2025年，供应链各个细分赛道在震荡中再度洗牌。成功者的路径或许相似，但失败的企业却各有各的不幸。 我们梳理了过去一年供应链企业的惨痛经历：有成立20多年的老牌企业，停工停产，创始人被现制高消费；有行业巨头，为了维持表面虚假繁荣而踩红 线，最终收到巨额罚款；还有曾经的赚钱"能手"被第二曲线拖累，苦苦挣扎。 在即将到来的2026年，面对这份来自前人的血泪教训，供应链企业也请自查、自检，莫要重蹈覆辙。 "水牛奶第一股"信披违规，收千万罚单 2025年3月，号称"水牛奶第一股"的皇氏集团收到一张巨额罚单，原因是连续多年在年报中隐瞒重大合同。依据证券法第一百九十七条第二款的规定，公 司及多位高管合计被罚1050万元。 一、对皇氏集团责令改正，给予警告，并处以400万元罚款； 四、对皇氏集团时任董事、副总裁兼皇氏数智法定代表人、执行董事、经理杨洪军给予警告，并处以150万元罚款； 五、对皇氏集团监事会主席石爱萍给予警告，并处以50万元罚款。 皇氏集团为何要隐瞒？业内人分析可能是担心这些重大承诺的披露会暴露其财务风险。 公开信息显示，皇氏集团成立于2001年，是一家以水牛奶特色乳品为核心、以光伏科技赋能乳业的综合性上市公 ...

中经记者 蒋政 北京报道 因为设备的原因，海欣食品已经先后两次将募投项目往后延期了。 12月16日，海欣食品公告称，同意将募投项目"水产品精深加工及速冻菜肴制品项目"达到预定可使用状 态的日期进行调整，由2025年12月延长至2026年6月。 而延期理由是："受部分关键设备（如新合作供应商供应的螺旋速冻库等）尚未完成安装及验收等因素 影响，本次募投项目建设进度较原计划出现延迟，未能按预定时间完成建设工作。" 公开资料显示，该募投项目为海欣食品在2023年的定增项目。彼时，该公司募资3.76亿元（募资净额 3.65亿元），用于"水产品精深加工及速冻菜肴制品项目"和"补充流动资金项目"。海欣食品方面在介绍 该募投项目时提到，公司拟购置斩拌机、绞肉机、成型机、切片机、旋转炒锅、托盘式包装机等先进设 备。 《中国经营报》记者注意到，截至目前，该项目计划投入募集资金3.65亿元，目前已经累计使用3.1亿 元。 事实上，这并非该项目首次延期。早在2024年11月，海欣食品就曾对其延期，理由同样与机器设备有 关。 海欣食品在当时的公告中表示，因公司整体产能建设规划，在项目建设过程中不断优化产品工艺技术、 提升生产技术水平， ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the stock price of Haixin Food is attributed to its entry into the high-end Sam's Club supermarket chain, which has significantly boosted its market visibility and investor interest [4][33]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Haixin Food experienced six consecutive trading days of price increases, achieving six limit-ups from November 26 to December 3, 2025 [2][28]. - The stock's rapid rise has drawn attention from institutional investors, leading to a research meeting with China International Capital Corporation (CICC) on December 2, 2025 [34]. Group 2: Business Developments - Haixin Food successfully entered the Sam's Club supply chain, which is known for its stringent quality requirements, enhancing the brand's reputation and pricing power [6][34]. - The company reported a revenue of 970 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 15.05%, and a net loss of 28.18 million yuan, down 17.94% year-on-year [12][38]. Group 3: Market Context - Sam's Club, a subsidiary of Walmart, has been expanding rapidly in China, with expectations to exceed 1.3 billion yuan in sales for 2025, significantly contributing to the overall performance of its suppliers [4][31]. - The membership base of Sam's Club in China has reached nearly 9 million, with a high retention rate of over 90%, indicating strong consumer loyalty and purchasing power [5][31]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The frozen food sector in China is highly competitive, with several players including Anjuke Food, Sanquan Food, and others, but Anjuke Food leads the market with a 6.6% share and revenue of 15.127 billion yuan in 2024 [40][41]. - Haixin Food's stock performance has been volatile, with a significant decline in value over the past few years, including a 30% drop in 2024 [20][47].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.14% [1] - The total trading volume exceeded 1.79 trillion yuan [1] Consumer Sector - The consumer sector experienced a late-afternoon surge, with Hai Xin Food (002702) hitting the daily limit and closing with over 170,000 buy orders [4][5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments released a plan to enhance the adaptability of supply and demand in consumer goods, aiming to boost consumption [4][7] CPO Concept Stocks - CPO (Co-packaged Optics) concept stocks continued to perform strongly, with Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) reaching a historical high and Yongding Co. (600105) hitting the daily limit [4][9] - Longguang Huaxin's stock surged by 20%, while Saiwei Electronics (300456) increased by over 16% [9] Healthcare Sector - Anti-influenza concept stocks were active, with Guangji Pharmaceutical (000952) achieving three consecutive limits and Peking University Medicine (000788) achieving two consecutive limits [4] Real Estate and Military Industry - The real estate sector saw a pullback, with China Wuyi (000797) dropping over 6% and Vanke A falling over 2% [4] - The military industry also faced a downturn, with Aerospace Development (000547) hitting the daily limit down [4] AI Industry Outlook - Alibaba's CEO indicated that the demand for GPUs is currently at full capacity, suggesting that an AI bubble is unlikely in the next three years [12] - Daitong Securities maintains an optimistic outlook on the AI industry, highlighting the growth potential driven by demand for computing power [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Li Qun Co., Ltd. (601366), has a diverse range of food products under development, showcasing its commitment to expanding its product portfolio in the food industry [1] Product Development - The company is currently developing over 500 food products, which include tofu products, fresh rice noodle products, frozen rice noodle products, baked bread, Chinese pastries, marinated cooked foods, pickled and prepared products, boxed meals, sushi, pre-prepared dishes, and sea cucumbers [1] - Li Qun Co., Ltd. owns several proprietary food brands, including Fu Xing, Mai Gu Qian Qian, Li Ke Mai, Zhen Zhen You, Xiang You, Qian Fu Zhen, Gu Ren Zhuang, and Fu Xing Aquatic Products [1]

Core Insights - The Chinese frozen food industry is undergoing a structural transformation while maintaining strong growth, driven by trends such as the "lazy economy," smaller family structures, increased restaurant chain rates, and the rise of prepared dishes [1] - The overall market size for frozen food (including B2B and B2C) is estimated to approach 600 billion RMB by 2024, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 8%-10% over the next five years [1] - Traditional frozen staple foods are stabilizing, while frozen hot pot ingredients and frozen dishes are emerging as key growth drivers, particularly in the context of cost reduction and convenience demands from both B2B and B2C sectors [1] Competitive Landscape - The industry exhibits a dual structure of "one strong leader and many strong players" alongside a "highly fragmented" market, with Anjuke Foods leading in market share due to its deep B2B channel presence and strong supply chain capabilities [2] - Sanquan Foods and Si Nian Foods hold traditional advantages in the B2C rice and noodle market while expanding into B2B and prepared dish sectors [2] - The overall market concentration (CR5) remains low, especially in the frozen dish segment, indicating significant potential for future industry consolidation [2] Challenges and Opportunities - Key challenges include high cold chain logistics costs, consumer perceptions of frozen food as "unhealthy," product homogeneity, and price wars [2] - Opportunities arise from the increasing standardization demand in B2B restaurant chains, consumer upgrades pushing for healthier and functional products, and the rise of new retail channels like O2O and community group buying reshaping distribution paths [2] Future Trends - The industry is expected to see four major trends: product structure becoming more premium and health-oriented, deep integration and explosive growth of prepared dishes from B2B to B2C, collaboration and refined division between B2B and B2C channels, and smart supply chain upgrades through automation and intelligent cold chain solutions [3] - Companies that successfully leverage the prepared dish opportunity, balance B2B and B2C development, and build efficient and flexible supply chains will thrive in this industry transformation [3]

Core Viewpoint - Anjiu Food's Q3 2025 financial results show stable revenue growth and a decline in net profit, with a positive outlook for future performance driven by new channels and product innovation [1][2][3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, and a net profit of 950 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.3% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.77 billion yuan, up 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 270 million yuan, up 11.8% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 20%, a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.0 percentage points [2] Product and Channel Strategy - The company is focusing on product innovation and optimizing its product structure to drive growth, particularly in the frozen food sector [3] - In Q3 2025, revenue growth by product category included frozen prepared foods (+6.4%), cooked dishes (+8.8%), and frozen rice and noodle products (-9.1%) [1] - The company is enhancing collaboration with major supermarkets and new retail channels, achieving significant growth in direct sales and e-commerce [1][3] Market Position and Future Outlook - As a leading player in the frozen food industry, the company has a strong ability to respond to market changes and leverage scale advantages [3] - The company expects performance to improve in Q4 2025, driven by seasonal demand and the introduction of new products [3] - Forecasts for net profit from 2025 to 2027 are 1.42 billion yuan, 1.57 billion yuan, and 1.71 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of -4.7%, +10.8%, and +9.1% [3]

Core Insights - The Chinese quick-frozen food industry is undergoing a structural transformation while maintaining continuous growth, with the market size approaching 600 billion RMB in 2024 and expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8%-10% over the next five years [1][13][15] - The industry is characterized by a clear differentiation in product categories, with traditional quick-frozen rice and noodle products stabilizing in growth but still holding nearly 50% market share in the consumer segment [1][14] - Quick-frozen hot pot ingredients are experiencing rapid growth driven by the booming hot pot industry, while quick-frozen dishes (the core form of prepared dishes) are emerging as a key growth driver due to demand for convenience and cost efficiency in both B2B and B2C segments [1][14] Market Size and Structure - The overall market size of the quick-frozen food industry in China was approximately 420 billion RMB in 2018, growing to over 550 billion RMB by 2023, with projections nearing 600 billion RMB in 2024 [33][34] - The market growth is driven by both B2B and B2C structural demands, with B2B demand for standardized products in the restaurant sector being particularly strong [33][38] - The consumer segment is increasingly focused on convenience, with trends such as the "lazy economy" and smaller household sizes driving demand for quick-frozen foods [33][38] Industry Chain Analysis - Upstream raw materials account for 60%-70% of total costs, making price fluctuations a direct influence on company profits [2] - Midstream processing relies on automation, fresh-lock technology, and nationwide capacity layout as core competitive advantages [2] - Downstream cold chain logistics face challenges such as high costs and uneven development, but are improving with policy support and the rise of third-party logistics [2] Competitive Landscape - The market exhibits a "one strong, many strong" and highly fragmented structure, with Anjuke Foods leading the B2B channel and brands like Sanquan and Si Nian dominating the C2C rice and noodle market [2][14] - Core competitive barriers are concentrated in supply chain efficiency, channel coverage, and brand R&D capabilities, with new entrants and cross-industry players enriching the competitive landscape [2][14] Consumer Behavior Insights - The primary consumer demographic includes Generation Z and young professionals, with 1-2 person households being the main consumption unit [2] - Consumer motivations have shifted from mere sustenance to convenience, quality, and situational needs, with health consciousness and ingredient quality becoming significant purchasing factors [2] - O2O instant retail and community group buying have emerged as mainstream purchasing channels [2] Future Development Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards four major trends: product structure high-end and health-oriented, deep integration of prepared dishes, B/C channel collaboration and differentiation, and intelligent supply chain upgrades [2][15] - Companies that can seize opportunities in prepared dishes, balance B/C development, and build efficient supply chains will gain advantages in the industry transformation [2][15]

Key Points - The report highlights a selection of stocks for November, including China Eastern Airlines, COSCO Shipping, and Ningde Times, indicating potential investment opportunities in these companies [1] - The report emphasizes the performance of China Petroleum, which reported a total revenue of 21,692.56 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.92%, while its net profit attributable to shareholders was 1,262.79 billion yuan, down 4.90% [8][9] - The report notes that the company has seen stable oil and gas production, accelerated development in renewable energy, and ongoing transformation in refining and chemical sectors, which enhances its competitive advantage across the entire industry chain [8][10] - For the food and beverage sector, Anjuke Food reported a revenue of 11.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while its net profit decreased by 9.3% [18][20] - The report indicates that Anjuke Food's third-quarter revenue reached 3.77 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.6%, driven by strong performance in new channels [18][19] - In the electric equipment sector, JinkoSolar reported a significant year-on-year loss expansion, with total revenue of 36.809 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 32.27% [14][15] - The report highlights that JinkoSolar's battery module shipment volume remained stable, with an increasing proportion of overseas shipments, indicating potential for recovery in profitability [14][15][16]

Core Viewpoint - Company reported a revenue of 11.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 950 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.3% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, and a net profit of 270 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.8% [1][2] - The revenue growth in Q3 2025 was supported by the performance of new channels and the contribution from the acquisition of Dingwei Tai [2] - The company’s gross margin in Q3 2025 was 20%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.0 percentage points [3] Group 2: Product and Channel Strategy - The company is focusing on product innovation and upgrading its product structure to meet consumer demands and adapt to channel changes [4] - In Q3 2025, revenue growth by product category included frozen prepared foods (+6.4%), cooked dishes (+8.8%), and frozen rice and noodle products (-9.1%) [2] - The company is enhancing collaboration with major supermarkets and new retail channels, focusing on customized products [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company expects performance to improve gradually in the fourth quarter, driven by seasonal demand and the introduction of new products [4] - The company maintains a strong market position and is well-equipped to respond to external changes, with anticipated net profits for 2025 to 2027 being 1.42 billion, 1.57 billion, and 1.71 billion yuan respectively [5]