Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong Q3 performance with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by new vehicle launches and an accelerating transition to electric vehicles [1][3][4] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 89.2 billion yuan, up 27% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter; net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.8 billion yuan, up 59% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter [1] - For the first three quarters, total revenue was 239.5 billion yuan, a 26% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 13.1 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1% year-on-year [1] Sales and Margins - Q3 sales reached a record high of 760,000 new vehicles, representing a 43% increase year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The gross margin for Q3 was 17%, with an increase of 1.0 percentage point year-on-year and a decrease of 0.5 percentage point quarter-on-quarter [2] - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 117,000 yuan, up 4% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter [2] New Energy Transition - In Q3, new energy vehicles accounted for 58% of total sales, with 440,000 units sold, a 15% increase quarter-on-quarter [3] - The company plans to expand its overseas market presence in 2026, including acquiring a stake in Renault Brazil and establishing a factory in Malaysia [3] Product Launches - The launch of the Zeekr 9X and Galaxy M9 models in Q3 was successful, with significant pre-orders indicating strong market demand [4] - The company aims to continue its high-end product strategy with upcoming models like the Galaxy Battleship series [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2026-2027 has been adjusted upwards, with net profit estimates of 17.8 billion yuan for 2026 [4] - The company is valued at 13x PE for 2026, with a target price set at 27.07 HKD [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 29.65 [7][12]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 revenue of RMB 72.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.7 billion, up 264% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the new car cycle driven by the GEA platform, with strong sales of new models like the Xingyao 8, which is projected to sell over 8,000 units monthly [4][12]. - The proposed privatization of Zeekr by Geely aims to enhance internal integration and reduce inefficiencies, potentially increasing group efficiency by over 5% and improving R&D and management efficiency by 15-20% [3][12]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold 700,000 new vehicles, a 48% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.8%, reflecting improvements in cost management [2][5]. - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 344.4 billion, RMB 370.8 billion, and RMB 422.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of RMB 13.8 billion, RMB 15.5 billion, and RMB 19.4 billion for the same years [6][12]. - The report indicates an expected EPS of RMB 1.37, RMB 1.53, and RMB 1.92 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected PE ratio of 20x for 2025 [5][12]. Market Outlook - The company is set to launch several new models, including the Lynk & Co Z10 and Zeekr 9X, which are anticipated to enhance revenue and profitability [4][12]. - The report highlights the importance of the GEA platform in driving profitability and operational efficiency, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's future performance [3][12].