摘要 吉利汽车 2025 年上半年销量达 141 万辆，二季度经营性利润约 31 亿 人民币，上半年累计约 66 亿人民币，符合市场预期。 吉利汽车上调全年销量预期至 300 万辆，预计全年经营性利润可达 140 亿人民币，主要受益于下半年新车型发布及高端化产品放量。 吉利燃油车在萎缩市场中逆势增长，出口预计达 45 万辆，俄罗斯市场 占比约 20%，受益于购置税政策，预计未来保持增长。 银河系列产品表现良好，银河 M9 订单超预期，心愿车型销量稳定，星 耀 8 以 A 级价格定位 B 级插混车型，月销破万。 吉利发布多款高端 SUV，包括银河 M9、领克 900 和极氪 9X，分别定 位于不同价格带，明确大六座 SUV 市场策略。 吉利整合极氪和领克，通过流程、采购、研发融合控本降费，极氪一季 度扭亏为盈，计划 9 月将极氪并入上市公司主体。 极氪品牌 001 和 007 销量稳定，9X 预计 8 月底预售，全年预计销量接 近 30 万辆；领克品牌将推出 EMP 中大型轿车领克 10 及纯电产品 Z10 和 Z20。 吉利汽车 20250824 Q&A 吉利汽车在当前行业变革期的表现如何？ 吉利汽车在当前行 ...

智通财经记者 | 周姝祺 极氪距离回归吉利汽车再进一步。 日前，在吉利汽车中期业绩报告披露会上，吉利汽车控股有限公司行政总裁桂生悦接受智通财经等媒体 表示，在9月吉利汽车股东大会和极氪科技股东大会都通过要约收购协议后，极氪即与吉利汽车完成法 律上合并，整体交割工作预计在年底前完成。 一个月前，吉利汽车（HK：0175）与极氪（NYSE：ZK）正式签署合并协议，吉利汽车将收购其尚未 持有的全部极氪股份（34.3%），极氪股东可选择以现金或置换吉利汽车股份作为对价。合并完成后， 极氪将成为吉利汽车的全资附属公司，并于纽交所退市。 吉利汽车对极氪的正式购买价为每股2.687美元或每股美国存托股票26.87美元。如果采用全现金方式回 收股份，将占用吉利汽车现金流达到24亿美元（约合人民币172.44亿元）。 桂生悦透露，多数极氪投资者选择换股，转而持有合并后吉利汽车的股票。以目前吉利汽车现金储备量 计算，足以支付这笔收购费用。根据吉利汽车中期业绩报数据，该公司总现金水平为588亿元。 极氪整合回归吉利汽车，服务于吉利控股集团于去年制定的"一个吉利"战略计划。这是吉利汽车时隔10 年再度提出内部品牌和资源协同整合，旨在 ...

Core Insights - Geely Automobile reported a record revenue of 150.285 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a 27% year-on-year increase [1][5] - The company sold 1.4092 million vehicles in the first half of 2025, a significant 47% increase compared to the previous year, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 725,200 units, up 126% [1][4] - Geely has raised its annual sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million vehicles, reflecting confidence in future performance [1][6] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 was 9.29 billion yuan, a 14% decline year-on-year; however, the core net profit, excluding foreign exchange losses, was approximately 6.66 billion yuan, representing a 102% increase [1][5] - The company had cash reserves of approximately 58.8 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025, a notable increase from 46.6 billion yuan at the end of 2024 [1][8] Sales and Market Position - In the Chinese market, Geely's vehicle sales reached 1.2251 million units, a 62% increase year-on-year, capturing an 11.2% market share, making it the second-largest domestic brand [4][5] - The company's new energy vehicle sales in China accounted for 684,700 units, representing 55.9% of its total sales in the region, surpassing the national penetration rate of 50.4% for new energy vehicles [4][5] Research and Development - Geely's R&D expenditure for the first half of 2025 was 7.328 billion yuan, a 21% increase compared to the previous year [1][8] - The company has been rapidly increasing its R&D investments over the past few years, with expenditures rising from 5.518 billion yuan in 2021 to 10.419 billion yuan in 2024 [8] Strategic Initiatives - Geely plans to launch four new models in the second half of 2025 and is expanding into ten new overseas markets, including Brazil and the UK [6][7] - The company aims to enhance its global strategy through the establishment of five regional centers and is focused on technological innovation and product upgrades, avoiding price wars [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in revenue but a decline in net profit, indicating a mixed financial outlook for the year [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 150.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14% [1] - The core net profit attributable to shareholders reached 6.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 102% [1] - The company’s average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 95,500 yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year, while the gross margin was 16.4%, a decline of 0.3 percentage points [2] - The company’s net profit per vehicle was 4,724 yuan, an increase of 37% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Sales and Market Performance - The company’s sales volume for the first half of 2025 reached 1.503 million units, with a target increase to 3 million units for the full year [1][2] - The sales of fuel vehicles grew to 684,000 units, while pure electric vehicle sales reached 511,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 173% [2] - The company’s export sales in the first half of 2025 were 184,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 8% [1] Group 3: Product Development and Strategy - The company plans to enhance its product offerings by organizing into five major battle zones and customizing products by region [1] - The launch of multiple "9" series models aims to penetrate the high-end market, with the Lynk & Co 900 model showing promising sales [3] - The company’s upcoming models, including the Zeekr 9X and Galaxy M9, are expected to improve brand recognition in high-end intelligent driving solutions [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 15.96 billion yuan, 16.70 billion yuan, and 19.76 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating despite the competitive challenges it faces in the market [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience high growth driven by the release of potential new vehicles and strategic integration, which will facilitate profit release from the second half of 2025 onwards [6][7]. - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards to 156.6 billion, 179.7 billion, and 215.7 billion RMB, respectively, corresponding to EPS of 1.7, 1.9, and 2.2 RMB [6]. - The company has raised its annual sales target for 2025 to 3 million vehicles, supported by the platform-based cost advantages and the launch of several new models [7]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 179.204 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 21.1%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach 330.103 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 37.4% [7]. - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 5.308 billion RMB, with a significant increase of 213.3% in 2024, followed by a slight decrease of 5.9% in 2025 [7]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 15.3% in 2023 to 17.1% by 2027, while the net margin is projected to rise from 3.0% to 5.4% over the same period [7].

Investment Rating - Maintain OUTPERFORM rating with a target price of HK$27.45 [2][4][12] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue growth of 27% YoY in H1 2025, reaching Rmb150.28 billion, slightly above market expectations, with vehicle sales increasing by 47% YoY to 1.409 million units, resulting in a market share of 10.4% [5][13] - The company aims to narrow the market share gap with the industry leader to less than 4% and ultimately overtake them [5][13] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was reported at 16.4%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points YoY [5][13] - The net cash position stood at Rmb38.91 billion, indicating a strong liquidity position [5][13] Financial Performance - The reported net profit attributable to shareholders was Rmb9.29 billion, down 14% YoY, but core net profit surged 102% YoY to Rmb6.66 billion [5][14] - Selling and administrative expenses (SG&A) saw a significant reduction, with the selling expense ratio at 5.6% and administrative expense ratio at 1.9%, reflecting improved efficiency from brand integration [5][14] - R&D spending decreased by 8.6% YoY to Rmb8.35 billion, with the R&D-to-revenue ratio at 5.6% [5][14] Strategic Developments - The merger with Zeekr is on track, pending shareholder approvals, aiming to streamline operations and enhance efficiency [6][15] - Post-merger, the company will focus on four distinct brands: Geely Auto, Geely Galaxy, Zeekr, and Lynk & Co, with a strategy to accelerate new model launches in H2 2025 [6][15] - The company emphasizes a shift towards fair and high-quality growth in the automotive market, moving away from price wars [6][15] Product Pipeline - Key new launches in H2 2025 include: 1. Galaxy A7, launched in August, targeting the Rmb100k PHEV sedan segment [7][16] 2. Galaxy M9, a flagship PHEV SUV expected in Q3 [7][16] 3. Galaxy Xingyao 6, a compact PHEV sedan launching in Q4 [7][16] 4. Zeekr 9X, set to launch in Q3 as a new tech flagship [7][16]

Core Viewpoint - Geely is positioned to challenge BYD's dominance in the NEV market, with expectations of revenue growth and improved profitability driven by domestic market share expansion and overseas growth initiatives [1][10]. Financial Performance - In 2Q25, Geely's revenue grew by 7.3% QoQ to RMB77.8 billion, while core net profit slightly decreased to RMB3.2 billion from RMB3.5 billion in 1Q25 [1][2]. - The gross margin improved by 1.3 percentage points QoQ to 17.1%, although it eroded by 0.7 percentage points YoY due to lower sales from higher-margin exports and increased marketing expenses [2][6]. - The company maintains a 2025 net profit forecast of RMB15 billion and raises the 2026 forecast by 13% to RMB20 billion, reflecting higher volume assumptions and positive margin outlook [1][6]. Market Strategy - Geely's management has outlined a comprehensive global expansion strategy, restructuring operations into five regional hubs to enhance local expertise while maintaining global coordination [3]. - The company aims to increase its domestic market share, having secured 11.44% of the NEV market in 1H25, and plans to launch several new models to fill product gaps in cost-sensitive segments [3][7]. - Geely's dual-track export strategy will include both ICE and NEV models, with a forecasted 50% YoY increase in overseas volume to 600,000 units in 2026 [8]. Technological Advancements - A major integration of Geely's intelligent driving units has been executed, consolidating teams to enhance technological capabilities and streamline resources [4][5]. - This consolidation is expected to reinforce Geely's leadership in autonomous driving technology and innovation [5]. Valuation - Geely's shares are currently trading at a significant discount, with a P/E ratio of 12x for 2025E and 9x for 2026E, compared to BYD's 18-20x [9]. - The target price has been raised to HK$32.00 based on a 15x 2026E P/E multiple, reflecting confidence in Geely's potential to close the valuation gap with BYD [10].

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated strong performance in 1H25, with total revenue increasing by 26.5% year-on-year to 150.28 billion yuan, driven by rapid growth in vehicle sales and internal efficiency improvements [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for 1H25 reached 150.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.5% [1] - Gross margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 16.4% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 13.9% to 9.29 billion yuan, while core net profit increased by 102% to 6.66 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Sales Growth - Total vehicle sales in 1H25 rose by 47.4% to 1.409 million units, with new energy vehicle sales increasing by 126.5% to 725,000 units, accounting for 51.5% of total sales [1] - Specific brand performances included Galaxy sales up by 232%, Zeekr by 3%, and Lynk & Co by 22% [1] Group 3: Cost Efficiency - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expense ratio decreased by 1.7 percentage points to 7.5% [1] - Sales expense ratio and administrative expense ratio decreased by 1.1 percentage points and 0.7 percentage points to 5.6% and 1.9%, respectively [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company expects sales growth to continue in 2H25 with new models like Galaxy A7, Galaxy M9, and Lynk & Co 10EM-P ramping up production [2] - The annual sales target has been raised by 11% to 3 million units, with 47% achieved in 1H25 [2] - Integration of Lynk & Co and Zeekr is expected to enhance internal resource optimization and efficiency [2] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its "One Geely" strategy, with plans to complete the acquisition of Zeekr by the end of 2025 for approximately 2.4 billion USD [3] - Globalization efforts are underway, with a focus on expanding overseas markets despite a 7.7% decline in export sales in 1H25 [3] - The smart driving business has been integrated into a joint venture, which is expected to accelerate the production and iteration of smart driving solutions [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of 77.79 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.4% and 7.3% respectively, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.62 billion yuan, showing a decline of 60.0% year-on-year and 36.2% quarter-on-quarter, indicating overall performance in line with expectations [1] Group 1: Revenue and Sales Performance - The company achieved total sales of 705,000 units in Q2, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 46.9% and a slight quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.2% [1] - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 110,000 yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 12.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.1%, primarily due to price competition and an increase in the sales proportion of lower-priced models [1] - The company expects ASP to improve with the upcoming launch of higher-priced models such as the Zeekr 9X in the second half of the year [1] Group 2: Profitability and Margins - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 17.1%, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 1.3 percentage points, attributed to economies of scale and enhanced profitability of new energy products [1] - The overall profit per vehicle was 4,500 yuan (excluding foreign exchange and subsidiary sales impacts), showing significant year-on-year improvement of 64.59% [2] Group 3: Expenses and Other Income - The expense ratios for sales, R&D, and administrative costs in Q2 were 6.1%, 5.1%, and 3.7% respectively, with year-on-year changes of -0.1, -0.4, and +1.0 percentage points, and quarter-on-quarter changes of +1.1, +0.6, and +1.8 percentage points [2] - Other income for Q2 was 1.17 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 156.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 67.5%, including foreign exchange gains of approximately 450 million yuan [2] Group 4: Future Outlook and Profit Forecast - The company plans to launch several new energy models by the end of the year, including the Galaxy M9 and Zeekr 9X, contributing to an upward revision of the annual sales target to 3 million units [3] - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 15 billion, 22.1 billion, and 29.5 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 12, 8, and 6 times, maintaining a "buy" rating for the company [3]

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of the company meets expectations, with strong resilience in various segments despite losses in the Zeekr brand [2] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company sold 704,000 new vehicles, with revenue reaching 77.79 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.5% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 17.1%, with a net profit of 3.16 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 74.7% [1] - For the first half of 2025, total vehicle sales reached 1.408 million, with revenue of 150.285 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.5% [1] Cost and Expenses - The sales, administrative, and R&D expense ratios for Q2 2025 were 6.1%, 1.9%, and 5.1%, respectively, indicating a slight increase in sales and R&D expenses [1] - The company faced increased R&D expenses due to new vehicle development, contributing to losses in the Zeekr segment [2] Segment Performance - The Zeekr brand reported a loss of 580 million yuan in Q2, primarily due to changes in vehicle model sales and high R&D costs [2] - Other segments, particularly the Galaxy series, showed strong performance with a net profit of 3,300 yuan per vehicle, indicating resilience amid price competition [2] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its future operations, driven by a strong new vehicle cycle and low-cost production strategies [3] - Upcoming models, including the Galaxy M9 and Zeekr 9X, are expected to enhance the company's market position [3] - The company maintains profit expectations of 16.6 billion yuan, 19.68 billion yuan, and 24 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3]