军工股继续走高，截至发稿，中船防务（600685）(00317)涨6.6%，报15.82港元；中航科工(02357)涨 4.8%，报3.93港元；航天控股(00031)涨1.96%，报0.52港元。 申万宏源发布研报称，随着全球地缘政治不确定性增加，全球军贸需求不断扩大，国际军贸市场发生新 的格局变化。而随着产品迭代加快且体系能力强化，我国产品性能和供给能力获得高度认可，中国潜在 需求明显扩大，中东、亚洲等市场订单催化不断，所以预计我国军贸的需求与供给将会持续强烈共振， 从而造就中国军贸未来大格局。 消息面上，2025迪拜国际航空展上，中国展团亮点频出，挂载霹雳导弹的歼-10CE、歼-35A、运-20，以 及阿联酋空军装备的L-15教练机和多款翼龙、旋戈系列无人机等装备悉数亮相。中国C919大飞机首次 在中东亮相，航天飞鹏50架无人运输机订单落定迪拜。兴业证券指出，迪拜航展盛大召开，防务观察迎 新窗口。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，军工股继续走高，截至发稿，中船防务(00317)涨6.6%，报15.82港元；中航科工 (02357)涨4.8%，报3.93港元；航天控股(00031)涨1.96%，报0.52港元。 申万宏源发布研报称，随着全球地缘政治不确定性增加，全球军贸需求不断扩大，国际军贸市场发生新 的格局变化。而随着产品迭代加快且体系能力强化，我国产品性能和供给能力获得高度认可，中国潜在 需求明显扩大，中东、亚洲等市场订单催化不断，所以预计我国军贸的需求与供给将会持续强烈共振， 从而造就中国军贸未来大格局。 消息面上，2025迪拜国际航空展上，中国展团亮点频出，挂载霹雳导弹的歼-10CE、歼-35A、运-20，以 及阿联酋空军装备的L-15教练机和多款翼龙、旋戈系列无人机等装备悉数亮相。中国C919大飞机首次 在中东亮相，航天飞鹏50架无人运输机订单落定迪拜。兴业证券指出，迪拜航展盛大召开，防务观察迎 新窗口。 ...

2025迪拜国际航空展上，中国航空工业的参展表现成为本届航展的一大亮点。 此外，中国C919大飞机首次在中东亮相，航天飞鹏50架无人运输机订单落定迪拜。据新华社转引中国南方航空公司报道，中国南方航空一架C919飞机于当 地时间14日凌晨1点15分顺利抵达阿联酋迪拜阿勒马克图姆国际机场，参加17日至21日举行的2025年迪拜航空展。据航天飞鹏公众号，航天飞鹏与阿联酋重 要合作伙伴在展会现场正式签署50架无人运输机采购协议。此次签约的无人机产品深度适配中东高温、沙尘等特殊环境，后续将持续深耕阿联酋低空交通网 络建设，为无人低空物流场景提供高效解决方案。 军工ETF（512660）覆盖海陆空天信全产业链，规模居同类产品第一 基本面看，国防军工板块基本面坚实。兴业证券表示，"十五五"期间国防和军队建设精准化要求高，预计结构分化将更加显著。高成长投资方向重点关注： 精确制导武器、新型航空装备、水下装备、无人智能等。此外，在必须走高效益、低成本、可持续发展路子的导向下，竞争格局好，生产力高效、能支撑军 队低成本高效益发展的企业值得关注。 军工ETF（512660）覆盖海陆空天信全产业链，是把握行业配置机会的重要工具，规模 ...

激浊扬清，周观军工 第144期： 军贸高端化破局是板块年底前的 占优主线 长江证券研究所军工研究小组 2025-11-17 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 维持 分析师及联系人 分析师 王贺嘉 分析师 王清 分析师 杨继虎 分析师 张晨晨 SAC执业证书编号：S0490520110004 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524050001 SAC执业证书编号：S0490525040001 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524080007 SFC执业证书编号：BUX462 分析师 张飞 分析师 李麟君 SAC执业证书编号：S0490525060003 SAC执业证书编号：S0490525080002 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 01 沙特与巴基斯坦签署共同防御协议， 中国装备军贸高端化破局稳步推进 02 广东宏大：矿服与民爆基本盘稳固， 防务装备多点布局内外需空间广阔 03 中航沈飞：电磁弹射航母入列、两 攻首航，核心有无人机型空间广阔 目 录 04 燃气轮机有望解决AI数据中心用电 瓶颈，海内 ...

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector has seen a recovery, with a year-to-date increase of 15.32% as of November 5, 2025, compared to a 17.60% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index and a 26.97% increase in the Shenzhen Component Index [1][20] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the sector achieved a total revenue of 4510.81 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 244.53 billion yuan, up 17.29% year-on-year [1][26] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has led to the execution of backlog orders, driving revenue and profit growth for military enterprises, while the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to release new orders, enhancing industry prosperity [2][42] - The international geopolitical situation is increasingly tense, providing a strategic window for the expansion of China's military trade market, with exports showing significant growth in both quantity and quality [3][43] Group 3 - Key recommended companies include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group, Hongdu Aviation Industry Group, Guoke Technology, and Lianchuang Optoelectronics, focusing on sectors such as advanced aircraft manufacturing and missile systems [3][5] - The military budget for 2025 has increased to 17846.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 7.15%, supporting the modernization of military equipment [40][44] Group 4 - The military aircraft sector is expected to benefit from the construction of air and naval forces, with significant advancements in aircraft technology, including the introduction of the J-35A stealth fighter and the development of the sixth-generation fighter [45][46] - Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are becoming a key component of modern warfare, with their roles expanding from reconnaissance to offensive operations, highlighting their importance in future military strategies [58][61]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **controlled nuclear fusion** industry, particularly focusing on the **BEST project** and its implications for the market. The industry is entering a new phase with accelerated bidding for key components like power supplies and superconducting materials in the second half of the year [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - The **BEST project** has made significant progress, with the successful installation of the **Dewar base** into the main device, marking a new stage for the project [2][3]. - Other notable projects in the controlled nuclear fusion sector include those by **China Nuclear Group** and **Chengdu and Jiuyuan**, which are expected to have more bidding activities next year, impacting the market from 2026 onwards [1][4]. - The **controlled nuclear fusion supply chain** is centered around structural components such as vacuum chambers, divertors, blanket cold screens, magnets, and Dewars, along with upstream materials like low-temperature superconducting wires and tungsten materials [1][5]. - The **module power supply industry** is benefiting from the recovery of defense demand and the growth of AI applications, with the military market projected to reach **59 billion RMB** by 2028 [1][12][13]. - The demand for **AI servers** has significantly increased power consumption, leading to a need for high-performance, high-density, and reliable power supply systems, which in turn accelerates the application of modular and integrated power systems [1][14][16]. Additional Important Insights - The **magnet system** is crucial in controlled nuclear fusion, accounting for approximately **28%** of the experimental pile's value, with a shift towards high-temperature superconductors expected to reduce cooling requirements and costs [1][7]. - The **power supply system** plays a significant role, comprising about **8%** of the overall system, with domestic and international companies likely to secure contracts in upcoming bidding processes [1][8]. - The **controlled nuclear fusion supply chain** includes upstream materials, midstream equipment, and downstream research institutions, with key players identified in each segment [1][9]. - **West Superconducting** is a key supplier of low-temperature superconducting wires, with a projected market value of **500 million RMB** in 2025, despite currently lower market attention [1][10][11]. - The **module power supply industry** is expected to enter a high-growth cycle, driven by defense and AI applications, with the military module power supply market projected to exceed **10 billion RMB** by 2025 and **15 billion RMB** by 2028 [1][12][13]. - The global AI market is anticipated to exceed **11 trillion USD** by 2030, with related supply equipment markets growing even faster, indicating significant investment opportunities [1][17][18]. Conclusion - The controlled nuclear fusion industry is poised for growth with ongoing projects and increasing demand for related technologies. The module power supply sector is also expected to thrive due to rising defense and AI needs, presenting various investment opportunities in the coming years [1][12][13][17].

Core Insights - The Chinese military industry is experiencing unprecedented growth opportunities amid complex global geopolitical dynamics, with steady increases in weapon exports showcasing technological prowess and attracting global attention [1][9] - China ranks fourth globally in arms exports, accounting for 5.9% of the total from 2020 to 2024, with key markets in Asia and Africa [1][7] Export Performance - Weapon exports have remained stable compared to the 2015-2019 period, with Pakistan being a significant partner, accounting for 63% of China's military exports [1][4] - Other notable markets include Serbia and Thailand, contributing 6.8% and 4.6% respectively, driven by the high cost-performance ratio and reliability of Chinese products [1][4] Product Competitiveness - Chinese military products, such as the JF-17 fighter jet, are significantly cheaper than Western counterparts, with the JF-17 priced at one-third of the F-16, enhancing affordability for smaller nations [4][9] - The successful export of over 100 JF-17 jets to countries like Pakistan, Myanmar, and Nigeria demonstrates the competitive edge of Chinese military technology [1][4] Technological Advancements - China's military industry has achieved over 90% self-sufficiency in key technologies, including aircraft engines and phased array radar chips, bolstering export capabilities [5][10] - Continuous government support for defense budgets and military-civilian integration policies have facilitated technological innovation and the global application of systems like BeiDou [5][10] Market Trends - The Middle East, Africa, and Southeast Asia are emerging as primary markets for Chinese military exports, with countries like Saudi Arabia and Egypt being major buyers [7][9] - The global arms trade market is projected to exceed $200 billion in the coming years, with China's market share potentially increasing from 10% to 30% [9][10] Future Outlook - The military industry is expected to become a key investment focus over the next decade, surpassing traditional sectors like internet and real estate [10] - The ongoing geopolitical instability presents new growth opportunities for the military sector, particularly in enhancing cooperation with developing regions [10]

Group 1 - The grand military parade on September 3, 2025, marked the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People's Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War, showcasing China's defense modernization and technological advancements [1][2] - The parade featured 45 formations and lasted approximately 70 minutes, highlighting new-generation weapons such as advanced tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and fighter jets, organized by combat modules to demonstrate the military's operational capabilities [4][6] - The event emphasized the significant role of innovative enterprises in China's defense modernization, showcasing the collective wisdom and technological advancements of military-industrial companies [1][9] Group 2 - AVIC Chengfei, a key player in China's aviation industry, showcased advanced fighter jets like the J-10 and J-20, demonstrating its capabilities in fighter design and manufacturing [11][13] - AVIC Shenyang, known as the "cradle of Chinese fighter jets," presented the J-11 series and the J-16 multirole fighter, highlighting breakthroughs in stealth technology and advanced materials [13] - Guangqi Technology, a leader in metamaterials, contributed to several advanced systems, with its products enhancing electromagnetic modulation and structural strength, achieving a 47.35% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of the year [16][17] Group 3 - Aero Engine Corporation of China (AECC) is pivotal in the development of military aircraft engines, with its WS-10 and WS-15 engines powering major fighter jets, marking significant advancements in domestic engine production [20] - Hongdu Aviation, a leader in trainer aircraft, showcased its L-15 advanced trainer, which has evolved into a comprehensive training platform for pilots [22] - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (CASC) presented the Wing Loong family of drones, demonstrating capabilities across various operational scenarios, with the Wing Loong-2 being a notable model [25][26] Group 4 - Xinyu Guoke, while not directly featured in the parade, plays a crucial role in providing specialized equipment and technology support for the military, showcasing innovation in meteorological intervention and special munitions [27] - The overall advancements in China's defense technology underline the importance of self-reliance and innovation in ensuring national security and military strength [1][27]

Core Viewpoint - The company Zhong UAV (688297.SH) has shown significant recovery in its financial performance in the first half of the year, driven by increased product deliveries and a growing market for domestic equipment, particularly in the drone sector [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 439 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 61.27%, attributed to a higher number of product deliveries compared to the previous year [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 31.77 million yuan, marking a turnaround with a year-on-year growth of 182.76% [4]. - Adjusted total profit significantly increased due to higher operating income and reduced overall expenses, influenced by the capitalization of certain R&D projects [4]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was -923 million yuan, a decrease of 806 million yuan from the previous year, primarily due to reduced product deliveries and lower collection amounts [4]. Market Position and Strategy - Zhong UAV is a leading provider of drone systems, focusing on comprehensive solutions across various scenarios and the entire product lifecycle [2]. - The company has a strong partnership with China Aviation Technology Import and Export Corporation (AVIC), with over 80% of annual sales attributed to this collaboration, which helps mitigate international market risks [2]. - The company is actively exploring applications in the civil market, including agriculture, environmental monitoring, and emergency services, with a focus on the Wing Loong series drones [5]. Product Development and Future Outlook - The company has secured four out of six emergency national bond projects for 2024, capturing two-thirds of the market share in this segment [5]. - New products, including Wing Loong-1G and Wing Loong-X, have received export approvals and are being actively promoted in the market [5]. - The company anticipates a positive shift in sales performance for 2025, driven by changing international dynamics and the introduction of new products [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company Zhong UAV (688297.SH) has shown significant recovery in its financial performance in the first half of the year, driven by increased product deliveries and a growing market for domestic equipment, particularly in the drone sector. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 439 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 61.27%, attributed to a higher number of product deliveries compared to the previous year [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 31.77 million yuan, marking a turnaround with a year-on-year growth of 182.76% [3] - Adjusted total profit significantly increased due to the rise in operating income and a reduction in overall period expenses [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -923 million yuan, a decrease of 806 million yuan from the previous year, primarily due to reduced product deliveries and lower collection amounts [4] Market Position and Strategy - Zhong UAV's products, particularly the Wing Loong series, are well-positioned in the global reconnaissance and strike drone market, with users in over ten countries [1] - The company relies heavily on sales to China Aviation Technology Import and Export Corporation (AVIC), which accounts for over 80% of its annual sales [1] - The company is exploring civilian market applications, including agricultural protection, environmental monitoring, and emergency services [4] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a positive market shift for 2025, driven by changing international dynamics and the introduction of new products [5] - New products such as Wing Loong-1G and Wing Loong-X have received export approvals and are actively being promoted in the market [5] - The company has secured four out of six emergency national bond projects for drone products, capturing two-thirds of the market share [4]