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小鹏汽车-W(09868.HK):25Q2毛利率显著提升 期待增程产品周期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 02:51
机构:国投证券 研究员:徐慧雄/者斯琪 毛利率提升显著,经营效率持续改善。 1)25Q2 汽车销售毛利率14.3%,同比+8.0pct,环比+3.9pct,同环比提升显著。公司汽车销售毛利率环 比大幅提升一方面由于产品销售结构的变化;另一方面公司持续推进技术降本及供应链降本;此外公司 Q2 销量环比提升,带来规模效应提升。 2)公司经营效率持续改善,费用率环比下降。25Q2 公司研发/销售、一般及管理费用率分别为 12.1%/11.9% , 同比-6.01/-7.54pct,环比-0.45/-0.45pct。 展望:AI 能力强大,增程系列开启产品大周期。 1)24 年以来公司经营能力持续改善,管理能力、组织效率、供应链能力以及产品打造能力均大幅提 升。 2)新车周期强势:新款P7 即将上市;Q4 增程新车上市;25 年2款Mona SUV 及多款增程。 事件:小鹏汽车发布2025Q2 业绩:2025Q2 实现营业收入182.7亿元,同比+125.3%,环比+15.6%;净亏 损4.8 亿元,同环比亏损收窄;Non-GAAP 净亏损3.9 亿元,同环比亏损收窄。 强势产品周期销量驱动营收高速增长: 1)25Q ...
小鹏汽车-W(09868):25Q2毛利率显著提升,期待增程产品周期
Guotou Securities· 2025-08-21 06:27
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of HKD 102.6 for the next six months [7]. Core Views - The company reported significant revenue growth in Q2 2025, achieving revenue of CNY 18.27 billion, a year-on-year increase of 125.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.6% [1]. - The automotive sales revenue reached CNY 16.9 billion in Q2 2025, up 148% year-on-year and 17% quarter-on-quarter, with vehicle deliveries of 103,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 241.6% [2]. - The gross margin for automotive sales improved significantly to 14.3%, an increase of 8.0 percentage points year-on-year and 3.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, driven by changes in product sales structure and cost reduction efforts [3]. - The company is expected to continue its strong product cycle with new models launching, including the new P7 and two new Mona SUVs in 2025 [4]. Financial Summary - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 90 billion, CNY 138.9 billion, and CNY 173.6 billion respectively, with corresponding price-to-sales ratios of 1.7, 1.1, and 0.88 [4]. - The net loss for 2025 is estimated at CNY 3.16 billion, improving from a loss of CNY 5.38 billion in 2024 [5]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to reach 16.0% in 2026 and 20.0% in 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [10].