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芯源微(688037):短期业绩承压 持续研发投入迭代新品
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-10 02:30
Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on the verification progress of its ArF immersion high-capacity coating and developing machine, actively promoting its introduction and validation across different clients [1] Investment Highlights - The company's EPS forecast for 2025-2027 has been updated to 1.35, 2.14, and 3.36 yuan, reflecting growth rates of 34.08%, 58.60%, and 56.93% respectively. The 2025E and 2026E forecasts have been slightly downgraded, while 2027E is a new addition. Given the low domestic localization rate of front-end coating and developing equipment, achieving breakthroughs will create significant competitive barriers, leading to a projected PE valuation of 80 times for 2025, corresponding to a target price of 108.00 yuan [2] Operating Performance Pressure - The company anticipates a revenue of 1.753 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.13%, with a net profit of 73.31 million yuan, down 60.83% year-on-year. The decline in net profit is primarily due to increased R&D investment, with R&D expenses expected to reach 297 million yuan in 2024, a 49.93% increase. The company is currently in a critical transition period for upgrading coating and developing equipment and validating new products, resulting in significant performance pressure [3] Product Development Progress - The main products are advancing smoothly at client sites. The high-end offline machines, including SOC, SOD, and NTD, have achieved rapid breakthroughs, and I-Line and KrF machines are showing good production data at multiple client sites. The introduction and validation of the ArF immersion high-capacity coating and developing machine are actively being promoted across different clients [3] - New products are steadily progressing and are expected to contribute to new growth points for the company. The front-end chemical cleaning machine launched in March 2024 has passed client process validation and received orders from several major domestic clients. The temporary bonding and debonding machines have successfully passed validation from multiple clients and are entering a gradual ramp-up phase, with nearly 20 orders in hand. The new Frame cleaning equipment for 2.5D/3D advanced packaging has also passed client validation and is entering small-batch sales [4]
芯源微(688037):TRACK加速研发迭代 化学清洗机、键合机开始放量
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 12:31
Core Viewpoint - The company reported mixed financial results for 2024, with revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit, primarily due to increased R&D expenses and government subsidies impacting profitability [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.754 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.13%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 203 million yuan, down 19% year-on-year [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 649 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 58%, with net profit reaching a record high of 95 million yuan, up 213% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 275 million yuan, a 13% increase year-on-year, but net profit dropped to 5 million yuan, down 71% year-on-year [2]. R&D Investment - The company significantly increased R&D investment in 2024, totaling 297 million yuan, a 50% year-on-year increase, with an R&D expense ratio of 16.9% [3]. - The number of employees grew to 1,366, a 22% increase year-on-year, contributing to rising personnel costs [3]. Product Performance - The company's product segments showed varied performance, with the Track equipment generating 1.05 billion yuan in revenue, a slight decline of 1.52% year-on-year, but with a gross margin of 34.81% [4]. - The bonding machine segment saw revenue growth of 13.75%, with a high gross margin of 78.60%, indicating strong performance from new products [4]. Order Growth and New Products - New orders signed in 2024 reached approximately 2.4 billion yuan, a 10% year-on-year increase, indicating robust demand [5]. - The introduction of new products, such as the chemical cleaning machine and bonding machine, is expected to enhance market share and revenue potential [6][7]. Strategic Partnerships - The company is in discussions with Northern Huachuang to transfer control, which could lead to synergies in product offerings and accelerate domestic semiconductor equipment replacement [8]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 2.053 billion, 2.701 billion, and 3.622 billion yuan, with net profits expected to grow significantly during this period [8].
芯源微(688037):利润阶段性承压 期待新品放量
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-01 00:36
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.754 billion yuan for the year 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 203 million yuan, down 19.08% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 275 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.74%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders dropped significantly by 70.89% to 5 million yuan [2][3] - The company is focusing on new product development and collaboration with Northern Huachuang, anticipating synergies in R&D, supply chain, and customer resources [3] Financial Performance - For 2024, the gross margin was 37.67%, a decrease of 4.85 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 11.57%, down 3.03 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin further declined to 34.29%, a drop of 6.00 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in product mix and accounting standards [3] - R&D expenses in Q1 2025 were 64 million yuan, an increase of 40.52% year-on-year, contributing to the pressure on profit performance [3] Product and Market Development - In 2024, the company signed new orders worth 2.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 10%, indicating a positive market demand [3] - The company is actively advancing the introduction and validation of ArF immersion high-capacity coating and developing cleaning machines, achieving an 80% process coverage with major domestic clients [3] - New products in the 2.5D/3D advanced packaging sector, such as Frame cleaning equipment, have successfully passed customer validation and entered small-scale sales [3] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.08 billion, 2.715 billion, and 3.424 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 245 million, 391 million, and 620 million yuan [4] - The company maintains a PE ratio of 78X for the current year and holds a "recommended" rating for investors [4]
芯源微:24Q4业绩大幅改善,Track、化学清洗机等持续突破-20250427
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-27 08:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported significant performance improvement in Q4 2024, with revenue growth driven by new products such as chemical cleaning and advanced packaging [3] - The company faces profit pressure due to increased R&D expenses, with a notable decline in net profit for the year [4] - The upcoming control change with Beifang Huachuang is expected to enhance the company's business development and accelerate domestic substitution of equipment [5] Revenue Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.754 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%. Q4 revenue was 649 million yuan, up 27.13% year-on-year and 57.91% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The revenue breakdown shows that coating and developing equipment generated 1.05 billion yuan, down 1.52% year-on-year, while single-wafer wet processing equipment revenue was 640 million yuan, up 7.43% year-on-year [3] Profitability Analysis - The company reported a net profit of 203 million yuan for 2024, a decrease of 19% year-on-year, with a significant improvement in Q4 net profit [4] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 37.7%, a slight decline of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, with R&D expenses rising to 297 million yuan, an increase of 49.93% [4] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 2.096 billion yuan and 2.693 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 19.5% and 28.5% respectively [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 264 million yuan, with an expected increase of 30% year-on-year [7] Market Position and Product Development - The company has secured orders from leading domestic clients for its coating and developing equipment, indicating strong market demand [5] - New products in advanced packaging, such as temporary bonding and debonding machines, are entering the volume production stage, with nearly 20 units on order [6]