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第 1 季度有意义的需求复苏
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 08:24
2024 年 4 月 29 日 CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 泰格迈德 (300347 CH) 第 1 季度有意义的需求复苏 目标价格 66.82 元 Tigermed 报告第 1 季度收入为 16.6 亿元人民币 , 同比下降 8.0 % , 可归属经常性净收入 ( 以前的 TP 为 68.57 元人民币 ) 为 3.03 亿元人民币 , 同比下降 20.5 % , 这主要是由于公允价值变动和投资变动的收益大 涨 / 跌 15.8% 幅减少 ( 第 1 季度为 800 万元人民币 , 第 1 季度为 1.98 亿元人民币 ) 。 1 季度 24 收入 现价人民币 57.70 元中国医疗保健 / 可归属经常性净收入分别占我们 2024 年全年估计的 19.8% / 18.0%,与 COVID 前的平均水 平基本一致。如果不包括 COVID 疫苗相关收入,第 1 季度的收入将与第 1 季度持平。在持续 Jill Wu, CFA 的成本管理措施以及实验室服务的 MoM GPM 改进的推动下,第 1 季度的毛利率 ( GPM ) (852) 3900 0842 为 37.8 %,季度环比显着提高 ...
第 1 季度收益超过效率收益 ; GenAI 发展步入正轨
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 08:24
2024 年 4 月 29 日 字母表 (GOOG US) Alphabet 公布了第 1 季度的业绩 : 总收入同比增长 15 %,达到 8.5 亿美元,符合普遍预期 ; GAAP 净收入同比增长 57 %,达到 237 亿美元,比普遍预期高出 21 %,这要归功于 Alphabet 的组织优化,从而提高了速度和效率。该公司进一步提高了股东回报,宣布每股 0.20 美元的季度股息和新的 700 亿美元的股票回购计划 ( 市值的 c.4% ) 。我们对 FY24 - 26 的盈利增长前景保持乐观,这得益于有弹性的核心搜索业务,AI 货币化机会以及放缓费用 增长速度的努力。我们将 FY24 - 26 财年的盈利预测上调 2 - 7%,目标价上调至 185.5 美元 ,为 FY24E 的 27 倍 PE ( 之前 : 172.2 美元,为 FY24E 的 26 倍 PE ) 。维持买入。 弹性核心搜索业务。搜索和其他收入在第 1 季度同比增长 14%,达到 462 亿美元,主要 受零售垂直行业的强劲增长推动。然而,展望 2Q24,搜索业务将开始弥补亚太地区零售 商广告支出实力的影响,这一趋势始于 2Q23 。Yo ...
2023 年净利润错过 ; 1Q24 仍然疲软 ; 观望
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 08:24
2024 年 4 月 29 日 CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 三一重工 (600031 CH) 2023 年净利润错过 ; 1Q24 仍然疲软 ; 观望 三一重工 ( 三一重工 ) 2023 年的净利润为 45.3 亿元人民币 ( 同比增长 6% ),比我们和 普遍预期低 12% 。此外,由于收入缺乏增长 ( 同比增长 - 1% ),第 1 季度净利润仅同比增 目标价 14.80 元 长 5%,至 15.8 亿元人民币。鉴于海外需求疲软 ( 尤其是欧洲 ),我们仍然担心今年出口进 ( 先前 TP 为 12.30 元人民币 ) 一步放缓。我们维持 2024E 盈利预测,但考虑到中国市场的温和复苏,将 2025E 预期上调 涨 / 跌 ( 7.7% ) 8% 。尽管如此,我们的新估计仍低于共识 24% / 29% 。维护。HOLD新 TP 为 14.8 元人民 现价人民币 16.04 元中国资本货物 币 , 基于 24 倍 2024E P / E 。 Wayne FUNG, CFA  4Q23 业绩低于预期。收入同比下降 17% , 至 17.9 亿元人民币。毛利率同比收窄 1.9 (852 ...
1Q24 earnings beat on efficiency gain; GenAI development on track
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 07:02
29 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Alphabet (GOOG US) 1Q24 earnings beat on efficiency gain; GenAI development on track Alphabet announced 1Q24 results: total revenue grew by 15% YoY to US$80.5bn, in line with consensus estimate; GAAP net income was up 57% YoY to US$23.7bn, 21% ahead of consensus estimate, thanks to Alphabet's organization optimization which leads to greater velocity and efficiency. The company further raised its shareholder return, announcing a ...
In-line 1Q24 earnings
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 07:02
29 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update GAC Group (2238 HK) In-line 1Q24 earnings GAC Group (GAC)'s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn. We are more conservative than management about Aion's sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development. We are of the view that ...
2023 net profit a miss; 1Q24 still weak; Stay on the sidelines
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 07:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a HOLD rating for SANY Heavy with a new target price of RMB14.80, revised from RMB12.30, based on a 24x 2024E P/E ratio [2][3]. Core Insights - SANY Heavy's net profit for 2023 was RMB4.53 billion, a 6% year-over-year increase, but 12% below estimates. The 1Q24 net profit grew only 5% year-over-year to RMB1.58 billion, attributed to a revenue decline of 1% year-over-year [2][3]. - Concerns persist regarding a potential slowdown in exports, particularly in Europe, impacting overall performance [2][3]. - The report anticipates a moderate recovery in the Chinese market, leading to an 8% increase in 2025E earnings estimates, although these remain 24% to 29% below consensus [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - **2023 Results**: Revenue decreased by 17% year-over-year to RMB17.9 billion, with a gross margin contraction of 1.9 percentage points to 25.6%. Net profit fell by 29% year-over-year to RMB480 million [2][3]. - **1Q24 Results**: Revenue dropped 1% year-over-year, but gross margin improved by 0.5 percentage points to 28.4%. Operating cash flow significantly improved to RMB4.38 billion compared to -RMB1.6 billion in 1Q23 [2][3]. - **Overseas Revenue**: In 2H23, overseas revenue (62% of total) grew 4% year-over-year to RMB20.8 billion, with Europe showing a 15% increase to RMB8.1 billion [2][3][7]. Valuation and Market Outlook - The target price of RMB14.80 reflects a valuation that is 0.5 standard deviations above the average P/E of 20x since 2017, indicating initial signs of stabilization in excavator sales in China [2][3]. - Upside risks include stabilization in property investment in China, while downside risks involve further declines in overseas demand [2][3].
Meaningful demand recovery in 1Q24
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 07:00
M N 29 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Tigermed (300347 CH) Meaningful demand recovery in 1Q24 Target Price RMB66.82 Tigermed reported 1Q24 revenue of RMB1,660mn, down 8.0% YoY, and (Previous TP RMB68.57) attributable recurring net income of RMB303mn, down 20.5% YoY, which was Up/Downside 15.8% mainly due to the substantially reduced gains on fair value changes and Current Price RMB57.70 investment changes (RMB8mn in 1Q24 vs RMB198mn in 1Q23). 1Q24 revenue / attr ...
1Q24保持业务快速增长势头
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-29 05:32
M N 2024 年 4 月 29 日 招银国际环球市场 | 睿智投资 | 公司更新 固生堂 (2273 HK) 1Q24 保持业务快速增长势头 目标价 71.96港元 固生堂更新了 1Q24 经营数据, 1Q24 就诊人次约为 107 万,同比增长约 (此前目标价 71.96港元) 42.1%,其中在23年4月1日至24年3月31日期间新成立的门店1Q24就诊 潜在升幅 58.2% 人次约为 7.4 万,贡献总就诊人次增长率中的 9.8%。管理层表示老店就诊人次 当前股价 45.50港元 增长达 32.2%。门诊人次的强劲增长部分得益于 23 年 1-2 月疫情导致的低基 中国医药 数,然而23年3月出现积压需求的集中爆发,造成一定的高基数,但24年3月 武 煜, CFA 门诊人次的增长仍超过 30%。同时,管理层表示 1Q24 客单价同比增长超过 (852) 3900 0842 2%。基于公司良好的现金流表现,管理层计划在未来 3-5 年将每年的分红、回 jillwu@cmbi.com.hk 购的比例提高至净利润的30-50%,以更好的回馈股东。 黄本晨, CFA  线下门店扩张提速。23 年固生堂共收 ...
Strong adoption of GenAI solutions
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-26 06:02
| --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | CMB International Global Markets Address : 45/F, Champion Tower, 3 Garden Road, Hong Kong, Tel: (852) 3900 0888 Fax: (852) 3900 0800 | Limited | | CMB International Global Markets subsidiary of China Merchants Bank) | Limited ("CMBIGM") i ...
Launch of the AI investment cycle
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-04-26 05:32
Meta reported 1Q24 results: total revenue grew by 27% YoY to US$36.5bn, in line with consensus estimate of US$36.2bn; net income was up 117% YoY to US$12.4bn, also in line with consensus estimate (US$12.2bn). For 2Q24, management guides total revenue to increase by 14-22% YoY to US$36.5- 39.0bn (vs. consensus estimate of US$38.3bn), with growth rate normalizing as the base effect wanes. Looking ahead, Meta expects to start a multi-year investment cycle to build full-scale AI capabilities and enhance monetiz ...