刘泽龙 长江证券通信分析师: 各位投资人大家晚上好，我是长江通信的分析师刘德龙，给大家汇报一下我们对整个 26 年升腾行业的一个观点和展望。首先我们在整个 26 年是非常看好整个升腾及产业链后续 的这个发展和上涨的。那首先的话，我们看好它主要基于这个，一方面我们非常看好今年 国产算力整体的贝塔。在春节期间大家也看到了一个非常明确的产业变化，叫 ToG 出海。 其实这个出海，背后代表了两件事情。一个是我们目前，其实就两个事，一个是性能够， 一个是中国的模型出海的话，单位 Tokens 的价格比较便宜。 性能够的话，我们更多会觉得，这体现在这个当你模型的性能迭代有了一定放缓之后，中 国的性能差距相当于海外没有那么大，中国厂商觉得是能够海外客户是觉得是能够满足需 求，同时的话，那我们会看到中国的 token 的单位价格是便宜的。可能大 家会有疑惑， 说我们国产算力为什么你如果按理说单位的算力下的价格，其实不如海外的英伟达呀，然 后包括这些厂商有那么便宜的价格但是我们会有更多的运营成本的优势。包括一些配套的 零部件，包括一些供电，包括一些人员维护，我们觉得把这些成本综合起来看的话，其实 在一定程度上可以抹平国产算力和 ...

Group 1 - ByteDance plans to invest 160 billion yuan in the AI sector by 2026, with 85 billion yuan allocated for AI chips, indicating a significant commitment to AI development [1] - The market anticipates that 2026 will be a pivotal year for domestic supernodes, driven by the need for improved capital efficiency and performance in AI computing [1] - Concerns about the H200's impact on domestic computing capabilities are noted, but it is emphasized that domestic inference can still rely on supernodes for efficiency improvements [1] Group 2 - The copper connection segment is highlighted, with Huafeng Technology as a leading player, benefiting from increased interconnect speeds and connector channel counts, potentially doubling the value of high-speed modules [2] - Domestic switch manufacturers are expected to see revenue growth due to AI infrastructure investments, particularly in the Scale out segment, while new opportunities arise from the introduction of Switch trays in supernodes [2] - Major chip manufacturers like Broadcom and ZTE are positioned to benefit from the demand for Scale-up switching chips, with Broadcom already offering advanced chip options for CSP manufacturers [2] Group 3 - The STAR Market 100 Index has shown a strong performance, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Yuanjie Technology and Huafeng Technology, reflecting positive market sentiment [3] - The STAR Market 100 Index includes a diverse range of sectors, with electronics, biomedicine, and power equipment being the top three industries, indicating a broad investment landscape [4] - The STAR Market 100 Index's top ten weighted stocks account for 26.72% of the index, showcasing the concentration of investment in key players within the market [4]