智通财经8月14日讯(编辑 童古 汤赞淇)以下为各家机构对港股的最新评级和目标价： 中金公司：维持腾讯控股跑赢行业评级 目标价700港元 中金公司就腾讯控股(00700.HK)发布研报称，公司2Q25收入同比增长14.5%至1845亿元，Non-IFRS净利 润同比增长10%至630.5亿元。AI在广告、游戏及云服务中加速应用，视频号广告收入同比增长50%，海 外游戏收入同比增长35%。公司资本开支主要用于AI基础设施建设，未来AI提效空间广阔。上调目标价 至700港元，维持"跑赢行业"评级。 国信证券：维持华虹半导体优于大市评级 国信证券就华虹半导体(01347.HK)发布研报称，看好公司短期价格修复、稼动率满载，中长期特色工艺 代工拥有全球头部客户及领先工艺的龙头竞争力。预计25-27年净利润0.90/1.52/2.02亿美元，当前股价 对应25-27年PB1.56/1.52/1.48为倍，维持"优于大市"评级。 长江证券：维持香港交易所买入评级 长江证券就香港交易所(00388.HK)发布研报称，截止7月底，公司PE为38.24x，处于2016年以来历史 58%的分位，具备一定的配置性价比，预计伴随互联 ...

Core Viewpoint - Macquarie's research report indicates that Galaxy Entertainment's net income for the second quarter increased by 10% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, with gaming revenue rising by 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, slightly below the firm's forecast by 1% [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the firm's forecast by 2% [1] - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.7, with a payout ratio of 58%, up from 50% in the same period last year, surpassing market expectations [1] Cash Flow and Dividend Outlook - The firm believes that Galaxy Entertainment has strong free cash flow and net cash accumulation capabilities, allowing it to maintain the current dividend payout ratio [1] - The expected payout ratio for the company in 2023 is 60%, translating to a cash dividend yield of 3.5% [1] Future Earnings Projections - Due to lower expectations for non-gaming revenue, the firm has slightly reduced its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 0.1% and 0.5%, respectively, while increasing the 2027 forecast by 0.6% [1] - The target price for Galaxy Entertainment has been raised from HKD 53.6 to HKD 55.6, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

花旗研究报告指，该行统计8月澳门高端中场博彩投注额按年升5%至1,340万元，高端中场赌客数量按 年跌5%至624名，意味人均投注额按年升10%至21,543元，连续4个月有双位数升幅，反映赌客质量提 高。 摩根大通称，自从上一次对澳门博彩业进行预测升级以来，三个月内第三次上调对该行业的预测。该行 预测，2025年下半年博彩总收入(GGR)增长13%。(格隆汇) 港股濠赌股普遍上涨，其中，金沙中国、银河娱乐涨近2%，澳博控股涨1.5%，美高梅中国、汇彩控股 涨超1%，永利澳门、新濠国际发展涨0.6%。 消息上，近期多家机构发布研报看好博彩行业前景。摩根士丹利表示，看好经营杠杆与竞争格局改善， 预测澳门2025至2027年博彩收入将持续攀升。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01928 | 金沙中国有限公 | 20.600 | 1.78% | | 00027 | 银河娱乐 | 40.020 | 1.73% | | 00880 | 澳博控股 | 3.290 | 1.54% | | 02282 | 美高梅中国 | 16.200 | 1.25 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive outlook for Galaxy Entertainment, indicating confidence in its long-term prospects with an interim dividend of HKD0.70 per share, reflecting a dividend payout ratio of 58% [5][12]. Core Insights - Galaxy Entertainment reported a net revenue of HKD12.04 billion for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.5% [2][7]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 reached HKD3.57 billion, up 12.4% year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.6%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [4][11]. - The company's market share increased to 20.2% in Q2 2025, up from 19.5% in Q1 2025, indicating a strengthening position in the market [5][12]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q2 2025, gaming revenue increased by 12.3% year-on-year, contributing HKD9.66 billion, while non-gaming revenue reached HKD1.61 billion, up 8.4% year-on-year [2][8]. - The total betting amount for the company reached HKD119.45 billion, an increase of 18.4% year-on-year, with VIP betting accounting for 46.7% of the total [3][9]. Performance Metrics - The company's gross gaming revenue (GGR) for Q2 2025 was HKD12.01 billion, reflecting an 11.8% year-on-year increase, which outpaced the industry growth rate of 8.3% [10]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Galaxy Macau and StarWorld Macau was HKD3.33 billion and HKD0.3 billion respectively, with respective adjusted EBITDA margins of 33.3% and 25.9% [4][11].

8月12日午间，银河娱乐在港交所公告，2025年上半年，集团录得净收益为232亿港元，按年上升8%； 股东应占溢利为52亿港元，按年上升19%；经调整EBITDA为69亿港元，较去年增加14%。第二季度， 集团净收益为120亿港元，按年增加10%，按季增加8%；经调整EBITDA为36亿港元，按年升12%，按 季升8%。董事会宣布中期股息每股0.70港元，将于2025年10月派发。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" with a target price of HKD 49.50 [1][9][12] Core Views - The report highlights the positive impact of the concert economy on the company's performance, with expectations for continued growth in the second half of 2025 [6][8][12] - The company is benefiting from a diverse non-gaming portfolio and is expected to attract high-end clientele with the opening of the Capella hotel in September [6][12] - The overall gaming revenue (GGR) is projected to increase, with adjustments made to the EBITDA forecasts for 2025-2027 [9][12] Summary by Sections Financial Data - The closing price as of August 12 was HKD 40.18, with a market capitalization of HKD 175,783 million [2] - The average daily trading volume over the past six months was HKD 462.68 million [2] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are HKD 43,432 million, HKD 47,205 million, HKD 53,662 million, and HKD 57,896 million respectively, reflecting growth rates of 21.71%, 8.69%, 13.68%, and 7.89% [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be HKD 8,759 million, HKD 10,110 million, HKD 10,504 million, and HKD 11,628 million for the same years, with growth rates of 28.29%, 15.42%, 3.90%, and 10.70% [5] Gaming Performance - The company's gaming revenue for Q2 2025 was HKD 12 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 16% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10% [6] - The breakdown of gaming revenue includes VIP at HKD 2.4 billion (up 73% YoY), mass market at HKD 8.8 billion (up 6% YoY), and slots at HKD 800 million (up 19% YoY) [6] Entertainment and Customer Traffic - The company hosted 190 entertainment and sports events in the first half of 2025, resulting in a 65% increase in customer traffic [7] - Upcoming concerts and events are expected to further boost visitor numbers and spending in the second half of 2025 [8][12] Valuation and Market Position - The report suggests that the company deserves a valuation premium due to its strong market position and diverse offerings compared to competitors [9][12] - The target price of HKD 49.50 corresponds to a 10.6x EV/EBITDA multiple for 2026E, reflecting an upward adjustment from the previous target of HKD 39.50 [9][12]

报告指出，银娱宣派中期息为0.7港元，派息率为58%，较去年同期的50%有所上升，且胜于市场预期。 该行相信，由于集团拥有强大的自由现金流和净现金积累能力，其在财务上有能力维持这个派息比率， 预计集团今年的派息率为60%，意味着现金股息收益率为3.5%。 麦格理发布研报称，银河娱乐(00027)次季净收入同比升10%，按季增8%;博彩收入同比升16%，按季增 10%，较该行预测低1%;经调整EBITDA同比升12%，按季增8%，较该行预测高出2%。由于非博彩业务 收入预期较低，该行将银娱2025及26年的经调整EBITDA预测分别下调0.1%和0.5%，但将2027年的预测 上调0.6%。该行又将集团目标价上调4%，由53.6港元升至55.6港元，并维持"跑赢大市"评级。 ...

Core Insights - Macquarie's report indicates that Galaxy Entertainment's Q2 net revenue increased by 10% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, with gaming revenue rising by 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, slightly below the firm's forecast by 1% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the firm's forecast by 2% [1] - The firm has adjusted its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment down by 0.1% and 0.5% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, while increasing the 2027 forecast by 0.6% [1] - The target price for the group has been raised by 4%, from HKD 53.6 to HKD 55.6, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] Dividend and Financial Health - Galaxy Entertainment declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.7, with a payout ratio of 58%, up from 50% in the same period last year, exceeding market expectations [1] - The firm believes that due to the group's strong free cash flow and net cash accumulation capabilities, it can maintain this payout ratio [1] - The expected payout ratio for the group this year is 60%, translating to a cash dividend yield of 3.5% [1]

大华继显认为，2025年第二季，估计银娱的大众市场份额按季增长0.8个百分点至22%，投资者认为增 长幅度温和。此外，银行管理层承认当前市场竞争激烈，但预期今年不会进一步恶化。展望未来，管理 层旨在继续优化再投资，嘉佩乐酒店在试营运期间已展现正面影响，预期将进一步提升。 大华继显发布研报称，银河娱乐(00027)2025年第二季正常化EBITDA按季增长7%，较低的赢率导致大 众市场份额略有增长。然而，季度至今赢率已正常化。随着嘉佩乐酒店开业，管理层预期在激烈市场竞 争中再投资效率将进一步优化。公司宣派中期股息每股0.7港元，意味着派息率为58%，管理层预期约 60%的支付比率可持续。该行将银娱2025/2026年EBITDA预测分别上调5%/4%;并基于12倍目标 EV/EBITDA比率，将目标价上调5%，从43港元升至45港元，维持对该股"买入"评级。 ...

高盛发布研报称，据业绩表现，微调银河娱乐(00027)2025至27年EBITDA预测0%至1%，目标价由49.6 港元上调至50.1港元，重申其为行业首选，维持"买入"评级。 另外，中期息同比增40%至每股0.7港元，派息比率达58%，高于去年全年的50%及过往的30%，亦高于 部分同行的40%至50%派息比率。该行认为此举再次反映管理层对澳门前景、集团长期展望及强劲自由 现金流的信心。管理层亦指引未来派息可持续，如以60%派息率推算，该行料全年股息可达1.58港元， 按现价计股息率达3.9%。 该行早前预测银河娱乐将录得最强劲的季度EBITDA增长，受惠于嘉佩乐酒店开幕及多场巨星演唱会。 事实上，集团日前公布中期业绩，次季经调整EBITDA达36亿港元，按季升8%，符合该行预期，主要受 惠于VIP净赢率提升。若剔除该因素及建材业务贡献增加，博彩业务EBITDA按季升5%至29亿港元。该 行料EBITDA利润率维持约28.1%，博彩量增长部分被日均营运开支上升抵消。而集团次季博彩总收入 (GGR)市场份额则按季升0.7个百分点至20.5%。 ...