倍2026年市盈率，维持跑赢行业评级。考虑行业估值中枢下移，下调目标价11%至 6.47港元，对应26年11x P/E，较当前股价有27%的上行空间。 特步主品牌线下渠道逐步优化提升，管理层表示4Q25已回收200家门店转为DTC模式，26年继续按计划 推进。新店型方面，2H25公司分别在西安、上海南翔开设金标领跑店，截至目前表现符合公司预期， 26年计划新开设20-30家金标领跑店。公司继续加快精选奥莱门店布局，25年已开出20+门店，规划在26 年开设70-100家精选奥莱店，已有门店月店效超100万元。索康尼方面，管理层规划2026年线下加强高 端运动形象，切入高端消费群体，渠道升级以提升店效，产品上继续投入研发，持续提升服装、休闲 OG系列的占比。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧，终端零售环境不及预期，渠道转型不及预期。 中金主要观点如下： 公司近况 公司公布2025年第四季度营运情况：特步主品牌零售流水同比持平，零售折扣七至七五折，12月末渠道 库存周转4.5个月 ...

特步国际 01368.HK 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 主品牌短期承压 看好索康尼未来持续快增 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据公司 25 年四季度经营数据以及运动服饰消费行业目前的形势，我们调整公司盈 利预测，同时考虑到股本的变动，预计公司 2025-2027 年每股收益分别为 0.49、 0.53 元和 0.59 元（原预测分别为 0.49、0.56 元和 0.62 元）。参考可比公司，给予 公司 2026 年 12 倍 PE 估值，对应目标价 7.06 港币（1 人民币=1.11 港币），维持 "买入"评级。 风险提示 行业竞争加剧，运动服饰消费复苏不及预期，新品牌增长低于预期等 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 14,346 | 13,577 | 14,380 | 15,321 | 16,451 | | 同比增长 (%) | 10.9% | -5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | | 营业利润(百万元) | ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] 2. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the SW textile and apparel sector increased by 3.83%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.99% [14] - The top five stocks in the textile and apparel sector by weekly increase were Tianchuang Fashion, Yanjing Co., Mengjie Co., Tanshan Outdoor, and Sanfu Outdoor [14] 3. Industry Data Tracking 3.1. Raw Material Data - The Australian wool market index rose by 6.49% in the week ending January 15, 2026, and has increased by 38.49% since the beginning of 2025 [4][32] - The cotton price index in China decreased slightly, with a year-to-date increase of 1.83% as of January 23, 2026 [26] 3.2. Export Data - In 2025, textile and apparel exports totaled $267.79 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.26% [45] - In December 2025, the export value of oilcloth, tents, and sunshades decreased by 8.89% year-on-year [50] 3.3. End Consumer Data - In December 2025, the online retail sales of the apparel industry decreased by 11.93% year-on-year, with a total of 45.55 billion yuan [3.3.4] - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in 2025 grew by 0.9% year-on-year, while online retail sales increased by 8.6% [3.3.5]

北京商报讯1月23日，特步国际发布公告称，截止至2025年12月31日的第四季度中国内地业务营运状况 显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长同比持平，零售折扣水平维持在七至七五折；而索康尼品牌的零售销 售则实现了超过30%的同比增长。2025年度运营情况显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长为低单位数同比 增长，渠道存货周转约为四个半月；索康尼品牌同样保持了超过30%的同比增长。 （文章来源：北京商报） ...

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Construction Investment maintains a "Buy" rating for Xtep International (01368), projecting revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 at 143.2 billion, 152.6 billion, and 163.7 billion CNY, with year-on-year increases of 5.5%, 6.6%, and 7.2% respectively, and net profit growth of 10.5%, 11.1%, and 10.0% over the same period [1] Group 1 - In Q3 2025, Xtep's main brand retail sales experienced low single-digit growth, with retail discount levels around 70-75% and inventory turnover of approximately 4-4.5 months [1][2] - The report indicates that online sales growth continues to outpace offline, with children's products growing faster than adult products [2] - The company is focusing on upgrading offline store images and expanding outlet layouts while continuing to push the full product line for running [2] Group 2 - The Saucony brand saw retail sales growth exceeding 20% in Q3 2025, with offline sales maintaining a strong growth momentum of over 30% [2] - As of the end of September, Saucony had over 170 stores, an increase of nearly 30 stores since the beginning of the year [2] - Looking ahead to Q4 2025, Xtep plans to reclaim distribution rights for approximately 400-500 Xtep stores in H2 2025 and 2026, with an expected short-term impact on revenue [2]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Xtep International (01368), projecting revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 at 143.2 billion, 152.6 billion, and 163.7 billion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 5.5%, 6.6%, and 7.2% respectively, and net profit growth of 10.5%, 11.1%, and 10.0% [1] Group 1 - In Q3 2025, Xtep's main brand retail sales experienced low single-digit growth, with retail discount levels around 70-75% and inventory turnover of approximately 4-4.5 months [2] - The report indicates that online sales growth continues to outpace offline, with children's products growing faster than adult products [2] - The company is focusing on enhancing its running product line and upgrading store images in offline channels while emphasizing outlet store expansion [2] Group 2 - The Saucony brand saw retail sales growth exceeding 20% in Q3 2025, with offline sales maintaining a strong growth rate of over 30% [2] - As of the end of September, Saucony had over 170 stores, an increase of nearly 30 stores since the beginning of the year [2] - Looking ahead to Q4 2025, Xtep plans to reclaim distribution rights for approximately 400-500 Xtep stores in H2 2025 and 2026, which is expected to have a short-term impact on revenue [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][3][7] Core Views - The company's main brand retail sales in Q3 showed low single-digit year-on-year growth, while the Saucony brand experienced over 20% growth [2][3] - The management maintains the annual guidance, indicating stable growth prospects for the main brand and strong performance for the professional sports brand [3][6] - The company focuses on the running category, leveraging its expertise to achieve steady sales growth, with Saucony and another brand, Maile, targeting specific consumer segments for faster growth [3][9] Summary by Sections Q3 Performance - The main brand's retail sales in Q3 grew low single digits year-on-year, with better performance in July and August compared to September [4] - Online sales outperformed offline sales, with children's products showing stronger growth than adult products, particularly in functional categories like running and outdoor [4] Retail Discounts and Inventory - Retail discounts for the main brand remained stable at 70-75%, with inventory turnover ratio stable at 4.0-4.5 months, indicating a healthy inventory level [5] Brand Growth - Saucony's sales grew over 20%, with strategic adjustments made to reduce low-priced products in e-commerce and tighten discounts [6] - The management expects Saucony's revenue growth to exceed 30% in 2025, with profits anticipated to grow over 10% [6] Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts net profits of 1.4 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.2%, 5.9%, and 7.7% [3][10] - The reasonable valuation range is maintained at 6.1-6.6 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11-12x for 2025 [3][9]

Core Viewpoint - Xtep International is optimizing its multi-brand matrix by divesting its fashion sports brand in 2024, focusing on its core running business, and enhancing resource allocation. The company plans to initiate a DTC transformation in 2025, which is expected to solidify its position in the professional sports sector and maintain a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Xtep's main brand achieved a low single-digit year-on-year growth in total channel revenue, consistent with Q2's performance, with online sales showing double-digit growth and children's products outperforming adult categories [2] - The net profit forecasts for Xtep are projected at 1.37 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 11, 10, and 9 [1] Group 2: Brand and Product Development - Saucony brand experienced over 20% year-on-year growth in total channel revenue in Q3, with offline revenue increasing by over 30%. The brand opened 16 new stores, primarily in first and second-tier city core business districts, maintaining an annual store opening target of 30-50 [3] - Saucony is focusing on the running scene and expanding its apparel and OG series, receiving positive market feedback, and is confident in achieving over 30% growth for the year [3] Group 3: Inventory and Discount Management - Xtep's main brand maintained a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4-4.5 months and discount levels between 70-75%, indicating effective supply chain management and terminal sales efficiency [4] - Saucony's inventory and discount levels are also within controllable ranges, allowing flexibility for promotions in Q4 [4] Group 4: Channel Innovation and Expansion - Xtep is continuously optimizing its channel structure, with over 70% of its stores upgraded to the new 9th generation and leading stores. The company is accelerating its presence in shopping centers and outlet stores [5] - The outlet channel, represented by leading and selected outlets, is expected to expand to 70-100 stores by 2026, aligning with positive market trends in outlet traffic and sales [5] Group 5: DTC Transformation - Xtep plans to reclaim approximately 100 stores in Q4, with a total of 400 stores by the end of 2025, involving a capital expenditure of around 400 million yuan. This move is expected to enhance the company's long-term channel competitiveness [6]