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郑棉宽幅震荡,关注种植收紧情况
Guo Xin Qi Huo· 2026-03-29 02:55
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For the domestic cotton market, the reduction of cotton - planting area in Xinjiang in the 2026/27 season provides cost and supply support. The "Golden March and Silver April" textile peak season with increased replenishment demand and high - level downstream enterprise operations offer upward impetus. However, the release of sliding - duty quotas, large import volume due to the wide price gap between domestic and international cotton, and weak downstream spinning profits may limit price increases. The overall price range is expected to be around 14,500 - 16,000 yuan/ton, and if the reduction in planting area exceeds expectations, prices may rise further [1][33]. - In the international market, the global supply - demand pattern is tightening. Drought in the US cotton - producing areas and the high probability of El Niño weather may lead to a decrease in cotton production. The current low price of US cotton and China's purchase demand will support international cotton prices [2][33]. - The operation suggestion is to view Zhengzhou cotton from a medium - term oscillatory perspective and mainly go long on dips [3][34]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - **Domestic Market**: In the first quarter, Zhengzhou cotton fluctuated upward, rising first and then falling. The main contract price ranged from 14,500 to 15,765 yuan/ton. The reduction of inventory, increased demand, and concerns about new - season supply were the core supports, while the quota was only a short - term disturbance [5]. - **International Market**: In the first quarter, US cotton showed a strong and upward - trending oscillation. The ICE cotton futures main contract price ranged from 60 to 68.71 cents/pound. The drought in the main - producing areas and the expectation of a supply shortage were the core supports [6]. 3.2 Domestic Market Analysis - **Domestic Production**: As of March 24, 2026, the inspected cotton quantity was 33,652,621 bales, with a weight of 7.6005 million tons, higher than the expected 7.4 million tons. The national cotton - planting intention area in 2026 showed a slight decline, with different situations in different regions. Xinjiang plans to reduce the planting area, and the actual reduction will affect cotton prices [8][10]. - **Consumption and Inventory**: After the Spring Festival, the operating rates of textile and weaving enterprises recovered rapidly. By March 20, the operating rates reached 61.9% and 60.5% respectively, and the finished - product inventories of these enterprises decreased to 14.8 days and 24.8 days [12][15]. - **Imports**: From January to February 2026, China's cotton imports increased significantly year - on - year. The state issued 300,000 tons of sliding - duty quotas, which is expected to keep imports stable and regulate the import order [17][19]. - **Exports**: From January to February 2026, China's textile and clothing exports increased by 17.6% year - on - year. Multiple factors contributed to this growth, but the subsequent export growth may face challenges [21]. 3.3 International Market Analysis - **Global Supply - Demand Situation**: According to the USDA's March report, the US cotton supply - demand situation remained stable, while the global market showed an increase in supply, a decrease in demand, and a slight increase in inventory pressure [25]. - **Northern Hemisphere Planting**: In the 2026/27 season, the cotton - planting intentions in the US and India showed different trends. Weather conditions and crop price ratios are key factors affecting planting. The US may face drought and El Niño risks, while India may face pest risks [28][29]. 3.4 Conclusion and Operation Suggestions - **Domestic Market**: The reduction of cotton - planting area in Xinjiang provides support, but factors such as quota release and import volume may limit price increases. The overall price range is around 14,500 - 16,000 yuan/ton [1][33]. - **International Market**: The global supply - demand pattern is tightening, and factors such as drought and El Niño may lead to a decrease in production. China's purchase demand will support international cotton prices [2][33]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Treat Zhengzhou cotton from a medium - term oscillatory perspective and mainly go long on dips [3][34].
郑棉:临近新棉种植,市场谨慎
Hong Ye Qi Huo· 2026-03-27 12:39
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the domestic cotton futures market showed a volatile consolidation trend, with the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton fluctuating in the range of 15,200 - 15,450 yuan/ton. The core drivers are as follows: last week, cotton import quotas were issued, and the market was worried about policy regulation due to excessive and rapid rise in cotton prices before planting; the operating rate of downstream textile enterprises rebounded, demand improved marginally, and peak - season demand was gradually released; US cotton rebounded, narrowing the domestic - foreign price difference. In the short term, the market lacks a strong driver, and Zhengzhou cotton oscillates at a high level. In the medium - to - long term, it remains optimistic under the condition of a decline in planting area. Attention should be paid to downstream demand and new cotton planting [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 US Cotton Situation - As of March 17, the drought degree and coverage index of the main US cotton - producing areas was 227, slightly down month - on - month and up 94 year - on - year; the index in Texas was 253, flat month - on - month and up 58 year - on - year. The drought level in the main US cotton - producing areas and Texas remains at a relatively high level in recent years. According to the latest weekly position report released by CFTC, as of the week of March 17, the volume of unpriced sell orders rose to 63,052 lots, while the unpriced buy orders decreased, indicating an increase in bullish sentiment in the international market. US cotton has risen significantly recently [5]. - As of the week of March 19, the weekly signing volume of US upland cotton in the 2025/26 season was 45,900 tons, an increase month - on - month; the weekly shipment volume was 90,800 tons, a 46% increase month - on - month [21]. 3.2 Cotton Inventory and Consumption - As of mid - March 2026, the total commercial inventory of cotton was 5.23 million tons, a decrease of 240,000 tons from the end of February and an increase of 60,000 tons compared with the same period last year. Among them, the inventory in Xinjiang was 3.88 million tons, a decrease of 190,000 tons from the end of February and a decrease of 130,000 tons compared with the same period last year. The inventory reduction in Xinjiang is relatively fast [6]. - With the improvement of consumption, the operating rates of yarn mills and fabric mills have increased, and the inventories of finished products have decreased. As of Thursday this week, the operating loads of yarn mills and fabric mills were 58.1 and 60.8 respectively, having recovered above the levels of the same period last year; the inventories of finished products were 16.7 days and 23.6 days respectively, showing a significant decline after the Lantern Festival and currently at the lowest levels in recent years [6]. 3.3 Price and Spread - From March 19 to March 26, 2026, the price of the active contract of Zhengzhou cotton rose from 15,150 yuan/ton to 15,420 yuan/ton, an increase of 270 yuan/ton; the price of ICE active contract rose from 67.71 cents/pound to 69.44 cents/pound, an increase of 1.73 cents/pound [7]. - From March 18 to March 25, 2026, the CotlookA price index decreased from 79.35 cents/pound to 78.2 cents/pound, a decrease of 1.15 cents/pound; the price of Indian S - 6 increased from 55,800 rupees/candy to 56,100 rupees/candy, an increase of 300 rupees/candy [10]. - From March 19 to March 26, 2026, the port pick - up prices of imported yarns from India, Vietnam, and Indonesia all increased. The price of Indian C32S increased by 60 yuan/ton, the price of Vietnamese C32S increased by 60 yuan/ton, and the price of Indonesian C32S increased by 40 yuan/ton [11]. - From March 20 to March 27, 2026, the import prices of US EMOT M and Brazilian M cotton under 1% tariff and sliding - scale duty both increased. The price of US EMOT M increased by 2.10 cents/pound, with an increase of 354 yuan/ton under 1% tariff and 230 yuan/ton under sliding - scale duty; the price of Brazilian M increased by 2.10 cents/pound, with an increase of 354 yuan/ton under 1% tariff and 223 yuan/ton under sliding - scale duty [12]. - As of last Friday, the basis between the 328 cotton spot price index and the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton widened week - on - week; the basis between the C32S yarn price index and the main contract of Zhengzhou yarn also widened week - on - week [46][47]. - As of last Friday, the price difference between the domestic 328 cotton price index and the imported cotton port pick - up price index under sliding - scale duty increased week - on - week; the price difference between the C32S cotton yarn price index and the port pick - up price also increased week - on - week [50]. - As of last Friday, the price difference between the main contract of Zhengzhou yarn and the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton on the futures market widened week - on - week; the spot theoretical processing profit of 32 - count pure cotton yarn showed an increased loss week - on - week [54]. 3.4 Futures Positions and Warehouse Receipts - As of last Friday, the total of Zhengzhou cotton warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 12,773 lots; the total of Zhengzhou yarn warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 300 lots [61].
国泰海通|纺服:美棉价格持续走强,需求端催化显现
国泰海通证券研究· 2026-03-19 14:05AI Processing
报告导读: 美棉自上周价格持续走强,需求端受国家发改委增发进口棉花配额、中美会谈 等催化。供给端巴西减产落地,当前美国主产棉区干旱指数处历史高位,后续密切关注美 国和中国播种情况。 持续重点推荐受益于美棉上行的纱线龙头 。 美棉价格持续走强,需求端催化显现。 ICE2 号美棉期货 3/17 日报收 68.71 美分 / 磅,较上周初涨 6.2% ,较 25Q4 均价涨 7.0% ,判断主要由于① 3 月 16 日发改委公布增发 30 万吨加贸棉花进口配额,②援引路透社报道,在巴黎举行的中美双边贸易谈判首日,中国谈判代表表示愿意增加购买美国农产品 的规模,包括家禽、牛肉和非大豆类农作物(判断较大可能包含棉花)。持续重点推荐受益于美棉上行的纱线龙头。 判断发改委增发进口棉花配额主要由于当下较大内外棉差价。 此次增发进口配额环比 24 和 25 年规模增加 10 万吨,且发布时间明显早于过去的 7-8 月, 判断主要由于年初至今持续扩大的内外棉价差。目前美棉和新疆棉价差持续扩大至 6397 元 / 吨, cotlook A 和新疆棉价差扩大至 5265 元 / 吨,二者价差 系近 10 年 97.7%/99.1% ...
瑞达期货棉花(纱)产业日报-20260316
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-03-16 10:04
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The upward trend of short - term cotton prices is expected to remain unchanged as the domestic textile demand in the "Golden March and Silver April" season is slowly starting, spinning mills are resuming production, and textile and clothing exports have increased significantly in the first two months of 2026 [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Zhengzhou cotton main contract closing price is 15,480 yuan/ton, up 65 yuan; cotton futures top 20 net positions are - 214,086 hands, up 3,748 hands; main contract cotton positions are 711,934 hands, down 13,387 hands; cotton warehouse receipts are 12,495, down 11; cotton price index CCIndex:3128B is 16,884 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan [2] - Cotton yarn main contract closing price is 21,485 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan; cotton yarn futures top 20 net positions are - 1,284 hands, up 39 hands; main contract cotton yarn positions are 13,725 hands, down 524 hands; cotton yarn warehouse receipts are 319, down 1; pure - cotton carded yarn 32 - count price index is 22,000 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Spot Market - China's imported cotton price index FCIndexM:1% tariff is 12,782 yuan/ton, up 135 yuan; FCIndexM: sliding - duty tax is 13,840 yuan/ton; imported cotton yarn price index for pure - cotton carded yarn 32 - count arrival price is 22,312 yuan/ton, up 112 yuan; for pure - cotton combed yarn 32 - count is 23,811 yuan/ton, up 115 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The national cotton sowing area is 2,838.3 thousand hectares, up 48.3 thousand hectares; the national cotton output is 6160 thousand tons, up 540 thousand tons [2] Industry Situation - The cotton - yarn price difference is 5,116 yuan/ton, down 7 yuan; the national industrial inventory of cotton is 861 thousand tons, up 13 thousand tons; the national commercial inventory of cotton is 5,788.7 thousand tons, up 4 thousand tons [2] - Cotton import volume is 180 thousand tons, up 60 thousand tons; cotton yarn import volume is 170 thousand tons, up 20 thousand tons; imported cotton profit is 3,044 yuan/ton, down 77 yuan [2] Downstream Situation - Yarn inventory days are 21.71 days, down 3.41 days; grey fabric inventory days are 33.13 days, down 0.63 days [2] - Cloth output is 3.01 billion meters, up 0.2 billion meters; yarn output is 2.132 million tons, up 93 thousand tons [2] - Clothing and clothing accessories export amount is 13,412,412 thousand US dollars, up 1,818,726 thousand US dollars; textile yarns, fabrics and products export amount is 12,579,603 thousand US dollars, up 303,870 thousand US dollars [2] Option Market - Cotton at - the - money call option implied volatility is 21.8%, down 1.04%; at - the - money put option implied volatility is 21.85%, down 0.99% [2] - Cotton 20 - day historical volatility is 15.06%, up 0.3%; 60 - day historical volatility is 14.06%, up 0.16% [2] Industry News - Brazil's IBGE expects the 2026 cotton planting area to be 2.020398 million hectares, up 0.5% from last month's forecast and down 5.8% from last year; the seed cotton output is estimated to be 8.838419 million tons, up 0.5% from last month's forecast and down 10.5% from last year [2] - According to the USDA report, in the week ending March 5, 2025/26 US upland cotton export sales increased by 253,200 bales, up 68% from the previous week and down 8% from the four - week average; export shipments were 370,100 bales, up 31% from the previous week and up 77% from the four - week average [2]
棉花(纱)市场周报-20260313
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-03-13 09:03
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the price of the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton 2605 increased, with a weekly increase of about 0.78%. The price of the May contract of US cotton also rose, with a weekly increase of about 2.65%, and the price of the 2605 contract of cotton yarn futures increased by 1.70%. The current market is in the traditional peak consumption season of "Golden March and Silver April". It is expected that the upward trend of cotton prices will remain unchanged in the short term [7][13][24] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Highlights Summary - **Market Review**: This week, the price of the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton 2605 increased, with a weekly increase of about 0.78% [7] - **Market Outlook**: According to the USDA report, in the week ending March 5, the net export sales of US upland cotton in the 2025/26 season increased by 253,200 bales, a 68% increase from the previous week and an 8% decrease from the average of the previous four weeks. The export shipment volume of US upland cotton in the 2025/26 season was 370,100 bales, a 31% increase from the previous week and a 77% increase from the average level of the previous four weeks. On the domestic market, on the supply side, the port inventory increased significantly, and the inventory of Brazilian cotton in the warehouse remained at a high level. As of March 12, the inventory of imported cotton in major ports was 571,500 tons, a 2.7% increase from the previous month. On the consumption side, in the first two months, China's textile and clothing exports increased significantly. From January to February 2026, China's textile and clothing export volume was $50.45 billion, a 17.6% year-on-year increase; among them, textile exports were $25.57 billion, a 20.5% year-on-year increase; clothing exports were $24.87 billion, a 14.8% year-on-year increase. At the same time, the demand in the textile industry in March is slowly starting, and textile enterprises continue to resume production. It is expected that the upward trend of cotton prices will remain unchanged in the short term [7] - **Future Trading Tips**: Pay attention to changes in foreign cotton prices, demand, and inventory [8] 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - **US Cotton Market**: This week, the price of the May contract of US cotton increased, with a weekly increase of about 2.65%. As of March 3, 2026, the non-commercial long positions of US cotton were 112,260 lots, an increase of 8,836 lots from the previous week; the non-commercial short positions were 140,357 lots, an increase of 7,963 lots from the previous week; the net short positions were 28,097 lots, a decrease of 873 lots from the previous week [13] - **Foreign Cotton Spot Market**: In the week ending March 5, the net export sales of US upland cotton in the 2025/26 season increased by 253,200 bales, a 68% increase from the previous week and an 8% decrease from the average of the previous four weeks. This week, the international cotton spot price was 75.75 cents per pound, a 1.25-cent increase from the previous week [17] - **Futures Market**: This week, the price of the 2605 contract of Zhengzhou cotton increased, with a weekly increase of about 0.78%. The 2605 contract of cotton yarn futures increased by 1.70%. As of this week, the net positions of the top 20 in cotton futures were -217,834 lots, and the net positions of the top 20 in cotton yarn futures were -1,323 lots. As of this week, the number of cotton futures warehouse receipts on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange was 12,506, and the number of cotton yarn futures warehouse receipts was 320 [24][30][37] - **Spot Market**: As of March 13, 2026, the spot price index of cotton 3128B was 16,877 yuan per ton. The spot price index of Chinese cotton yarn C32S was 22,000 yuan per ton, the CY index: OEC10s (rotor yarn) was 15,450 yuan per ton; the CY index: OEC10s (combed yarn) was 25,000 yuan per ton [44][55] - **Imported Cotton (Yarn) Cost**: As of March 12, the sliding duty price of imported cotton was reported at 13,774 yuan per ton, a 141-yuan increase from the previous week; the quota price of imported cotton was reported at 12,664 yuan per ton, a 219-yuan increase from the previous week. As of March 12, the import cotton yarn price index (FCY Index): port pick-up price: C21S was 20,583 yuan per ton; the import cotton yarn price index (FCY Index): port pick-up price: C32S was 21,967 yuan per ton; the import cotton yarn price index (FCY Index): port pick-up price: JC32S was 23,630 yuan per ton [61] - **Imported Cotton Price Cost and Profit**: As of March 12, the estimated profit of imported cotton with sliding duty was 2,894 yuan per ton, a 44-yuan decrease from the previous week; the estimated profit of imported cotton with quota was 2,381 yuan per ton, a 122-yuan decrease from the previous week [65] 3.3 Industry Situation - **Supply Side - Commercial Cotton Inventory**: As of the end of December 2025, the national commercial cotton inventory was 5.7847 million tons, a 23.51% month-on-month increase and a 1.75% year-on-year increase; at the end of December, the in-warehouse industrial inventory of cotton in textile enterprises was 983,800 tons, an increase of 44,200 tons from the end of the previous month [68] - **Supply Side - Imported Cotton Volume**: In December 2025, China's total cotton import volume was about 180,000 tons, a 60,000-ton increase from the previous month and a 31% year-on-year increase; from January to December 2025, China's cumulative cotton import volume was 1.07 million tons, a 59.1% year-on-year decrease. In December 2025, China's imported cotton yarn volume was 170,000 tons, a 60,000-ton increase from the previous month and a 20,000-ton increase from the same period last year [72] - **Mid - end Industry - Demand Side - Yarn and Grey Cloth Inventory**: As of January 31, 2026, the inventory days of yarn were reported at 21.71 days; the inventory days of grey cloth were reported at 33.13 days, a 1.87% month-on-month decrease [75] - **Terminal Consumption - Demand Side - Textile and Clothing Export Volume**: From January to February 2026, China's textile and clothing export volume was $50.45 billion, a 17.6% year-on-year increase; among them, textile exports were $25.57 billion, a 20.5% year-on-year increase; clothing exports were $24.87 billion, a 14.8% year-on-year increase [80] - **Downstream Terminal Consumption - Demand Side - Domestic Clothing Retail Sales Cumulative Volume**: As of December 31, 2025, the monthly retail sales value of clothing, shoes, hats, needles, and textiles was reported at 166.1 billion yuan, a 7.75% month-on-month increase [84] 3.4 Options and Stock Market - Related Markets - **Options Market**: This week, the implied volatility of at - the - money options for cotton was presented in the report, but no specific data was given [85] - **Stock Market - Xinjiang Nongkai Development Co., Ltd.**: The report presented the price - earnings ratio trend of Xinjiang Nongkai Development Co., Ltd., but no specific analysis was given [88]
2025年纺织品期货期权白皮书:纺织品:新棉上市压价承,去库春风暖意升
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-03-06 07:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, Zhengzhou cotton futures prices fluctuated within a wide range of 12,400 - 14,300 yuan/ton, driven by both macro - policies and industrial supply - demand. ICE U.S. cotton futures prices trended downward. In 2026, U.S. cotton prices may show a "first - depressed, then - stable" wide - range oscillation pattern, while Zhengzhou cotton may have a "first - depressed, then - rising" trend [2][3][5] 3. Summary According to Relevant Contents 3.1 Historical Market Review - Since its listing in 2004, cotton futures prices have experienced nine major periods of significant fluctuations affected by national policies, international trade, and supply - demand changes in the industrial chain [13] - In 2025, Zhengzhou cotton futures prices fluctuated in the range of 12,400 - 14,300 yuan/ton, with six main stages throughout the year. ICE U.S. cotton futures prices trended downward overall, with a slight rebound at the end of October [23][24][32] 3.2 Cotton and Cotton Yarn Futures Trading and Position - holding - In 2025, the position - holding volume of domestic cotton futures increased significantly. By December 11, the total position - holding volume reached 1,138,013 lots, with an annual average of 816,094.60 lots. As of October 7, the non - commercial net long positions in ICE cotton futures decreased [37][38] 3.3 Global Cotton Supply - Demand - In the 2025/26 season, the global cotton production increased by 92,000 tons to 26.096 million tons, consumption decreased by 44,000 tons to 25.847 million tons, and the ending inventory increased by 136,000 tons to 16.353 million tons [41] - In the U.S., the 2025/26 cotton production is expected to be 3.03 million tons, with a decrease in export volume and an increase in ending inventory. Brazil's cotton production reached a record high in 2025, with exports continuing to grow strongly. India's cotton market in 2025 showed a pattern of "declining production, surging imports, weak consumption, and rising inventory" [49][68][88] 3.4 Domestic Cotton Supply - Demand - In 2025, China's cotton planting area increased, with Xinjiang's output expected to exceed 7 million tons. The cost of new cotton is fixed, and cotton farmers' income depends on national subsidies [97][107] - In 2025, China's imported cotton volume decreased significantly, with Brazilian cotton becoming the main source. The profits of textile enterprises were polarized, and the domestic textile terminal's domestic and foreign demands were slightly differentiated [118][133][136] 3.5 Outlook for the Cotton Market in 2026 - Abroad, in the short - term, U.S. cotton futures prices are under pressure, and may fall to 60.64 cents/pound by the end of the quarter. In the long - term, prices are expected to stabilize gradually, showing a "first - depressed, then - stable" wide - range oscillation pattern [147] - Domestically, Zhengzhou cotton may show a "first - depressed, then - rising" trend throughout the year. The core operating range may be between 14,500 - 17,000 yuan/ton [153] 3.6 Seasonal Analysis - From the seasonal chart of the cotton futures index, April and December are more likely to see rising cotton prices, while February and May are more likely to see falling prices [157] 3.7 Cotton Options Market Analysis and Operation Strategies - For cotton spot traders, it is recommended to use a combined options strategy for hedging: sell CF2605 - C - 14800, buy CF2605 - C - 13500, and sell CF2605 - P - 13200 [162] 3.8 Appendix - Related Stocks in the Cotton Industry - The report lists the stock codes, names, related products, initial prices, current prices, and annual price changes of upstream, middle - stream, and downstream companies in the cotton industry [164]
政策定春耕启 疆棉稳产提质预期强
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2026-02-26 16:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future prospects of cotton planting in Xinjiang, highlighting the positive impact of government policies and the proactive measures taken by farmers and companies in the cotton industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: Government Policies and Industry Outlook - The central government's policy emphasizes the stable development of the cotton industry, including optimizing production layout and variety structure in Xinjiang, which boosts farmers' confidence and planting enthusiasm [1][2]. - The Xinjiang government aims to stabilize cotton production at around 5.6 million tons this year, although a reduction in planting area is anticipated due to structural adjustments in agriculture [2][3]. - The cotton planting area in Xinjiang has historically shown a stable increase, but recent adjustments may lead to a decline in planting area, impacting overall production [3]. Group 2: Company Initiatives and Farmer Support - Yan Shi Dehai Agricultural Technology Co., a leading company in the cotton sector, has developed over 10 high-quality cotton seed varieties, emphasizing the importance of quality seeds for increasing yield and farmer income [2]. - The company is actively processing and distributing high-quality cotton seeds to ensure timely planting, while also providing training and technical support to farmers on best practices for cotton cultivation [2]. - The approach of combining quality seeds with effective farming methods aims to enhance farmers' planting skills and ultimately increase their yields and income [2].
截至2月19日美棉现货报价走高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-21 04:44
Core Insights - The average spot price of cotton in the U.S. increased by 257 points compared to the previous week, reaching 61.03 cents per pound, although it remains lower than the same period last year at 64.60 cents per pound [1] - The total trading volume of cotton for the week ending February 19 was 62,666 bales, significantly higher than the previous week's 54,118 bales and last year's 23,999 bales [2] - For the 2025/26 marketing year, the total spot trading volume reached 1,112,630 bales, compared to 733,621 bales in the same period last year [3] Southeastern Market - Cotton trading in the southeastern market is steady with moderate supply and strong demand, leading to higher local spot prices [4] - Weather conditions include daytime highs in the 70s Fahrenheit (approximately 21-27°C) and nighttime lows in the 40s to 50s Fahrenheit (approximately 4-10°C), with rainfall between 0.25-1 inch in some areas [4] - Despite some rainfall, drought conditions persist in parts of the eastern Carolinas, affecting cotton production [4] Southwestern Market - In the eastern-southern Texas region, cotton trading is sluggish with low supply and producer quotes, resulting in weak demand and higher local spot prices [5] - The eastern Texas region experienced beneficial rainfall, aiding soil moisture for pre-planting [6] - The western Texas-Kansas-Oklahoma area saw active cotton trading with ample supply and steady demand, although some ginning operations were delayed due to high winds [7][8]
From Pakistan Floods to California Drought: Climate Risks Shake the Cotton Industry
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-18 13:00
Core Insights - The WWF aims to catalyze systemic change in the textile sector, focusing on sustainable practices such as nature-positive agriculture and water stewardship [1] - Climate change is recognized as an immediate threat to the textile supply chain, necessitating coordinated solutions across sectors [5][6] Group 1: Climate Impact on Supply Chains - Pakistan's cotton industry is vulnerable to climate impacts, with WWF training farmers in sustainable practices like organic and regenerative cotton [2] - Climate-related risks are disrupting supply chains, as seen in the 2022 and 2025 floods in Pakistan, which exposed structural vulnerabilities [7] - The floods led to significant raw material instability for companies like Artistic Milliners, which only recovered 20% of its regenerative cotton yield in 2022 [8] Group 2: Resilience and Adaptation Strategies - Building resilience in textile supply chains requires a system-wide approach, including restoring natural systems and embedding climate adaptation into sourcing decisions [3][4] - Effective management of soil health and water resources, along with strong partnerships, can help stabilize cotton yields and quality [11][12] - Bergman/Rivera emphasizes financial aid and technical assistance to farmers, viewing cotton as a vehicle for transformation rather than just a commodity [16][17] Group 3: Collaboration and Community Support - Collaboration among stakeholders is crucial for addressing climate challenges, with a focus on connecting farmers with brands to enhance sustainability efforts [18] - The approach of Bergman/Rivera includes honoring traditional farming practices while implementing modern techniques to improve farmers' livelihoods and environmental impact [15][17]
2025年天津市棉花总产量0.1万吨,占全国棉花总产量的0.02%
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2026-02-18 02:02
Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting outlines the competitive landscape and future prospects of the cotton industry in China from 2026 to 2032 [1] Summary by Categories Planting Area - In 2025, the cotton planting area in Tianjin is projected to be 0.8 thousand hectares, a decrease of 0.1 thousand hectares or 11.1% compared to 2024, with an increase of 7.07 percentage points in the growth rate compared to the previous year [1] Yield per Hectare - The yield per hectare of cotton in Tianjin for 2025 is expected to be 1390 kilograms, an increase of 51.5 kilograms or 3.8% from 2024, although the growth rate has decreased by 0.49 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] Total Production - The total cotton production in Tianjin for 2025 is estimated at 0.1 million tons, unchanged from 2024, with the growth rate remaining at 0% compared to the previous year; this total accounts for 0.02% of the national cotton production [1]