Group 1 - The investment rating for the industry is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [4] - The report highlights that the IP toy industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with the market size reaching 1,742 billion RMB in 2024, and IP toys accounting for over 43% of this market [2][60] - The report emphasizes the strong financial performance of the company, with projected revenue of 630 million RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.7% [1][26] Group 2 - The report identifies three core competitive advantages of the company: IP resources, channel coverage, and supply chain efficiency [3][36] - The company has established a unique competitive advantage system in the IP derivative market, creating a complete business loop through self-owned and authorized IP operations [3][36] - The report notes that the company has successfully expanded its overseas market presence, with overseas revenue projected to reach 147.4 million RMB in 2024, a 152% increase year-on-year [1][15] Group 3 - The report discusses the "Guzi Economy," which refers to the economic activities surrounding secondary cultural products, indicating a broad growth potential in this sector [2][36] - The report forecasts that the overall market size for IP derivatives will exceed 3,357 billion RMB by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of over 14% from 2024 to 2029 [60][64] - The report highlights that the core consumer group for IP toys is primarily under 35 years old, showing a strong interest and emotional connection to IP content [64][68]

Core Insights - 52TOYS is positioned as a leading player in the IP toy market, leveraging its "IP Central" strategy and comprehensive industry chain layout to enhance its competitive advantage and market presence [1][19]. Group 1: Company Overview - 52TOYS was established in 2015 and has rapidly grown to become a significant player in the IP toy sector, with over 100 proprietary and licensed IPs by the end of 2024 [2][19]. - The company has achieved impressive revenue growth, with sales increasing from 463 million yuan in 2022 to 630 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.7% [2][27]. - The adjusted net profit turned from a loss in 2022 to a profit of 32.01 million yuan in 2024, indicating strong operational resilience [2][27]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global IP derivative market is valued at 1.4056 trillion yuan in 2024, with the IP toy segment accounting for 525.1 billion yuan, representing 37.4% of the total market [4][19]. - China's IP derivative market is growing rapidly, with a CAGR of 15.1% from 2020 to 2024, significantly outpacing the global growth rate of 8.3% [4][19]. - The Chinese IP toy market is projected to grow from 43.5 billion yuan in 2020 to 75.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 11.7% [4][19]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - 52TOYS employs an "IP Central" strategy that integrates IP-driven collaboration across departments, enhancing product design, content insight, and commercialization [6][19]. - The company operates a dual-driven model with both proprietary and licensed IPs, having 35 proprietary IPs and 80 licensed IPs by the end of 2024 [6][19]. - Product innovation is a key pillar of 52TOYS' strategy, with over 500 new SKUs launched annually across various categories, including static figures, movable toys, and mechanical toys [7][19]. Group 4: Distribution and Sales Channels - 52TOYS has established a comprehensive distribution network, combining online and offline channels, with over 400 distributors covering 20,000 retail points [8][19]. - The company has successfully expanded its overseas market presence, with international revenue growing from 35 million yuan in 2022 to 147 million yuan in 2024, achieving a CAGR of over 100% [9][19]. - The sales revenue from distributors accounted for 66.8% of total revenue in 2024, with online sales contributing 22.1% and offline sales 8.8% [39][19]. Group 5: Consumer Engagement and Community Building - 52TOYS has built a robust fan community with over 4.7 million registered members by the end of 2024, enhancing customer loyalty and engagement [10][19]. - The company is transitioning from a focus on single products to developing a content ecosystem around its IPs, which includes novels and comics to extend the lifecycle of its products [10][19].

Core Viewpoint - 52TOYS is projected to achieve a revenue of 630 million RMB and a net profit of approximately 30 million RMB in 2024, indicating growth in its financial performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 52TOYS from 2022 to 2024 is reported as 463 million RMB, 482 million RMB, and 630 million RMB respectively, while net losses are recorded at 1.71 million RMB, 71.93 million RMB, and 122 million RMB [2][3]. - Adjusted net profit (non-IFRS) shows a recovery from -56.75 million RMB in 2022 to 32.01 million RMB in 2024, reflecting a positive trend [4][12]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 is 39.9%, with a notable increase in gross profit from 133.65 million RMB in 2022 to 251.53 million RMB in 2024 [12][14]. Revenue Sources - The majority of 52TOYS' revenue comes from licensed IP, contributing 64.5% of total revenue in 2024, while self-owned IP sales are 1.54 billion RMB [6][10]. - The company has developed and operates 35 self-owned IPs, with significant contributions from popular IPs like Sleep and Beast Box [8][10]. Market Position - The IP derivative market in China is projected to grow from 174.2 billion RMB in 2024 to 335.7 billion RMB by 2029, with the IP toy market expected to reach 756 billion RMB in 2024 [6]. - 52TOYS ranks third among Chinese IP toy companies and second among multi-category IP toy companies based on GMV in 2024 [17]. Sales Channels - 52TOYS primarily relies on distributors for sales, with distributor sales accounting for 66.8% of total revenue in 2024, while direct sales contribute only 30.9% [15][16]. - The company has expanded its sales channels to Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, and North America, with domestic revenue making up 76.6% of total revenue in 2024 [17][18]. IP Licensing and Costs - 52TOYS has invested over 100 million RMB in licensing fees for IPs over the past three years, with significant upcoming expirations for major IPs like Disney and Crayon Shin-chan [10][13]. - The cost of goods sold for 52TOYS' products has been increasing, with a notable rise in costs associated with licensed IP [14].