经营调整阶段，积极调整应对 消费品/食品饮料 公司发布 2025 年半年报，公司Q2 收入/利润分别同比+5.7%/-22.7%，公司重 点发力商超定制化产品创新，全面拥抱大 B 特通客户和新零售客户，与沃尔玛、 麦德龙、大润发等商超开展定制化合作。展望 H2，加快新零售等新渠道导入， 预计动销较 6-7 月有所改善，利润端今年因促销加大、折旧成本增加及新车间 基础投入较高，盈利能力略有压力。我们预计 25-27 年归母净利润分别为 14.95 亿/17.05 亿/19.23 亿，25-27 年 EPS 为 4.49、5.12、5.77 元，对应 26 年 15x， 维持"增持"评级。 证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 26 日 安井食品（603345.SH） 当前股价：77.06 元 基础数据 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 2 -0 9 相对表现 -4 -10 -24 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Aug/24 Dec/24 Apr/25 Aug/25 (%) 安井食品 沪深300 增持（维持） 相关报告 1、《安井食品（603345）—经 ...

Core Viewpoint - The signing of the strategic cooperation agreement between Delisi and its partners aims to leverage each party's strengths in resources, management, talent, and market to create a mutually beneficial and sustainable partnership in the food processing industry [1][2][3] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation Agreement - Delisi has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Xiamen Haifusheng Food Group and New Sanhe (Yantai) Food Co., focusing on product supply, market expansion, technical collaboration, and the development of freeze-dried pet food [1][2] - The agreement emphasizes the establishment of a full-chain quality control system by Delisi, ensuring priority supply of fresh pork, beef, and related deep-processed products to its partners [2] - The parties will share resources and expertise to develop innovative and differentiated products, enhance product value, and expand market reach through joint marketing activities [2][3] Group 2: Industry Position and Capabilities - Delisi's main products include chilled meat, low-temperature meat products, prepared dishes, fermented meat products, frozen rice and noodle products, and ready-to-eat snacks [1] - Haifusheng and New Sanhe are leading domestic producers of freeze-dried foods, with advanced production facilities and strong R&D capabilities, collaborating with well-known food companies and exporting to various countries [1][2] - The cooperation is expected to enhance Delisi's product matrix, improve its competitiveness in the leisure and health food sectors, and strengthen its brand effect [3]

Core Viewpoint - Sanquan Foods, as a leading enterprise in the domestic frozen food industry, has significant growth potential due to its strong historical foundation, robust R&D capabilities, and diversified channel layout [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The frozen food market in China reached a scale of 168.9 billion yuan in 2022 and is expected to grow to 198.6 billion yuan by 2024 [1] - The market for frozen rice and noodle products, the largest category in the industry, is projected to be approximately 81.6 billion yuan in 2023, with Sanquan Foods, Si Nian, and Wan Zai Ma Tou forming a competitive triad [1] - The pre-prepared dish market is experiencing explosive growth, driven by the pandemic and the standardization of the restaurant industry, becoming a new growth driver for the sector [1] Group 2: Company Strategy - Sanquan Foods employs a dual-brand strategy with "Sanquan" and "Longfeng," focusing on the traditional frozen rice and noodle business while accelerating the layout of frozen cooked meat products as a second growth curve [2] - The company is enhancing its product matrix to meet diverse consumer needs through a strategy of large single products and scenario-based extensions in its traditional frozen rice and noodle business [2] - The company is also expanding its product offerings in frozen prepared foods, aligning with trends in the restaurant industry towards standardization and convenience [2] Group 3: Operational Excellence - Sanquan Foods operates a refined full-chain strategy for both B2B and B2C segments, combining distributor and direct sales models in retail, and offering customized services to bind large clients in the restaurant channel [3] - The company is actively expanding into e-commerce and new retail channels, enhancing market penetration and brand influence through collaborations with leading influencers and community group buying [3] - Continuous investment in R&D has led to the successful development of microwave and air fryer product lines, catering to consumer demands for convenience and health [3] Group 4: Financial Performance and Forecast - The company maintains a stable revenue structure with collaborative growth in frozen rice and noodle products and frozen prepared foods, despite intense market competition [3] - Revenue projections for Sanquan Foods are estimated at 6.874 billion yuan, 7.204 billion yuan, and 7.625 billion yuan for the years 2025-2027, with net profits of 558 million yuan, 601 million yuan, and 649 million yuan respectively [4] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratios are forecasted to be 17.88, 16.59, and 15.38 for the same period, indicating a valuation below the average of comparable companies [4]

Core Viewpoint - Anjiu Food is seeking to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to raise funds for international expansion, as domestic growth in the frozen food market slows down [2][8]. Group 1: Company Overview - Anjiu Food is the leading company in China's frozen prepared food market, holding a market share of 13.8% as of 2024 [2]. - The company reported a revenue of 121.06 billion yuan in 2022, with projections of 139.65 billion yuan in 2023 and 150.30 billion yuan in 2024 [3]. - Anjiu Food has over 500 SKUs across three product lines: frozen prepared foods, frozen dishes, and frozen rice and noodle products [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Anjiu Food's revenue was 36.00 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.13% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.95 billion yuan, down 10.01% [6]. - The gross margin for the prepared dishes segment was significantly lower than that of frozen prepared foods, with margins of 9.9%, 10.8%, and 11.1% from 2022 to 2024 [6]. - The average selling price of prepared dishes declined from 20,300 yuan per ton in 2022 to 17,600 yuan in 2024, attributed to increased competition in the market [6]. Group 3: Market Strategy - Anjiu Food aims to expand its international market presence, with plans to use funds from the IPO for enhancing sales networks and supply chain systems [8]. - The company has established a production base in Vietnam to penetrate Southeast Asian markets, with overseas revenue projected at 1.67 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 1.1% of total revenue [8]. - The company has faced challenges with its prepared dishes segment, which has seen a decline in performance, but experts believe there is still potential for growth in this market [7][9]. Group 4: Industry Insights - The frozen food market in China is experiencing a slowdown, prompting companies like Anjiu Food to seek growth opportunities abroad [2][8]. - Industry experts emphasize the importance of having a strong domestic foundation before pursuing international expansion, highlighting the need for strategic and tactical planning [9].

Core Insights - The frozen food industry in 2024 is experiencing widespread revenue declines and losses, with only a few companies showing growth [2][3] - Despite the challenges, there are still positive factors within the industry, such as the rise of new retail channels and group meal services [14] Revenue and Profit Trends - Among 28 listed companies, only 8 achieved both revenue and net profit growth in 2024 [3] - In the frozen food sector, only three companies—Anjuke Foods, Lihigh Foods, and Babi Foods—reported growth in both revenue and net profit [5][6] - The meat and seafood sector showed better performance, with 13 out of 18 companies reporting net profit growth, driven by lower raw material prices [7][8] Company Performance - Anjuke Foods led the frozen food sector with revenue of 151.27 billion, a 7.70% increase, and a net profit of 14.85 billion, up 0.46% [4] - In the meat sector, Muyuan Foods reported revenue of 1379.47 billion, a 24.43% increase, and a net profit of 178.81 billion, up 519.42% [5] - Lihigh Foods achieved a remarkable net profit growth of 266.94% despite a revenue increase of 9.61% [4][5] Channel Dynamics - Traditional supermarkets are struggling, with several companies reporting declines in revenue from this channel [15] - New retail channels are thriving, with Anjuke Foods generating 5.82 billion from new retail partnerships, a 32.97% increase [15][18] - Group meal services are becoming a significant growth area, with companies like Babi Foods generating 3.8 billion from this channel, a 19.47% increase [22][24] Product Category Insights - The frozen vegetable and dish segment is experiencing growth, with Anjuke Foods reporting 43.49 billion in revenue from this category, a 10.76% increase [25] - The frozen rice and noodle category is showing signs of maturity, with revenue declines reported by major players like Sanquan Foods and Anjuke Foods [30][32] Market Outlook - The overall growth rate of the frozen food industry is slowing, with many leading companies seeing growth rates below 10% [29][33] - Despite the challenges, 21 out of 28 listed companies managed to achieve profitability, indicating resilience in the face of uncertainty [33]

2025 年 5 月 7 日 公司研究 经营韧性依旧，关注大单品表现 ——安井食品（603345.SH）2024 年年报及 25 年一季报点评 要点 事件：安井食品发布 2024年年报及2025年一季报，公司24年实现总营收151.27 亿元、同比增加 7.7%，归母净利润 14.85 亿元、同比略增 0.46%，扣非归母净 利润 13.6 亿元、同比略下滑 0.45%。25Q1 总营收 36.0 亿元、同比下滑 4.13%， 归母净利润 3.95 亿元、同比下滑 10.0%，扣非归母净利润 3.43 亿元、同比下滑 18.3%。公司公告拟每股派发现金红利 1.015 元（含税），24 年度累计分红（包 含回购）总额 10.4 亿元、分红率达到 70%。 24 年主业保持经营韧性。1）24 年速冻调制/速冻菜肴/速冻米面制品/农副产品 营收 78.4/43.5/24.7/4.5 亿元，同比+11.4%/+10.8%/-3.1%/-11.7%，速冻调制 食品保持稳健增长，估计锁鲜装收入保持较高增长。速冻菜肴制品收入亦有双位 数增长，估计小酥肉等单品增速较快。速冻米面制品收入同比下滑，估计与相应 渠道消费疲软、竞 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Views - The company demonstrated operational resilience in 2024, with total revenue reaching 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, and a slight increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.485 billion yuan, up 0.46% year-on-year [1]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.015 yuan per share for 2024, with a total dividend payout of 1.04 billion yuan, achieving a dividend rate of 70% [1]. - The company is focusing on its major product strategy and plans to actively launch new products and embrace new retail channels in 2025, anticipating positive results [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, revenue from frozen prepared foods, frozen dishes, frozen rice and noodle products, and agricultural products was 7.84 billion, 4.35 billion, 2.47 billion, and 0.45 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +11.4%, +10.8%, -3.1%, and -11.7% [2]. - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 3.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.13%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 395 million yuan, down 10.0% year-on-year [1][3]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 23.3% and 23.32% respectively, with a notable decline in Q1 2025 due to increased promotional efforts amid intensified competition [4]. - The report indicates that the company has managed to control selling expenses, with selling expense ratios of 6.52% in 2024 and 6.73% in Q1 2025 [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders has been adjusted downwards for 2025 and 2026 to 1.604 billion and 1.769 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a 13% reduction from previous estimates [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 14, 13, and 12 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will outperform the market benchmark by 5% to 15% over the next 6 to 12 months [6][14]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 6.632 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 542 million yuan, down 27.64% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a total revenue of 2.218 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.58% year-on-year, with a net profit of 209 million yuan, down 9.22% year-on-year [1][4]. - The traditional rice and noodle product segment faced revenue pressure in 2024, while the B-end market showed relative strength. The retail market (C-end) was weak, with revenue down 8.10%, while the catering market (B-end) saw a slight increase of 1.06% [2]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 24.22%, down 1.62 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to intense price competition in the industry. The net profit margin for 2024 was 8.18%, down 2.44 percentage points year-on-year [3][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 6.632 billion yuan, a decrease of 6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 542 million yuan, down 27.64% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 showed a total revenue of 2.218 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.58% year-on-year, with a net profit of 209 million yuan, down 9.22% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3 yuan per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 48.64% [1]. Market Segmentation - In 2024, revenue from the retail market was 5.119 billion yuan, down 8.10%, while the catering market generated 1.445 billion yuan, up 1.06%. The B-end market showed stronger performance, particularly among large clients [2]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 was 24.22%, down from the previous year, while the net profit margin was 8.18%, reflecting the impact of competitive pricing strategies [3][12]. - The company’s operating expenses increased, with a sales expense ratio of 12.88% in 2024, up from the previous year, primarily due to increased promotional costs [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been revised down to 567 million yuan and 605 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 35.0% and 37.4% from previous estimates. The report anticipates an EPS of 0.65 yuan for 2025 and 0.69 yuan for 2026 [4][5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 18 for 2025, indicating a valuation that reflects the company's expected earnings growth [4][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Anjoy Food, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [10]. Core Views - Anjoy Food's revenue for 2024 reached 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.485 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.46% [4]. - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability due to demand disturbances, with a forecasted decline in net profit for Q1 2025 [4][8]. - The company has a diverse product matrix, with significant contributions from frozen prepared foods and a notable decline in revenue from casual snacks due to structural adjustments in its subsidiary [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profitability: - 2024 revenue: 15.127 billion yuan, up 7.7% YoY - 2024 net profit: 1.485 billion yuan, up 0.5% YoY - 2025 projected net profit: 1.580 billion yuan, up 6.4% YoY [6][8]. - Margins: - Gross margin for 2024 was 23.3%, a slight increase of 0.09 percentage points YoY - Net margin for 2024 was 10.01%, a decrease of 0.68 percentage points YoY [7]. - Revenue by Product: - Frozen prepared foods: 7.839 billion yuan, up 11.41% YoY - Frozen dishes: 4.349 billion yuan, up 10.76% YoY - Frozen noodles and rice products: 2.465 billion yuan, down 3.14% YoY - Casual snacks: 0.9497 million yuan, down 80.44% YoY [7]. - Revenue by Channel: - Distributor channel: 12.382 billion yuan, up 8.91% YoY - New retail channel: 0.582 billion yuan, up 32.97% YoY - E-commerce channel: 0.313 billion yuan, down 2.29% YoY [7]. Regional Performance Summary - Revenue by Region: - East China: 6.480 billion yuan, up 6.36% YoY - North China: 2.217 billion yuan, up 5.36% YoY - Central China: 1.928 billion yuan, up 7.44% YoY - Northeast: 1.296 billion yuan, up 7.01% YoY - South China: 1.265 billion yuan, up 9.12% YoY - Overseas: 0.168 billion yuan, up 30.76% YoY [8]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.580 billion yuan in 2025, 1.732 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.892 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 5.39, 5.91, and 6.45 yuan [6][8]. - The P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 14.6 in 2024 to 11.4 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation attractiveness [6][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates resilience as a market leader, with steady progress expected in 2025 [1] - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 15.13 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.7% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to be 1.485 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.46% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights that the hot pot ingredient products show better performance than the industry average, with a revenue of 7.84 billion yuan in 2024, up 11% year-on-year [7] - The company’s profit margins remain stable despite pressures from raw material costs and promotions [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 15.13 billion yuan in 2024 to 18.22 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.01% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from 1.625 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.96 billion yuan in 2027, representing a CAGR of about 7% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 5.54 yuan in 2025 to 6.68 yuan in 2027 [1][8] Financial Ratios - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 13.30 in 2025 to 11.03 in 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [1][8] - The gross margin for 2024 is estimated at 23.3%, with a slight decline expected in subsequent years [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to improve from 12.02% in 2025 to 13.23% in 2027 [8]