2025 年 5 月 28 日 招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 每日投资策略 行业及公司点评 全球市场观察 行业点评 半导体行业 - 主题投资与宏观趋势：中国云厂商加速 AI 基础设施建设，云需 求持续增强 中国大规模云厂商（阿里巴巴、腾讯、百度）正在加快 AI 基础设施投资步伐， 1Q25 资本支出同比翻倍。尽管三者的总投入仍低于海外超大规模云厂商，但 显著的增长表明它们正明确聚焦于扩展算力以支持大模型的训练和推理。尽 管短期内受到美国 AI GPU 出口限制影响，国内云厂商仍坚定地致力于 AI 的 长期发展。值得注意的是，初步回报已开始显现，三家公司云业务均看见显 敬请参阅尾页之免责声明 请到彭博 (搜索代码: RESP CMBR )或 http://www.cmbi.com.hk 下载更多研究报告 招银国际研究部 邮件：research@cmbi.com.hk | 环球主要股市上日表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 收市价 | | 升跌（%） | | | | 单日 | 年内 | | 恒生指数 | 23,382 | -0.93 | 37.16 | ...

2025 年 5 月 27 日 招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 每日投资策略 行业及公司点评 全球市场观察 行业点评 医药行业 - ASCO 精选亮点：聚焦下一代免疫疗法与 ADC 信达生物：ASCO 数据强化了 IBI363 作为下一代免疫治疗（IO）的潜力。 我们认为 IBI363 在 IO 耐药的鳞状非小细胞肺癌（sq-NSCLC）领域具有较大 潜力，单药治疗展现出 7.3 个月的 mPFS，在针对同适应症的创新药物中具 备较强竞争力。信达计划于 2H25 启动 IBI363 在 IO 耐药 sq-NSCLC 的 III 期 临床。 周一（5 月 26 日）中国股市下跌。港股可选消费、医疗保健与资讯科技领跌， 电信服务、必选消费与能源收跌，南向资金净卖出 15.07亿港元。A股汽车、 医药生物和银行跌幅居前，传媒、计算机和环保等收涨。人民币小幅上涨。 比亚迪大力度降价，引发市场对新一轮价格战担忧。 欧股反弹，对关税敏感的汽车板块大涨，欧元创本月新高。欧盟称将快速推 进欧美贸易谈判，贸易专员称与美方沟通良好，提振市场情绪。欧央行行长 称近期全球动荡为"欧元全球化时刻"创造契机，欧元可能成为美 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for EHang Holdings with an unchanged target price of US$30, indicating a potential upside of 76.9% from the current price of US$16.96 [1][3][17]. Core Insights - EHang's 1Q25 results were below expectations, with a 58% year-over-year decline in eVTOL aircraft deliveries, totaling only 11 units due to delays caused by weather, Chinese New Year seasonality, and operator certificate approvals. However, management anticipates a recovery in sales in 2Q25 [1][6]. - The company aims for a revenue target of RMB900 million in 2025, representing a 97% year-over-year growth, alongside a 40% increase in selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses [1][2]. - EHang is recognized as a first-mover in the eVTOL market in China, having obtained essential certifications for mass production and operation [1][6]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY25 is projected at RMB898 million, with a year-over-year growth of 97%. The adjusted net profit is expected to improve to a loss of RMB64 million, with a return to profitability anticipated in FY26 with a net profit of RMB178 million [2][14]. - The gross margin for 1Q25 slightly expanded to 62.4%, despite a significant revenue decline [6][7]. - EHang's inventories increased by 44% to RMB109 million as of March 2025, attributed to shipment delays [6]. Product Development - The VT35 eVTOL is the next key product, currently undergoing certification processes in China, with plans for a launch in 3Q25 [6][7]. - EHang has successfully obtained operating certificates for its subsidiaries, with commercial operations expected to commence in the coming months as safety remains a priority [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Meituan, with a target price of HK$181.6, which reflects a 40.3% upside from the current price of HK$129.4 [2][10]. Core Insights - Meituan's 1Q25 results showed revenue of RMB86.6 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, and adjusted net profit of RMB10.9 billion, up 46% year-over-year, exceeding both forecasts and consensus estimates [1]. - The company is actively responding to increased competition in the food delivery market by optimizing user subsidies to enhance user stickiness, while also committing to international expansion for long-term growth [1][10]. - Revenue from the core local commerce (CLC) segment reached RMB64.3 billion, up 18% year-over-year, with operating profit of RMB13.5 billion, which was 10% better than consensus estimates [1][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY25E, revenue is projected at RMB386.1 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 14.4%, while adjusted net profit is expected to be RMB39.3 billion, reflecting a decline of 10.3% year-over-year [7][9]. - The CLC segment is forecasted to generate revenue of RMB66.7 billion in 2Q25E, indicating a 10% year-over-year growth [1]. - New initiatives generated revenue of RMB22.2 billion in 1Q25, up 19% year-over-year, with an operating loss of RMB2.3 billion, which is an improvement from the previous year [1][8]. Forecast Revisions - The revenue and adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been lowered by 1-2% and 11-21% respectively, due to increased investments in the food delivery business and international expansion [1][9]. - The target price was cut by 9% to HK$181.6, translating into a 25x adjusted PE for 2025E [10][12]. Share Performance - The market capitalization of Meituan is approximately HK$792.6 billion, with a 52-week high of HK$213.40 and a low of HK$102.10 [2][3]. - Over the past month, the stock has seen a 1.4% increase, but a decline of 25.7% over the past three months [4]. Shareholding Structure - Major shareholders include Crown Holdings Asia Limited with 8.1% and BlackRock with 5.3% [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HK$24.00, representing a potential upside of 17.1% from the current price of HK$20.50 [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with total revenue of RMB 4.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13%, exceeding both the report's and Bloomberg's expectations by 0.7% and 0.9% respectively. Adjusted net profit reached RMB 788 million, up 41% year-on-year, also surpassing forecasts [1][2]. - The core OTA business revenue was RMB 3.8 billion, accounting for 86.6% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 18.4%, driven by strong performance in transportation ticketing and other services [2]. - The report anticipates stable growth in profits for the full year, with a projected 25% increase in operating profit and an 18% rise in non-GAAP net profit for the core OTA business in 2025 [1]. Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Performance - Total revenue was RMB 4.4 billion, a 13% increase year-on-year, with adjusted net profit at RMB 788 million, reflecting a 41% growth [1]. - The core OTA business saw revenue of RMB 3.8 billion, up 18.4% year-on-year, driven by growth in transportation ticketing and accommodation services [2]. Q2 2025 Outlook - For Q2 2025, total revenue is expected to reach RMB 4.7 billion, a 10% year-on-year increase, with core OTA revenue projected to grow by 13% [3]. - The report notes that while core OTA revenue growth may slow due to seasonal factors, a recovery is anticipated in the second half of the year [3]. Profitability and Margins - The overall operating margin improved to 18.7% in Q1 2025, up from 11.8% in Q1 2024, with the core OTA business margin expanding to 29.2% [4]. - The report predicts continued expansion of the core OTA's non-GAAP operating margin to 25.5% in Q2 2025, supported by healthy revenue growth and optimized sales and marketing expenses [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted downwards by 2%, while non-GAAP net profit expectations remain largely unchanged [1][12]. - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of RMB 19.5 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.4% [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for BaTeLab is reiterated as "Buy" with a target price maintained at HK$69.5, indicating a potential upside of 37.1% from the current price of HK$50.70 [2][4]. Core Insights - BaTeLab successfully raised HK$120 million through a private placement, which will be used to enhance upstream manufacturing capabilities and for general operational funding. This is crucial for the company's future expansion in the industrial-grade analog IC market [1][2]. - The company is expected to experience robust revenue growth, with projected growth rates of 27%-33% from 2025 to 2027, alongside high profitability with expected gross margins of 53%-54% during the same period [1][2]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 464 million in FY23A to RMB 770 million in FY25E, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33% [3][11]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 109.2 million in FY23A to RMB 216.7 million in FY25E, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.1% [3][11]. - The company's P/E ratio is currently at 12.9x for FY25E, which is significantly lower than the average of 38x for domestic peers, indicating an attractive valuation [2][10]. Shareholder Structure - The major shareholders include Li Zhen with 53.5% and Zhang Guangping with 39.5% of the shares [5]. Market Performance - Over the past month, BaTeLab's stock has shown a slight increase of 0.2%, while over three months, it has risen by 59.4% [6]. Valuation Metrics - The company is trading at a P/B ratio of 0.43, which is appealing compared to the industry average [2]. - The projected EPS for FY25E is RMB 3.61, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 12.9x, indicating strong earnings potential [3][11].

2025 年 5 月 26 日 招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 每日投资策略 宏观、行业及公司点评 全球市场观察 | | 收市价 | | 升/跌（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 单日 | 年内 | | 恒生金融 | 40,852 | 0.34 | 36.98 | | 恒生工商业 | 13,444 | 0.23 | 45.60 | | 恒生地产 | 16,308 | -0.08 | -11.02 | | 恒生公用事业 | 36,849 | -0.20 | 12.09 | | 资料来源：彭博 | | | | 敬请参阅尾页之免责声明 请到彭博 (搜索代码: RESP CMBR )或 http://www.cmbi.com.hk 下载更多研究报告 1 行业点评 科技行业 - Computex 2025 总结：GB300 NVL72、液冷、GPU/SOCAMM 插槽、AI PC、DGX Spark Computex 2025 于 5 月 19 日至 23 日在台北举行，主要聚焦于 AI 服务器、AI PC 和散热/电源/连接器解决方案。以下为我们从主题演讲及展区走 ...

爱奇艺（IQ US；买入；目标价：2.45 美元）- 1Q25 业绩符合预期；加大营 销及内容投入影响短期利润率 爱奇艺公布 1Q25 业绩：总收入同比下降 9%，但环比增长 9%至 71.9 亿元， 符合一致预期；非 GAAP 营业利润同比下降 58%，但环比回升 13%至 4.59 亿元，符合一致预期。展望 2Q25，我们预计总收入环比基本持平，但非 GAAP 营业利润率将环比下降，主因公司加大对内容生态和微剧获客的投入。 我们认为公司在微剧领域的投入短期会对利润率产生影响，但长期来看将完 善爱奇艺内容生态，并创造增量变现机会。鉴于短期利润率压力，我们下调 FY25-27 年费 GAAP 盈利预测至 7 亿/15 亿/18 亿元（前值：14 亿/16 亿/18 亿元）。我们将目标价下调至 2.45 美元，基于 13x 3Q25-2Q26E non-GAAP EPS（前值：2.60 美元，基于 13x FY25E PE）。公司当前估值仅对应 8x FY26E PE，相较同行仍然有安全边际。维持买入评级。（链接） Boss 直聘（BZ US；买入；目标价：21.0 美元）- 招聘需求维持韧性；全年 盈利指引不 ...

在人工智能领域取得稳步进展。 关于人工智能战略，该公司将继续提升其 人工智能能力，但将在大规模人工智能部署方面保持谨慎，因为这可能部 分取代人类招聘人员。在测试期间，使用该公司人工智能功能的招聘人员 提高了25%的招聘效率，而通过人工智能沟通助手回应的求职者其成功率 提升了15%。该公司还利用人工智能提高内部效率，我们预计这将为利润 扩张提供进一步的空间。 保持2025财年营业利润目标。 非GAAP运营利润率（OPM）同比增长13 个百分点至36.0%（2025年第一季度），主要得益于运营杠杆效应和运营支出 控制。销售与市场/研发支出同比分别下降18%和8%，至41.7亿/33.5亿人民币 （2025年第一季度）。展望未来，公司将继续聚焦于提升效率和控制成本。管 理层指出，2025年第一季度通常是利润率最低的季度，并对实现2025财年非G AAP运营利润目标（35亿人民币）持乐观态度。 收益概要 | (YE 31 Dec) | FY23A | FY24A | FY25E | FY26E | FY27E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收入（人民币百万元） | ...

23 May 2025 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Baozun (BZUN US) Quality revenue growth on track Baozun released 1Q25 results: total revenue was RMB2.1bn, up 4% YoY, 2% better than Bloomberg consensus, mainly driven by the beat in Baozun Brand Management (BBM) revenue; non-GAAP net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of Baozun came in at RMB57mn, better than consensus of loss of RMB65mn. Baozun E-commerce (BEC) inked revenue growth of 1.4% YoY, and BBM booked 23% YoY g ...