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Why Estee Lauder Could Be Your Next 30% Gain
Benzinga· 2025-07-10 19:25
Core Viewpoint - Estee Lauder Companies Inc. is set for a significant turnaround driven by its "Beauty Reimagined" strategy, despite recent challenges, particularly in Asia, with a forecasted stock price increase of 30% [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve a 4% revenue CAGR through fiscal year 2027 and a margin expansion of 430 basis points to 12%, with EBIT projected to be 10% above consensus [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) have dropped by 80% from their peak due to weakness in Asia, particularly in China and Hainan, but improved demand is anticipated in the upcoming quarters [5]. - The current trading multiple of 2.4x EV/sales indicates a significant discount compared to peers like L'Oréal, suggesting potential for a re-rating of the stock [7]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The "Beauty Reimagined" strategy focuses on innovation speed, new channels, and cost efficiency, with a potential 10% reduction in headcount yielding up to $1 billion in savings, which may be reinvested into a 25% increase in brand and consumer marketing [4]. - The company generates $14 billion in revenue across 25 brands, positioning itself as the second-largest player in the $160 billion global prestige beauty market [4]. Group 3: Market Conditions - A more rational market environment during key shopping festivals and stabilizing trends in Hainan are expected to support growth in fiscal year 2026, while Korea's travel retail segment faces ongoing pressure [6].
Miu Miu继续狂飙;雅诗兰黛中国实现增长;昂跑旗舰店落地成都太古里|品牌周报
36氪未来消费· 2025-05-04 07:47
整理 | 贺哲 馨 #Big News# 第三季度雅诗兰黛中国实现增长,新任CEO积极拓展新渠道 新任CEO上任之后,雅诗兰黛中国的业绩有复苏迹象。 美东时间5月1日,雅诗兰黛公布第三季报,显示净销售额同比下降10%至35.5亿美元,在有机基础上同比下降 9%,表现略好于预期,毛利率增长3.1%,主要得益于集团"利润恢复与增长计划"(Profit Recovery and Growth Plan,简称PRGP)带来的正面影响。 在集团发给36氪的通告中特别提到,该季度雅诗兰黛集团中国大陆业务实现中个位数增长,主要由 La Mer(海 蓝之谜)、Estée Lauder(雅诗兰黛)和 Tom Ford驱动。 至此,中国大陆业务在过去四个季度中有三个季度 都实现了份额的增长。 不过,由于"战略性减少对代购渠道的依赖"等因素,雅诗兰黛全球护肤业务和旅游零售都出现了双位数下滑, 其中护肤业务净销售额下降了11%。彩妆品类也表现不佳,原因是M·A·C(魅可)由于新产品发布的发货时间 及发货量较去年同期不利,抵消了2025财年新品的积极影响。 香水部门出现了1%的下滑,但仍是集团表现最好的。 特别是最近几年发展迅速的奢侈 ...
EL Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Down Amid China Weakness
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 16:55
Core Insights - The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 results with both net sales and earnings declining year over year, primarily due to weak consumer sentiment and reduced conversion rates in China [1][2] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 65 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 29 cents, but down 33% from 97 cents in the prior year [2] - Quarterly net sales reached $3,550 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,507.2 million, but reflecting a 10% decline year over year [2] - Organic net sales decreased by 9% to $3,605 million [2] Category-Wise Revenue Results - Skin Care sales fell 12% year over year to $1,807 million, impacted by weak consumer sentiment and lower conversion rates among Chinese shoppers [3] - Makeup revenues declined 9% to $1,035 million, primarily due to weaker sales from key brands like M·A·C and Estée Lauder [4] - Fragrance revenues decreased 3% to $557 million, largely due to lower performance from Clinique and Estee Lauder [4] - Hair Care sales totaled $126 million, down 12% year over year, mainly due to Aveda's weaker performance [5] Regional Revenue Results - Sales in the Americas fell 6% year over year to $1,052 million [6] - Revenues in the EMEA region declined 18% to $1,358 million [6] - Asia-Pacific region sales tumbled 3% to $1,140 million [6] Margin Analysis - Adjusted gross margin improved by 310 basis points to 75%, driven by the Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP) [7] - Adjusted operating margin contracted by 270 basis points to 11.4%, due to increased investments and sales volume deleverage [8] Financial Health - The company exited the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $2,631 million, long-term debt of $7,298 million, and total equity of $4,345 million [9] - Net cash flow from operating activities for the nine months ended March 31, 2025, was $671 million, with capital expenditures of $395 million [10] Restructuring and Future Outlook - The PRGP aims to transform the operating model, with expected restructuring charges between $1.2 billion and $1.6 billion before taxes [12][13] - The company anticipates a decline in reported net sales of 8-9% for fiscal 2025, with adjusted organic net sales expected to fall by the same percentage [14] - Adjusted EPS is projected to slump by 40-50%, ranging from $1.30 to $1.55 for fiscal 2025 [15]
Kimco Realty(KIM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 12:30
Kimco Realty (KIM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 08:30 AM ET Speaker0 Good day, everyone, and welcome to The Estee Lauder Companies Fiscal twenty twenty five Third Quarter Conference Call. Today's webcast is being recorded. For opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to the Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, Ms. Rainey Mancini. Speaker1 Hello. On today's webcast are Stephane Della Pavri, President and Chief Executive Officer and Akhil Srivastava, Executive Vice P ...
Estée Lauder(EL) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 12:30
The Estée Lauder Companies (EL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Rainey Mancini - SVP, IRStéphane de La Faverie - President and Chief Executive OfficerAkhil Shrivastava - Executive Vice President & Chief Financial OfficerBonnie Herzog - Managing Director Lauren Lieberman - Managing DirectorFilippo Falorni - Director - Equity ResearchDara Mohsenian - Managing Director - US Beverage/Household Products Sectors Conference Call Participants Steve Powers - Equity Research Analys ...
Kimco Realty(KIM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 12:30
Kimco Realty (KIM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Rainey Mancini - SVP, IRStéphane de La Faverie - President and Chief Executive OfficerAkhil Shrivastava - Executive Vice President & Chief Financial OfficerLauren Lieberman - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Stephen Powers - AnalystBonnie Herzog - AnalystFilippo Falorni - AnalystPeter Grom - Equity Research AnalystDara Mohsenian - AnalystBryan Spillane - Analyst Operator Good day, everyone, and welcome to Th ...