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农夫山泉:包装水短期承压,茶饮加速放量

Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 10:03
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 29 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:27.05 港元 农夫山泉(9633.HK)食品饮料 目标价:34.20 港元 包装水短期承压,茶饮加速放量 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年中报,24H1 实现营收 221.7 亿元,同比+8.4%;归母 净利润 62.4 亿元,同比+8.0%。 包装水受舆论攻击影响承压,茶饮受益于无糖风潮维持高增。分品类看,包装 水、茶饮料、功能饮料、果汁饮料、其他产品分别实现销售收入 85.3 亿元 (-18.3%)、84.3亿元(+59.5%)、25.5亿元(+3.8%)、21.1亿元(+25.4%)、 5.5 亿元(-7.2%),分别占总营收的 38.5%/38.0%/11.5%/9.5%/2.5%。其中,包 装水下降较多主因 2 月底网络出现大量对公司和创始人的舆论攻击和恶意诋毁 影响品牌销售。茶饮料中东方树叶及茶π两大单品在健康化、低糖化趋势下快 速放量,第二曲线逐步夯实,东方树叶新口味新规格研发上市。功能饮料一方 面推出尖叫新口味注入品牌活力,另一方 ...
业绩短期承压,期待超高压装备产业化
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 10:03
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 26 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:7.10 元 利通科技(832225)基础化工 目标价:——元(6 个月) 业绩短期承压,期待超高压装备产业化 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年中报,24H1公司实现营业收入 2.2亿元,同比-4.7%, 归母净利润 4626.4 万元,同比-26.7%,扣非归母净利润 4336.1 万元,同比 -27.9%;其中单 24Q2 公司实现营业收入 1.2 亿元,同比-5.0%,归母净利润 2711.5 万元,同比-26.8%,扣非归母净利润 2569.0 万元,同比-29.8%。 业绩短期承压,期待后续表现。24H1,公司钢丝缠绕橡胶软管/钢丝编织橡胶软 管/纤维增强橡胶软管/胶管总成及配套管件/混炼胶/其他产品分别实现营收 3489.3/ 6312.4/ 1107.9/ 10204.9/ 874.1/ 117.5 万元,分别同比-17.84%/ -10.74%/ +23.97%/+ 1.33%/+ 3.42%/+ 93.60%,毛利率分别为 43.97%/ ...
顺丰同城:净利同比翻倍增长,预计9月进入港股通
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 10:03
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:10.86 港元 顺丰同城(9699.HK)交通运输 目标价:12.89 港元 净利同比翻倍增长,预计 9 月进入港股通 基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 52 周区间(港元) 6.37-12.6 3 个月平均成交量(百万) 0.51 流通股数(亿) 9.17 市值(亿) 99.63 [Table_Summary 事件:顺丰同城公布 ] 2024年半年报。2024年上半年公司实现营收 68.8亿元, 同比增长 19.6%。公司毛利及毛利率分别为 4.7亿及 6.9%,较去年同期毛利率 6.7%上涨 0.2pp。净利润及净利润率分别为 0.6亿元及 0.9%,较去年同期净利 润同比翻倍增长,增速达 105.1%,公司盈利能力持续提升。 业务凸显良好韧性,实现核心业务健康可持续增长。公司订单量与去年同期相 比实现强劲增长超过三成,同城配送服务的收入从 2023 年上半年 33.9 亿元增 长 19.2%至 2024 年上半年 40.4 亿元。充分发挥运力网络的弹性和成本 ...
禾望电气:毛利率进一步上升,研发投入大幅增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hewei Electric (603063) with a target price of 16.05 CNY over the next six months [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.38 billion CNY for the first half of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million CNY, down 23.6% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin increased, while the expense ratio faced short-term pressure due to increased R&D investment, which rose to 11.7% of revenue, up 3.8 percentage points year-on-year [1][4]. - The gross margin for the new energy control business improved significantly, reaching 35.7%, an increase of 8 percentage points year-on-year, despite a revenue decline of 12.2% [1][4]. - The hydrogen energy business is expected to become a new growth driver, with the company providing large-capacity IGBT hydrogen production power products [1][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 38.6% and a net profit margin of 12.5% [1]. - The revenue forecast for 2024-2026 is projected to be 4.02 billion CNY, 4.86 billion CNY, and 6.06 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits of 472 million CNY, 619 million CNY, and 816 million CNY [2][4]. - The company is positioned as a leading domestic manufacturer in the wind power converter sector, leveraging its technological advantages to accelerate domestic substitution [5][6]. Business Segment Insights - The new energy control business is expected to see a revenue growth rate of 6.4% in 2024, with a gross margin of 34.89% [4]. - The engineering transmission business is projected to grow by 10% in 2024, maintaining a gross margin of 45% [4]. - The company is collaborating with Longi to expand its hydrogen energy business, which has significant growth potential [5][6].
杰瑞股份:经营性现金流大幅改善,新增订单势头良好
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:08
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:27.63 元 杰瑞股份(002353)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 1 经营性现金流大幅改善,新增订单势头良好 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年半年报,2024H1公司实现营业收入 50.0亿元,同比减 少 8.5%;归母净利润 10.9 亿元,同比增长 4.3%。2024Q2 公司实现营业收入 28.3 亿元,同比减少 10.0%;归母净利润 7.1亿元,同比增长 3.1%。受油气工 程服务接单节奏影响,收入端短期承压。 国内外市场拓展顺利,新增订单势头良好。海外市场多点开花:2024H1,公司 为中东子公司增资 1.2亿美元在迪拜建设高端油气装备制造基地;成功斩获中亚 战略客户重大天然气项目订单;完成北美首套电驱压裂装备交付,同时与客户 再次签订电驱压裂设备新订单;与伊拉克中部石油公司签署曼苏里亚开发生产 合同。夯实国内基本盘:2024 年 6 月,成功中标中石油 2024 年电驱压裂设备 (带量)集中采 ...
宏华数科:内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:03
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:57.96 元 宏华数科(688789)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年半年报,2024 年上半年实现营收 8.2 亿元,同比增长 45.8%;归母净利润为 2.0亿元,同比增长 35.5%。单二季度营收 4.5亿元,同 比增长 61.7%,环比增长 21.4%,实现归母净利润 1.1亿元,同比增长 35.8%, 环比增长 31.4%,业绩稳步提升,盈利能力持续向好。 收入结构变动导致毛利率小幅下降,总体利润水平维持高位。2024年上半年公 司综合毛利率 45.8%,同比下降 1.7 个百分点,主要系公司"设备先行,耗材 跟进"经营模式下,产品结构变动,设备收入占比提升所致。上半年公司净利 率 25.4%,保持高位运行,同比下降 2.3个百分点,主要系汇兑收益减少所致。 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长。2024年上半年公司期间费用率为 16.6%,同比 增加 2.7个百分点,主要系内销占比提 ...
纽威数控:业绩符合预期,净利润小幅下滑
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the next six months [1][2]. Core Views - The company's H1 2024 performance met expectations, with revenue of 1.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.93%, and a net profit of 145 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.86% [1]. - The machine tool industry is facing demand pressure, but the company managed to achieve slight revenue growth by expanding its market [1]. - The gross profit margin decreased due to intensified market competition, with H1 2024 gross margin at 25.31%, down 0.75 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenue of 614 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.81% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.89% [1]. - The net profit for Q2 2024 was 75 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.50% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.10% [1]. - The company’s revenue from large machining centers was 530 million yuan, vertical CNC machines 360 million yuan, and horizontal CNC machines 250 million yuan in H1 2024 [1]. Market Dynamics - The machine tool industry saw a 3% decline in revenue for key enterprises in the first half of 2024, with total profit down 9.2% [1]. - New orders for metal cutting machine tools increased by 4.1%, while the backlog of orders decreased by 5.4% [1]. - Domestic sales accounted for 1.01 billion yuan of revenue, while international sales contributed 150 million yuan in H1 2024 [1]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for H1 2024 was 25.31%, with a decline in the margin for vertical CNC machines being particularly notable [1]. - The net profit margin for H1 2024 was 12.45%, down 1.28 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s R&D expense ratio increased by 0.36 percentage points, contributing to the slight decline in net profit [1]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 360 million yuan, 420 million yuan, and 480 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 15% [2][3].
宏华数科:2024年半年报点评:内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 07:32
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:57.96 元 宏华数科(688789)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年半年报,2024 年上半年实现营收 8.2 亿元,同比增长 45.8%;归母净利润为 2.0亿元,同比增长 35.5%。单二季度营收 4.5亿元,同 比增长 61.7%,环比增长 21.4%,实现归母净利润 1.1亿元,同比增长 35.8%, 环比增长 31.4%,业绩稳步提升,盈利能力持续向好。 收入结构变动导致毛利率小幅下降,总体利润水平维持高位。2024年上半年公 司综合毛利率 45.8%,同比下降 1.7 个百分点,主要系公司"设备先行,耗材 跟进"经营模式下,产品结构变动,设备收入占比提升所致。上半年公司净利 率 25.4%,保持高位运行,同比下降 2.3个百分点,主要系汇兑收益减少所致。 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长。2024年上半年公司期间费用率为 16.6%,同比 增加 2.7个百分点,主要系内销占比提 ...
杰瑞股份:2024年半年报点评:经营性现金流大幅改善,新增订单势头良好
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 07:32
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:27.63 元 杰瑞股份(002353)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 经营性现金流大幅改善,新增订单势头良好 基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 总股本(亿股) 10.24 流通 A 股(亿股) 6.93 52 周内股价区间(元) 24.23-37.05 总市值(亿元) 282.89 总资产(亿元) 335.67 每股净资产(元) 19.28 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年半年报,2024H1公司实现营业收入 50.0亿元,同比减 少 8.5%;归母净利润 10.9 亿元,同比增长 4.3%。2024Q2 公司实现营业收入 28.3 亿元,同比减少 10.0%;归母净利润 7.1亿元,同比增长 3.1%。受油气工 程服务接单节奏影响,收入端短期承压。 国内外市场拓展顺利,新增订单势头良好。海外市场多点开花:2024H1,公司 为中东子公司增资 1.2亿美元在迪拜建设高端油气装备制造基地;成功斩获中亚 战略客户重大天然气项目订单;完成 ...
禾望电气:2024年半年报点评:毛利率进一步上升,研发投入大幅增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 07:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hewei Electric (603063) with a target price of 16.05 CNY over the next six months [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.38 billion CNY for H1 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million CNY, down 23.6% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin has continued to rise, with a significant increase in R&D investment, which reached a rate of 11.7% in H1 2024, up 3.8 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The renewable energy business saw a substantial increase in gross margin, while the engineering transmission sector is expected to develop steadily due to high product barriers [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, Hewei Electric achieved a revenue of 1.38 billion CNY, with a net profit of 150 million CNY, reflecting a decline of 10.3% and 23.6% respectively compared to the previous year [1]. - The gross margin for H1 2024 was 38.6%, an increase of 5.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 12.5%, a slight decrease of 0.7 percentage points [1]. Business Segments - The renewable energy control business generated 1.05 billion CNY in revenue, down 12.2% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved to 35.7%, up 8 percentage points [1]. - The engineering transmission business reported revenue of 200 million CNY, down 5.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 39.5%, a decrease of 5.5 percentage points [1]. Growth Prospects - The hydrogen energy business is expected to become a new growth driver, with the company providing large-capacity IGBT hydrogen production power products and integrated solutions [1]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are projected at 4.02 billion CNY, 4.86 billion CNY, and 6.06 billion CNY respectively, with net profits of 472 million CNY, 619 million CNY, and 816 million CNY [2][4]. Valuation - The report assigns a PE ratio of 15 for 2024, leading to a target price of 16.05 CNY, reflecting the company's strong position in the wind power inverter market and its rapid development in solar storage inverters [5][6].