大华继显发布研报称，银河娱乐(00027)2025年第三季正常化调整后EBITDA按季增长5%，但台风桦加 沙导致EBITDA减少1.4亿元。公司于10月凭借稳健的客流量及贵宾赌台异常高胜率，交出亮眼业绩，此 势头延续至11月。展望未来，管理层预期2025年第四季表现将略高于常规季节性波动，主要受惠于高端 中场及贵宾厅业务的支撑。维持"买入"评级;将目标价由49港元下调至47港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that Galaxy Entertainment's EBITDA for the third quarter was approximately HKD 3.3 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 14% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6%, aligning with the bank's and market expectations [1] Financial Performance - EBITDA, when adjusted for VIP room win rate impact, also recorded HKD 3.3 billion, consistent with expectations [1] - The operating expenses and reinvestment rate increased by 9% and 110 basis points quarter-on-quarter, respectively, due to the gradual ramp-up of operations at the Capella Hotel [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin (excluding construction business) remained around 27.5% [1] Investment Rating - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for Galaxy Entertainment with a target price of HKD 46.9 [1]

Group 1 - The US stock market experienced declines on November 7, 2025, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.8%, the S&P 500 down by 1.1%, and the Nasdaq decreasing by 1.9% [3] - The Golden Dragon Index, which reflects the performance of Chinese concept stocks, remained stable with a slight drop of less than 0.1% [3] Group 2 - The Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stock markets showed strong performance, with the A-share market rising for the second consecutive trading day. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by nearly 1% to close at 4,007 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.7% to 13,452 points, with total trading volume exceeding 2 trillion RMB [4] - The Hang Seng Index opened high, gaining 126 points and surpassing the 26,000-point mark, eventually closing up 550 points or 2.12% at 26,485 points. The Tech Index saw an increase of 2.7%, closing at 5,944 points, with total trading volume around 235 billion HKD [4] - Among the constituent stocks, China Hongqiao (01378.HK) performed the best with a nearly 10% increase, while SMIC (00981.HK) saw a rise of over 7.3%. Other tech stocks like Alibaba (09988.HK) and JD.com (09618.HK) also experienced gains of over 4% and 3.3%, respectively [4] - Only four constituent stocks declined, with Shenzhou (02313.HK) dropping nearly 2%, and others like Tingyi (00322.HK), New Oriental (09901.HK), and Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK) falling by 1.4%, 0.9%, and 0.36% respectively [4] Group 3 - Following the recent surge, the Hang Seng Index stabilized above the 26,000-point level and remained above the 10-day and 20-day moving averages. However, trading volume did not increase, and the index approached resistance near 26,500 points, suggesting that without further positive news, the market may struggle to maintain levels above this point [5]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs has adjusted Galaxy Entertainment's EBITDA forecast for 2025 to 2027 by 1-2%, raising the target price from HKD 53.2 to HKD 53.7, while maintaining a "Buy" rating, indicating potential upside in Q4 EBITDA [1] - Galaxy Entertainment's Q3 EBITDA decreased by 6% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 3.3 billion, aligning with market expectations, impacted by various factors including reduced contributions from construction business and high VIP win rates [1] - The adjusted EBITDA increased by 7% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, with a stable profit margin of 27.4%, as accelerated gaming volume offset additional costs [1] Group 2 - The group's gaming revenue market share in Q3 was stable at 20.3%, slightly down from 20.4% in the previous quarter, with management noting strong gaming revenue momentum continuing into November [1] - Capital expenditures for the period were only HKD 600 million, with a cumulative total of HKD 2.6 billion for the first three quarters, leading to a downward revision of the annual guidance from HKD 7 billion to HKD 3.5 billion [2] - The group hosted approximately 260 events in the first three quarters, resulting in a 41% year-on-year increase in visitor traffic to Galaxy Macau, and plans to assist in hosting the National Games and collaborate with UFC and Tencent Music for various events [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Galaxy Entertainment (00027) achieved a 14% year-on-year increase in adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter, reaching 3.3 billion HKD, which is 4% above expectations [1] Financial Performance - Galaxy Entertainment's third-quarter adjusted EBITDA rose to 3.3 billion HKD, reflecting a 14% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The company's net cash reached 4.5 billion USD, further strengthening its financial position [1] Market Position - Credit Lyonnais believes that Galaxy Entertainment continues to have an advantage in gaining market share in revenue [1] - The company is expected to potentially increase its dividend payout ratio over the next 12 months [1] Investment Rating - Credit Lyonnais maintains a "Outperform" rating for Galaxy Entertainment with a target price of 50.5 HKD, continuing to list it as one of the top two preferred stocks in Macau [1]

智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，银河娱乐(00027)第三季经调整EBITDA同比增14%至33亿元，高 于预期4%。该行认为，银娱仍有获得收入市场占有率的优势，其第三季净现金达45亿美元，亦进一步 强化财力。该行仍然相信，未来12个月公司或会提高其股息支付比率，维持"跑赢大市"评级及目标价 50.5港元，续列为澳门两大首选股之一。 ...

大华继显发表报告指，银河娱乐第三季正常化调整后EBITDA按季增长5%，但台风桦加沙导致EBITDA 减少1.4亿港元。公司于10月凭借稳健的客流量及贵宾赌台异常高胜率，交出亮眼业绩，此势头延续至 11月。 展望未来，管理层预期2025年第四季表现将略高于常规季节性波动，主要受惠于高端中场及贵宾厅业务 的支撑。该行维持对其"买入"评级，将目标价由49港元下调至47港元。 ...

基于第三季业绩，该行微调2025至27年EBITDA预测1-2%，目标价由53.2港元微升至53.7港元，重申"买 入"评级，并认为第四季EBITDA有潜在上行空间。 高盛发表研究报告指，银河娱乐第三季EBITDA按季跌6%至33亿港元，符合市场及该行预期。业绩受到 不同因素拖累，包括建材业务贡献减少、9月份台风桦加沙吹袭澳门，以及VIP赢率偏高。净赢率正常 化后，经调整EBITDA则按年升7%，按季升5%；利润率维持稳定于27.4%，因博彩量增长加速足以抵销 额外成本。 ...

里昂发表研究报告指，银河娱乐第三季经调整EBITDA按年增14%至33亿港元，高于预期4%。该行认 为，银娱仍有获得收入市场占有率的优势，其第三季净现金达45亿美元，亦进一步强化财力。该行仍然 相信，未来12个月公司或会提高其股息支付比率，维持"跑赢大市"评级及目标价50.5港元，续列为澳门 两大首选股之一。 ...

Core Viewpoint - CICC has adjusted Galaxy Entertainment's EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down by 1% and 3% to HKD 14.031 billion and HKD 14.923 billion respectively, due to increased operating expenses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Galaxy Entertainment reported Q3 2025 revenue of HKD 12.163 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1%, recovering to 96% of Q3 2019 levels [2] - The company's adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was HKD 3.341 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6%, recovering to 81% of Q3 2019 levels [2] - The performance was in line with market expectations, with the adjusted EBITDA closely matching the consensus estimate of HKD 3.321 billion [2] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Galaxy aims to achieve a total gaming revenue market share of 20-22% [3] - The company experienced strong market performance in October 2025, benefiting from higher VIP win rates, with improving demand noted in the last weeks of October, expected to continue into November [3] - Despite a 300 basis point decline in profit margins due to one-time marketing expenses during the summer, daily fixed operating costs remained stable compared to Q2 2025 [3] Group 3: Future Plans and Developments - Galaxy plans to relocate some gaming tables from Galaxy Macau to the StarWorld Hotel, anticipating demand from existing satellite gaming customers after the satellite casino closes at the end of 2025 [4] - The company expects Phase 4 to be completed by 2027, with Broadway potentially serving as future land reserves for expansion projects [4] - Galaxy remains interested in investing in Thailand despite delays in legalizing gambling [4]