山东赫达 20260227 摘要 2026 年 1-2 月，公司纤维素与植物胶囊销量创历史新高，植物胶囊直 接交付终端客户量达单月 28 亿粒，较 2025 年月均水平提升 1.1-1.5 倍， 实际发货量更高，显示强劲增长势头。 美国建厂决策获客户积极响应，现有客户承诺增加采购，潜在客户表示 将开展合作，部分客户已开始从美国工厂相关主体拿货，验证了客户承 诺的真实性与持续性。 美国市场竞争格局变化显著，主要竞争对手罗克特计划于 2026 年末关 闭美国工厂，龙沙拟剥离全球胶囊业务，为公司在美国市场份额提升提 供重要机会。 为配合美国工厂投产，国内工厂自 2025 年四季度起加班生产，恢复部 分停置设备，有效产能已恢复至 300 亿粒以上，春节期间亦未停工，旨 在抢占市场份额。 欧洲市场延续快速增长，2025 年销量达 70 多亿粒，预计 2026 年突破 100 亿粒，甚至可能达到 110-120 亿粒，其他海外市场亦呈现增长态 势，国内产能将主要服务欧洲市场。 Q&A 在 2025 年年报尚未披露的前提下，2025 年整体经营情况与 2024 年相比有 哪些可量化的变化？ 2025 年在外部环境极其恶劣的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the VAT tax refund policy for the production of fiberboard using agricultural residues, which has been effective since March 1, 2022, allowing a 90% VAT refund for certain products made from specified raw materials [3]. Group 1: Tax Policy Details - The policy applies to products made from at least 95% of specified raw materials, including agricultural residues like straw and corn cobs [4]. - Taxpayers must obtain VAT invoices from sellers for recycled resources purchased domestically; if the seller cannot issue invoices, alternative documentation is required [5]. - The calculation for sales revenue not eligible for the VAT refund is based on the proportion of unverified resource costs to total resource costs [6]. Group 2: Compliance Requirements - Products must not fall under categories deemed as eliminated or restricted by the relevant regulatory bodies, ensuring they are not classified as high pollution or high environmental risk [6]. - If the recycled resources include hazardous waste, a license from environmental authorities is required [7]. - Taxpayers must maintain a detailed record of recycled resource purchases, including supplier information and invoice status [10]. Group 3: Application Conditions - Taxpayers must not have a credit rating of C or D and should not have faced penalties related to environmental or tax laws in the six months prior to applying for the VAT refund [9].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily discuss the phenol-acetone and cellulose industries, highlighting the importance of extending the industrial chain to enhance companies' risk resistance capabilities. For instance, Guangxi Huayi is expanding downstream, while Sinopec, Shenghong, and Hengli Petrochemical are extending between refining and chemical sectors [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Industrial Chain Extension**: Companies with longer industrial chains exhibit stronger profit risk capabilities. Sinopec's strategy of shutting down old facilities and launching new ones exemplifies this trend [1][2]. - **Anti-Competition Measures**: The industry is implementing anti-competition strategies through the elimination of outdated capacities, low-cost suppliers servicing high-cost companies, and enhancing production capabilities to reduce import space [3]. - **Downstream Demand**: The demand for epoxy resins and polycarbonate (PC) supports profits in these sectors, with PC sales growth projected at 7%-10%. However, this demand does not fully translate to upstream raw materials like phenol and acetone, leading to weaker upstream profits [5]. - **Market Dynamics**: In the acetone downstream market, Bisphenol A accounts for over 30%, with methyl isobutyl ketone (MIBK) at 25%, isopropanol at 13%, and dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) at 5%. Bisphenol A has stable operations but low profits, while domestic supply of methyl paper has increased due to favorable export conditions last year [8]. Import and Export Trends - **Acetone Imports**: In 2025, acetone imports are expected to rise by 50%, primarily due to the expiration of anti-dumping measures and increased exports from Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan, driven by their own weak downstream demand [9]. - **Cellulose Exports**: From 2021 to 2025, cellulose exports have shown a narrow growth trend, with a significant increase in demand from emerging markets. The total cellulose export volume for the first ten months of 2025 reached 17.3 million tons, a 15.45% increase year-on-year [15][23]. Profitability and Market Conditions - **Profit Trends**: The years 2020 to 2025 show high-profit years concentrated around 2021, correlating with rapid growth in the wind power sector. However, upstream raw materials like phenol and acetone have seen weaker profits [6]. - **Cost and Price Dynamics**: The cost structure for cellulose ethers includes raw materials like refined cotton and caustic soda. Prices for HPMC in different regions range from 13,500 to 28,000 yuan per ton, with market conditions leading to a downward trend in prices due to weak demand and high inventory levels [17][18]. Future Outlook - **Capacity Expansion**: The cellulose ether industry is expected to continue expanding, with an estimated additional capacity of 113,000 tons by the end of 2026. The industry is gradually shifting towards high-end applications in pharmaceuticals and food [19][20]. - **Challenges Ahead**: The cellulose market faces challenges such as weak end-market demand and high inventory levels. The industry is expected to see increased concentration as smaller players may be eliminated due to low profitability [21][23]. - **Emerging Markets**: Future growth in the cellulose sector is anticipated to be driven by high-end product demand in pharmaceuticals and food, with leading companies accelerating their strategic adjustments [20][23]. Conclusion - The phenol-acetone and cellulose industries are navigating a complex landscape characterized by capacity expansions, shifting demand dynamics, and competitive pressures. Companies are focusing on enhancing their industrial chains and adapting to market conditions to maintain profitability and growth.

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses tax incentives aimed at promoting the development of rural specialty industries and the circular economy in agriculture, specifically through a VAT refund policy for certain resource utilization products made from agricultural by-products [2][7]. Summary by Sections Tax Incentives for Resource Utilization - A VAT refund of 90% is applicable for products made from specific agricultural by-products such as straw, corn cobs, and other residual materials [2]. - Eligible products include fiberboard, particleboard, biochar, activated carbon, and various sugars and alcohols derived from these materials [2]. Conditions for Enjoying Tax Benefits - Taxpayers must obtain VAT invoices from sellers when purchasing recycled resources domestically, or appropriate customs documentation when importing [3][4]. - A detailed record of recycled resource purchases must be maintained, including supplier information and transaction details [5]. - The products sold must not fall under categories deemed as eliminated or restricted by relevant regulatory bodies [5]. Compliance and Restrictions - Taxpayers must not have received administrative penalties for environmental violations or tax law violations in the six months prior to applying for the VAT refund [6]. - The raw materials used must consist of at least 95% of the specified resources to qualify for the tax incentives [7].

Summary of 3D Chemical Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: 3D Chemical - **Industry**: Chemical Engineering Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue**: 1.248 billion CNY, up 21.8% year-on-year [2][5] - **Net Profit**: Approximately 120 million CNY, up 46% year-on-year [2][5] - **Net Cash Flow**: Decreased by 84% to over 20 million CNY due to increased bank acceptance bill settlements [2][5] - **Cash Reserves**: Approximately 1.8 billion CNY, with a debt ratio below 18% [2][5] - **Interim Dividend**: 0.1 CNY per share, totaling over 60 million CNY [2][5] Project Developments - **New Contracts**: Over 1 billion CNY in new projects signed, including coal chemical design and general contracting projects in Xinjiang and design fees for Qilu Petrochemical [2][6] - **Potential Orders**: Focus on coal-to-oil and coal-to-olefins projects led by national energy companies, as well as local coal chemical projects [2][6][11] Chemical Sector Performance - **Zibo Nuoao Company**: Profit decreased by 20% to over 70 million CNY due to average product performance, despite benefiting from rising propanol prices [2][7] - **Cellulose Project**: Phase one of the isooctanoic acid project is underway, aiming to increase pilot production capacity to 700-800 tons annually [2][8] Catalyst Business - **Revenue**: Approximately 60-70 million CNY with a profit contribution of 4-5 million CNY in the first half of the year [2][9] - **Annual Revenue Projection**: Expected to reach around 200 million CNY with a profit of about 15 million CNY [2][9] Future Strategy and Capital Expenditure - **Capital Expenditure**: Expected to be around 200 million CNY for new projects, with a focus on high annual profit distribution to investors [2][10] - **Client Selection Strategy**: Emphasis on payment security, primarily targeting large state-owned enterprises to minimize accounts receivable risk [2][18] Competitive Advantages - **Technical Edge**: Leading technology in sulfur recovery with a purity of 99.99% and a recovery rate of 99.9% [2][19] - **Market Reputation**: Strong past performance and reputation in the market [2][19] Future Growth and Dividends - **Dividend Policy**: Clear three-year dividend plan with a target payout ratio of over 70% [2][17] - **Market Expansion**: Interest in niche new materials, particularly in cosmetics, with acquisition standards focusing on synergistic small domestic leaders [2][20] Additional Insights - **Sulfur Recovery Business**: Core business with significant contributions to revenue and profit, having completed 245 sets of sulfur recovery equipment [2][3] - **Environmental Projects**: Engagement in various environmental projects, including air storage and lava storage initiatives [2][13] - **R&D Initiatives**: Development of hydrogen sulfide electrochemical separation technology, which could lead to significant breakthroughs [2][14]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The pulp market may show a pattern of counter - arbitrage and fluctuate slightly stronger due to the adjustment of deliverable products. After the suspension of the "Bratsk" brand deliverable for bleached sulfate softwood pulp futures, the overall price center of the futures market may rise, and the near - far month spread may widen [78]. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Industry News - As of June 19, 2025, the pulp inventories in Changshu Port, Qingdao Port, and Gaolan Port in China all increased, with a 0.7% increase in Changshu Port, 1.2% in Qingdao Port, and 2.6% in Gaolan Port. The total inventory of mainstream ports reached 220.8 million tons, a 1.1% increase from the previous period [6]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange announced the suspension of the warehousing of the "Bratsk" brand deliverable for bleached sulfate softwood pulp futures [6]. - Shandong Sun Paper and its subsidiaries won new industrial land in Beihai, Guangxi and Yanzhou, Shandong [6]. Market Data Market Trends - The basis of Silver Star on June 20, 2025, was 930 yuan/ton, with an 8.39% increase from the previous period and a 124.64% increase year - on - year. The basis of Russian Needle was 130 yuan/ton, with a 124.14% increase from the previous period and a 195.59% increase year - on - year. The price difference between Silver Star and Russian Needle was 800 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period but a 45.45% increase year - on - year [14]. - The 09 - 11 month spread on June 20, 2025, decreased by 50% from the previous period, and the 11 - 01 month spread was - 82 yuan/ton, a 7.89% decrease from the previous period [19]. Fundamental Data Price - The price differences between softwood and hardwood pulp (Silver Star - Goldfish, Russian Needle - Goldfish) decreased. On June 20, 2025, the price difference between Silver Star and Goldfish was 1950 yuan/ton, a 2.5% decrease from the previous period but a 160% increase year - on - year. The price difference between Russian Needle and Goldfish was 1150 yuan/ton, a 4.17% decrease from the previous period and a 475% increase year - on - year [26]. - The import profit of Silver Star was positive but continued to decline this week. The hardwood pulp Star had no quotation in June, and partial supply was expected to resume in July [33]. - The prices of imported softwood pulp such as Silver Star, Cariboo, Northwood, and Lion decreased slightly compared to the previous period. The prices of imported hardwood pulp such as Goldfish, Star, and Bird remained stable [35][42]. - The price of Venus was 5100 yuan/ton on June 20, 2025, a 2% increase from the previous period but a 6.42% decrease year - on - year. The price of Kunhe was 3900 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period and a 1.3% increase year - on - year [46]. Supply - In April 2025, the European port inventory decreased by 12.77% month - on - month, and the global pulp out - port volume decreased by 18.3% month - on - month and 10.89% year - on - year [50]. - In May 2025, the pulp import volume showed a differentiated performance. The softwood pulp import volume decreased by 4.75% month - on - month, while the hardwood pulp import volume increased by 7.84% month - on - month [53]. Demand - The capacity utilization rates of white cardboard, household paper, offset paper, and coated paper decreased to varying degrees on June 20, 2025. The capacity utilization rates of white cardboard, household paper, offset paper, and coated paper were 72.2%, 62.1%, 54.6%, and 56.55% respectively [58]. - The prices of white cardboard, household paper, offset paper, and coated paper remained stable this week, but the market trading was light, and the raw material procurement enthusiasm was not high [61][64]. - The profit of household paper decreased this period, while the profits of other paper types increased to varying degrees [67]. Inventory - The total inventory of mainstream ports in China reached 220.8 million tons on June 20, 2025, a 1.05% increase from the previous period and a 21.12% increase year - on - year. The inventories in Qingdao Port, Changshu Port, and Gaolan Port all increased [75]. - The warehouse receipt quantity of pulp in warehouses was 23.53 million tons on June 20, 2025, a 1.22% decrease from the previous period and a 50.27% decrease year - on - year. The warehouse receipt quantity in factories was 1.63 million tons, unchanged from the previous period and a 49.25% decrease year - on - year [69]. Operation Suggestions - The pulp market may fluctuate slightly stronger due to the adjustment of deliverable products. The suspension of the "Bratsk" brand deliverable may increase the willingness of buyers to take delivery and raise the overall price center of the futures market. The market may show a counter - arbitrage pattern [78].