（来源：吴说） 来源：市场资讯 吴说获悉，据 @ArkkDaily 监测，昨日 Cathie Wood 旗下 Ark Invest 通过 ARKK、ARKW 与 ARKF 三只 ETF 合计买入 360,232 股 BitMine（BMNR，约 1,056 万美元）、209,886 股 Bullish（BLSH，约 884 万 美元）及 24,198 股 Coinbase（COIN，约 590 万美元）。 ...

In 2025, investments in growth offer a variety of exchange-traded funds that allow investors not only to follow the beta of the market, but also to try to outperform it (to find alpha). When evaluating some of the most attractive ETFs, it wasMy professional journey in the investment field began in 2011. Today, I combine the roles of an Investment Consultant and an Active Intraday Trader. This synergistic approach allows me to maximize returns by leveraging deep knowledge in economics, fundamental investment ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of controlling drawdowns in investment funds to achieve long-term success, suggesting that lower volatility often correlates with higher returns [4][7][17]. Fund Performance Analysis - From January 1, 2020, to November 20, 2025, the median return of Chinese equity mutual funds was approximately 44.78%, with an annualized compound return of about 6.45% and a median drawdown of 45.12% [5][6]. - Funds with severe drawdowns (60-80%) accounted for 12.53% of the total, with an average return of 26.8%. In contrast, funds with smaller drawdowns (15-30%) represented 10.25% and achieved an average return of 72.25% [6][7]. - The data indicates that 81.28% of funds experienced drawdowns greater than 30%, with over 50.38% facing drawdowns exceeding 45% [6]. Drawdown and Return Relationship - There is an inverse relationship between drawdown magnitude and average return; larger drawdowns lead to lower average returns. For instance, a drawdown of over 30% requires a rebound of 43% to break even [7][8]. - Funds with drawdowns between 15% and 30% achieved the highest average returns, while those with minimal drawdowns (0-15%) had lower average returns [7]. Investor Behavior and Market Dynamics - Investors often struggle to profit from highly volatile funds due to emotional reactions, leading to premature buying and selling decisions [8][10]. - The case of "Wooden Sister" (Cathie Wood) illustrates how significant volatility can lead to substantial losses for latecomers who buy at market peaks [8][10]. Investment Philosophy - The article draws parallels between investment strategies and philosophical teachings from "Tao Te Ching," advocating for moderation and the avoidance of excessive greed [17][20]. - It highlights that enduring volatility is essential for long-term investment success, as evidenced by successful investment firms that manage to withstand significant drawdowns [15][16]. Conclusion - The key takeaway is that achieving a balance between risk and return is crucial in investment, and understanding the costs associated with pursuing higher returns is essential for long-term success [22][23].

Group 1 - ARK Invest has increased its stake in Bullish by over 105,000 shares, valued at approximately $5.3 million, bringing its total position to about 2.27 million shares worth $114 million at a closing price of $50.57 per share [1][2] - This investment is part of ARK's ongoing strategy to deepen its involvement in digital asset infrastructure, which includes a significant investment of $172 million when Bullish went public via a $1.1 billion IPO earlier this year [2] - Bullish constitutes 0.94% of ARKK, 0.95% of ARKW, and 1.15% of ARKF, indicating its growing importance within ARK's portfolio [2] Group 2 - ARK's total exposure to blockchain and crypto-related companies across its three ETFs exceeds $2.15 billion, with notable holdings in Coinbase, Robinhood, Circle, and BitMine [3] - To accommodate these investments, ARK has reduced its holdings in traditional tech companies such as Palantir and Shopify [3] - ARKF has the highest allocation to crypto-related assets at 29%, followed by ARKW at 25.7% and ARKK at 17.7% [3] Group 3 - Major stakes in Coinbase amount to over $675 million across all three funds, alongside investments in Robinhood and Circle, as well as products linked to staking of ether and solana through ETFs like ETHQ/U and SOLQ/U [4]

Core Insights - Despite trends in the global bond market, risk assets are not showing signs of shifting towards safe havens, supported by an expanding buyer universe and liquidity overwhelming fundamentals [1][3] Group 1: Market Conditions - Major stock indices remain above key moving averages, with no clear signals for risk aversion [3] - Investor sentiment and positioning are seen as potential energy for market reversal, with many investors underweight due to recent concerns [3] - A significant amount of cash, amounting to trillions of dollars, is parked in money markets, indicating potential buyers are waiting to enter the market [3] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The current strategy is to continue pursuing risk until a trend change occurs, with momentum trading yielding returns [5] - The largest risk facing the market is the Federal Reserve potentially adopting a less aggressive rate-cutting path than expected [5] Group 3: Upcoming Catalysts - The market is entering a phase termed "Calendar Compression," with multiple key events expected in the coming weeks [6] - Key catalysts include the upcoming earnings season led by the banking sector and the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on October 29 [6] - Expectations for "consecutive rate cuts and accelerating earnings" are noted, with potential benefits for Bitcoin, gold, and long-duration assets if the U.S. government remains shut down [6] Group 4: Macro Perspective - Attention is drawn to the "four balance sheets" of banks, corporations, consumers, and governments, with a focus on the structural deterioration of Western governments' balance sheets post-2008 financial crisis and COVID-19 [7] - The current market environment exhibits characteristics of a "war economy," with a lack of political motivation for fiscal tightening and a global arms race for rearmament [7] Group 5: Interest Rate Outlook - In the context of a "war economy," the path of interest rates is expected to differ from historical patterns, with central banks likely to cut rates significantly [8] - The potential for yield curve control (YCC) measures is noted, with Japan cited as a current case study [8] - The market's term premium has not shown significant widening, contributing to a less favorable outlook for the U.S. dollar [8]

Core Insights - The article provides an overview of net flows across various ETF asset classes, highlighting significant trends in investor behavior and asset allocation [1]. Group 1: ETF Flows by Asset Class - Alternatives saw a net inflow of $26.06 million, representing 0.22% of total assets under management (AUM) of $11,894.21 million [1]. - Asset Allocation ETFs experienced a net inflow of $12.81 million, which is 0.04% of their AUM of $28,918 million [1]. - Commodities ETFs had a substantial net inflow of $1,221.48 million, accounting for 0.45% of their AUM of $269,155.32 million [1]. - Currency ETFs faced a net outflow of $616.93 million, which is -0.35% of their AUM of $177,500.89 million [1]. - International Equity ETFs recorded a net inflow of $1,003.37 million, representing 0.05% of their AUM of $2,069,522.91 million [1]. - International Fixed Income ETFs had a net inflow of $1,236.27 million, which is 0.37% of their AUM of $332,962 million [1]. - Inverse ETFs saw a net inflow of $96.43 million, accounting for 0.65% of their AUM of $14,823.37 million [1]. - Leveraged ETFs experienced a net inflow of $312.73 million, representing 0.21% of their AUM of $149,469.94 million [1]. - US Equity ETFs had a net outflow of $390.82 million, which is -0.01% of their AUM of $7,762,425.71 million [1]. - US Fixed Income ETFs recorded a net inflow of $2,367.30 million, accounting for 0.13% of their AUM of $1,807,210.25 million [1]. - Overall, total net flows across all ETFs amounted to $5,268.71 million, representing 0.04% of total AUM of $12,623,882.59 million [1].

Group 1 - The forum "Phoenix Bay Area Finance Forum 2025" was held in Guangzhou, focusing on the theme "New Pattern, New Path" and gathering global elites from politics, business, and academia to explore development opportunities [1] - Economist Fu Peng highlighted that the world order has been restructuring since 2015, emphasizing the need for an increase in total factor productivity, and that technology, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), is crucial for overcoming current challenges [3] - Fu Peng noted that the investment market exhibited a "broad net" approach before a clear technological path emerged, similar to the investment strategy of ARKK, which accepted various new technologies without a specific direction [3] Group 2 - The emergence of ChatGPT marked a decisive moment, confirming the value of the AI industry chain and officially ushering in the AI era globally [3] - Investors are now shifting focus from upstream computing power to downstream vertical applications of AI, indicating that proficiency in AI has become a fundamental skill for the next generation [4] - Fu Peng emphasized that the ability to utilize AI is essential for personal development and that those who do not learn to leverage AI will fall behind in both investment markets and personal growth [4]

SCARLET: WELCOME TO BLOOMBERG ETF IQ. I'M SCARLET FU. >> I'M KATIE GREIFELD.PEOPLE WILL SAY WE WORE THE SAME THING, BUT YOU HAVE VERY COOL SHOES. SCARLET: WE DID THIS BECAUSE IT WAS ALIGNED WITH THE MARKET DIRECTION. >> YOU ARE RIGHT, THIS WAS COMPLETELY PLANNED.WE START WITH PRESIDENT TRUMP WANTING TO SCRAP QUARTERLY EARNINGS REPORTS IN FAVOR OF RELEASES EVERY SIX MONTH. IN JUST A FEW MOMENTS, WE WILL SPEAK ABOUT THE HUGE SHIFT THAT THAT WOULD CREATE. SCARLET: WE DISCUSS OPPORTUNITIES IN ASSET-BACKED SECUR ...

Core Insights - Ark Invest, managed by Cathie Wood, purchased over 2.5 million shares of Bullish on its first trading day, with a total holding value exceeding $170 million [1] - Bullish's stock price surged by 84% on its debut, closing at $68, with a trading volume of 20.3 million shares [1] Company Summary - Ark Invest's investment strategy includes significant positions in ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF ETFs, indicating a strong belief in the potential of Bullish [1] - The substantial purchase on the first day reflects confidence in Bullish's market performance and future growth prospects [1] Market Performance - Bullish experienced a notable increase in stock price, highlighting investor interest and market enthusiasm upon its listing [1] - The high trading volume on the first day suggests robust market activity and potential liquidity for investors [1]