Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's solid waste management business shows steady growth, and the cement segment is experiencing a performance reversal, leading to positive free cash flow [1] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting an increase in expected profits due to improved performance in its core waste incineration operations and the indirect holding in Conch Cement [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 8,033 million, with a decline to 6,271 million in 2024 and further to 6,147 million in 2025, before a slight recovery in subsequent years [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease from 2,464 million in 2023 to 2,020 million in 2024, but is forecasted to rise to 2,361 million in 2025 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.37 in 2023, dropping to 1.13 in 2024, and recovering to 1.32 in 2025 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 6.91 in 2023, increasing to 8.43 in 2024, and then decreasing to 7.21 in 2025 [1][8] Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 30.86 billion, a slight decline of 1.55% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 9.33% to 12.86 billion [7] - The waste disposal segment reported operational revenue of 21.07 billion, up 7.61%, while construction revenue fell significantly by 54.53% to 2.74 billion [7] - The energy efficiency equipment segment saw a revenue decline of 22.26% to 2.59 billion, while the new energy business experienced a substantial increase of 191.65% to 3.10 billion [7] Cash Flow and Dividends - The company reported a positive free cash flow of 0.4 billion in the first half of 2025, a significant improvement from -8.6 billion in the first half of 2024 [7] - The company anticipates an increase in dividend potential due to improved free cash flow and dividends from Conch Cement [7]

Core Viewpoint - Conch Venture (00586) reported a mid-term performance for the six months ending June 30, 2025, showing a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.286 billion, an increase of 9.33% year-on-year, despite a revenue decline of 1.55% to RMB 3.086 billion [1][1][1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from waste disposal decreased by 7.01% due to a reduction in ongoing projects, leading to lower construction period income [1] - Revenue from energy-saving equipment fell by 22.26%, primarily due to a decrease in orders for energy-saving equipment [1] - Revenue from new building materials declined by 1.53%, influenced by market conditions resulting in lower selling prices [1] - Revenue from the new energy business surged by 191.65%, driven by the company's proactive market expansion efforts [1] - Revenue from port logistics increased by 1.87%, attributed to active sourcing and increased throughput [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue but an increase in profit for the interim period ending June 30, 2025, indicating a mixed performance across different business segments [1]. Revenue Performance - Total revenue for the company was RMB 3.086 billion, a decrease of 1.55% year-on-year [1]. - Revenue from waste disposal decreased by 7.01%, primarily due to a reduction in ongoing construction projects [1]. - Revenue from energy-saving equipment fell by 22.26%, attributed to a decrease in orders [1]. - Revenue from new building materials declined by 1.53%, influenced by market conditions leading to lower selling prices [1]. - Revenue from the new energy business surged by 191.65%, driven by the company's proactive market expansion [1]. - Revenue from port logistics increased by 1.87%, supported by efforts to expand cargo sources and increased throughput [1]. Profitability - The profit attributable to equity shareholders was RMB 1.286 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.33% [1]. - Basic earnings per share were reported at RMB 0.76 [1]. Dividend Declaration - The company proposed an interim dividend of HKD 0.1 per share [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the environmental sector, including Huicheng Environmental and Gao Neng Environment [4][24]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of digital and green transformation in the environmental industry, driven by new policies and regulations aimed at enhancing energy efficiency and promoting low-carbon technologies [10][20]. - It highlights the expected benefits for companies involved in energy-saving processes, low-carbon technology research, and circular economy innovations, particularly in high-energy-consuming sectors like power, metallurgy, and petrochemicals [20][21]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with leading advantages in green process research and industrial pollution control equipment, such as Longjing Environmental and Bihui Source [20][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Views - The report discusses the issuance of the "2025 Digital and Green Collaborative Transformation Development Work Points" by multiple government departments, which outlines systematic requirements for low-carbon digitalization and traditional industry empowerment [10]. - It also mentions the "2025 Legislative Work Plan" from the State Council, which focuses on upgrading environmental legislation and enhancing regulatory frameworks for green development [21][22]. - The report notes that the current macroeconomic environment, characterized by historically low interest rates, presents a favorable backdrop for investing in high-dividend and growth-oriented assets [2][23]. 2. Market Performance - The environmental sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with the environmental index rising only 0.10% against a 0.76% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [3][25]. - Specific sub-sectors showed varied performance, with monitoring up by 1.61% while water treatment and energy-saving sectors declined [3][25]. 3. Industry News - Recent policies in Henan Province aim to enhance resource recycling and promote the establishment of a comprehensive recycling system [38]. - The central government has issued guidelines to accelerate urban renewal actions, focusing on improving urban infrastructure and waste management systems [38]. - New regulations on ecological environment protection have been introduced, emphasizing the need for robust environmental oversight [38]. 4. Key Announcements - The report includes various corporate announcements, such as bond issuances and share transfers, which reflect ongoing activities within the environmental sector [39][40].