Group 1 - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI chain, emphasizing the impact of the storage cycle and the acceleration of self-control in the industry [1] - In 2026, the focus will be on the AI chain, storage cycles, and the acceleration of self-control, with expectations of continued growth in the electronics sector driven by AI data centers and terminal demand recovery [1][3] - The storage sector is expected to enter a price increase cycle starting in the second half of 2025 due to significant supply-demand imbalances [1][3] Group 2 - The Scaling Law remains effective, transitioning into a 2.0 phase that enhances model capabilities and drives demand for computing power [2][18] - The demand for high-end PCBs is anticipated to increase significantly in 2026, driven by the upgrade of AI server platforms and the growth of cloud service providers' self-developed ASICs [2][73] - The AI-driven demand for storage is expected to grow rapidly, with major storage manufacturers like SanDisk, Micron, and Samsung announcing price increases, indicating a sustained upward trend in storage prices [3][60] Group 3 - The domestic storage chip and module manufacturers are expected to benefit from the upward cycle in storage prices, with a focus on DRAM and NAND markets [3][4] - The trend towards domestic production in the storage sector is expected to continue, with companies like Changxin and Changcun expanding capacity and market share [4][66] - The consumer electronics sector may face pressure from rising storage prices, particularly affecting Android smartphones and PCs, while new product innovations could catalyze market recovery [5][72] Group 4 - The report highlights the importance of advanced processes and domestic production in the semiconductor industry, with a focus on improving production capacity and technology [4][68] - The AI chip market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.19% expected from 2025 to 2030, driven by strong demand for AI training and inference [60][66] - The custom AI chip market is anticipated to expand rapidly, with a forecasted CAGR of 53% from 2024 to 2028, as domestic internet companies increasingly adopt a dual approach of third-party procurement and self-developed ASICs [72][73]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI computing sector, indicating a sustained high level of prosperity in the industry [2]. Core Insights - The AI sector is experiencing robust growth, with multiple suppliers such as Xinxing, Taiko, and Wistron achieving record monthly revenues. For instance, Xinxing's revenue in June 2025 increased by 55% year-on-year, and further growth is expected in Q3 due to strong demand from Nvidia's GB series [2][6]. - The mature process segment is stabilizing, with companies like UMC and World Advanced reporting revenue growth of 3% and 6% respectively in Q2 2025. UMC anticipates a 5-7% increase in wafer shipments due to rising demand [2][14]. - The memory sector is recovering from production cuts and inventory destocking, with expectations of price increases in the second half of 2025. For example, Nanya Technology's revenue in June reached a near 35-month high [2][15]. - The logic chip segment shows stable demand, with MediaTek reporting an 18% year-on-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, and a strong market position in mobile application processors [2][16]. - Passive components are also benefiting from AI demand, with Yageo achieving record revenue growth of 11% year-on-year in June 2025 [2][18]. Summary by Sections AI Sector - The AI sector is characterized by high growth, with significant revenue increases across various suppliers, particularly in the server management chip and testing equipment segments [2][6][11]. Mature Process - Companies in the mature process segment are seeking differentiated growth strategies, with stable revenue growth reported by UMC and World Advanced [14]. Memory Sector - The memory sector is expected to see price recovery due to seasonal demand and inventory adjustments, with notable revenue increases from major players [15]. Logic Chips - The logic chip market remains stable, with MediaTek leading in market share and expanding into new areas such as AI ASICs and automotive chips [16]. Passive Components - The demand for passive components is driven by AI applications, leading to significant revenue growth for companies like Yageo [18].