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国信证券:维持特步国际(01368)“优于大市”评级 第四季度主品牌流水持平
智通财经网· 2026-01-27 08:21
公司公告:1月23日,公司发布2025年第四季度及全年营运状况,第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠道 零售销售流水同比持平,零售折扣7.0-7.5折;索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过 30%;2025全年,特步主品牌全渠道零售销售流水同比增长低单位数,年末渠道库销比约4.5个月;索 康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过30%。 国信纺服观点 第四季度特步主品牌流水同比持平、跑步品类表现亮眼,折扣保持稳定,库存小幅上升;索康尼流水增 长30%,迈乐流水增长双位数。 投资建议:看好主品牌发挥跑步品类优势销售稳健增长,专业运动品牌快速增长盈利提升。公司聚焦跑 步领域、发挥跑步品类专业优势,四季度在气温和春节延迟的负面因素影响下,主品牌流水保持同比持 平,跑鞋品类及核心系列"两千公里"、"冠军家族"表现亮眼;专业运动品牌索康尼环比提速至30%以上 增长,全年30%的增速达成管理层此前指引。 智通财经APP获悉,国信证券发布研报称,看好特步国际(01368)未来主品牌聚焦大众市场获得稳健增 速,索康尼和迈乐分别聚焦"双精英人群"和户外,保持较快增速,并在未来3-5年盈利持续提升。该行 维持盈利预测 ...
特步国际(01368.HK):4Q25表现稳健 全年指引顺利达成
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-27 06:03
Company Dynamics - The company reported its Q4 2025 operational performance, with the main brand's retail revenue remaining flat year-on-year, retail discounts maintained at 70-75%, and channel inventory turnover at 4.5 months by the end of December [1] - The Saucony brand saw retail revenue growth of over 30% year-on-year, with strong performance in offline channels and an average store efficiency of 450,000 yuan per month [1] Commentary - The retail environment has experienced fluctuations, but the main brand's operations remained stable in Q4 2025, with online channels, particularly live e-commerce, performing well [1] - Monthly performance showed stability in October and November due to the Golden Week and Double Eleven promotions, while December's performance was affected by weather conditions [1] - The main brand's retail discounts remained stable, and the turnover of channel inventory was at a healthy level [1] - The functional category continued to perform well, with the running category achieving double-digit growth year-on-year [1] Future Plans - In 2026, the main brand will focus on enhancing offline store efficiency, with plans to convert 200 stores to DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) model in Q4 2025 and continue this strategy [2] - The company plans to open 20-30 new gold standard leading stores in 2026, with a focus on core business districts in first and second-tier cities [2] - The company aims to accelerate the layout of selected outlet stores, planning to open 70-100 new outlet stores in 2026, with existing stores achieving monthly efficiencies exceeding 1 million yuan [2] - For the Saucony brand, the management plans to strengthen its high-end sports image in 2026, targeting high-end consumer groups and upgrading channels to enhance store efficiency [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 0.49 and 0.55 yuan respectively, and introduces a 2027 EPS forecast of 0.61 yuan [2] - The current stock price corresponds to an 8x P/E ratio for 2026, with a target price adjustment down by 11% to 6.47 HKD, indicating a 27% upside potential from the current stock price [2]
索康尼2025年第四季度零售销售同比增长超30%
Cai Jing Wang· 2026-01-26 03:38
据特步国际截止至2025年12月31日的第四季度中国内地业务营运状况显示,特步主品牌的零售销售增长 同比持平,零售折扣水平维持在七至七五折;索康尼品牌的零售销售实现了超过30%的同比增长。2025 年度运营情况显示,特步主品牌的零售销售增长为低单位数同比增长,渠道存货周转约为四个半月;索 康尼品牌同样保持了超过30%的同比增长。 (特步国际) ...
广发证券:维持特步国际(01368)“买入”评级 合理价值6.02港元/股
智通财经网· 2026-01-26 03:18
智通财经APP获悉,广发证券发布研报称,根据特步国际(01368)25年中期报告,公司将于25H2升级零 售战略,进行DTC改革,加快响应消费者需求,提高运营效率,该行预计DTC改革将逐步推进,短期财 务影响较小。预计公司25-27年归母净利润13.62/15.14/16.58亿元,参考可比公司,给予公司26年PE10 倍,对应合理价值6.02港元/股,维持"买入"评级。 广发证券主要观点如下: 25Q4特步主品牌流水同比持平 根据公司25Q4及25Q3运营公告,特步主品牌全渠道流水同比持平,环比Q3(低单增长)降速,预计主要 受Q4天气暖和、春节时间晚等因素影响冬装销售;零售折扣为70-75折,环比Q3持平;渠道存货周转为 约4.5个月,环比Q3(4-4.5个月)略有增加,但仍处于健康水平。该行预计电商渠道有望延续25H1趋势, 维持双位数增长;特步儿童在"特步少年"助力儿童运动追高的品牌定位下,推出成长鞋,有望实现较快 增速。 25Q4索康尼流水恢复高增 根据公司25Q4运营公告,索康尼全渠道流水同比增长超过30%,环比Q3(同比增长超过20%)有所提速, 预计主要系公司自Q2对电商渠道进行调整,Q4已初 ...
中金:维持特步国际(01368)跑赢行业评级 下调目标价至6.47港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 01:33
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the EPS forecast for Xtep International (01368) at 0.49/0.55 yuan for 2025/26, introduces a new EPS forecast of 0.61 yuan for 2027, and sets a target price of HKD 6.47, reflecting an 11% decrease and a 27% upside potential from the current stock price, corresponding to an 11x P/E for 2026 [1]. Company Status - Xtep reported that its main brand's retail revenue remained flat year-on-year in Q4 2025, with retail discounts between 70% to 75%, and channel inventory turnover at 4.5 months by the end of December. The Saucony brand saw retail revenue growth of over 30% year-on-year [2]. Retail Environment and Performance - The retail environment showed fluctuations, with the main brand's retail revenue remaining stable in Q4 2025. Online channels, particularly live e-commerce, performed well. Monthly performance was strong in October and November due to promotional events, but December was affected by weather conditions. Retail discounts for the main brand remained stable, and the inventory turnover was healthy [3]. Saucony Brand Growth - The Saucony brand experienced accelerated growth in Q4 2025, with retail revenue increasing by over 30% year-on-year. Strong growth was noted in offline channels, with average store efficiency reaching 450,000 yuan per month. The brand's product line continued to expand with new sports and leisure products, achieving double-digit growth in apparel [4]. Strategic Focus for 2026 - In 2026, the main brand will focus on enhancing offline store efficiency, while the Saucony brand aims for a premium positioning. The management plans to convert 200 stores to a DTC model and open 20-30 new flagship stores. The company also plans to accelerate the opening of outlet stores, with a target of 70-100 new stores in 2026, and aims to enhance the high-end sports image of Saucony [5].
中金:维持特步国际跑赢行业评级 下调目标价至6.47港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 01:30
中金发布研报称,基本维持特步国际(01368)2025/26年EPS预测0.49/0.55元不变,引入27年EPS预测0.61 元,当前股价对应8倍2026年市盈率,维持跑赢行业评级。考虑行业估值中枢下移,下调目标价11%至 6.47港元,对应26年11x P/E,较当前股价有27%的上行空间。 特步主品牌线下渠道逐步优化提升,管理层表示4Q25已回收200家门店转为DTC模式,26年继续按计划 推进。新店型方面,2H25公司分别在西安、上海南翔开设金标领跑店,截至目前表现符合公司预期, 26年计划新开设20-30家金标领跑店。公司继续加快精选奥莱门店布局,25年已开出20+门店,规划在26 年开设70-100家精选奥莱店,已有门店月店效超100万元。索康尼方面,管理层规划2026年线下加强高 端运动形象,切入高端消费群体,渠道升级以提升店效,产品上继续投入研发,持续提升服装、休闲 OG系列的占比。 风险提示:行业竞争加剧,终端零售环境不及预期,渠道转型不及预期。 中金主要观点如下: 公司近况 公司公布2025年第四季度营运情况:特步主品牌零售流水同比持平,零售折扣七至七五折,12月末渠道 库存周转4.5个月 ...
特步国际:主品牌短期承压,看好索康尼未来持续快增-20260125
Orient Securities· 2026-01-25 00:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5] Core Views - The main brand of the company is under short-term pressure, but the Saucony brand is expected to continue its rapid growth in the future [2][8] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2027, estimating earnings per share of 0.49, 0.53, and 0.59 RMB respectively, with a target price of 7.06 HKD based on a 12x PE valuation for 2026 [3][9] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million RMB) is projected to be 14,380 in 2025, 15,321 in 2026, and 16,451 in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.9%, 6.5%, and 7.4% respectively [4] - Operating profit (in million RMB) is expected to be 1,974 in 2025, 2,218 in 2026, and 2,463 in 2027, with growth rates of 0.5%, 12.3%, and 11.1% respectively [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million RMB) is forecasted to be 1,366 in 2025, 1,494 in 2026, and 1,661 in 2027, with growth rates of 10.3%, 9.4%, and 11.2% respectively [4] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 44.0% in 2025 to 45.0% in 2027 [4] - The net profit margin is projected to increase from 9.5% in 2025 to 10.1% in 2027 [4] - The return on equity is expected to be 13.5% in 2025 and improve to 14.2% in 2027 [4] Brand Performance Insights - The main brand's revenue is under pressure due to a weak consumer environment and increased competition, but it is expected to stabilize through channel expansion and product innovation [8] - The Saucony brand has shown strong growth, with a revenue increase of over 30% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, and is expected to continue outperforming the industry [8]
纺织服装行业周报20260118-20260123:安踏Q4主品牌流水有所下滑-20260123
HUAXI Securities· 2026-01-23 15:39
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] 2. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the SW textile and apparel sector increased by 3.83%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.99% [14] - The top five stocks in the textile and apparel sector by weekly increase were Tianchuang Fashion, Yanjing Co., Mengjie Co., Tanshan Outdoor, and Sanfu Outdoor [14] 3. Industry Data Tracking 3.1. Raw Material Data - The Australian wool market index rose by 6.49% in the week ending January 15, 2026, and has increased by 38.49% since the beginning of 2025 [4][32] - The cotton price index in China decreased slightly, with a year-to-date increase of 1.83% as of January 23, 2026 [26] 3.2. Export Data - In 2025, textile and apparel exports totaled $267.79 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.26% [45] - In December 2025, the export value of oilcloth, tents, and sunshades decreased by 8.89% year-on-year [50] 3.3. End Consumer Data - In December 2025, the online retail sales of the apparel industry decreased by 11.93% year-on-year, with a total of 45.55 billion yuan [3.3.4] - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in 2025 grew by 0.9% year-on-year, while online retail sales increased by 8.6% [3.3.5]
特步国际:2025年特步主品牌零售获低单位数增长
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-23 12:52
北京商报讯1月23日,特步国际发布公告称,截止至2025年12月31日的第四季度中国内地业务营运状况 显示,特步主品牌的零售销售增长同比持平,零售折扣水平维持在七至七五折;而索康尼品牌的零售销 售则实现了超过30%的同比增长。2025年度运营情况显示,特步主品牌的零售销售增长为低单位数同比 增长,渠道存货周转约为四个半月;索康尼品牌同样保持了超过30%的同比增长。 (文章来源:北京商报) ...
特步国际午后跌近3% 2025年主品牌零售销售低单位数同比增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 06:05
特步国际(01368)午后跌近3%,截至发稿,跌2.87%,报5.08港元,成交额4075.51万港元。 截至2025年12月31日止年度,特步主品牌零售销售(包括线上线下渠道)实现低单位数同比增长,渠道存 货周转约四个半月;索康尼零售销售(包括线上线下渠道)实现超过30%同比增长。 消息面上,特步国际午间发布2025年第四季度及全年中国内地业务营运状况,截至2025年12月31日止3 个月,特步主品牌零售销售(包括线上线下(300959)渠道)同比持平,零售折扣水平为七至七五折;索 康尼零售销售(包括线上线下渠道)实现超过30%同比增长。 ...