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金价再创历史新高!花旗此前神预测!中国央行连续9个月增持黄金,有色龙头ETF(159876)逆市涨超1%
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-08 02:56
Group 1: Gold Market Insights - COMEX gold prices reached a new high of $3534.1 per ounce as of August 8, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions [1] - China's central bank reported a gold reserve of 73.96 million ounces as of the end of July, marking a 6,000-ounce increase from June, continuing a nine-month trend of gold accumulation [1] - Citigroup, previously known for its bearish stance on gold, has shifted to a bullish outlook, predicting that gold prices may rise due to a weakening dollar and ongoing inflation concerns related to tariffs [1] Group 2: Rare Earth Market Dynamics - China's rare earth exports in July totaled 5,994.3 tons, a 23% decrease from the previous month, ending a record high trend [1] - Pacific Securities highlighted China's leading position in the rare earth industry, both in scale and technology, and its international pricing power [1] - The demand for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets is expected to grow significantly, driven by advancements in humanoid robots and electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) technologies [1] Group 3: Non-Ferrous Metals Sector Outlook - The non-ferrous metals sector is projected to benefit from U.S. interest rate cuts and a weakening dollar, with copper prices expected to rise due to constrained supply and resilient demand [4] - As of July 31, 2023, the non-ferrous metals sector has seen a cumulative increase of 24.91% year-to-date, making it the top-performing sector among 31 major industries [5] - The sector is also experiencing a valuation recovery, with the average price-to-book ratio at 2.36, indicating a historically low valuation level [5] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Non-Ferrous Metals - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to introduce a growth stabilization plan for key industries, including non-ferrous metals, which is seen as a continuation of supply-side reforms [5] - Among 60 listed companies in the non-ferrous metals index, 22 have forecasted profit growth for the first half of 2025, showcasing operational resilience [5] - The non-ferrous metals index includes a diversified portfolio with significant weightings in copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, which helps mitigate investment risks [7]
研报掘金丨华源证券:首予中国稀土“增持”评级,资源冶炼协同布局成长可期
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-05 09:30
华源证券研报指出,中国稀土为中稀集团核心上市平台,资源冶炼协同布局成长可期。2024年公司稀土 矿产量2384吨REO,仅占集团指标2.93%。中稀集团2022年承诺五年内通过委托管理、资产重组、股权 置换/转让、业务调整等方式解决同业竞争问题。依托中国稀土集团丰富的稀土矿山及冶炼分离资源, 公司未来成长可期。公司兼具周期与成长属性,高性能稀土永磁需求持续扩张。高性能稀土永磁为伺服 电机核心材料,下游应用涵盖消费电子、变频空调、节能电梯、工业机器人、风电、新能源汽车等。根 据测算,预计2024-2027年全球高性能稀土永磁市场需求对应10.3/11.4/12.9/14.2万吨,3年CAGR达 11%。其中,新能源汽车需求占比不断提升成为主要驱动力,风电需求有望筑底复苏,工业及人形机器 人潜在需求有望迎来增长期。选取北方稀土、广晟有色作为可比公司,作为国内中重稀土龙头和中稀集 团核心上市平台,公司资源冶炼协同布局成长可期。首次覆盖,给予"增持"评级。 ...
太平洋证券:我国稀土规模和技术均全球领先 看好产业链在需求增长和涨价带动下投资机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 07:48
Group 1 - China holds the largest rare earth resources globally, with reserves of 44 million tons, accounting for 38% of the world's total [1] - The Chinese government has implemented a quota management system for rare earth exports, with a total quota of 270,000 tons for 2024, including a 6.36% year-on-year increase in light rare earths [1] - Significant progress has been made in overseas rare earth mining, with Myanmar and Thailand producing substantial amounts of rare earth products [1] Group 2 - China leads the world in rare earth permanent magnet technology and production, with the highest sales volume globally [2] - The demand for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets is increasing, driven by sectors such as electric vehicles and consumer electronics [2] - Future developments in humanoid robots and eVTOL (electric vertical takeoff and landing) vehicles are expected to significantly boost the demand for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets [2]