Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 03, 2026 10:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsAamir Malik - Chief U.S. Commercial Officer and EVPAlbert Bourla - Chairman and CEOAlexandre de Germay - Chief International Commercial Officer and EVPChris Boshoff - Chief Scientific OfficerDave Denton - CFOFrancesca DeMartino - Chief Investor Relations Officer and SVPConference Call ParticipantsAkash Tewari - AnalystAlex Hammond - AnalystAsad Haider - AnalystChris Schott - AnalystCourtney Breen - AnalystDave Risinger ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, the company recorded revenues of $62.6 billion, a 2% operational decline from $63.6 billion in 2024. Excluding COVID-19 products, operational revenue growth was 6% [27] - Adjusted gross margins for the full year expanded to 76%, aligning with expectations [27] - Full year diluted EPS was $1.36, down from $1.41 in the previous year, while adjusted diluted EPS increased to $3.22 from $3.11, exceeding expectations [27][32] - In Q4 2025, revenues were $17.6 billion, a 3% operational decline year-over-year, primarily due to a 40% decline in COVID product revenues [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Recently launched and acquired products generated $10.2 billion in revenues for 2025, growing approximately 14% operationally [28] - Non-COVID product performance in Q4 was solid, with a 9% operational growth compared to the same period last year, driven by products like Abrysvo, Eliquis, Prevnar, and the Vyndaqel family [28][29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a significant market opportunity in obesity treatments, targeting a $150 billion market with its differentiated Metsera pipeline portfolio [9] - The company captured 83% of new CGRP writer volume in Q4, maintaining leadership in new patient starts [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for industry-leading growth as key products lose patent or regulatory exclusivity in the coming years, focusing on maximizing the value of in-line product portfolios and accelerating pipeline development [5] - Strategic acquisitions, including Seagen, Metsera, and Biohaven, are expected to have transformative potential for the company [5] - The company is scaling artificial intelligence across R&D, manufacturing, and commercial operations to improve productivity and accelerate innovation [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to execute and deliver growth despite challenges, including the lowest COVID-19 season on record [4] - The company is focused on investing in key assets and managing upcoming loss of exclusivity (LOE) headwinds, with growth expected to be driven by an advancing R&D pipeline and business development initiatives [36] Other Important Information - The company returned $9.8 billion to shareholders via dividends in 2025 and invested $10.4 billion in internal R&D [35] - The company expects total revenues for 2026 to be in the range of $59.5 billion to $62.5 billion, with adjusted diluted EPS between $2.80 and $3.00 [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the tolerability seen in the VESPER-3 data? - Management indicated that the tolerability data will be shared at the ADA conference, but initial observations showed no significant increase in discontinuations or severe adverse events when switching to a higher dose [41][42] Question: What role do you see for the drug with the current weight loss profile in the market? - Management believes the drug's efficacy combined with a lower medication burden through monthly dosing will resonate well with patients and providers, enhancing its commercial potential [47] Question: Did the placebo arm in VESPER-3 gain or lose weight? - The placebo arm remained stable, showing no significant weight gain or loss [62] Question: What are the expectations for the upcoming Phase III studies? - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing studies, highlighting the promising data from previous trials and the potential for differentiation in the market [80]

On Tuesday, Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) shared topline data from a mid-stage study for a weight loss drug and reported fourth quarter earnings that beat consensus estimates.Weight Loss DataPfizer released data from the Phase 2b VESPER-3 study of monthly maintenance dosing of PF'3944 (MET-097i) in adults with obesity or overweight without type 2 diabetes.The U.S. drug giant added the ultra-long-acting, injectable GLP-1 receptor agonist via a massive $10 billion Metsera, Inc. deal.The ongoing 64-week study demonst ...

财报显示，辉瑞四季度营收175.6亿美元，同比微降约1%，营收下滑主要源于新冠疫苗及新冠口服药 Paxlovid的需求走低：新冠疫苗销售额为23亿美元，虽高于20亿美元的预期，但同比下降三分之 一;Paxlovid销售额仅为2.18亿美元，远低于5.89亿美元的预期，同比暴跌超过三分之二。 智通财经APP获悉，周二，辉瑞(PFE.US)公布了第四季度财报，尽管新冠相关产品需求持续萎缩，但公 司营收与利润仍双双超出市场预期，同时公司重申了2026年的温和指引——该指引在去年12月公布时曾 引发投资者担忧。另外，辉瑞还公布了其新型减肥疗法的初步数据，但披露信息有限。 不过，这一数字高于市场预期的169.5亿美元，原因是辉瑞的多款重磅药物整体表现符合预期：尽管其 明星肺炎疫苗Prevnar面临默沙东(MRK.US)新产品的竞争，但仍实现17亿美元销售额，略高于16亿美元 的预期;抗凝血药Eliquis销售额达20亿美元，心脏病药物Vyndaqel销售额为17亿美元，均符合市场预测。 为对冲新冠产品销售下滑及老牌药物营收萎缩的影响，这家制药巨头正将目光投向管线产品的长期投 资，其中包括以100亿美元收购肥胖症生物科技 ...

Albert Bourla, CEO of Pfizer, speaking on Squawk on the Street at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 20, 2026.Pfizer on Tuesday reported fourth-quarter results that topped estimates even amid dwindling demand for its Covid products, while reaffirming its modest 2026 guidance that rattled investors in December.The pharmaceutical giant is looking to longer-term investments in its pipeline, including its $10 billion acquisition of the obesity biotech Metsera, to counter waning Covid product ...

Core Viewpoint - Pfizer is expected to report its Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 3, with consensus estimates of $16.93 billion in sales and $0.57 earnings per share (EPS) [1][7]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pfizer's Q4 sales is $16.93 billion and EPS is $0.57, with a decline in 2026 earnings estimates from $3.15 to $2.99 per share over the past 60 days [1][2]. - The earnings surprise history shows Pfizer has exceeded earnings expectations in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 35.33% [2][3]. Segment Performance Expectations - Q4 growth is anticipated from oncology drugs and Vyndaqel, but offset by weaker COVID products and Prevnar [7]. - Sales of Vyndaqel, Eliquis, Padcev, and Lorbrena are expected to drive top-line growth, while Prevnar and Xeljanz sales have declined [8]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Eliquis alliance revenues is $2.14 billion, and for Prevnar family vaccines is $1.65 billion [10][11]. - Revenues from Comirnaty are expected to decline due to narrower COVID-19 vaccine recommendations, with estimates of $2.0 billion for Comirnaty and $289 million for Paxlovid [12][13]. Oncology and Specialty Care Insights - Oncology sales are expected to be driven by Xtandi, Lorbrena, and Braftovi-Mektovi, while Ibrance sales may decline [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Padcev is $527 million and for Ibrance is $1.03 billion [15]. - In Specialty Care, Vyndaqel sales are expected to remain strong at $1.66 billion, while Xeljanz and Enbrel sales may decline [16]. Financial Guidance and Acquisitions - Pfizer expects total revenues for 2026 to be between $59.5 billion and $62.5 billion, with adjusted EPS in the range of $2.80-$3.00 [17]. - A one-time R&D charge related to the acquisition of Metsera will impact Q4 EPS [18]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Pfizer's stock has declined 1.6% over the past year, compared to a 16.4% return for the industry [20]. - The stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.84, lower than the industry average of 18.18 and its five-year mean of 10.25 [23]. Long-Term Outlook - Pfizer's dependence on COVID-related revenues has decreased, with non-COVID operational revenues improving [26]. - The company is focusing on rebuilding its pipeline through acquisitions, with significant investments in business development [28]. - However, challenges remain, including declining COVID product sales and upcoming patent expirations that could negatively impact revenues by approximately $1.5 billion in 2026 [29][30]. - Long-term investors may consider holding the stock as Pfizer aims for growth from its oncology and obesity pipeline starting in 2029 [33].

Core Insights - Pfizer is scheduled to release its Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 3, with a focus on oncology sales, which account for over 28% of total revenues [1] Oncology Segment - Key cancer drugs contributing to oncology sales include Ibrance, Xtandi, Lorbrena, Braftovi/Mektovi, and Seagen-acquired antibody-drug conjugates like Padcev [1] Primary Care Segment - Alliance revenues and direct sales from Eliquis are expected to rise due to increased global demand, although this is partially offset by price and generic erosion in some non-U.S. markets [3] - Sales of the Prevnar vaccine family are anticipated to decline due to lower demand in the U.S., despite higher international sales [3][4] Specialty Care Segment - Sales of Vyndaqel are projected to remain strong due to continued demand growth, while sales of Xeljanz and Enbrel may decline [7][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vyndaqel sales is set at $1.66 billion [7] COVID-19 Products - Revenues from the COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty are likely to decline due to narrower recommendations in the U.S., affecting the eligible patient population [5] - Sales of Paxlovid are also expected to decrease due to lower COVID-19 infection rates [5] Newer Products - Sales of the RSV vaccine Abrysvo in the U.S. are expected to be impacted by limited vaccination recommendations, although international sales may rise [6] - Strong demand for Nurtec ODT/Vydura in the U.S. is anticipated, aided by recent international launches, despite some offset from the IRA Medical Part D redesign and the 340B program [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Pfizer's stock has declined by 2.5% over the past year, contrasting with a 24.1% rise in the industry [8] - The company is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 8.58, which is lower than the industry average of 17.73 and its five-year mean of 10.31 [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings has decreased from $3.14 to $3.00 per share over the past 60 days [11]

Core Viewpoint - Pfizer Inc. is considered one of the best stocks under $25 to buy now, despite a cautious outlook for 2026, with BMO Capital reaffirming an Outperform rating and a $30 price target [1]. Financial Projections - Pfizer anticipates adjusted profit to be between $2.80 and $3 per share for the upcoming year [1]. - The company's revenue is expected to be flat, ranging from $59.5 billion to $62.5 billion, compared to the updated 2025 sales forecast of $62 billion [1]. - A year-over-year reduction in sales of $1.5 billion is forecasted due to certain medications losing market exclusivity [2]. Market Dynamics - Pfizer's pneumonia vaccination Prevnar is facing increased competition, impacting sales [2]. - The softer 2026 projection is primarily driven by uncertainty in the Covid business, which is expected to decline by 23% year-over-year to around $5 billion in total revenue [2]. Strategic Initiatives - Future discussions are expected to focus on Pfizer's recent acquisition of Metsera and ongoing cost-saving efforts, which have already surpassed 2025 projections [3]. - Pfizer operates as a global biopharmaceutical company, focusing on wellness, prevention, treatment, and cures in both developing and emerging markets [3].

Core Insights - Pfizer is facing significant challenges, including a cautious outlook for 2026 and a substantial patent cliff, which may lead to a decline in stock value [3][9] Group 1: Financial Performance and Outlook - Pfizer's shares have recently fallen after a year of modest growth, with future profits expected to be below analyst forecasts due to ongoing challenges [3] - The company is projected to lose $17-$18 billion in annual revenues by 2028 due to expiring patents on key medications [9] - Expected sales for COVID-19 products in 2026 are projected to decrease to $5 billion, a $1.5 billion drop from 2025 estimates, significantly impacting profit outlook [9] Group 2: Risks and Market Behavior - Historical data shows that Pfizer's stock has experienced significant declines during market downturns, including a 39% drop during the Dot-Com Bubble and a 53% drop during the Global Financial Crisis [5] - The company has faced declines of 24% and 29% during the 2018 correction and the COVID-19 pandemic, respectively, indicating vulnerability to market fluctuations [5] Group 3: Pipeline and Innovation Challenges - Pfizer's pipeline execution faces risks due to setbacks, including the discontinuation of the GLP-1R agonist danuglipron and halting of two Seagen pipeline assets [9] - The company aims to develop eight or more oncology blockbusters by 2030, but current challenges may hinder this goal [9]

Core Viewpoint - Pfizer is forecasting modest guidance for 2026 as it focuses on long-term investments in its pipeline to mitigate declining sales from Covid products and older drugs [1] Group 1: Financial Outlook - Pfizer expects adjusted profit for 2026 to be between $2.80 and $3 per share, slightly below analysts' consensus estimate of $3.05 per share [3] - Revenue is projected to be between $59.5 billion and $62.5 billion, which is largely flat compared to the 2025 sales guidance of $62 billion [4] - The company anticipates a decline of approximately $1.5 billion in sales from Covid vaccine and antiviral pill Paxlovid, projecting 2026 sales from these products to be around $5 billion [4] Group 2: Market Challenges - Pfizer is facing a projected $1.5 billion year-over-year drop in sales due to certain products losing market exclusivity, with increased competition impacting blockbuster drugs like Prevnar [5] - Patent expirations are expected to significantly affect revenues, with an estimated $17 billion impacted by expirations occurring primarily in 2026 and 2028 [6] Group 3: Strategic Investments - The company has made significant acquisitions, including a $10 billion deal for Metsera and a $43 billion acquisition of Seagen, to build new revenue streams [2] - However, the benefits from these investments are still distant, as Metsera's pipeline consists of drugs in early-stage development [3] Group 4: Cost Management - Pfizer has exceeded its cost-saving goals for 2025 and is targeting over $7 billion in cost cuts by 2027, expecting to deliver most of these savings by next year [8] - The guidance reflects costs associated with recent acquisitions, including Metsera [7] Group 5: Regulatory Environment - The company is navigating changes in U.S. vaccine policy, which has introduced uncertainty, particularly under Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [9] - Pfizer's CEO stated that comments from the FDA regarding vaccines do not merit concern and will not alter the company's long-term investment strategy [10] Group 6: Pricing Strategy - Pfizer has entered a drug pricing deal that includes selling existing drugs to Medicaid patients at the lowest price offered in other developed nations, which will lead to price and margin compression in 2026 [11]