Core Viewpoint - Kessler Investment Group has increased its stake in Canada Goose Holdings, indicating confidence in the luxury outerwear market despite recent stock price fluctuations [2][7]. Company Overview - Canada Goose Holdings designs and markets luxury outerwear and apparel, targeting affluent consumers globally through direct and wholesale channels [1][6]. - The company reported a total revenue of $1.04 billion and a net income of $15.01 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [5]. Recent Transactions - Kessler Investment Group acquired an additional 379,516 shares of Canada Goose, valued at approximately $5.05 million, increasing its position to 3.7% of its reportable assets under management [2][3]. - This purchase has made Canada Goose the tenth-largest holding in Kessler's portfolio [7]. Stock Performance - As of February 6, 2026, Canada Goose shares were priced at $11.24, reflecting a 14.7% increase over the past year, slightly outperforming the S&P 500 [4][5]. - Following the recent Q3 earnings report, the stock experienced a decline of over 10%, despite a 14% growth in total sales and a 20% increase in North American revenue [10]. Market Position and Strategy - Canada Goose offers a range of performance luxury apparel, including parkas and lightweight jackets, and generates revenue through both direct-to-consumer sales and wholesale distribution [9]. - The company has seen consistent growth in direct-to-consumer sales, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of such growth [10]. Valuation Insights - The stock is currently trading at a valuation of 1.1 times sales and 9 times free cash flow, which is considered attractive for a luxury brand [11]. - The company’s new product categories have seen sales double year over year, indicating strong consumer interest beyond traditional offerings [11].

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock is currently undervalued, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 25, which presents a potential opportunity for significant returns as the AI computing market continues to grow [1][7]. Company Performance - Nvidia's stock has previously shown strong performance, with an 81% return when its forward P/E was around 24, indicating a potential for similar gains in the future [5][13]. - The company is expected to maintain a robust growth trajectory, with Wall Street analysts predicting a revenue increase of 52% for fiscal 2027, only slightly down from the anticipated 63% growth for fiscal 2026 [11]. Market Position - Nvidia remains a leader in the AI computing space, with its GPUs being the preferred choice despite increasing competition [8]. - AI hyperscalers are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, with record-setting plans for 2026, which will benefit Nvidia as they continue to purchase its equipment [8][12]. Future Outlook - Nvidia's management forecasts that global data center capital expenditures will reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion annually by 2030, positioning the company to gain substantially from this trend [9]. - The stock is viewed as a strong investment opportunity, with expectations that it could double by 2027 if it returns to its normal valuation range [13].

Core Insights - The ProShares - Ultra QQQ ETF (QLD) and ProShares - Ultra S&P 500 ETF (SSO) aim to double the daily returns of their respective indexes, with QLD tracking the Nasdaq-100 and SSO tracking the S&P 500 [1][7] Cost & Size Comparison - QLD has an expense ratio of 0.95%, while SSO has a lower expense ratio of 0.87% [2] - As of February 2, 2026, QLD has a 1-year return of 29.85%, compared to SSO's 23.67% [2] - QLD has a lower dividend yield of 0.17% compared to SSO's 0.68% [2] - QLD has an Assets Under Management (AUM) of $11 billion, while SSO has an AUM of $8 billion [2] Performance & Risk Comparison - Over a 5-year period, QLD experienced a maximum drawdown of -63.68%, while SSO had a drawdown of -46.73% [4] - An investment of $1,000 would grow to $2,403 in QLD and $2,601 in SSO over 5 years [4] Portfolio Composition - QLD allocates 53% of its portfolio to technology, 17% to communication services, and 13% to consumer cyclical stocks, with top holdings including Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft [5] - SSO has a broader sector mix with 35% in technology, 13% in financial services, and 11% in communication services, also featuring Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft among its largest positions [6] Investment Implications - Leveraged ETFs like QLD and SSO carry higher risk but can offer significant returns, with QLD being more suitable for risk-tolerant investors seeking tech exposure, while SSO may appeal to those looking for slightly more stability [10]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts maintain a positive outlook on software businesses despite recent market declines, suggesting that the sell-off may be overdone and presenting potential investment opportunities in select software stocks [1][3]. Software Sector Overview - The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF has experienced a decline of over 22% since December 10, officially entering bear market territory as of February 3 [3]. - Analysts believe that certain software stocks could offer significant upside potential, with average price targets indicating increases of 47% to 63% [3]. Company-Specific Insights Datadog - Datadog's stock has fallen from nearly $200 per share in early November to around $120, indicating a potential upside of 61% according to analysts [5][9]. - The company provides cloud monitoring and security solutions, and is expected to grow revenue by 20% by 2026, leveraging AI to enhance operations and create new capabilities [6][8]. - Of the 33 analysts covering Datadog, 30 have a buy rating, reflecting strong confidence in its business model and future growth [9]. Snowflake - Snowflake's stock has an average price target suggesting a 63% upside, despite challenges in convincing investors of its AI strategy and its current lack of profitability [10][14]. - The company has formed partnerships with AI leaders and completed a $200 million deal with OpenAI, indicating its relevance in the AI space [13]. - Analysts remain optimistic, with 30 out of 33 providing buy ratings, highlighting confidence in its long-term potential [14]. Microsoft - Microsoft, while primarily known as a software company, is also seen as a major beneficiary of the AI boom, despite a 23% decline in stock price over the past six months [15][19]. - The company faced a sell-off following lower-than-expected growth in its Azure cloud business, which is critical for its AI-related revenue [16][18]. - Analysts have a strong positive outlook, with 34 out of 35 providing buy ratings, suggesting a 47% upside potential for the stock [19].

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is shifting its focus from traditional automotive production to new ventures, specifically humanoid robots and AI, leading to the discontinuation of the Model S and Model X [2][4]. Group 1: Company Strategy - Tesla will end production of the Model S and Model X in Q2, reallocating resources to produce the Optimus robot, as stated by CEO Elon Musk [4]. - The decision reflects Tesla's ambition to transition towards autonomy and advanced technologies beyond electric vehicles [4][10]. Group 2: Market Response - Investors may have anticipated this move, as Tesla had already ceased new orders for the Model S and X in China due to high tariffs and low demand in Europe [6]. - In 2025, combined deliveries of the Model S, Model X, and Cybertruck accounted for only 50,850 units, representing just over 3% of Tesla's total 1.6 million deliveries [8]. Group 3: Financial Overview - Tesla's current market capitalization stands at $1.4 trillion, with a gross margin of 18.03% [9]. - The stock price has seen fluctuations, with a recent change of +3.47%, indicating investor interest amidst strategic shifts [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Tesla's future is characterized by uncertainty as it aims to produce a million Optimus robots annually, marking a significant pivot in its business model [10]. - Investors are encouraged to reassess their positions in Tesla, considering the company's evolving identity beyond just an electric vehicle manufacturer [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF (SCHQ) offers a lower expense ratio and gentler drawdowns compared to the iShares 20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), making it an attractive option for fixed income investors seeking long-dated U.S. government debt exposure [1][4]. Cost Comparison - SCHQ has an expense ratio of 0.03%, significantly lower than TLT's 0.15% [3][4]. - SCHQ provides a slightly higher dividend yield of 4.6% compared to TLT's 4.4% [3]. - The assets under management (AUM) for TLT is $45.2 billion, while SCHQ has $902.5 million [3]. Performance & Risk Analysis - Over the past five years, SCHQ has a max drawdown of -40.88%, which is less severe than TLT's -43.70% [5]. - A $1,000 investment in SCHQ would have grown to $599, compared to $573 for TLT over the same period [5]. - SCHQ exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 0.52, while TLT has a beta of 2.34, indicating greater price volatility relative to the S&P 500 [3]. Portfolio Composition - SCHQ tracks the long-term U.S. Treasury bond market with a portfolio of 98 holdings, providing more diversification than TLT, which holds only 45 positions [6][7]. - Both funds exclusively invest in U.S. Treasury bonds, avoiding corporate or non-Treasury exposure, but TLT's concentration in fewer holdings may increase risk [7]. Market Outlook - Following two Federal Reserve rate cuts in Q4 2026, interest rates may continue to decline, potentially increasing demand for bonds as investors seek to lock in higher yields [9]. - While SCHQ is currently viewed as the better option due to its performance and lower volatility, TLT could outperform if interest rates decline further [10].

Core Insights - Sirius XM is a leading provider of satellite radio and audio entertainment services in the U.S., leveraging a subscription-driven business model complemented by advertising and licensing to generate consistent revenue streams [6] Company Overview - Sirius XM reported a total revenue of $8.56 billion and a net income of $805 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - The company has a dividend yield of 4.91% and its stock price was $22.60 as of February 5, 2026 [4] - The subscriber base stood at 31.3 million at the end of 2025, which is a decline compared to the end of 2021 [7][10] Financial Performance - The company's free cash flow increased by 37% to $1.24 billion in 2025, indicating a recovery after a dip in 2024 [10] - Approximately 29.3% of free cash flow was utilized to meet dividend obligations in 2025, suggesting sufficient cash generation to potentially reduce outstanding shares and increase dividend payouts [11] Investment Activity - CHECK Capital Management increased its stake in Sirius XM by 821,657 shares during the fourth quarter of 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $17.66 million [2] - Following this transaction, Sirius XM represented 1.68% of CHECK Capital's $3.44 billion reportable U.S. equity assets [8] - Despite the increase in stake, Sirius XM is not among CHECK Capital's top five holdings, ranking as the seventh-largest stock in their portfolio [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) in drug development, highlighting Recursion Pharmaceuticals as a leader in this space [1][2]. Company Overview - Recursion Pharmaceuticals utilizes its platform, Recursion OS, which processes 65 petabytes of chemical and biological data to virtually test drugs [2]. - The company is currently advancing eight drugs in its developmental pipeline, with half already in clinical trials involving real patients [5]. Financial Projections - Analysts project Recursion's revenue to increase from an anticipated $62 million last year to $83 million this year, with a target of $163 million by 2028 as R&D milestone payments from partners are expected to rise [6]. - The current market capitalization of Recursion Pharmaceuticals is $2.1 billion, with a current stock price of $3.98 [7]. Industry Context - The AI-powered drug development industry is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 30% from now until 2034, indicating significant market potential for companies like Recursion [9].

Core Viewpoint - The Harbor Commodity All-Weather Strategy ETF (HGER) provides diversified exposure to commodities, focusing on inflation-sensitive assets and dynamically adjusting gold weighting to optimize returns in inflationary conditions [6]. Fund Activity - Echo45 Advisors LLC reported a new position in HGER, acquiring 127,402 shares valued at approximately $3.16 million for the fiscal fourth quarter ending December 31, 2025 [2]. - This acquisition represents 1.8% of Echo45 Advisors' reportable assets under management as of December 31, 2025 [8]. ETF Overview - As of February 5, 2026, HGER's share price was $26.50, with a 1-year total return of 21.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 by 9.35 percentage points [8]. - The ETF offers a dividend yield of 6.54% [4]. Investment Strategy - The fund targets efficient diversification across at least 15 of the 24 most liquid commodity futures, with a focus on inflation sensitivity and economic significance [9]. - The strategy includes a dynamic gold weighting based on a proprietary scarcity debasement indicator, with quarterly rebalancing [9]. Performance Metrics - Over the past year, including dividends, HGER has produced a total return of 22.8%, and a total return of 46.1% over the past three years [10]. - Gold constitutes 40.9% of the ETF's total holdings, which may pose risks for conservative investors [11].

Core Insights - AMD reported strong revenue growth for Q4 2025, with a year-over-year increase of 34% to $10.27 billion, but the stock fell due to high investor expectations following a significant price increase over the past year [1][6] - The company provided solid guidance for 2026, anticipating Q1 revenue growth of 32% year-over-year to approximately $9.8 billion [6] Revenue Breakdown - AMD's data center revenue surged 39% year-over-year to $5.4 billion, driven by record CPU sales and increased GPU deployments, with eight of the ten largest AI companies utilizing its GPUs [4] - The client and gaming segments saw revenue increase by 37% to $3.9 billion, with client revenue rising 34% to $3.1 billion and gaming revenue jumping 50% to $843 million [5] - The embedded segment experienced a modest revenue increase of 3% to $950 million, with expectations for growth in 2026 [5] Market Dynamics - Sales of $390 million in GPUs to China contributed to AMD's Q4 results, but future sales to China are uncertain, with only $100 million forecasted for Q1 [2] - AMD's gross margin improved to 54%, up 300 basis points from the previous year, aided by the reversal of a write-down on MI308 chips for China [6] Valuation and Outlook - AMD's stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32 based on 2026 estimates, with a PEG ratio of 0.2, indicating potential undervaluation [9] - The company is expected to start delivering GPUs to OpenAI in the second half of 2026, reinforcing its position as a leading data center CPU provider [8]