Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Hongdu Aviation (600316.SH) as a first-time coverage [3]. Core Views - Hongdu Aviation is a leading domestic manufacturer of military training aircraft, benefiting from the rising demand for both training and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) [1][2]. - The company has a comprehensive product line that includes primary, basic, and advanced training aircraft, positioning it uniquely in the market [1][2]. - The global military trade environment is improving, with the company expected to see significant growth in international sales, particularly with its K-8 training aircraft [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Hongdu Aviation is recognized as a cradle for training aircraft in China, integrating research, production, and operations, with a focus on both training aircraft and defense products [14]. - The company has undergone asset restructuring to enhance its core competencies in training aircraft and missile production [14][17]. Market Position and Demand - The company is a rare full-spectrum training aircraft assembly unit in China, poised to benefit from the upward trend in the training aircraft and UAV markets [1][2]. - The global demand for training aircraft is increasing, with many countries seeking cost-effective solutions for pilot training [2][45]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 77.0 billion, 119.6 billion, and 159.1 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +46.6%, +55.4%, and +33.0% [3][7]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.2 billion, 2.0 billion, and 2.7 billion RMB, reflecting significant growth rates of +203.8%, +70.4%, and +34.6% [3][7]. Competitive Advantages - The company offers integrated training solutions that include pilot training, ground crew training, and operational support, enhancing its competitive edge in military exports [2][3]. - Hongdu Aviation's "air-to-surface" missile production capabilities provide a significant advantage, simplifying the development and certification processes for military equipment [2][3]. International Sales Growth - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 137% in foreign revenue from 2020 to 2024, indicating a strong position in the international military trade market [2][3][26]. - The K-8 training aircraft has captured a 26.3% market share in the global mid-to-high level training aircraft segment, establishing a solid foundation for future exports [2][3].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因 倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 中國航空科技工業股份有限公司 AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited* (於中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司) (股份代號：2357) 以下爲江西洪都航空工業股份有限公司於上海證券交易所所網站刊發之公告。 承董事會命 中國航空科技工業股份有限公司 公司秘書 吳筠 北京，二零二五年八月二十九日 於本公告日，董事會由執行董事閆靈喜先生和孫繼忠先生，非執行董事徐東升先生、周訓文 先生和胡世偉女士，以及獨立非執行董事劉威武先生、毛付根先生和林貴平先生組成。 *僅供識別 江西洪都航空工业股份有限公司2025 年半年度报告 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條而作出。 公司代码：600316 公司简称：洪都航空 江西洪都航空工业股份有限公司 2025 年半年度报告 1 / 107 江西洪都航空工业股份有限公司2025 年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector is experiencing significant investment interest, particularly in military ETFs, driven by global geopolitical conflicts and advancements in China's military trade capabilities [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Trends - Military ETF (512660) has seen a net inflow of over 750 million yuan in the past five days, with a current scale of nearly 14 billion yuan, marking a nearly 40% increase in shares this year, making it the largest in its category [1]. - The military ETF closely tracks the CSI Military Index, which includes companies in aerospace, military electronics, shipbuilding, and weaponry, reflecting the overall performance of the military industry [2]. Group 2: Military Trade Developments - China's military trade products are gaining global attention due to their comparative advantages and improved production capabilities, with a focus on performance, cost-effectiveness, and production capacity [2]. - Pakistan, a key military trade partner, has sourced 81.15% of its military imports from China over the past five years, showcasing the high performance and cost-effectiveness of Chinese military equipment during recent conflicts [2]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The military sector is expected to see strong domestic demand growth driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan," "Centenary of the Army," and "self-reliant domestic substitution" strategies, indicating a positive industry outlook [2].

Core Viewpoint - The 17th Langkawi International Maritime and Aerospace Exhibition in Malaysia highlighted the Chinese J-10CE fighter jet, attracting significant attention from military representatives and media [1][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The exhibition opened on May 20 and has become a key platform for defense equipment and technology exchange in the Asia-Pacific region since its inception in 1991 [3]. - Over 20 military and political delegations from countries such as Malaysia, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam visited the China Aviation Technology exhibition booth for in-depth discussions [5]. Group 2: J-10CE Fighter Jet Highlights - The J-10CE was a focal point at the exhibition, showcasing its advanced capabilities and attracting praise from officials, including Malaysia's Deputy Prime Minister, who noted its technological advancements [8]. - The J-10CE has recently achieved combat success, having shot down multiple enemy aircraft without sustaining any losses [10]. - The fighter jet is characterized by its all-weather, single-engine, single-seat multi-role capabilities, including advanced electronic systems and strong weaponry [11][14]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - The J-10CE features a low radar cross-section, an active phased array radar with strong detection and anti-jamming capabilities, and is equipped with long-range PL-15 air-to-air missiles [16]. - It is part of a modern combat system that enhances air combat strategies beyond traditional methods, integrating various platforms for effective engagement [19][21]. - The J-10CE offers high cost-performance ratio, making it competitive in the international arms market, especially compared to Western third-generation fighters that can cost around $200 million [22]. Group 4: Historical Context - The J-10 series represents China's first independently developed third-generation fighter jet, marking a significant evolution from reliance on foreign technology to self-sufficiency in military aircraft development [23].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [4] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent launch of the revised "Military Equipment Research Regulations," indicating a new wave of investment opportunities in the defense and military industry [3][4] - The IDEX 2025 exhibition showcased China's defense capabilities, with a focus on AI and robotics, emphasizing the potential for investment in these areas [4][5] - The report identifies the growing importance of AI technology in enhancing military capabilities and the emergence of quadruped robots as key assets in future combat scenarios [5] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the industry has shown an absolute return of 23.78%, while the relative return compared to the CSI 300 index is 8.02% [2] Investment Highlights - The IDEX 2025 exhibition featured 1,565 companies from 65 countries, with China's defense sector prominently displaying advanced technologies such as new air defense missiles, high-performance drones, and cutting-edge radar systems [4] - The report emphasizes the significance of quadruped robots in military reconnaissance, disaster rescue, and logistics, showcasing their adaptability and advanced capabilities [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that national policies and advancements in AI technology will accelerate the military industry's shift towards intelligence and informationization, creating new opportunities for companies in the defense supply chain [5]