大型科技股集体上涨，腾讯控股涨1.49%，快手涨1.45%，网易涨1.32%，美团涨1.28%，百度涨1.02%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 09868 | 小鹏汽车-W | 76.650 | +5.450 | 7.65% | | 09660 | 地平线机器人-W | 9.120 | +0.600 | 7.04% | | 09863 | 零跑汽车 | 50.500 | +2.740 | 5.74% | | 02015 | 理想汽车-W | 65.450 | +2.400 | 3.81% | | 09866 | 蔚来-SW | 39.300 | +0.880 | 2.29% | | 06618 | 京东健康 | 57.500 | +1.200 | 2.13% | | 01698 | 腾讯音乐-SW | 70.550 | +1.050 | 1.51% | | 00700 | 腾讯 控股 | 614.000 | +9.000 | 1.49% | | 01024 | 快手-W | 66.300 | +0.950 ...

12月17日晚，华谊兄弟（300027）发布公告，公司收到股东杭州阿里创业投资有限公司（以下简称"阿里创投"）和马云出具的相关文件，获悉阿里创投于 12月17日通过大宗交易方式减持公司股份，导致阿里创投及其一致行动人马云的权益变动触及1%及5%的整数倍，阿里创投的持股比例由3.467799%下降 至2.403580%，阿里创投及其一致行动人马云的持股比例由6.064215%下降至4.999996%。 | | | | 股东名称 | 股份性质 | 本次权益变动前所持股份 | | 本次权益变动后所持股份 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 持股数(股) | 占上市公司 总股本比例 | 持股数(股) | 占上市公司总 股本比例(%) | | | | | (%) | | | | 阿里创投 | 无限售流 通股 | 96,214,286 | 3.467799 | 66,687,466 | 2.403580 | | 马云 | | 72,037,730 | 2.596417 | 72,037,730 | 2.596417 | | 合计 | | 168,252,016 ...

阿里创投及其一致行动人马云合计持股比例由6.064215%降至4.999996%，不再是公司持股5%以上股 东。此次减持有利于公司股权结构稳定，不会对公司正常经营产生不利影响。 华谊兄弟（300027.SZ）今日公告称，公司股东阿里创投于2025年12月17日通过大宗交易方式减持 2952.68万股，持股比例由3.467799%降至2.403580%。 12月10日，华谊兄弟发布公告称，公司受经济形势影响，因部分回款资金未能如约到位，造成暂时性流 动资金紧张，使得公司阶段性出现个别债务未能如期偿还的情形。经公司相关部门统计核实，截至2025 年12月10日，公司在银行等金融机构逾期债务合计为5250万元，超过公司2024年经审计净资产的10%。 同一天，华谊兄弟还发布一份公告披露，控股股东、实际控制人王忠军持有的公司15392万股无限售流 通股股票拟被第二次司法拍卖，占其所持有公司股份总数的48.54%，占公司总股本的 5.55%。 最新的三季度财报显示，华谊兄弟该季实现营业收入6259.56万元，同比下降31.61%；归属于上市公司 股东的净亏损3946.2万元；基本每股收益-0.01元。前三季度实现营业收 ...

该行看好银河娱乐、永利澳门及美高梅中国，并视其为行业首选，目标价分别为46.9港元、8.9港元及 20.3港元，均予"买入"评级。 瑞银发表研究报告指，渠道数据显示，澳门过去七天的日均博彩总收入约为6.5亿澳门元，较前七天的 7.43亿澳门元有所回落，部分因贵宾厅赢率较低，令本月至今的日均博彩总收入维持约6.96亿澳门元， 按年增长约19%，但按月微跌约1%，相较之下2015年至19年同期通常录得1%按月升幅。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall recovery pace of the industry is accelerating, with growth resilience expected to continue until 2026. Galaxy Entertainment has three key highlights that provide both growth and defensive characteristics: low long-term debt ratio, sufficient cash reserves, and a project pipeline supporting future performance growth [1][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Galaxy Entertainment's gaming gross revenue (GGR) is projected to reach HKD 41.15 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.7%, recovering to 69.3% of 2019 levels [2]. - Adjusted property EBITDA is expected to be HKD 12.19 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.4%, returning to 74.0% of 2019 levels, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 28.1% [2][5]. - The company anticipates net income for 2025-2027 to be HKD 48.297 billion, HKD 52.600 billion, and HKD 56.837 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.2%, 8.9%, and 8.1% [5]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Galaxy Entertainment ranks third in table share but holds the second position in gaming gross revenue share due to its operational excellence [1]. - The company is shifting focus from VIP business to high-end mass gaming, which is expected to drive future revenue growth, particularly in the high-end mass segment [2][4]. - The upcoming Galaxy Phase IV project is expected to add 1,500 hotel rooms, further enhancing the company's competitive edge [1][2]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The overall GGR in Macau is recovering, with a cumulative GGR of MOP 226.515 billion from January to November 2025, marking an 8.6% year-on-year increase and recovering to 84.0% of 2019 levels [3]. - The high-end mass gaming segment is leading the growth in gaming revenue, surpassing pre-pandemic levels, with intense competition among operators [4]. - The closure of satellite casinos by the end of the year will release 5.1% of market share, potentially benefiting other properties in the Macau Peninsula [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Macau is expected to remain a preferred travel destination for affluent mainland tourists, driven by a rich lineup of concert events, luxurious new hotel offerings, and new baccarat side bets [1] - The forecast for Macau's gaming revenue in the coming year is a year-on-year growth of 6%, with industry EBITDA projected to grow by 10% annually, maintaining an EBITDA margin of approximately 29% [1] Group 2 - Sands China is identified as the top pick in the industry, with expectations that it will become the largest market share winner by 2026, increasing its share by 1.6 percentage points to 25.1%. The target price has been raised from HKD 25.5 to HKD 26.5 [1] - Wynn Macau is also highlighted, with the expansion of the Chairman's Club in the VIP gaming area expected to open in the first quarter of next year, leading to a recovery in market share. Its target price has been increased from HKD 7.2 to HKD 8.05 [1] - Other preferred gaming stocks include Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, Melco Resorts, and SJM Holdings, with target prices set at HKD 54, HKD 20, USD 13, and HKD 2.3 respectively [1] - Las Vegas Sands is maintained as the global gaming stock of choice, with its target price raised from USD 75.5 to USD 76.75 [1]

Investment Rating - Initiate with OUTPERFORM rating [1][2] Core Views - The overall recovery pace of the industry is accelerating, with growth resilience expected to continue until 2026. Galaxy Entertainment has three key highlights that provide both growth and defensive characteristics: 1) Long-term low debt ratio and ample cash reserves create a high safety margin; 2) Project reserves supporting future performance growth, with the fourth phase project expected to add 1,500 hotel rooms, driving the next growth cycle; 3) Although ranked third in table share, the company ranks second in gaming gross revenue (GGR) share due to excellent operational capabilities [3][4][6]. Summary by Sections Investment Focus - Galaxy Entertainment's current price is HK$38.78 with a target price of HK$47.50, representing a market capitalization of HK$169.83 billion (US$21.82 billion) [2]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2027 are Rmb 43,432 million, Rmb 48,297 million, Rmb 52,600 million, and Rmb 56,837 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22%, 11%, 9%, and 8%. Net profit is expected to grow from Rmb 8,759 million in 2024 to Rmb 12,705 million in 2027, with a diluted EPS of Rmb 2.00 in 2024 rising to Rmb 2.90 in 2027 [2][7]. Business Overview - Galaxy Entertainment operates a series of integrated resorts, hotels, and entertainment projects in Macau, with a focus on expanding its business footprint. The company has three flagship properties, including the award-winning StarWorld Hotel and the luxurious Galaxy Macau [8][9]. Market Position - The company is transitioning from a focus on VIP gaming to high-end mass gaming, with a significant increase in gaming gross revenue (GGR) expected. In 2024, the company's GGR reached HK$41.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.7%, recovering to 69.3% of 2019 levels [4][26][30]. Future Growth Drivers - The fourth phase project is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness, adding 1,500 hotel rooms and various entertainment facilities, projected to be completed by 2027. This will increase the company's hotel room share from 18.0% to 21.8% [50][51]. Operational Efficiency - Galaxy Entertainment maintains a low debt ratio and strong cash reserves, allowing for shareholder returns through dividends and supporting future development plans. The company’s adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to improve with the opening of new hotel brands [46][50].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Asian stock markets have risen approximately 25% this year, driven by a revaluation of price-to-earnings ratios, with strong support from a resilient macro environment and robust corporate earnings momentum [1] - The report highlights that South Korea and China maintain strong momentum, while India's stock market continues to reach new highs. Japan remains attractive amid accelerated reforms, and the Australian market shows steady performance [1] - The report anticipates that by mid-2026, the reality of AI returns will be tested, with a peak in the US dollar exchange rate, which will help Asian and emerging markets outperform the broader market [1] Group 2 - In China, strong earnings momentum is expected to drive a 15% upside potential, with a consensus forecast of 16% earnings growth per share by 2026. The private sector and high-tech manufacturing are expected to lead this growth [2] - The report identifies key sectors for 2026, including alternative energy (lithium batteries, solar), automotive, beauty, healthcare, industrial automation, internet technology, and semiconductors, while maintaining a cautious stance on materials and durable consumer goods [2] Group 3 - The report recommends several thematic stocks for 2026, including Tencent, CATL, Sungrow Power Supply, Mindray, Yili, Geely, Galaxy Entertainment, Huahai Pharmaceutical, Yihua Healthcare, and InnoCare Pharma [3]

该行预期，第四季博彩营运商物业EBITDA将按季增长15%，同比增长6%，尽管营运开支高企，但利润 率仍有可能录得改善。大摩对银娱给予"与大市同步"评级，主要基于其股息回报率较低及企业价值倍数 较高，目标价由44港元降至43港元; 又指金沙中国(01928) 正力争更多市场份额，加上潜在股息倍增，给 予"增持"评级，目标价维持23港元。 摩根士丹利发布研报称，澳门第四季博彩收入预计同比增长17%，目前预测行业EBITDA将同比增长 15%，高于市场普遍预期。大摩继续将美高梅中国(02282)及银河娱乐(00027)列为首选，预计第四季业 绩将驱动市场盈利预测上调。目前预测第四季及明年首季博彩收入仍可录得双位数增幅，博企估值亦将 受股息潜在增加的支持。 ...

该行预期，第四季博彩营运商物业EBITDA将按季增长15%，同比增长6%，尽管营运开支高企，但利润 率仍有可能录得改善。大摩对银娱给予"与大市同步"评级，主要基于其股息回报率较低及企业价值倍数 较高，目标价由44港元降至43港元; 又指金沙中国(01928) 正力争更多市场份额，加上潜在股息倍增，给 予"增持"评级，目标价维持23港元。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，澳门第四季博彩收入预计同比增长17%，目前预测行业 EBITDA将同比增长15%，高于市场普遍预期。大摩继续将美高梅中国(02282)及银河娱乐(00027)列为首 选，预计第四季业绩将驱动市场盈利预测上调。目前预测第四季及明年首季博彩收入仍可录得双位数增 幅，博企估值亦将受股息潜在增加的支持。 ...