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Western Digital vs. Micron: Which Data Storage Stock Has More Upside?
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 15:41
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) and Micron Technology (MU) are significant players in the memory and storage ecosystem, benefiting from the demand for NAND flash and data-center solutions driven by AI and cloud computing [2][3] - Both companies are positioned to capitalize on global data growth, but they operate in distinct segments of the data storage market [3] Western Digital (WDC) - WDC is traditionally known for HDDs and enterprise storage systems, with a growing focus on flash memory, particularly through its ePMR and UltraSMR products [3][5] - The company is experiencing increased demand for its storage solutions due to the rise of AI and data-driven workloads, leading to strong shipments of high-capacity drives [6] - WDC anticipates non-GAAP revenues of $2.9 billion for the fiscal second quarter, representing a 20% year-over-year increase [7] - The company has returned $785 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends since launching its capital return program [8] - WDC faces challenges due to a heavy debt burden, which limits its flexibility for acquisitions and requires strong cash flow generation [10] Micron Technology (MU) - Micron is focused on DRAM, HBM, and NAND flash, benefiting from a tight supply environment driven by AI adoption and data center growth [11] - The total addressable market for HBM is projected to reach $100 billion by 2028, prompting Micron to increase capital expenditures and supply investments [11] - Micron's data center NAND revenue exceeded $1 billion in the fiscal first quarter, supported by strong demand for its SSD portfolio [13] - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $12 billion in cash and investments, allowing for strategic acquisitions and shareholder returns [14] - Micron's earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 have been revised up 90.5% to $33.08, reflecting strong growth expectations [19] Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, MU and WDC have seen stock gains of 340.9% and 283.1%, respectively [17] - MU's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 10.62, significantly lower than WDC's 25.59, indicating a more attractive valuation [18] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MU's earnings has seen substantial upward revisions, while WDC's estimates have seen modest increases [24] Investment Considerations - Micron is viewed as the growth engine in the sector, while Western Digital may represent a turnaround opportunity, with investment choices depending on risk profiles and market confidence [25]
Micron Technology's NAND Revenues Reach $2.7B: Is It a Growth Lever?
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 15:11
Core Insights - Micron Technology (MU) reported a 22% sequential and year-over-year growth in NAND revenues for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, now accounting for 20% of its total revenue [1][10] - The growth is attributed to increased shipments and price rises due to tight industry supply and a favorable product mix [1] Group 1: Demand and Supply Dynamics - The management of Micron Technology highlighted that the constrained NAND supply amid rising demand will enable a 20% growth in shipments for 2026 [2] - Strong demand for G9 NAND is driven by its applications in data center solid state drives (SSDs) and client SSD products [2] - G9 NAND is expected to be the primary driver of NAND bit growth in calendar 2026, with the launch of the world's first PCIe Gen6 SSD further enhancing this momentum [3] Group 2: AI and Storage Solutions - Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a significant consumer of storage and memory products, with Micron leveraging its QLC NAND, including G9 QLC, to meet AI-driven storage demand [4] - The NAND technology is crucial for high-capacity data center use cases, with G9 SSDs entering qualification at multiple hyperscale customers [4][5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Micron Technology faces competition from Sandisk and Seagate Technology in the data storage market [6] - Sandisk reported a 26% sequential increase in data center revenues, driven by AI-related NAND demand [7] - Seagate is expanding its presence in the SSD market while maintaining a strong position in high-capacity HDD solutions [7] Group 4: Financial Performance and Valuation - Micron's shares have increased by 142.1% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry's growth of 51.1% [8] - In fiscal Q1, Micron's NAND revenues reached $2.7 billion, with data center NAND revenues exceeding $1 billion [10] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 4.33X, slightly above the industry average of 4.28X [11] Group 5: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Micron's fiscal 2026 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 278.3%, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [14]
电子行业点评:存储周期强劲,美光业绩超预期
Ping An Securities· 2025-12-19 12:51
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the market by more than 5% over the next six months [8]. Core Insights - Micron Technology's FY26Q1 financial results exceeded expectations, with Non-GAAP revenue reaching $13.64 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21%. Non-GAAP net profit was $5.48 billion, up 169% year-on-year and 58% quarter-on-quarter [3][6]. - The storage industry is experiencing a strong upward cycle driven by AI, with significant demand for storage products expected to continue until 2026 due to supply constraints. The overall trend is for both volume and price of storage products to rise [5][6]. - The company's DRAM business revenue increased by 69% year-on-year to $10.8 billion, accounting for 79% of total revenue, with an average selling price (ASP) up by 20% quarter-on-quarter [5][6]. - The cloud data business achieved a record revenue of $5.3 billion, with a notable gross margin increase of 15 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - The company anticipates FY26Q2 revenue to be in the range of $18.3 billion to $19.1 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 132% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 37% [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Micron's Non-GAAP revenue for FY26Q1 was $13.64 billion, with a gross margin of 56.8%, up 17 percentage points year-on-year and 11 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][6]. - The company expects a gross margin of 68% for FY26Q2, an increase of 30.1 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Market Demand - The demand for high-performance and high-capacity storage is significantly increasing due to the acceleration of AI data center construction [6][7]. - The company is actively developing advanced products, including HBM and high-performance SSDs, to meet this demand [6][7]. Future Outlook - The storage supply is expected to remain tight until 2026, leading to sustained price increases in storage products [5][6]. - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings and improving production efficiency to capitalize on the growing market demand [6][7].
美光科技(MU):FY2026Q1 业绩点评及业绩说明会纪要:各业务单元均创营收记录,毛利率大幅超过指引上限
Huachuang Securities· 2025-12-19 07:59
Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating to Micron Technology (MU) based on strong performance and growth prospects in the memory and storage market [2]. Core Insights - Micron Technology reported record revenues in FY26 Q1, achieving $13.643 billion, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 20.6% and a year-over-year increase of 56.7%, surpassing guidance [2][12]. - The company’s Non-GAAP gross margin for FY26 Q1 was 56.8%, exceeding the upper limit of guidance due to effective pricing strategies and cost control [2][12]. - The data center segment saw significant growth, with revenues reaching $2.4 billion, driven by strong demand from AI data center expansions [3][24]. Summary by Sections 1. FY2026Q1 Performance Overview - Micron achieved record revenues across all business units, with DRAM and NAND revenues benefiting from strong end-market demand and effective pricing strategies [2][12]. - The company’s gross margin significantly improved, reflecting better pricing and cost management [2][12]. 2. Revenue Breakdown - DRAM revenue was $10.8 billion, accounting for 79% of total revenue, with a quarter-over-quarter growth of 20% and a year-over-year growth of 69% [16]. - NAND revenue reached $2.7 billion, representing 20% of total revenue, with a quarter-over-quarter growth of 22% [16]. - The data center business unit generated $2.4 billion, making up 17% of total revenue, with a 51% quarter-over-quarter increase [23]. 3. Company Guidance - For FY26 Q2, Micron expects revenues of $18.7 billion, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 37.1% and a year-over-year increase of 132.2% [6][28]. - The company anticipates a gross margin of approximately 68.0% for FY26 Q2, reflecting continued strong demand and effective cost management [6][28].