Q4 and Annual Results 2025 26 February, 2026 Mr. Francis Lui Yiu Tung, Chairman of GEG said: "In 2025 Macau continued its post Covid recovery, with Gross Gaming Revenue ('GGR') increasing 9% to $240.2 billion. During the year, the Central Government further increased flexibility for mainland visitors, including the one- trip-per-week visa for Zhuhai residents and the multiple-entry visa for Hengqin residents, which enables more frequent travel to Macau. As a result, total visitation to Macau increased 15% t ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.39%, down 104 points, closing at 26,661 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.65% [1] - The early trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 130.9 billion [1] - Electric equipment stocks surged due to explosive growth in AI data centers, with Dongfang Electric rising over 17% and Harbin Electric increasing by over 6% [1] - Chongqing Machinery and Electric gained over 11% as US tech giants committed to self-supplying power, driving demand for high-power engines [1] - Goldwind Technology rose by 7%, with China's annual wind power installations expected to reach 130 GW, and wind turbine prices likely to continue a slight recovery [1] - Optical communication stocks saw gains, with institutions predicting new growth in the industry as OFC 2026 approaches; Hongteng Precision rose by 15% and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable increased by 4% [1] - MINIMAX experienced over a 3% increase after launching the MaxClaw model, with Goldman Sachs indicating it is in a high-growth phase [1] - Stablecoin-related stocks were active, with Circle's stock soaring 35% post-earnings, and Hong Kong set to issue its first batch of licenses next month; Guofu Quantum rose by 6% and Lianlian Digital increased by 2% [1] - Wanka Yilian surged over 10%, expecting annual profit growth of up to approximately 795.7%, with its AI commercialization service platform achieving precise targeting [1] Group 2 - Gaming stocks continued to decline as Macau's gambling revenue during the Spring Festival fell short of expectations, leading Morgan Stanley to slightly lower its February revenue forecast; Melco International Development dropped by 5.2% and Galaxy Entertainment fell by 4.7% [2] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (CATL) decreased by 5.5% due to Zimbabwe tightening lithium ore exports, which may increase lithium prices and raise costs for downstream battery manufacturers [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a collective decline in Hong Kong gaming stocks, with specific companies like Melco International Development dropping nearly 5% and Galaxy Entertainment nearly 4% [1] - UBS's research report highlights that the average daily gaming revenue in Macau during the Chinese New Year holiday (February 16 to 22) was approximately 786 million MOP, which is below market expectations of around 900 million to 950 million MOP [1] - Due to weaker-than-expected trends before the Lunar New Year, Citigroup has revised its February gaming revenue forecast from 20 billion MOP to 19.5 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year decline of 1% [1] Group 2 - Citigroup's revised forecast implies an average daily gaming revenue of about 867 million MOP for the remainder of the month, while the total gaming revenue forecast for January and February combined (excluding the differing Lunar New Year dates) is now set at 42.1 billion MOP, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth [1] - JPMorgan notes that the gaming revenue in Macau for February is mixed, leading to slight adjustments in their monthly predictions [1] - The stock performance of major gaming companies is as follows: Melco International Development at 4.380 (-4.78%), Galaxy Entertainment at 41.640 (-3.79%), Sands China at 17.570 (-1.95%), Wynn Macau at 5.770 (-1.20%), and MGM China at 12.770 (-0.70%) [1]

消息面上，瑞银最新报告显示，根据其渠道调查显示，春节假期期间，澳门日均赌收约为7.86亿澳门 元，低于市场预测每日约9亿至9.5亿澳门元。虽然初期需求疲软，但最后三天的成交额增速加快，每日 达到12亿至13亿澳门元，按年上升约10%至15%，令本月至今的日均赌收约为6.5亿澳门元，但仍按年下 跌约8%，按月下跌约11%。 智通财经APP获悉，博彩股继续走低，截至发稿，新濠国际发展(00200)跌4.35%，报4.4港元；银河娱乐 (00027)跌4.02%，报41.54港元；金沙中国(01928)跌2.23%，报17.52港元；永利澳门(01128)跌1.37%，报 5.76港元。 小摩则表示，鉴于农历新年表现好坏参半，该行微调2月博彩总收益预测至按年持平至增长2%(此前预 测增长2%至5%)。撇除季节性及日历因素后，料2026年首两个月博彩总收益增长12%至13%(此前预测增 长13%至14%)，与该行及市场的行业预测一致。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley expresses concerns over the profitability pressure from promotional activities in Macau casinos, despite a moderate performance during the Lunar New Year and ongoing hopes for a spring effect in the casino sector [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - Macau's gaming revenue is performing better than other Chinese consumer stocks, with no risks related to artificial intelligence [1] - Total gaming revenue is expected to see low single-digit growth year-on-year this month, with a projected 13% year-on-year growth for the first two months of the year [1] Group 2: Visitor Trends - Strong growth in the number of visitors to Macau is noted, but there is a decline in per capita spending [1] - There is a bottleneck in hotel room supply, which may impact overall visitor experience [1] - The average age of gamblers is decreasing over time [1] Group 3: Company Preferences - Morgan Stanley favors Galaxy Entertainment (00027) as an industry representative and Sands China (01928) for its high dividends [1] - Wynn Macau (01128) and Melco Resorts (MLCO.US) are considered undervalued, while SJM Holdings (00880) may experience significant EBITDA fluctuations by 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley expresses concerns about the profit pressure from promotional activities in Macau casinos, despite hopes for a strong performance during the Lunar New Year. The overall gaming revenue in Macau is performing better than other Chinese consumer stocks, with continuous growth in cash flow and dividends making gaming stocks attractive [1]. Group 1: Industry Performance - Macau's gaming revenue is expected to show low single-digit growth year-on-year for the current month, with a projected 13% year-on-year growth for the first two months of the year [1]. - Visitor numbers to Macau are increasing significantly; however, there is a decline in per capita spending, and there are bottlenecks in hotel room supply [1]. - The average age of gamblers is decreasing over time, indicating a shift in the demographic profile of casino visitors [1]. Group 2: Company Preferences - Morgan Stanley favors Galaxy Entertainment (00027) as a representative of the industry and Sands China (01928) for its high dividends [1]. - Wynn Macau (01128) and Melco Resorts (MLCO.US) are considered undervalued, while SJM Holdings (00880) may experience significant EBITDA fluctuations by 2026 [1].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that the overall tourism data during the Spring Festival is healthy, with domestic tourist numbers increasing by 19% to 596 million and tourism spending rising by 19% to 803 billion yuan, with a daily growth rate of 6% [1] Group 1: Domestic Tourism - Domestic tourist volume increased by 19% to 596 million people [1] - Tourism expenditure rose by 19% to 803 billion yuan, with a daily growth of 6% [1] Group 2: International Travel - Outbound traveler numbers increased by 24% to 4.8 million [1] - Japanese routes saw a year-on-year decrease of approximately 50%, but demand shifts to Southeast Asia and South Korea routes increased by 10-40%, offsetting some of the impact [1] Group 3: Hotel and Airline Performance - Hotel industry performance was strong, with revenue per available room driven by average room prices, growing at a mid to high single-digit percentage year-on-year [1] - Airline ticket prices exceeded expectations, with domestic ticket prices rising by 7% and international ticket prices increasing by 15% due to tight capacity [1] Group 4: Duty-Free and Gaming Revenue - Hainan's duty-free stores underperformed expectations, with daily sales growth of only 15%, down from 45% in January, primarily due to a decline in per capita spending [1] - Macau's daily gaming revenue was 786 million patacas, a year-on-year increase of 5%, falling short of the expected 850 million to 900 million patacas, partly due to a decrease in VIP room win rates [1] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The company believes the fundamentals are more favorable for hotel stocks rated as "buy," including Huazhu Group and Atour Hotel [1] - Macau stocks recommended include Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China, along with airline stocks such as Air China and China Eastern Airlines [1]

根据该行的查验，2月首22天澳门博彩总收益为143亿澳门元(下同)，即日均6.5亿元。上周的日均收益， 涵盖农历新年假期的淡静及高峰时段为7.85亿元，低于该行预期的8.5亿元。该行表示，假期开始时表现 呆滞，首4至5天日均收益约4.5亿元，同比录得双位数跌幅。但从第6天起，活动急升，每日博彩总收益 突破12亿元，意味着同比增长10%至15%。假期尚未结束，未来数天至关重要，此假期后的"尾随需 求"阶段通常是高端玩家加速消费的时候。该行将于周末取得全月数据后全面了解情况。 鉴于农历新年表现好坏参半，该行微调2月博彩总收益预测至同比持平至增长2%(此前预测增长2%至 5%)。撇除季节性及日历因素后，料2026年首两个月博彩总收益增长12%至13%(此前预测增长13%至 14%)，与该行及市场的行业预测一致。 摩根大通发布研报称，更新对澳门博彩股的最新偏好次序。首选为银河娱乐(00027)，给予"增持"评级; 其次为美高梅中国(02282)，同样获"增持"评级; 金沙中国(01928)与永利澳门(01128)则紧随其后，两者均 获"增持"评级。新濠博亚娱乐(MLCO.US)的评级为"中性"，而新濠国际发展(002 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley updates its preference order for Macau gaming stocks, with Galaxy Entertainment (00027) as the top pick rated "Overweight" [1] - MGM China (02282) is also rated "Overweight," followed by Sands China (01928) and Wynn Macau (01128), both rated "Overweight" [1] - Melco Resorts (MLCO.US) receives a "Neutral" rating, while SJM Holdings (00200) and Australia’s Amax Holdings (00880) are rated "Underweight" [1] Group 2 - For the first 22 days of February, Macau's total gaming revenue reached MOP 14.3 billion, averaging MOP 650 million per day [1] - The average daily revenue during the previous week, which included the Lunar New Year holiday, was MOP 785 million, lower than the expected MOP 850 million [1] - The initial days of the holiday showed weak performance with an average daily revenue of MOP 450 million, reflecting a double-digit year-on-year decline [1] Group 3 - The forecast for February's gaming revenue has been adjusted to a year-on-year growth of 0% to 2%, down from the previous estimate of 2% to 5% [2] - Excluding seasonal and calendar factors, the expected growth for total gaming revenue in the first two months of 2026 is revised to 12% to 13%, slightly down from the earlier forecast of 13% to 14% [2] - This revised forecast aligns with both the company's and market's industry expectations [2]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Macau's total gaming revenue for the first 22 days of February reached 14.3 billion MOP, averaging 650 million MOP per day, with the holiday period still ongoing and future days being crucial for high-end player spending [1] Group 1: Revenue Forecast - The bank has adjusted its February gaming revenue forecast to flat to a 2% increase year-on-year, down from a previous estimate of 2% to 5% growth [1] - Excluding seasonal and calendar factors, the forecast for total gaming revenue growth in the first two months of 2026 is revised to 12% to 13%, slightly down from the previous estimate of 13% to 14% [1] Group 2: Stock Preferences - Morgan Stanley updated its preference order for Macau gaming stocks, with Galaxy Entertainment as the top pick, rated "Overweight" [1] - MGM China is also rated "Overweight," followed closely by Sands China and Wynn Macau, both receiving "Overweight" ratings [1] - Melco Resorts is rated "Neutral," while Melco International Development and SJM Holdings are both rated "Underweight" [1]