受市场活跃回暖、稳定币概念等因素催化，证券板块行情活跃。另外，市场行情活跃，沪指突破3500点 创年内新高。 今日，股市风向标——证券ETF（512880）大涨3%，近10日净流入额超10亿元，当前规模超312亿元位 居同类首位。 通过并购重组，同一或相似股东下的资源整合有望提速，行业内上市公司盈利能力有望加速修复。而另 一方面，在大力建设金融强国之路上，通过并购重组等方式加快建设一流投资银行的政策支持是对证券 行业估值时不可忽视的长逻辑。 证券ETF（512880）跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，集齐A股各大龙头证券公司，有望一键捕捉A股向上 弹性，当前规模超300亿元位居同类第一，流动性占优。感兴趣的投资者可以关注相关布局机会。 注：如提及个股，仅供参考分析，不构成任何投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参 考，不预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅 供参考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与 风险等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 消息面，7月10日晚间，国盛金控发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预 ...

消息面上，2025年7月7日，中金公司研报指出非银金融领域有望受益于较高的市场活跃度；同日数据显 示，券商上半年股权承销规模达7628.36亿元（同比+402.91%），债券承销金额7.41万亿元（同比 +29.38%），头部券商市场份额集中度进一步提升。此外，非银金融行业数字化转型加速，人工智能、 区块链等技术在证券结算、保险合约等场景的应用显著提升效率，2023年金融科技渗透率达67%，预计 2030年将超85%。 证券ETF跟踪的是证券公司指数，该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，主要从沪深市场中选取业务范围涵 盖证券经纪、投资银行等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映证券行业相关上市公司证券的整体 表现。该指数成分股具有较高的行业集中度，是衡量证券市场表现的重要指标之一。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 平安证券指 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the application scenarios of stablecoins have expanded from cryptocurrency trading to multiple fields since the inception of USDT in 2014 [1] - Stablecoins have developed through several stages, including the launch of JPMCoin by JPMorgan in 2019 for institutional cross-border trade settlements, and the explosion of DeFi and the introduction of PayPalUSD in 2020 [1] - Currently, stablecoins have formed four main application scenarios: cryptocurrency trading, cross-border payments, consumer payments, and traditional capital markets [1] Group 2 - The future market size of stablecoins is expected to reach $3.5 trillion, based on neutral scenario calculations across four major scenarios [2] - In the cryptocurrency sector, with a 10% growth rate in the cryptocurrency market, stablecoins are projected to reach $36.33 billion by 2030, accounting for 8.22% of the market [2] - In cross-border payments, assuming stablecoins capture 20% of the market share, the demand will reach $29 trillion; for daily consumer payments, a 10% share would result in a demand of $12.16 billion; and for traditional capital markets, the demand for tokenization of assets is estimated at $13.33 billion [2]

消息面，6月上交所新开户人数同比高增，具体来看，6月上交所新开户165万户，同比+53%，环比 +6%，1~6月累计新开户1260万户，同比+33%。另外，6月市场交易活跃度回升明显，1~6月交易活跃度 同比高增、IPO同比增速改善、二季度债市转暖，叠加上半年港股市场交易活跃度和IPO同比高景气， 预计上市券商中报业绩延续高增。 通过并购重组，同一或相似股东下的资源整合有望提速，行业内上市公司盈利能力有望加速修复。而另 一方面，在大力建设金融强国之路上，通过并购重组等方式加快建设一流投资银行的政策支持是对证券 行业估值时不可忽视的长逻辑。 另外，香港推出《稳定币条例》，为稳定币建立全面监管标准。前期国泰君安国际控股有限公司获得虚 拟资产交易服务牌照，天风国际随后也获批虚拟资产交易牌照升级。近期已有多家企业表示将申请香港 稳定币牌照。虚拟资产交易牌照陆续获批表明监管对业务的许可和支持态度，后续牌照的发放和业务的 开展或将继续催化板块行情。 金融科技方面，海外Robinhood发行股票代币，正在引发一场从入口到支付、从清算到交割的全面金融 科技革命，股票代币交易量迅速放大进一步验证其深远影响。 民生证券表示，参考 ...

Group 1 - The non-bank financial sector is expected to benefit from higher market activity in Q2 2025, becoming one of the structural highlights [1] - The People's Bank of China has revised the rules for the RMB Cross-Border Payment System (CIPS), emphasizing foresight and flexibility to accommodate innovations like blockchain and digital currencies [1] - The central government is focusing on deepening financial openness and innovation in the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, including the development of offshore bonds and optimizing free trade account functions [1] Group 2 - The Securities ETF tracks a securities company index compiled by China Securities Index Co., which reflects the overall performance of listed companies related to the securities industry [2] - The constituent stocks of the index mainly consist of major domestic securities firms, indicating high industry concentration and market representation [2]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a peak near 3500 before retreating, closing at 3472.32, up 0.32% with a trading volume of 567.24 billion [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 10508.76, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.36% to 2156.23, with respective trading volumes of 861.32 billion and 420.45 billion [1] - Strong performances were noted in sectors such as gaming, financial services, semiconductor equipment, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while sectors like non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, and robotics saw declines [1] Technical Analysis - A clear "breakout-pullback-rally" pattern has emerged, indicating a strong market sentiment despite profit-taking pressures near previous highs [2] - The market's trading focus has shifted upward, supported by various key moving averages and critical levels, suggesting a continuation of the strong high-level consolidation [2] Economic Context - The easing of the US-China tariff dispute and the introduction of "anti-involution" policies signal a potential resolution to the "supply-demand mismatch" clouding the Chinese economy [4] - Recent meetings between US and Chinese officials have led to the resumption of exports of key products to China, indicating a positive shift in trade relations [4] Investment Strategy - A "dividend + growth" strategy is recommended, focusing on dividend-paying sectors and growth-oriented stocks that are expected to benefit from economic recovery and liquidity easing [5] - Investors are encouraged to consider sectors like coal and consumer goods, which are aligned with the dividend strategy, alongside growth sectors such as semiconductor equipment and innovative pharmaceuticals [5] Financial Sector Performance - The financial sector, particularly banks, securities, and insurance, has shown strong performance, with ETFs reflecting significant gains [6][9] - High dividend yields and a rebalancing of public fund allocations are driving interest in bank stocks, which currently have a yield exceeding 5% [6] - The ongoing consolidation in the securities industry, with major mergers and acquisitions, is enhancing market optimism and improving competitive dynamics [8] Gaming Industry Insights - The gaming sector is witnessing a dual development path focusing on "IP + quality," with successful titles boosting market sentiment [10][11] - The frequency of game license approvals has increased, providing a supportive environment for industry growth [11] - The integration of generative AI is expected to lower development costs and enhance profitability, further driving the sector's valuation [12]

通过并购重组，同一或相似股东下的资源整合有望提速，行业内上市公司盈利能力有望加速修复。而另 一方面，在大力建设金融强国之路上，通过并购重组等方式加快建设一流投资银行的政策支持是对证券 行业估值时不可忽视的长逻辑。 证券ETF（512880）跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，集齐A股各大龙头证券公司，有望一键捕捉A股向上 弹性，当前规模超300亿元位居同类第一，流动性占优。 金融ETF（510230）跟踪上证180金融股指数，根据申万二级行业分类，其中银行行业占比近60%，证 券行业占比近20%，保险行业占比近20%，为布局金融板块的优质标的。证券股可以助力其捕捉A股市 场的弹性，而银行占比较高又使得其能具备红利资产的属性，股息率高、抗跌属性明显。 值得关注的是，金融ETF（510230）也是中央汇金唯一持有的行业ETF，也意味着长钱投资对金融板块 的高度重视。 今日，上证指数涨近1%，剑指3500点。大金融领涨，券商、保险、金融科技集体拉升。牛市旗手—— 证券ETF（512880）涨1.5%，金融ETF（510230）涨超2%。 消息面上，商务部新闻发言人就美取消相关对华经贸限制措施情况答记者问称，中美伦敦经贸会谈后 ...

Market Performance - On June 25, A-shares saw a collective rise in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.03%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.72%, and the ChiNext Index up by 3.11% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1.6395 trillion yuan [1] - The Securities ETF (512880) experienced a three-day consecutive rise, surging by 5.37% on the same day [1] Reasons for the Rise - The recent surge in the stablecoin concept has catalyzed market activity [3] - Guotai Junan International Holdings received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its existing securities trading license to provide virtual asset trading services, leading to a 127% increase in its stock price [3] - The People's Bank of China and six other departments issued guidelines to support consumption, which includes 19 key measures aimed at enhancing consumer capacity and optimizing financial supply [4] Stablecoin Overview - Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency that is pegged to real assets, providing relative price stability compared to other cryptocurrencies [6][7] - The market for stablecoins has expanded significantly, growing from $5 billion in 2020 to $250 billion currently, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 100% [8] - Over 95% of stablecoins globally are dollar-pegged [8] Future Outlook - The long-term development direction of stablecoins is clear, potentially enhancing the valuation space for brokerage firms, although short-term gains may be driven by thematic speculation [9] - The Securities ETF (512880) has a scale exceeding 30.4 billion yuan, ranking first in its category, with a current price-to-book ratio of 1.41, indicating it is at a historically low valuation level [9]

Group 1 - Cathay Securities has received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its existing securities trading license to provide virtual asset trading services, allowing clients to trade cryptocurrencies and stablecoins directly on its platform [1] - The People's Bank of China and six other departments have jointly issued guidelines to support financial measures aimed at boosting and expanding consumption, enhancing the coordination of investment and financing in the capital market [1] - The securities ETF (512880) surged over 6% with a trading volume nearing 4 billion yuan, indicating strong market performance and positioning the securities sector as a "bull market flag bearer" [1] Group 2 - Since 2025, the brokerage sector has seen a solid foundation for performance with nearly 80% of brokerages reporting year-on-year revenue growth and nearly 90% reporting year-on-year net profit growth in the first quarter [1] - The securities sector is viewed as a market "barometer," with increased market activity and trading volume leading to heightened investor sentiment and subsequent growth in brokerage performance [1]

Group 1 - The securities sector has experienced a strong surge, with the securities ETF (512880) rising nearly 4% and current trading volume exceeding 30.4 billion, making it the largest in its category with superior liquidity [1] - On June 24, Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, a subsidiary of Guotai Haitong Group, received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its existing securities trading license to provide virtual asset trading services [1] - Following this license upgrade, clients will be able to trade cryptocurrencies (such as Bitcoin and Ethereum) and stablecoins (like Tether) directly on the Guotai Junan International platform, making it the first Chinese broker to offer comprehensive virtual asset trading services [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities noted that Hong Kong has a clear strategic determination to develop virtual assets, leveraging its mature financial infrastructure and international regulatory framework, leading to rapid growth in the virtual asset industry [1] - Traditional financial institutions are continuously strengthening their licensing and business layouts in response to this trend [1] - Investors interested in the current market can focus on the largest securities ETF (512880), and those without stock accounts can access investment opportunities through the linked fund (012363) [1]