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安井食品(603345):营收环比改善,利润略超预期
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Anjoy Foods [2][5]. Core Insights - Anjoy Foods reported a sequential improvement in revenue and a slight profit exceeding expectations, with Q3 2025 operating revenue at RMB 3.77 billion, up 6.6% YoY, and attributable net profit at RMB 270 million, up 11.8% YoY [3][11]. - The company completed the acquisition of a 70% stake in Jiangsu Dingweitai Food Co., Ltd., contributing an additional RMB 32.12 million in revenue from baked goods [3][11]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Anjoy achieved operating revenue of RMB 11.37 billion, a 2.7% increase YoY, while attributable net profit was RMB 950 million, down 9.4% YoY [3][11]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 15.82 billion, RMB 17.09 billion, and RMB 18.37 billion, representing YoY growth of 4.6%, 8.0%, and 7.5% respectively [5][14]. - Attributable net profit forecasts for the same years are RMB 1.43 billion, RMB 1.61 billion, and RMB 1.78 billion, with respective YoY growth rates of 9.1%, 9.4%, and 9.7% [5][14]. Product Performance - Frozen prepared products, noodle-based products, and ready-to-eat dishes generated revenues of RMB 1.91 billion (+6.4%), RMB 480 million (-9.1%), and RMB 1.23 billion (+8.8%) respectively [3][11]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 increased by 0.1 percentage points YoY to 20.0%, supported by stable growth in fresh-sealed products and a strong premium brand image [4][12]. Channel Performance - Revenue from distributor channels declined by 1% YoY, while supermarket channel revenue increased by 28% YoY, driven by customized product collaborations with major clients like Walmart [5][13]. - Special direct-sale channels saw a revenue surge of 68% YoY, primarily due to partnerships and the consolidation of Dingweitai's results [5][13]. Valuation - The current share price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 14.9x for 2025, with a target P/E of 18x for 2026, leading to a target price of RMB 98.89 [5][14].
安井食品(603345):2025 年三季报点评:利润端略超预期,新品新渠道进展顺利
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-29 05:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's profit slightly exceeded expectations, with new products and channels progressing smoothly [1] - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 11.37 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.95 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.3% [8] - The company has shifted from channel-driven to product-driven strategies, focusing on research and development innovation to reduce price competition [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 14,045 million, with a year-on-year growth of 15.29% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023A is projected at 1,478 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.24% [1] - The company expects a decline in net profit for 2025E to 1,395 million, a year-on-year decrease of 6.08% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 20.0%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points [8] - The company completed the acquisition of 70% of Jiangsu Dingweitai Food Co., adding 32.12 million in revenue from baked goods [8] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for total revenue from 2025 to 2027 is 15,767 million, 16,536 million, and 17,264 million respectively, with growth rates of 4.23%, 4.88%, and 4.40% [1] - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 to 2027 is 1,395 million, 1,594 million, and 1,742 million respectively, with growth rates of -6%, +14%, and +9% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2025E is projected at 4.18 [1]