美东时间11日周二，在AMD首次举行的公司金融分析师日活动上，AMD CEO苏姿丰给出了乐观的人工智能（AI）市场预期，并预计未来五年AMD的销售会加 速增长。 苏姿丰公布了AMD未来三到五年的财务目标。她表示，AMD的目标是在数据中心人工智能芯片市场中 占据"两位数"的份额，预计数据中心芯片的年收入将在 五年内达到1000亿美元，预计到2030年利润增长两倍以上。 为实现这一目标，苏姿丰预计未来三到五年，公司的年均营收年营收复合增长率（CAGR） 将超过35%，其中，AI数据中心的营收将平均增长80%。每股收益 届时将增至20美元。 相比之下，目前分析师预计的均值为，今年AMD的年销售将增长32%，此后两年——2026年和2027年将分别增长31%和39%。 这一系列激进的目标旨在向市场证明，AMD有能力将围绕AI的热度转化为切实的财务回报。 同时，苏姿丰称，AMD预计，包括处理器、加速器、网络产品在内，到2030年，AI数据中心的总市场规模（TAM）将突破1万亿美元，远超今年的约2000亿美 元，复合年增长率（CAGR）超过40%。 华尔街见闻曾提到，今年6月苏姿丰表示，预计到2028年，AI处理器的市场 ...

美股盘前，中国酝酿中的"经认证终端用户"（VEU）新出口管理机制在市场中引起强烈反应。该制度的核心思路是"分级管理，择优放行"： 根据CFRA首席市场策略师Sam Stovall整理的数据，在此前15次美国Z府关门结束后的一个月里，标普500平均上涨2.3%。若本次也出现类似幅度涨幅，那 么到12月中旬，标普500指数将逼近7000点。 这一举措并非简单地"收紧"战略资源出口，而是将管理权从被动防御转向主动设定规则。这被视为巧妙地借鉴并反制了美国既有的VEU制度，为未来贸易 博弈留下了战略底牌。 午盘时分，白宫官员关于"创纪录的Z府停摆可能导致部分10月经济数据永久丢失"的表态，进一步加剧了市场的焦虑。 此外软银披露10月清仓英伟达。 "大空头"Michael Burry 质疑人工智能公司的资产负债。科技股估值担忧引发相关股大幅下挫，AI一篮子股票指数抹去了 昨日的大部分涨幅。 今日牛股 REAL 公布超预期的财报后暴涨38% 你如果还记得，这是我们美股投资网 2025年必买10股之一的REAL。 美股尾盘，美股市场呈现出明显的"跷跷板"效应。道指在能源、必需消费品等防御性板块的带动下收涨1.18%，而以科技 ...

Core Viewpoint - AMD's CEO, Lisa Su, provided an optimistic outlook for the AI market, projecting accelerated sales growth over the next five years, with a target of capturing a "double-digit" market share in the data center AI chip market and achieving $100 billion in annual revenue by 2027 [1][5][12]. Group 1: Financial Goals and Market Share - AMD aims for a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 35% in overall revenue over the next three to five years, with AI data center revenue expected to grow at an average rate of 80% [1][12]. - The company projects earnings per share (EPS) to reach $20, significantly higher than the current analyst expectations of $2.68 for 2025 [12][13]. - AMD's total addressable market (TAM) for AI data centers is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2030, up from approximately $200 billion this year, with a CAGR of over 40% [2][15]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - AMD is targeting a "double-digit" market share in the AI chip sector, currently dominated by NVIDIA, which holds over 90% of the market [7][12]. - The demand for AI infrastructure is expected to remain strong, with indications that AI workloads are shifting from training to inference, which could further drive CPU demand alongside GPU growth [8][12]. Group 3: Recent Performance and Market Reaction - AMD reported a 36% year-over-year revenue increase to $9.246 billion for Q3, with data center revenue rising 22% to $4.3 billion [17]. - Despite positive long-term projections, AMD's stock fell over 3% following the earnings report, as investors expressed concerns about the pace of AI revenue growth compared to expectations [18].

Core Viewpoint - AMD is optimistic about the AI market, projecting that the total addressable market (TAM) for AI data centers will exceed $1 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% [1][4]. Group 1: Market Projections - AMD expects the annual revenue CAGR to exceed 35% over the next three to five years, with AI data center revenue projected to grow by an average of 80% [1][4]. - The TAM for AI processors is anticipated to surpass $500 billion by 2028 [1]. - Contrary to previous expectations, demand for AI infrastructure is expected to remain strong rather than stabilize [3]. Group 2: AI and CPU Demand - AMD's CEO stated that the growth of AI and GPUs is increasing, rather than decreasing, the demand for CPUs, indicating that AI accelerators have not led to a decline in the CPU market [4]. - There are clear signs that AI workloads are shifting from training to inference, with the AI accelerator market growing at over 60% CAGR [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - AMD reported a 36% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3, reaching $9.246 billion, with data center revenue growing by 22% to $4.3 billion [8]. - The Q4 revenue guidance is set between $9.3 billion and $9.9 billion, with a midpoint of $9.6 billion, which is above analyst expectations but below some optimistic forecasts [8][9]. - AMD's long-term AI revenue target includes reaching "hundreds of billions" in annual revenue from data center AI business by 2027 [8]. Group 4: Market Reactions - Despite positive long-term outlooks and exceeding Q4 revenue guidance, AMD's stock price fell over 3% post-announcement, indicating that some investors had higher expectations [9]. - The growth in sales is primarily driven by PC and server processors rather than the more closely watched AI accelerator business, leading to a lukewarm response from investors [9].