Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant transformation in the small city car market, driven by the increasing dominance of the middle-aged demographic, leading to a decline in traditional models like the Lavida, Sylphy, and Haval H6, while brands like BYD emerge as major beneficiaries [1][8][19] - From 2017 to 2024, the market share of traditional economy models dropped from 63.52% to 41.22%, while the market share of mainstream quality and high-end models increased from 15.96% to 20.92% and from 3.13% to 8.20%, respectively [1][8] - In 2024, BYD's market share in the small city car market surged to 16.43%, surpassing Volkswagen's 10.82%, with BYD occupying 7 out of the top 20 models [8][19] Group 2 - The small city car market is experiencing a shift towards upgraded, energy-efficient, and practical vehicles, with 14 out of the top 20 models in 2024 being launched after 2020, including popular electric and hybrid models [2][8] - The competition in the small city car market is intensifying, with brands like Geely aiming to challenge BYD's leadership by launching new models that emphasize cost-effectiveness and meet the evolving consumer demands [7][8] - The rise of the small city car market is attributed to government subsidies and the return of younger and older demographics to small cities, which has led to a diversification of consumer needs and preferences [17][19]

Summary of Geely Automobile Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Geely Automobile - **Period**: First half of 2025 Key Points Sales and Financial Performance - Geely's sales reached **1.41 million vehicles** in the first half of 2025, with **operating profit** of approximately **3.1 billion RMB** in Q2 and a total of **6.6 billion RMB** for the first half, meeting market expectations [2][13] - The company raised its full-year sales forecast to **3 million vehicles**, expecting an operating profit of **14 billion RMB**, driven by new model launches and high-end product releases in the second half [2][14] Market Position and Growth - Despite a shrinking market for fuel vehicles, Geely achieved growth, becoming the top-selling brand in the domestic fuel vehicle segment, with exports expected to reach **450,000 vehicles**, 20% of which are to the Russian market [2][4] - The Galaxy series products, particularly the Galaxy M9, exceeded expectations with over **40,000 orders** in 24 hours, indicating strong market acceptance of high-end products [3][9] Product Strategy and New Releases - Geely launched several high-end SUVs, including the Galaxy M9, Lynk & Co 900, and Zeekr 9X, targeting different price segments [2][9] - The company plans to integrate Zeekr and Lynk & Co to streamline costs, with Zeekr achieving profitability in Q1 2025 [2][10] Sales Performance of Key Models - The Wish model saw sales rise to **40,000 units** in June 2025, while the Galaxy E5 maintained monthly sales of **13,000 to 15,000 units** [8] - The Starry 8, a B-class plug-in hybrid positioned at A-class pricing, achieved monthly sales exceeding **10,000 units** [8] Resource Integration and Cost Management - Geely's integration of Zeekr and Lynk & Co has led to cost reductions through streamlined processes and procurement [10] - The company plans to fully incorporate Zeekr into the listed entity by September 2025 to further reduce costs [10] Electric Vehicle Progress - In Q1 2025, Geely sold **340,000** new energy vehicles, with **240,000** being pure electric and **100,000** plug-in hybrids; Q2 sales increased to **386,000** [12] - The Galaxy series accounted for **40%** of total sales in Q2, with five new models expected to launch this year [12] Future Outlook - Geely anticipates launching over five new Galaxy series models in 2026, aiming for annual sales exceeding **1 million vehicles** [15] - The company is positioned for growth in electric, high-end, and global markets, with a favorable long-term outlook [15] Valuation - Based on the forecasted operating profit of **14 billion RMB**, Geely's current valuation is approximately **12 times** this figure, with positive market sentiment regarding its future performance [16]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in revenue but a decline in net profit, indicating a mixed financial outlook for the year [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 150.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14% [1] - The core net profit attributable to shareholders reached 6.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 102% [1] - The company’s average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 95,500 yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year, while the gross margin was 16.4%, a decline of 0.3 percentage points [2] - The company’s net profit per vehicle was 4,724 yuan, an increase of 37% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Sales and Market Performance - The company’s sales volume for the first half of 2025 reached 1.503 million units, with a target increase to 3 million units for the full year [1][2] - The sales of fuel vehicles grew to 684,000 units, while pure electric vehicle sales reached 511,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 173% [2] - The company’s export sales in the first half of 2025 were 184,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 8% [1] Group 3: Product Development and Strategy - The company plans to enhance its product offerings by organizing into five major battle zones and customizing products by region [1] - The launch of multiple "9" series models aims to penetrate the high-end market, with the Lynk & Co 900 model showing promising sales [3] - The company’s upcoming models, including the Zeekr 9X and Galaxy M9, are expected to improve brand recognition in high-end intelligent driving solutions [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 15.96 billion yuan, 16.70 billion yuan, and 19.76 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating despite the competitive challenges it faces in the market [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that Geely's sales market share is expected to continue increasing, with total sales in July reaching 237,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 57.7% and a month-on-month increase of 0.7% [1] - In July, Geely's new energy vehicle sales reached 130,100 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 120.4% and a month-on-month growth of 6.3% [1] - For the first seven months of the year, Geely's total sales amounted to 1,646,900 units, a year-on-year increase of 48.8%, achieving 55% of the annual sales target of 3 million units by July [1] Group 2 - Geely Galaxy's sales performance is strong, with July sales of 95,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 469.0% and a month-on-month increase of 5.3% [2] - The Geely China Star model sold 98,500 units in July, with high-end series sales reaching 29,800 units, indicating strong market recognition for the Galaxy brand [2] - The Galaxy A7, equipped with advanced technology, is set to launch on August 8, which is expected to enhance the brand's presence in the mid-sized sedan market [2] Group 3 - Zeekr brand sales in July reached 17,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 8.4% and a month-on-month increase of 1.6% [3] - Lynk & Co brand sales in July were 27,200 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 27.9% and a month-on-month increase of 3.4% [3] - The Zeekr 9X, a luxury full-size SUV, is expected to set a benchmark in the plug-in hybrid luxury SUV market, following significant marketing reforms aimed at improving sales and profitability [3] Group 4 - The forecast for EPS from 2025 to 2027 is 1.50, 1.76, and 2.13 yuan respectively, maintaining a target price of 22.50 yuan (or 24.70 HKD) based on a PE ratio of 15 times [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile [4][7] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from marketing reforms and new vehicle launches, which will enhance sales market share [2][11] - The forecasted EPS for 2025-2027 is 1.50, 1.76, and 2.13 RMB respectively, with a target price set at 22.50 RMB or 24.70 HKD [4][7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are 179,204 million, 240,194 million, 319,444 million, 381,363 million, and 442,685 million RMB, reflecting growth rates of 21.1%, 34.0%, 33.0%, 19.4%, and 16.1% respectively [6][12] - Operating profit is expected to grow from 3,806 million RMB in 2023A to 20,314 million RMB in 2027E, with a significant increase of 100.8% in 2024A [6][12] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 5,308 million RMB in 2023A, increasing to 21,451 million RMB by 2027E, with a notable growth of 213.3% in 2024A [6][12] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 15.3% in 2023A to 16.7% in 2027E, while the net margin is projected to stabilize around 4.7% to 4.8% during the same period [6][12] Market Position and Sales Performance - In July, Geely's total sales reached 237,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 57.7%, with new energy vehicle sales growing by 120.4% [11] - The company's market share is expected to continue rising, with a reported market share of approximately 11% in the first half of 2025, an increase of nearly 3 percentage points year-on-year [11] - The Galaxy series is showing strong sales performance, with July sales of 95,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 469.0% [11]

Group 1 - The company sold 236,000 vehicles in June, representing a year-over-year increase of 42.1% [1] - For the first half of the year, the company achieved total vehicle sales of 1.41 million, a year-over-year increase of 47.4% [2] - The company raised its annual sales target to 3 million vehicles, which is a 38% increase compared to the previous year [1][2] Group 2 - The company held a technology launch event for the Zeekr 9X on July 9, introducing the world's first full-stack 900V high-voltage hybrid architecture, SEA-S [1][3] - The Zeekr 9X is expected to start pre-sales at the end of August and is positioned as the brand's flagship hybrid model [3] - The Zeekr 9X features a maximum engine power of 205 kW and a thermal efficiency exceeding 46%, with a 20%-80% battery recharge time of only 9 minutes [3] Group 3 - The company expects to see significant profit growth, with net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 projected at 13.84 billion, 17.9 billion, and 22.3 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-over-year increases of 47%, 30%, and 24% [1][3] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 11, 8.6, and 7 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a recommendation to "buy" [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates that Geely Automobile (00175) is expected to raise its annual sales target due to the launch of significant new models from Galaxy, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr in the second half of the year, which could act as a catalyst for the stock price [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In May, Geely's total wholesale volume reached 235,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 46.4% and a month-on-month increase of 0.5%, setting a historical record [2] - The cumulative wholesale volume from January to May was 1.17 million units, up 49% year-on-year, achieving approximately 43% of the annual sales target of 2.71 million units, with potential for exceeding the target [2] - In May, the wholesale volume of new energy vehicles (NEVs) was 138,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 178% and a month-on-month increase of 9.9%, significantly outpacing the industry growth [2] - NEVs accounted for 58.7% of total sales in May, up 22.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Cumulative NEV wholesale from January to May reached 602,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 137%, representing 51% of total sales [2] - The high-end fuel vehicle, China Star, saw sales of 87,000 units in May, with the high-end series achieving a year-on-year growth of 21% [2] Group 2: Product Launches and Innovations - The company plans to launch multiple significant new models in the second half of the year, including the Galaxy A7 mid-size sedan and a rugged SUV, enhancing its product matrix [3] - The high-end flagship SUV Lynk & Co 900 had nearly 5,600 units delivered in May, with a strong order backlog, and the Lynk & Co hybrid Z10 is set to launch in the second half [3] - Zeekr's new model 007GT is performing well, with additional luxury SUVs set to launch in Q3 and Q4 [3] - The fuel vehicle Star series is leveraging the new energy platform for shared benefits, with the Star Yue L model performing well since its March launch [3] Group 3: International Expansion - The company is accelerating its overseas layout, with the first EX5 produced at the Indonesian KD factory and plans for a light asset model in Latin America and Central Asia [3] - The Galaxy E5 and Star Wish are set to enter multiple markets in the second quarter, with an acceleration of overseas expansion planned for the second half of the year [3]

Group 1 - Chery Group's new energy vehicle sales in May reached 63,169 units, with iCAR brand sales at 5,899 units and Zhijie brand sales at 5,000 units [2][4][6] - Chery is expected to be the top exporter of Chinese automobiles by 2025, leveraging a diverse range of technologies including pure electric, hybrid, and hydrogen energy to compete in the market [4] - The new Geely Galaxy A7, a B-class plug-in hybrid sedan, was officially unveiled on June 3, featuring a wheelbase of 2,845mm and a comprehensive range of over 2,100 km [5][8] Group 2 - NIO reported its Q1 financial results with revenue of 12.03 billion yuan, a gross margin of 10.2%, and vehicle deliveries of 42,094 units, marking a year-on-year growth of over 40% [9][10] - The second quarter delivery guidance for NIO is set between 72,000 to 75,000 units, indicating a strong confidence in the brand's performance and upcoming models [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 72.495 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.672 billion yuan, up 263.6% year-on-year [3][6] - The "One Geely" plan is progressing smoothly, with significant growth in the Galaxy brand's sales contributing to overall revenue growth [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 179.846 billion yuan - 2024A: 240.194 billion yuan - 2025E: 318.690 billion yuan - 2026E: 383.448 billion yuan - 2027E: 430.228 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 21%, 34%, 33%, 20%, and 12% respectively [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as: - 2023A: 5.166 billion yuan - 2024A: 16.632 billion yuan - 2025E: 13.385 billion yuan - 2026E: 16.763 billion yuan - 2027E: 19.556 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 1%, 222%, -20%, 25%, and 17% respectively [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023A: 0.51 yuan - 2024A: 1.65 yuan - 2025E: 1.33 yuan - 2026E: 1.66 yuan - 2027E: 1.94 yuan [2] Sales and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 15.78%, an increase of 0.15 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio decreased by 2.61 percentage points to approximately 11.55% [6] - The Galaxy brand's sales reached 260,000 units in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 574.1% [6] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is actively pursuing the privatization of Zeekr to enhance operational efficiency and cost reduction [6] - Upcoming model launches, such as the Lynk 900 and Starry 8, are expected to contribute positively to sales in Q2 2025 [6] - The company maintains a positive outlook on revenue and profit growth, with projected revenues of 318.69 billion yuan, 383.45 billion yuan, and 430.23 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 29.65 [7][12]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 revenue of RMB 72.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.7 billion, up 264% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the new car cycle driven by the GEA platform, with strong sales of new models like the Xingyao 8, which is projected to sell over 8,000 units monthly [4][12]. - The proposed privatization of Zeekr by Geely aims to enhance internal integration and reduce inefficiencies, potentially increasing group efficiency by over 5% and improving R&D and management efficiency by 15-20% [3][12]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold 700,000 new vehicles, a 48% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.8%, reflecting improvements in cost management [2][5]. - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 344.4 billion, RMB 370.8 billion, and RMB 422.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of RMB 13.8 billion, RMB 15.5 billion, and RMB 19.4 billion for the same years [6][12]. - The report indicates an expected EPS of RMB 1.37, RMB 1.53, and RMB 1.92 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected PE ratio of 20x for 2025 [5][12]. Market Outlook - The company is set to launch several new models, including the Lynk & Co Z10 and Zeekr 9X, which are anticipated to enhance revenue and profitability [4][12]. - The report highlights the importance of the GEA platform in driving profitability and operational efficiency, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's future performance [3][12].