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瑞银:予恒生银行评级“沽售” 若汇丰银行私有化顺利进行股价有上行空间
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 03:58
瑞银表示,私有化提案料于2026年上半年完成,须获少数股东至少75%投票权批准。根据港交所(00388) 股权披露,除汇丰外无其他重大股东。少数股权似乎高度分散,主要由被动型基金组成。除少数股东投 票外,尚未讨论监管机构对私有化交易的立场。瑞银认为,汇丰银行有充分理由相信不会有任何重大监 管障碍。 瑞银指出,正如分析师电话会议所强调,潜在的收入及成本协同效应,预计将在中期对汇丰产生正面影 响;相信此举将提升恒生的效率及竞争定位,同时提升汇丰对高回报的香港本地市场和快速增长的国际 财富管理业务中的份额。 瑞银发布研报称,汇丰银行(00005)宣布有意以每股155港元,连同第三期中期股息收购恒生银行(00011) 剩余36.5%股权。此要约较恒生银行最后收市价提供显著30%溢价,并隐含2025财年1.8倍市账率。根据 公司表示,私有化不会影响恒生银行作为独立授权持牌银行的地位,但将加强汇丰与恒生银行之间的协 调,从而带来中期收入及成本协同效应。瑞银予恒生银行评级"沽售",目标价102港元。消息公布后, 恒生昨日(10月9日)股价急升26%,瑞银相信若交易顺利进行,股价存在上行空间。 ...
瑞银:予恒生银行(00011)评级“沽售” 若汇丰银行(00005)私有化顺利进行股价有上行空间
智通财经网· 2025-10-10 03:54
瑞银指出,正如分析师电话会议所强调,潜在的收入及成本协同效应,预计将在中期对汇丰产生正面影 响;相信此举将提升恒生的效率及竞争定位,同时提升汇丰对高回报的香港本地市场和快速增长的国际 财富管理业务中的份额。 瑞银表示,私有化提案料于2026年上半年完成,须获少数股东至少75%投票权批准。根据港交所(00388) 股权披露,除汇丰外无其他重大股东。少数股权似乎高度分散,主要由被动型基金组成。除少数股东投 票外,尚未讨论监管机构对私有化交易的立场。瑞银认为,汇丰银行有充分理由相信不会有任何重大监 管障碍。 智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,汇丰银行(00005)宣布有意以每股155港元,连同第三期中期股息 收购恒生银行(00011)剩余36.5%股权。此要约较恒生银行最后收市价提供显著30%溢价,并隐含2025财 年1.8倍市账率。根据公司表示,私有化不会影响恒生银行作为独立授权持牌银行的地位,但将加强汇 丰与恒生银行之间的协调,从而带来中期收入及成本协同效应。瑞银予恒生银行评级"沽售",目标价 102港元。消息公布后,恒生昨日(10月9日)股价急升26%,瑞银相信若交易顺利进行,股价存在上行空 间。 ...
瑞银:汇丰控股私有化收购恒生银行有积极意义
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 03:39
Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) has proposed to privatize Hang Seng Bank (00011) at HKD 155 per share, with HSBC believing there will be no significant regulatory obstacles to the acquisition [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - If the acquisition is successful, HSBC's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio is expected to decrease by 125 basis points [1] - HSBC anticipates restoring the CET1 ratio to a target range of 14%-14.5% through organic growth, and plans to suspend share buybacks for the next three quarters while maintaining a 50% payout ratio based on underlying earnings for 2025 [1] - The CET1 ratio for HSBC was 14.6% in Q2 of this year, and the bank expects the transaction to enhance earnings per share, although no additional financial data regarding the transaction has been provided [1] Group 2: Operational Perspective - From a customer standpoint, Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its existing model [1] - UBS previously expressed concerns regarding provisions for commercial real estate loans at Hang Seng Bank, but now believes that increasing exposure to this high Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) market while reducing internal operational complexity is a correct strategy [1]
汇丰拟私有化恒生银行,每股对价155港元
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-10-10 03:38
公告显示,恒生银行植根香港近百年,有着深厚的传统。汇丰十分尊重恒生银行的独特地位,计划继续 透过汇丰及恒生银行两大品牌,服务香港市场。因此,恒生银行将保留其根据香港银行业条例所独立获 授的持牌银行认可,并维持独立的企业管治、品牌形象、独特的市场定位,以及分行网络。此外,汇丰 深知恒生银行在本地社区所担当的重要角色,并将继续支持恒生银行长期参与的社区项目。 10月9日,汇丰控股发布公告称,汇丰亚太作为要约人,已要求恒生银行董事会向计划股东提呈建议, 根据公司条例第673条以协议安排方式将恒生银行私有化。倘若计划生效,计划股份将予以注销,以换 取计划对价,即持有每股计划股份可获现金港币155.00元(扣除股息调整金额,如有)。 截至本公告刊发之时,恒生银行已发行股份共计18.76亿股,其中6.85亿股将构成计划股份。根据每股计 划股份港币155.00元的计划对价,并假设根据恒生银行股份回购计划回购且截至本公告刊发之时仍待注 销的280万股恒生银行股份将于计划文件发布时或之前注销;及假设自本公告刊发之时起至计划记录日 期(包括当日)恒生银行股份数量不再发生变动且并无任何股息调整金额:建议对恒生银行的全部已发 行股本 ...
瑞银:汇丰控股(00005)私有化收购恒生银行(00011)有积极意义
智通财经网· 2025-10-10 03:34
Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) has proposed to privatize Hang Seng Bank (00011) at HKD 155 per share, with HSBC confident that there will be no significant regulatory obstacles [1] Group 1: Financial Implications - If the acquisition is successful, HSBC's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio is expected to decrease by 125 basis points [1] - HSBC anticipates restoring the CET1 ratio to a target range of 14%-14.5% through organic growth, and plans to suspend share buybacks for the next three quarters while maintaining a 50% payout ratio based on underlying earnings for 2025 [1] - HSBC's CET1 ratio was 14.6% in Q2 of this year, and the bank expects this transaction to enhance earnings per share, although no additional financial data regarding the transaction has been provided [1] Group 2: Customer Perspective - From a customer standpoint, Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its existing model [1] - UBS previously expressed concerns regarding provisions for commercial real estate loans at Hang Seng Bank, but believes that increasing exposure to this high Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) market while reducing operational complexity within the group is a correct move [1]
中资离岸债每日总结(10.9) | 花样年控股披露境外债务重组进展
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 03:06
久期财经讯,10月9日,据悉,美联储9月会议纪要显示,多数官员认为在今年剩余时间内进一步降息是合适的,但同时强调通胀风险仍偏向上行,显示决策 层在货币政策上持谨慎态度。 会议公布的最新预测显示,按中值计算,美联储官员预计年内还将有两次各25个基点的降息,但委员会内部分歧明显,19位与会者中有6人预计2025年仅会 降息一次或完全不降息。纪要还显示,少数官员对本次降息持保留态度,认为维持利率不变同样有其合理性。 尽管政策制定者注意到劳动力市场风险上升,但多数官员认为就业不会出现急剧下滑。纪要指出:"近期指标尚未显示劳动力市场状况明显恶化。" 市场方面,联邦基金期货显示投资者普遍预期,美联储将在10月和12月再次降息。纪要最后强调,决策者将继续在促进就业与控制通胀目标之间寻求平衡。 值得注意的是,本次会议召开于美国政府关门前两周,而政府停摆已导致关键经济数据的发布被迫中止。 热点消息 每日发行总结 今日,一级市场无公司发行。 每日评级总结 | ·中资美元债涨幅榜TOP10 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 信券名称 | 价格上涨 | 中间价 | 收益率 | | 1 YIHUG ...
标普:汇丰控股私有化恒生银行将强化两者联系,预计资本影响可控
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-10 02:33
Core Viewpoint - S&P Global Ratings anticipates that HSBC's acquisition of Hang Seng Bank at a 30.3% premium will strengthen the ties between the two banks, enhance governance consistency, and promote closer operational collaboration [1] Group 1: HSBC and Hang Seng Bank Relationship - The privatization is expected to reinforce the relationship between HSBC and Hang Seng Bank, facilitating tighter cooperation in business and operations [1] - S&P believes that Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its independent brand post-privatization, reflecting HSBC's long-term commitment to the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - S&P estimates that the capital pressure faced by HSBC due to the buyback of all outstanding shares of Hang Seng Bank will remain manageable [1] - The transaction is projected to be completed in the first half of 2026, which will lead to a decrease in HSBC's risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio by approximately 2%, bringing it to around 11% to 12% by the end of 2026, still above S&P's strong capital threshold of 10% [1]
大行评级丨瑞银:予恒生银行“沽售”评级,若私有化顺利进行股价有上行空间
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-10 02:22
瑞银指出,正如分析师电话会议所强调,潜在的收入及成本协同效应,预计将在中期对汇丰产生正面影 响;相信此举将提升恒生的效率及竞争定位,同时提升汇丰对高回报的香港本地市场和快速成长的国际 财富管理业务中的份额。瑞银予恒生银行"沽售"评级,目标价102港元,相信若交易顺利进行,股价存 在上行空间。 瑞银发表研究报告指,汇丰宣布有意以每股155港元,连同第三期中期股息收购恒生银行剩余36.5%股 权。此要约较恒生银行最后收市价提供显著30%溢价,并隐含2025财年1.8倍市账率。根据公司表示, 私有化不会影响恒生银行作为独立授权持牌银行的地位,但将加强汇丰与恒生银行之间的协调,从而带 来中期收入及成本协同效应。 ...
中金:予汇丰控股“跑赢行业”评级 目标价111.9港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 01:36
Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings plans to acquire 680 million shares of Hang Seng Bank at HKD 155 per share, totaling HKD 106 billion (approximately USD 13.6 billion), increasing its stake from 63% to 100% [1] Group 1: Acquisition Purpose - The acquisition aims to enhance synergy, simplify operations, and capture growth opportunities while maintaining Hang Seng Bank's brand and independent status [2] - HSBC's CEO expressed confidence in the Hong Kong market and Hang Seng's operational capabilities, indicating that the acquisition will lead to cost savings and improved product offerings for customers [2] Group 2: Financial and Regulatory Impact - The acquisition is expected to reduce HSBC's core Tier 1 capital ratio by approximately 165 basis points, but the removal of minority interest deductions will increase it by about 40 basis points, resulting in a net impact of 125 basis points [4] - HSBC's ordinary share EPS is projected to increase post-acquisition, leading to a rise in dividend per share (DPS) and an increase in dividend yield from 5.3% to 5.4% [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Short-term impacts include a decline in share price due to reduced dividend and buyback returns, with a noted 6% drop following the announcement [5] - The acquisition is expected to decrease net assets by approximately 4%, affecting the company's valuation, which is already reflected in the recent share price drop [6] - The projected return from dividends and buybacks for 2026 is expected to decrease to 7.5%, compared to Standard Chartered's 8.8%, indicating a potential decline in attractiveness [6]
中金:予汇丰控股(00005)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价111.9港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-10 01:32
智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,10月9日早8点,汇丰控股(00005)公告计划以每股155港币的价格 以现金收购恒生银行6.8亿股(前一日恒生银行收盘价119港币,对应1.4x P/B,收购价较公开价溢价 30%,对应1.8x P/B;收购价高于2022年3月以来恒生银行最高收盘价154港币),收购总价1060亿港币(约 136亿美元),收购后汇丰对恒生的持股比例由此前的63%提升至100%。该收购待恒生少数股东中"75% 持股者同意"+"少于10%持股者反对"方可推进。若进展顺利,公司预计2026年中之前逐步完成私有化。 予汇丰"跑赢行业"评级,目标价111.9港元。 综合考虑股息率的提升和回购回报率的减少,2026E股权回报率由此前的9.4%降至7.5%,4Q25-3Q26E 股权回报率由此前的9.3%降至6.2%。 1)汇丰普通股EPS提升。收购完成后,作为分红基准的汇丰普通股EPS(不包括重大特殊项目)因不再扣除 归属于恒生少数股东的利润而提升,公司承诺会维持50%的分红率,则意味着汇丰普通股DPS增加,股 息率提升。该行测算加回归属恒生少数股东净利润至汇丰普通股净利润相当于提升股息率约3%,相 ...