Core Viewpoint - The company plans to issue up to 800 million RMB shares and list them on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which may lead to an 11.52% dilution in EPS for 2026, but the influx of new capital is expected to support new project development and ultimately compensate for this dilution [1][2]. Group 1: Fundraising and EPS Impact - The board has approved a preliminary proposal to issue RMB shares not exceeding 800 million, which represents 11.52% of the post-issue share capital [1]. - The funds raised are intended for the company's core business development and to supplement general working capital, with potential for further EPS growth due to existing capacity yet to be utilized [1]. Group 2: Market Expansion and Dividend Potential - The recent implementation of waste incineration regulations in Indonesia opens new market opportunities for the company, with potential project investments supported by the Indonesian sovereign wealth fund [2]. - The company has room to increase its dividend payout ratio, which currently stands at 41.8%, and could rise to 55%, potentially supporting a market valuation of HKD 33.1 billion by 2025 [2]. Group 3: Valuation and Profit Forecast - The company’s H-share valuation is expected to recover due to improved operating cash flow, while A-shares are likely to trade at a higher valuation due to lower dividend yield requirements [3]. - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 estimate net profits of HKD 3.7 billion, HKD 4.1 billion, and HKD 4.2 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.1x, 7.4x, and 7.1x [3].

Core Viewpoint - *ST Yuancheng has triggered the mandatory delisting criteria due to its stock market capitalization falling below 500 million yuan for 20 consecutive trading days, leading to a suspension of trading starting November 11, 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Capitalization - As of November 10, the company's stock price was 0.58 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 1.89 million yuan [5]. - The company has experienced a continuous decline, with 21 consecutive trading days of a locked-down stock price since October 13 [5]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions and Financial Issues - The company faced administrative penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) due to false reporting in its annual reports from 2020 to 2022 and fabricating significant false content in its 2022 non-public stock issuance documents, with a proposed fine of 37.45 million yuan [5]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has issued a notice indicating that *ST Yuancheng's stock has met the conditions for termination of listing [3]. Group 3: Company Background - Founded in 1999 and headquartered in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, *ST Yuancheng operates in project planning, design, and construction within the ecological landscape, green environmental protection, and leisure tourism sectors [5]. - As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the company had approximately 12,600 shareholders [6].

Core Viewpoint - *ST Yuancheng (603388) is facing the risk of "market value delisting" due to its stock closing below 500 million yuan for 20 consecutive trading days, triggering mandatory delisting indicators [3][4]. Group 1: Delisting Risk - The company announced that its stock will be suspended from trading starting November 11, 2025, pending a review by the Shanghai Stock Exchange on whether to terminate its listing [4]. - As of October 14, the company's market value was 485 million yuan, marking the first time it fell below the 500 million yuan threshold [5]. - The stock has experienced a continuous decline, with a recent price of 0.58 yuan per share and a market value of 190 million yuan, alongside 11 consecutive trading days below par value [5]. Group 2: Legal and Compliance Issues - In addition to market value delisting, *ST Yuancheng faces risks of mandatory delisting due to significant legal violations, as the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued a notice regarding false records in annual reports from 2020 to 2022 [5]. - If the subsequent administrative penalty confirms these violations, the company's stock will be terminated from listing [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - The company has been under risk warnings and has reported a continuous decline in revenue, with a 0.1% year-on-year increase in revenue to 102 million yuan for the first three quarters of this year, while net profit remained at a loss of 143 million yuan [7]. - The company has faced three consecutive years of losses, raising concerns about its ability to continue as a going concern [6].

Core Insights - China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC) announced a new contract value of 563.32 billion yuan for the period of April to June 2025, with a cumulative total of 1,056.17 billion yuan for the year, representing a year-on-year decline of 4.04% [1] Domestic and International Performance - Domestic contracts amounted to 942.08 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 8.37% [1] - International contracts reached 114.09 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 57.43% [1] Sector Breakdown - Engineering contracting totaled 788.43 billion yuan, down 7.27% year-on-year [1] - Green environmental protection contracts were valued at 107.38 billion yuan, up 15.07% year-on-year [1] - Emerging industries accounted for 7.86 billion yuan, marking a substantial year-on-year increase of 44.45% [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 9.08 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 7.81 CNY as of April 30, 2025 [5]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue was 256.76 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 6.61%, primarily due to weak demand in traditional business sectors. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.15 billion CNY, down 14.51% year-on-year, with a decline in gross margin contributing to the profit drop [2][3]. - Despite the revenue and profit decline, the company has a solid order backlog of 7.86 trillion CNY, approximately 7.4 times its 2024 revenue, indicating a strong foundation for future revenue growth [2]. - The company signed new contracts worth 492.84 billion CNY in Q1 2025, with a notable increase in overseas contracts by 30.10% year-on-year, while domestic contracts decreased by 13.17% [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a gross margin decline of 0.28 percentage points, leading to a sales net profit margin of 2.38%, down 0.20 percentage points year-on-year. The operating cash flow improved, with a net outflow of 38.95 billion CNY, which is 7.65 billion CNY less than the previous year [2][3]. Order and Contract Activity - The new contract value in Q1 2025 was 492.84 billion CNY, with domestic contracts at 448.68 billion CNY and overseas contracts at 44.16 billion CNY. The growth in the green environmental sector and railway engineering contracts was particularly strong, with increases of 77.05% and 66.25% year-on-year, respectively [4]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.08 trillion CNY, 1.10 trillion CNY, and 1.11 trillion CNY, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 1.50%, 1.30%, and 1.30%. The net profit forecasts for the same period are 22.47 billion CNY, 22.73 billion CNY, and 22.99 billion CNY, with corresponding growth rates of 1.15% each year [9][10].