Zhi Tong Cai Jing
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里昂:降泰格医药目标价至59.9港元 续予“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:43
泰格医药的订单情况有所改善,但市场更关注公司的订单转化收入效率及投资变现能力。由于短期利好 因素已反映在股价,相信其风险与回报已趋于平衡。 里昂发布研报称,下调泰格医药(300347)(03347)2027财年盈测7%,以反映长期投资收益的不确定因 素增加。该行续予泰格医药"跑赢大市"评级,当中将H股目标价由68.2港元下调至59.9港元,并将泰格 医药(300347.SZ)A股目标价由81.9元人民币降至72元人民币。 ...
澜起科技尾盘涨超8%创上市新高 花旗看好其今明两年盈利增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:38
Core Viewpoint - The stock of 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology) surged over 8% to a new high of 188 HKD, driven by positive market sentiment regarding the growth in CPU server demand and advancements in AI applications, which are expected to boost the company's memory interface business and profitability in the coming years [1] Group 1: Company Performance - 澜起科技's stock price increased by 7.53% to 185.7 HKD, with a trading volume of 5.29 billion HKD [1] - Citigroup's report indicates that the demand for CPU-based servers and new developments in AI applications could catalyze increased usage of DIMM memory modules, providing upward potential for the company's memory interface business [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The arrival of the AI era is leading to rapid performance growth in computing chips, with interconnectivity becoming a bottleneck for AI computing clusters [1] - The company's interconnect chip business is expected to experience significant growth, driven by upgrades in memory interface technology from DDR4 to DDR5 and DDR6, as well as enhancements in PCIe from 4.0 to 6.0 and 7.0 [1] - The introduction of the CXL standard for memory pooling is anticipated to greatly increase the value of related interface chips [1]
市场误判了沃什立场?? 特朗普的“全球最低利率”愿景或将成现实
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:33
(原标题:市场误判了沃什立场?? 特朗普的"全球最低利率"愿景或将成现实) 智通财经APP获悉,尽管1月份美国非农就业数据比市场预期强劲得多,导致金融市场对于美联储2026 年降息预期从3次降至2次降息,但是华尔街对冲基金投资巨鳄、绿光资本创始人大卫·艾因霍恩(David Einhorn)预测,美联储今年将把基准利率下调"远远多于两次",并称市场正在严重低估未来货币政策宽 松步伐。 这位华尔街最顶级对冲基金经理认为,押注降息次数将超过当前市场预期,是"眼下最好的交易逻辑之 一"。在接受媒体采访时,艾因霍恩表示,美联储"必然将会降息,并且比市场定价的次数要多得多"。 当被追问他预计美联储将会有多少次降息时,艾因霍恩只是简单回应:"正如你们期待的那样,会有很 多次。" 根据CME"美联储观察工具"显示的最新数据,利率期货交易员们目前认为美联储将分别在6月和9月累 计进行降息2次。 这位对冲基金投资经理指出,来自特朗普政府的政治层面的压力以及即将到来的美联储领导层更迭,是 推动美联储激进降息周期的关键催化剂。 艾因霍恩提到,特朗普"相信美国应该拥有全球最低的利率",并已选择了一位与这一激进降息愿景一致 的新任美联储 ...
日本保险业丑闻频发!四大寿险巨头悉数卷入 信任危机加剧或成股价“毒药”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:33
据悉,第一生命控股成为最新一家披露违规行为的公司。该公司与包括住友生命保险公司在内的日本另 外三大寿险公司表示,被派驻至销售其保险产品的金融机构的员工存在数据处理不当行为。第一生命控 股在声明中称,在2024年8月之前,来自第一生命控股及其子公司的64名派驻员工未经批准获取了超过 1,000条数据。与此同时,保德信金融(PRU.US)本月早些时候披露员工存在不当销售行为后,已暂停在 日本销售新的寿险产品90天。 日本保险公司过去也曾卷入价格操纵和不当销售等丑闻,但最新风波发生在金融行业尤为敏感的时期。 随着人口老龄化加剧,政策制定者正努力推动家庭资产从储蓄转向投资。日本金融厅(FSA)计划设立一 个部门,专门监管保险和资产管理行业,凸显出政策层面对保险公司的关注。研究企业管理的同志社大 学教授Hajime Ota表示:"如果如此规模的丑闻持续发生,对整个行业的不信任可能会影响保险销售。" 尽管利率上升通常有利于保险公司经营,但日本保险股表现仍逊于大盘。过去一年,东证指数上涨 42%,而保险指数仅上涨32,;同期日本银行股指数则大涨76%。 (原标题:日本保险业丑闻频发!四大寿险巨头悉数卷入 信任危机加剧或成股 ...
逆势独涨!苹果iPhone 17在华1月销量涨8%,市场份额升至并列第一
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:31
智通财经获悉,根据Counterpoint Research的数据,苹果(AAPL.US)的iPhone是1月份唯一在中国市场实现销量增长的智能手机产品线。该机构称, 其他手机厂商的销量在整体下滑23%的市场环境中都出现大幅下降,主要是补贴减少以及农历新年时间变化所致。然而,iPhone 17系列帮助苹果实 现了8%的增长,使其市场份额提升至约五分之一,与华为并列领先。 大中华区成为本次财报的最大亮点,该区域营收达255亿美元,同比增长38%,大幅超出市场218亿美元的预期。苹果首席执行官库克指出,iPhone在 该地区创下了销售纪录,并且推动安卓用户向苹果生态的转换数实现两位数增长。 财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> 该机构补充称,目前iPhone 17系列几乎没有折扣或降价,这为未来进一步调整价格或优化利润率留出了空间。不过,其他手机品牌尚未进入最密集 的促销阶段,本月的农历新年节日将成为季节性消费的核心。 自去年9月推出新款机型以来,苹果的旗舰产品实现了重大复苏。在全球最大智能手机市场,其假期期间出货量激增,帮助其实现了有史以来最佳的 iPhone季度业绩。苹果在上月底公布的财报显示,在截至 ...
市场误判了沃什立场? 特朗普的“全球最低利率”愿景或将成现实
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:20
这位对冲基金投资经理指出,来自特朗普政府的政治层面的压力以及即将到来的美联储领导层更迭,是 推动美联储激进降息周期的关键催化剂。 艾因霍恩提到,特朗普"相信美国应该拥有全球最低的利率",并已选择了一位与这一激进降息愿景一致 的新任美联储主席。他强调相信特朗普提名的下任美联储主席凯文.沃什(Kevin Warsh)"将会提出一些具 有说服力的论据,能够说服FOMC美联储货币政策委员会里的成员们"支持更低利率。 艾因霍恩强力驳斥了"强劲经济将会阻止降息进程"的担忧情绪,他认为在新上台的经济与财政领导层之 下,传统约束可能不再适用。 尽管1月份美国非农就业数据比市场预期强劲得多,导致金融市场对于美联储2026年降息预期从3次降至 2次降息,但是华尔街对冲基金投资巨鳄、绿光资本创始人大卫.艾因霍恩(David Einhorn)预测,美联储 今年将把基准利率下调"远远多于两次",并称市场正在严重低估未来货币政策宽松步伐。 这位华尔街最顶级对冲基金经理认为,押注降息次数将超过当前市场预期,是"眼下最好的交易逻辑之 一"。在接受媒体采访时,艾因霍恩表示,美联储"必然将会降息,并且比市场定价的次数要多得多"。 当被追问他预计 ...
泰格医药尾盘跌超5% 扣非利润下跌逾四成 机构称股价已反映利好因素
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:18
消息面上,泰格医药近日公告,此预计2025年实现营业收入66.6亿-76.8亿元,同比增长1%至16%;归属 于上市公司股东的净利润为8.3亿-12.3亿元,同比增长105%至204%;归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常 性损益后的净利润约3.3亿-4.9亿元,同比下降61%至43%。当期业绩增长主要由金融资产的投资收益和 公允价值变动贡献,而非临床CRO核心业务驱动。 里昂发布研报称,泰格医药的订单情况有所改善,但市场更关注公司的订单转化收入效率及投资变现能 力。由于短期利好因素已反映在股价,相信其风险与回报已趋于平衡。该行下调泰格医药2027财年盈测 7%,以反映长期投资收益的不确定因素增加。 泰格医药(300347)(03347)尾盘跌超5%,截至发稿,跌4.85%,报51港元,成交额1.3亿港元。 ...
光伏见顶是“大谎言”?白银暴涨154%撕开IEA预测的“底裤”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:12
Core Viewpoint - The solar industry may have reached its peak, contrary to some analysts' beliefs, as the International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts a significant decline in global photovoltaic (PV) installations by 2026, despite exceeding the 630 GW annual target in 2022 with 654 GW of new capacity [1][2]. Group 1: Solar Industry Performance - The solar industry is expected to face a downturn in new installations, with analysts suggesting that future growth may not surpass the levels seen in 2025 [1]. - The IEA's estimates indicate that achieving net-zero emissions will require substantial annual PV installations from 2030 to 2050, yet the current trajectory suggests a decline [1]. Group 2: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices have surged by 154% over the past year, driven by both fundamental factors and speculative behavior, with 60% of silver consumption coming from industrial users, particularly the solar sector [3][6]. - Solar manufacturers consumed approximately 196 million ounces of silver last year, accounting for 17% of global silver consumption, which is equivalent to the total usage in the jewelry industry [3][6]. Group 3: Silver Consumption Trends - The transition to TOPCon technology in solar panels requires more silver, but manufacturers are increasingly reducing silver usage, achieving an annual reduction rate of about 15% [3][4]. - If the solar industry maintains this historical rate of silver savings, the demand for silver could drastically decline, potentially dropping to a quarter of last year's levels by 2035, even with a projected increase in installation volumes [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Opportunities - The potential oversupply of silver due to declining demand from the solar industry raises questions about the sustainability of current silver prices, especially as 80% of mined silver comes from profitable operations below $30 per ounce [5]. - Despite the broad applications of silver, other sectors like electric vehicles and artificial intelligence are unlikely to compensate for the loss of demand from the solar industry, which could lead to a significant supply surplus [5][6]. - There is skepticism regarding the predictions of the solar industry's peak, as historical trends suggest that the IEA has often underestimated the sector's potential for growth and innovation [7].
光大证券:首次覆盖给予希迪智驾“买入”评级 智启商用车新征程
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:11
Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities predicts that Xidi Intelligent Driving (03881) will reduce its Non-IFRS net loss to 76 million yuan in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 39.8%, with expected Non-IFRS net profits of 75 million yuan and 357 million yuan in 2026 and 2027 respectively, highlighting the company's strong position in the autonomous mining truck sector and its technological advantages [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Xidi Intelligent Driving, established in 2017, focuses on providing autonomous driving technology and solutions for commercial vehicles, particularly in mining trucks and logistics vehicles, and is one of the first companies in China to achieve "no safety driver normal operation" for autonomous commercial vehicles [1] - The company is expected to see revenue and profit growth as the commercialization of autonomous mining trucks expands, with additional revenue potential from V2X and intelligent perception businesses as market demand increases [2] Group 2: Market Potential - According to Xidi Intelligent Driving's prospectus, the market size for autonomous mining truck solutions in China is projected to reach 1.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a total potential market size of 550 billion yuan, and is expected to grow to 39.6 billion yuan by 2030, representing a CAGR of 65.3% from 2024 to 2030 [2] - The penetration rate of autonomous mining trucks in mining transportation is expected to increase as the demand for intelligent mining solutions grows and technology matures, leading to an upgrade in market size and commercialization levels [2] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Xidi Intelligent Driving possesses core advantages in technology, scene adaptation, and commercialization: 1. Technological differentiation with superior obstacle perception and positioning accuracy compared to competitors [3] 2. Strong scene integration capabilities with six core functions covering the entire process [3] 3. Rapid commercialization through a pure product sales model, allowing for quick conversion of technology into commercial success, which is expected to further solidify the company's competitive edge [3]
博耳电力午后涨超130% 数据中心拉动供配电设备需求 公司深耕智能配电领域
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:10
爱建证券发布研报称,数据中心已成为电力设备行业核心增量应用场景,其发展趋势直接驱动电力设备 需求增长与技术迭代。从行业数据看,2024 年全球数据中心新增装机量已达 14GW,且单机柜功率密 度大幅提升,这一变化使得数据中心对电力供给的稳定性、能效性提出更高要求,进而推动电力设备在 该场景的应用规模扩张与技术迭代加速。 博耳电力中期报告显示,公司作为国内领先的一站式高端综合配电系统及方案供应商,在智能配电领域 已构建深厚技术壁垒。基于自主研发的"慧云"大数据平台,公司为客户提供独创的IEM一站式解决方案 服务,能确保数据中心用电安全性及稳定性,并通过智能化配用电解决方案降低能源消耗,帮助客户实 现数据中心产业可持续发展。 博耳电力(01685)午后涨超130%,截至发稿,涨119.05%,报0.69港元,成交额2118.77万港元。 ...