东方证券研报指出， 深信服前三季度实现归母净利-0.81亿（+86.10%），其中Q3单季度实现归母净利 1.47亿（+1097.40%），业绩改善明显，系费用端控制所致。公司整体研发战略向AI智能化倾斜，逐渐 在各个产品落地AI相关技术和能力，如安全GPT、AICP、AIPaaS、SAVE3.0、AIOps等。认为AI带来公 司产品新功能和新范式的补足，进一步提升公司产品竞争力。公司上半年率先发布了"HCI+AICP新一 代超复制选中秒转数据融合"解决方案，帮助用户在原有集群基础上仅增加一台GPU节点，就能基于本 地集群快速部署并承载DeepSeek在内的企业级大模型。凭借优秀的产品创新能力以及全渠道优势，公 司有望充分受益于日渐兴起的大模型本地化部署需求。根据可比公司25年的PS水平，维持给予公司25 年6.10倍PS，对应目标价为119.00元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 119.00 CNY based on a 6.10x PS multiple for 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company has shown continuous profit improvement, with AI presenting new growth opportunities [2]. - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 5.125 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.62%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was -0.081 billion CNY, up 86.10% [8]. - The company is implementing an "AI FIRST" R&D strategy, enhancing product differentiation and competitiveness through AI technologies [8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 82.34 billion CNY, 91.66 billion CNY, and 103.40 billion CNY respectively, with expected growth rates of 9.5%, 11.3%, and 12.8% [3][4]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to stabilize around 61.2% to 61.6% from 2025 to 2027, while net profit margins are expected to improve from 4.0% in 2025 to 5.9% in 2027 [4][11]. - The company’s operating profit is forecasted to grow significantly, with an increase from 357 million CNY in 2025 to 650 million CNY in 2027, representing a growth rate of 68.8% in 2025 [4][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for localized AI deployment solutions, having launched innovative products that integrate AI capabilities [8]. - The report highlights the company's strong product innovation capabilities and its comprehensive channel advantages, which are expected to drive growth in the localized deployment market [8].

Summary of Key Points from the Equity Research Report on China Software Equities Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Software Industry**, particularly in the context of **AI monetization** and competition dynamics within the sector [2][3]. Core Insights 1. **AI Monetization Stage**: - AI monetization is still in its early stages, with significant policy support leading SOEs to prioritize AI projects, particularly in finance, healthcare, and education [3][4]. - SMEs in the manufacturing sector show strong demand for cost control, benefiting software companies like Yonyou and Nancal, which are experiencing good order momentum [3][4]. - Consumer-oriented software companies are currently focused on user acquisition and loyalty rather than immediate monetization of AI functionalities [3][4]. 2. **Competition Landscape**: - Simpler AI applications face intense competition, leading to a decline in Average Selling Price (ASP) [4]. - Complicated software, such as ERP systems, is less likely to be replaced by AI due to the necessity of industry-specific knowledge, which AI cannot easily replicate [4]. 3. **Stock Recommendations**: - **Sangfor (Buy)**: Expected to benefit from AI-driven IT infrastructure upgrades, with a target price of RMB143.00, implying a 30% upside from the current price [5][13]. - **Yonyou (Buy)**: Notable for its rapid AI order ramp-up, with 1H25 AI orders reaching RMB320 million, approximately 9% of total revenue. Target price set at RMB22.00, indicating a 54% upside [5][13]. - **ThunderSoft (Buy)**: Positioned to benefit from strong software upgrade demand from AI IoT suppliers, with a target price of RMB90.00, suggesting a 25% upside [5][13]. - **Kingsoft Office (Buy)**: Unique position as the only office software vendor in China with a closed-loop system for AI, targeting a price of RMB353.00, reflecting a 20% upside [5][13]. Financial Metrics - **Yonyou**: 1H25 AI orders at RMB320 million, with expectations for further growth in 2H25 [5][9]. - **Sangfor**: Revenue CAGR of 15% from 2018-2024, with a projected revenue of RMB9.1 billion by 2026 [13]. - **Kingsoft Office**: Historical average PS multiple of 33x, with a projected revenue CAGR of 15% for 2024-2026 [13]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the importance of **on-device AI** products, such as AI glasses and toys, which are seeing robust demand [3]. - Companies like Arcsoft and ThunderSoft are noted for their strong order momentum in the AI hardware space [3][5]. - The report emphasizes the potential for AI to enhance existing software capabilities rather than completely replace them, particularly in complex applications [4]. Risks and Challenges - Key risks include fierce competition, weaker-than-expected business expansion due to macroeconomic challenges, and potential chip shortages impacting production [13]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and financial metrics from the report, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the China software industry, particularly in relation to AI monetization and competitive dynamics.