来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 异动分析 金属铅+黄金概念+金属铜+人民币贬值受益+稀土永磁 11月26日，赤峰黄金涨0.20%，成交额8.97亿元，换手率1.75%，总市值584.00亿元。 1、根据2024年半年报，公司旗下天宝山锌铅铜钼多金属矿主要产品包括锌精粉、铅精粉（含银）、铜 精粉（含银）和钼精粉。其对外销售的定价一般以精矿中所含的金属的市场价格为基准确定。主要是以 上海有色网1#锌锭的价格、1#铅现货的价格，上海期货交易所铜即期合约结算价为基准价，并根据精粉 产品中实际金属含量，综合考虑运输费、检斤费等因素确定结算价格；产品销售主要是通过预收货款的 方式进行，产品销售对象为长期合作的下游大型冶炼企业。 2、公司的主营业务是黄金、有色金属采选业务。公司的主要产品为黄金、电解铜等贵金属、有色金 属。 3、公司位于老挝的万象矿业目前主要从事铜矿开采和冶炼。 4、根据2024年年报，公司海外营收占比为69.11%，受益于人民币贬值。 5、2024年3月8日互动易：公司与厦门钨业合作，共同在老挝推动稀土资源开发。近日通过控股子公司 收购的"老挝川圹省勐康稀土矿"项目，估算矿种为花岗岩风化壳离子吸附稀土矿，矿区 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, Jinlong Rare Earth, has been listed on the National Equities Exchange and Quotations, planning to implement a targeted stock issuance scheme to raise funds for working capital [1] Group 1: Stock Issuance Details - Jinlong Rare Earth plans to issue up to 26.68 million ordinary shares at a price of 1.50 RMB per share, based on the audited net asset value for the year 2024 [1] - The expected total amount to be raised is not more than 40.02 million RMB [1] - All shareholders of Jinlong Rare Earth will subscribe to the new shares according to their respective shareholding ratios [1] Group 2: Subscription Amounts - The company and related parties, including Yekong Fund, Chuanghe Xincai, and Jiatai Green Energy, plan to subscribe amounts of 26.09 million RMB, 2.20 million RMB, 0.80 million RMB, and 0.80 million RMB respectively [1]

证券日报网讯盛和资源（600392）11月17日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司以稀土生产加工为 业务重心，将持续聚焦并做强做优主业。 ...

证券日报网讯盛和资源（600392）11月17日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，今年前三季度受市场供 需格局变化等因素影响，稀土主要产品市场需求整体向好、产品价格同比上涨。公司紧抓市场机遇，优 化产品生产及市场营销，加强管理赋能及成本管控，经营业绩与去年同期相比取得大幅度增长。 ...

长安鑫禧混合A（005477）成立日期2018年2月7日，最新规模6439.17万。今年以来收益22.68%，同类 排名3940/8213；近一年收益6.82%，同类排名6305/8130；成立以来亏损55.22%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，长安基金旗下1只基金重仓盛新锂能。长安鑫禧混合A（005477）三季度减持69万股，持有 股数66.29万股，占基金净值比例为4.81%，位居第三大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约131.25万 元。 11月17日，盛新锂能涨6.06%，截至发稿，报34.64元/股，成交1.44亿元，换手率0.48%，总市值317.06 亿元。 资料显示，盛新锂能集团股份有限公司位于广东省深圳市福田区皇岗路5001号深业上城(南区)T1栋56 楼，成立日期2001年12月29日，上市日期2008年5月23日，公司主营业务涉及中纤板、林木的生产与销 售;稀土产品、氯化锂、电池级单水氢氧化锂、电池级碳酸锂的生产销售等新能源、新材料领域。主营 业务收入构成为：新能源100.00%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shenghe Resources achieved a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 748.07% for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 788 million yuan [1] - The rise in rare earth product prices has driven strong performance, and the company's global resource layout enhances upstream resource security [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 411 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 154.48% [1] - The company's PE valuations based on the latest stock price are 46.30, 43.54, and 40.30 times for the respective periods [1] Resource Development - The Tajiri project has a resource volume of 268 million tons and is expected to commence production by the end of the year [1] - Progress on the Madagascar heavy sand mine is proceeding smoothly [1] Business Strategy - Zircon products are widely used in military and high-end manufacturing sectors, while titanium resources hold strategic value [1] - The company is forming a dual-line collaborative development pattern between rare earth and zircon-titanium businesses [1] Industry Outlook - The complete rare earth industry chain combines overseas high-quality resources with domestic quality industries, ensuring global resource layout and long-term supply security [1] - With the increase in production and stabilization of rare earth prices, the company's performance is expected to continue growing [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Shengxin Lithium Energy has seen a significant increase in its stock price, rising by 5.2% to 28.72 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 26.287 billion CNY and a trading volume of 1.115 billion CNY [1] - Shengxin Lithium Energy has experienced a continuous stock price increase for three consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of 3.98% during this period [1] - The company specializes in the production and sales of new energy and materials, with its main business revenue entirely derived from the new energy sector [1] Group 2 - Chang'an Fund has a significant holding in Shengxin Lithium Energy, with its Chang'an Xinxin Mixed A fund reducing its holdings by 690,000 shares in the third quarter, now holding 662,900 shares, which accounts for 4.81% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has realized a floating profit of approximately 941,300 CNY today, with a floating profit of 629,800 CNY during the three-day stock price increase [2] - Chang'an Xinxin Mixed A fund has a total scale of 64.3917 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 21.64% [2]

Core Viewpoint - China's export control on rare earths has become a significant tool in the ongoing US-China rivalry, marking a shift from passive to active defense strategies [1] Group 1: Export Control and Economic Warfare - The recent export control measures on rare earths are seen as a direct response to aggressive US policies, including the "50% ownership penetration" rule and exorbitant fees for Chinese ships entering US ports [1] - The "long-arm jurisdiction" policy not only restricts the export of raw materials but also applies to processed rare earth products that utilize Chinese technology, effectively controlling global supply chains [1] Group 2: Dependency on Chinese Supply Chains - The US estimates that it will take at least seven to eight years to completely eliminate dependence on Chinese rare earths, requiring hundreds of billions in federal investment annually [4] - Key industries such as lithium batteries, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals are heavily reliant on Chinese materials, with over 70% of basic pharmaceutical raw materials sourced from China [7][8] Group 3: Challenges in Alternative Supply Chains - The US attempts to build alternative supply chains for rare earths face significant challenges, particularly in refining capabilities, where China holds a monopoly on advanced processing techniques [1][4] - The semiconductor industry is also at risk, with China capturing 31% of the market share in mature processes, and US manufacturers relying on Chinese firms for critical components [5] Group 4: Broader Implications of the US-China Rivalry - The geopolitical landscape is shifting, with the potential for resource management strategies extending beyond rare earths to include nickel, cobalt, and lithium [10] - The competition is not just about technology but also about systemic resilience, with China demonstrating a strong ability to adapt and innovate under pressure [15]

Core Insights - The unexpected "counteraction" from China has emerged as the U.S. attempts to impose extreme pressure on its economy, leading to a stronger China instead of a weakened one [1][4] - The current state of U.S.-China economic relations has evolved beyond mere confrontation, resembling a "boomerang" effect where pressure applied by one side ultimately rebounds back to the initiator [1][4] Group 1: Economic Impact - The extreme pressure from both sides has triggered unforeseen counteractions in economic, technological, and strategic dimensions, forcing a reevaluation of mutual interests [1][4] - The initial U.S. tariffs, intended to harm China, have instead resulted in significant domestic inflation in the U.S., affecting ordinary citizens and farmers [8][12] - Despite the intense conflict, trade volumes between the U.S. and China have not significantly declined, indicating a tightly interwoven supply chain that is difficult to decouple [8][12] Group 2: Technological Dynamics - The U.S. shifted from blunt tariffs to more precise measures like technology restrictions, targeting Chinese companies in critical sectors such as semiconductors [10][12] - China's response included anti-dumping investigations on U.S. chips and export controls on strategic products like rare earths and lithium batteries, which are vital for U.S. industries [12][14] - The U.S. technology blockade inadvertently catalyzed China's innovation in semiconductors and new materials, transforming external pressure into internal motivation for growth [13][14] Group 3: Strategic Reassessment - The ongoing technological battle has altered the nature of the competition, prompting both nations to reassess their strategic positions and recognize the futility of zero-sum games [14][19] - Negotiation has become crucial as both sides acknowledge the need for dialogue to align with realistic interests, especially amid global economic challenges [16][19] - The U.S. continues to engage in tactical maneuvers during negotiations, attempting to leverage additional pressure while China balances its strategic responses with cooperative signals [17][19] Group 4: Future Outlook - The persistent "counteraction" has led to a mutual understanding of interdependence, suggesting that future economic relations will focus on mutual benefits rather than outright conflict [19][21] - The true victor in this ongoing competition will be the party that effectively understands and navigates the "counteraction" dynamics, avoiding a scenario where both sides suffer [21]

Report Information - Report Title: Financial Futures Weekly Report [1] - Date: November 7, 2025 [2] - Researcher: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - For the stock index, in the long - term, the upward trend remains unchanged due to the easing external environment and new policy expectations from the 15th Five - Year Plan. In the short - term, the index may oscillate around the key pressure level of 4000 points on the Shanghai Composite Index. A dumbbell strategy with balanced allocation of CSI 300 and CSI 500 is recommended [13]. - For treasury bonds, the negative factors in the bond market have basically been released, and November is a stage of accumulating positive factors. Although there are some uncertain disturbances, the overall bond market environment has improved. It is recommended to seize allocation opportunities when there is market over - adjustment [87]. - For shipping indexes, although the actual demand may not support large price increases, the freight rate is likely to form an upward trend, and the bottom may have been reached. It is recommended to maintain the idea of buying on dips for the December contract [108]. Summary by Section Stock Index Market Review - The A - share market has shown a pattern of "short - term correction followed by strong performance, and rebound after a sharp decline due to external shocks" since the beginning of the year. From November 3 - 7, the A - share market rose with reduced volume. The Wind All - A index rose 0.62%, and large - cap blue - chip stocks performed better. Futures were weaker than the spot index [7][8]. - Looking ahead, concerns about liquidity in the US market and high expectations for Sino - US tariff negotiations have led to a weakening market after the positive news was released. Domestically, the economic fundamentals in September faced more pressure, and the export data in October showed a downward trend. Although the margin trading balance provided support, the participation of retail investors was not high. The overall A - share trading volume returned to 2 trillion yuan, and its sustainable growth needs attention [12][13]. 成交持仓分析 - Stock index trading volume decreased. The average daily trading volumes of IF, IH, IC, and IM decreased by 1.13, 0.71, 0.79, and 0.46 million lots respectively compared with last week. The positions showed a differentiated trend. IF and IM positions increased, while IH and IC positions decreased [14]. 基差、跨期价差及跨品种价差分析 - The basis showed a differentiated trend. The basis of CSI 300 and CSI 500 widened, while that of SSE 50 changed from premium to discount, and the basis of CSI 1000 narrowed. The annualized basis rate of each index decreased. The spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IF, IC, and IM widened, while that of IH narrowed. The spread between the current - quarter and current - month contracts of all varieties widened. Large - cap blue - chip stocks performed relatively better [16][26][32]. Industry Sector Overview - In the CSI 300, the energy, industrial, and financial sectors led the gains, while the pharmaceutical, optional consumer, and information sectors led the losses. In the CSI 500, the energy, public utilities, and industrial sectors led the gains, while the real estate, pharmaceutical, and information sectors led the losses. Among the first - level industries, the power equipment, coal, and petroleum and petrochemical sectors led the gains, while the beauty care, computer, and pharmaceutical biology sectors led the losses [33][35]. Valuation Comparison - As of November 7, the rolling price - to - earnings ratios of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 were 14.3295, 11.9766, 33.464, and 47.8124 times respectively, and they were at the 88.07%, 91.32%, 79.72%, and 77.08% percentile levels in the past decade [38]. Treasury Bonds This Week's Market Review - **Treasury Bond Futures Market**: The central bank's bond - buying was slightly lower than expected, and the warming of the A - share market suppressed the bond market. The performance of long - term futures was slightly stronger than that of spot bonds, while the opposite was true for short - term bonds. There is a certain positive arbitrage space for each variety's main contract, and there is a large reverse arbitrage space for non - CTD bonds of 30 - year, 10 - year, and 2 - year main contracts. The basis of the 10 - year main contract is slightly high and has the motivation to converge. The spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts is expected to continue to narrow during the position - shifting process. A flattening strategy is recommended [42][44][51]. - **Bond Spot Market**: Most of the spot yields of treasury bonds increased this week, with a larger increase at the short end. The yield of US Treasury bonds first decreased and then increased [65]. - **Funding Situation**: At the beginning of the month, there was a net withdrawal of funds. The central bank conducted an equal - amount renewal of the 3 - month outright reverse repurchase due this month. The overall funding situation was stable, and there was no liquidity stratification between banks and non - banks [70]. - **Interest Rate Derivatives**: The yields of interest rate swap varieties increased slightly this week, and the liquidity expectation was stable [85]. Market Analysis - The bond market stabilized and strengthened in October. Currently, the economic fundamentals still face pressure, and the market's expectation of monetary easing may rise again. The restart of treasury bond trading has brought direct buying demand to the bond market, and the impact of wide - credit expectations on the bond market should be limited. Although there are some uncertain disturbances, the bond market environment has improved [87]. Next Week's Open - Market Maturities and Important Economic Calendar - There are a total of 783 billion yuan of reverse repurchases due next week, and important economic data such as China's October social financing data and national economic activity data will be released [95]. Shipping Index Market Review - The reduction of quotes hit the sentiment of long - positions. This week, the SCFIS index turned down again. On the spot side, shipping companies reduced the price increase, which hit the sentiment of long - positions and led to a sharp decline in EC futures [96]. Container Shipping Market Situation - **Spot Market**: The freight rates of ocean routes continued to rebound, with the rates of European and American routes rising. Shipping companies continued to raise the quotes for November and December, but the increase was lower than before. Considering the general demand and the decline of the SCFIS index, it is uncertain whether the price increase can be fully implemented [102][103]. - **Supply - Demand Fundamentals**: On the supply side, the container shipping capacity in Europe in November remained at a relatively high level in the off - season, and the potential and actual shipping capacities are expected to continue to grow. The geopolitical conflict in the Middle East continues to deteriorate, and the probability of the Red Sea resuming navigation within the year is low. On the demand side, the macro - demand in the eurozone continues to recover weakly, and the demand at the end - of - year peak season may be lower than expected, so the support for container shipping prices is limited [106][107]. Market Outlook - Although the actual demand may not support a large price increase, the freight rate is likely to form an upward trend, and the bottom may have been reached. It is recommended to maintain the idea of buying on dips for the December contract [108].