这份充满火药味的预算案，更像是一份日本战后和平主义的"病危通知书"。它意味着日本正在系统性颠 覆"专守防卫"原则，架空"和平宪法"第九条的实质约束，加速向"能战国家"转型。近年来，日本不断推 动防卫费占GDP比重上调，其预算结构一个显著的特征是极具进攻性，新增资源集中投向远程打击能 力、海空力量强化、无人作战体系以及西南诸岛的前沿部署。这清楚表明，日本追求的早已不只是军费 规模的扩大，更是军事能力"质量层级"的整体跃升。 日本在军事领域的这种狂飙突进，本质上是对战后历史承诺与法理秩序的双重违背。《波茨坦公告》等 文件明确要求根除日本军国主义势力，"和平宪法"第九条更以法律形式规定日本永远放弃以战争或武力 威胁解决国际争端。然而，现实中的日本却是防卫费连年暴涨，进攻性武器不断列装，甚至谋求对他国 领土的打击能力和对战略前沿领域的控制权，和平承诺持续被掏空。一个在历史问题上从未彻底反省、 在现实政策中又不断突破自身承诺的国家，国际信誉何在？一个不断制造安全焦虑、借机扩充军备、挑 动地缘对抗的日本，究竟意欲何为？ 必须清醒看到，日本防卫政策的激进转向并非一时冲动，而是日本右翼势力精心谋划、步步为营的结 果。他们不断 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ukraine is actively negotiating with the U.S. for military equipment procurement, including long-range missiles, despite mixed signals from U.S. President Trump regarding support for Ukraine [2][3] Group 1: Military Procurement Negotiations - Ukraine's Ambassador to the U.S., Olha Stefanishyna, stated that discussions for military procurement are ongoing and involve multiple delegations working to secure funding for more military equipment from the U.S. [2] - The negotiations are not limited to Tomahawk missiles but also include various types of long-range and short-range missiles, with progress described as quite positive [2] Group 2: Diplomatic Relations - Stefanishyna's role includes easing tensions with Trump, who has previously criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky, labeling him as a "dictator" [2] - Following a difficult meeting with Trump, Zelensky has managed to improve relations over the past few months [2] Group 3: Military Strategy and Challenges - Zelensky is pushing for the procurement of Tomahawk and other long-range missiles to target deep Russian positions, although Trump has indicated that these missiles would only be effective if launched from the U.S. [3] - Stefanishyna acknowledged the challenging period for Ukraine due to repeated Russian attacks on energy infrastructure and emphasized the need for enhanced air defense capabilities [3] - She warned that any refusal to pressure Russia would be seen as a green light for them to escalate their military capabilities [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the controversy surrounding the U.S. government's stance on Ukraine's use of Western-supplied long-range missiles against Russia, highlighting President Trump's denial of a report by The Wall Street Journal regarding the approval of such actions [1][2]. Summary by Sections - **U.S. Government's Position** - President Trump labeled the report from The Wall Street Journal as "fake news," asserting that the U.S. is not involved in the use of long-range missiles by Ukraine, regardless of their origin or usage [1][2]. - **Reported Changes in Policy** - The Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. officials indicated the Trump administration had lifted a key restriction, allowing Ukraine to utilize certain long-range missiles provided by Western allies, which would enhance Ukraine's capability to strike targets within Russia [2].

Group 1 - The German Defense Minister Pistorius stated that Germany will make a final procurement decision only after the United States accepts their request [1] - Germany is seeking a transitional solution between the temporary deployment of U.S. long-range missiles and the independent development of its own long-range missiles [1]

Core Points - The article discusses an upcoming announcement by President Trump regarding a new military aid plan for Ukraine, which is expected to include offensive weapons [1][3] - This marks a significant shift in Trump's stance, as he previously stated that only defensive weapons would be provided to avoid escalating the conflict [1][3] Group 1 - The new military aid plan may include long-range missiles capable of striking targets within Russia, including Moscow, although final decisions are still unclear [3] - Senator Lindsey Graham indicated that Trump's announcement would be aggressive, reflecting his frustration with Putin [3] - The plan was proposed by Ukrainian President Zelensky at a NATO summit two weeks prior and will be announced during Trump's meeting with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg [3] Group 2 - Trump mentioned that the U.S. will provide Ukraine with Patriot air defense missile systems, with NATO covering the costs [3] - He emphasized the urgency of these military supplies for Ukraine and described the provision of advanced military equipment as a business transaction [3] - Specific details regarding the quantity of Patriot systems and which NATO members will fund them were not disclosed [3]

Core Viewpoint - Trump is set to announce a new military aid plan for Ukraine, which is expected to include offensive weapons, marking a significant shift from his previous stance of only providing defensive weapons [1] Group 1: Military Aid Plan - The new plan is anticipated to include long-range missiles capable of striking deep into Russian territory, including Moscow [1] - This decision follows a phone call from Putin on July 3, where he indicated plans to escalate the conflict, prompting Trump to reconsider his approach [1] - The initiative aligns with Ukrainian President Zelensky's proposal made at the NATO summit two weeks prior [1] Group 2: Implications for Conflict - U.S., Ukrainian, and European officials believe that the provision of offensive weapons could alter the trajectory of the conflict and influence Putin's considerations regarding a ceasefire [1]

Core Points - The first batch of long-range missiles funded by Germany will be delivered to Ukraine by the end of July [1] - The exact type and range of the missiles have not been specified, but the quantity will reach several hundred [1]

Group 1 - The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is reshaping the power dynamics in the Middle East, raising questions about the strategic capabilities of both nations [1] - Israel claims its attacks on Iran are acts of self-defense against an imminent nuclear threat, but lacks evidence to substantiate the urgency of this threat, which raises concerns about the erosion of international law [3] - Currently, Israel appears to hold the initiative in the conflict, having weakened Iran's defensive capabilities, but it faces limitations in achieving its military objectives regarding Iran's nuclear program [5] Group 2 - The confrontation between Iran and Israel has escalated qualitatively, with Iran claiming to possess hypersonic missiles that can evade advanced defense systems, indicating a significant enhancement in its military capabilities [7] - The potential for the conflict to escalate regionally is high, especially with the involvement of the U.S., which could lead to devastating attacks and impact global economic and energy markets if Iran responds aggressively [9]

Core Viewpoint - NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg emphasized the necessity for increased investment in air defense systems, long-range missiles, army formations, and command control systems, indicating that this will require substantial financial commitment [1] Investment Focus - The call for investment highlights the strategic importance of enhancing military capabilities in response to evolving security threats [1] - The emphasis on air defense systems and long-range missiles suggests a shift towards more advanced and capable military technologies [1] Financial Implications - The statement implies that member countries will need to allocate significant budgets to meet these defense requirements, which could impact national defense spending priorities [1] - The mention of "huge investments" indicates potential growth opportunities for defense contractors and related industries [1]

Group 1 - Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Germany is directly involved in the Ukraine conflict and is heading towards collapse, following German Chancellor Merz's comments on providing long-range missiles to Ukraine [1][3] - Merz announced that Germany has lifted all restrictions on the range of weapons supplied to Ukraine, allowing Ukrainian forces to strike deep into Russian territory [1][5] - Lavrov emphasized that providing long-range missiles or funding Ukraine's domestic production of such weapons escalates tensions and supports the war, marking Germany's direct involvement in the conflict [1] Group 2 - Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, warned that Russia may make "any decision" in response to Germany's involvement with long-range missiles targeting Russian territory [2] - Medvedev accused Germany of being a participant in the Ukraine conflict due to its equipment and experts' direct involvement in operations against Russia, labeling Germany as an enemy once again [3] - Medvedev sarcastically remarked on the historical connection of Chancellor Merz's relatives to the German military during World War II, suggesting a continuation of past hostilities [4]