行业报告 | 行业研究周报 食品饮料 证券研究报告 食品饮料周报：茅台经营任务顺利达成，关注中报预告行情 市场表现复盘 本周（7 月 7 日-7 月 11 日）食品饮料板块/沪深 300 涨跌幅分别+0.84%/+0.82%。具体板块来 看，本周白酒Ⅲ+1.41%、保健品+1.37%、啤酒+1.21%、肉制品+1.03%、零食+0.89%、预加工食 品+0.86%、其他酒类+0.53%、调味发酵品Ⅲ+0.10%、乳品-0.37%、软饮料-4.05%。 周观点更新 酒水：茅台上半年经营任务顺利达成，会稽山"夏冰"首战告捷 白酒：本周白酒板块+1.41%，表现强于食品饮料行业整体及沪深 300，或主因近期飞天批价稳 中向上+资金驱动。其中酒鬼酒涨幅靠前。据酒业家报道，茅台销售公司 2025 年半年市场工 作会提到上半年销售公司完成了既定经营任务，此外酱香酒亦完成上半年经营任务，我们认为， 作为行业"压舱石"茅台在行业弱需求背景下顺利达成经营目标或提振产业信心。酒业家渠道 调研显示，近期餐饮渠道中高端酒销售普降 60%-80%，大众用酒下探至百元内，光瓶酒借势升 温，短期白酒需求总体仍有压力。本周（7 月 7 日- ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform" [6] Core Insights - The liquor sector is experiencing pressure from graduation banquets, but the stabilization of Moutai prices may boost confidence [2][13] - The approval of D-allohexose and the implementation of childcare subsidies are key investment opportunities in the consumer goods sector [4][15] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From June 30 to July 4, the food and beverage sector increased by 0.62%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 1.54% [1][24] - Specific segments include meat products (+1.22%), liquor III (+1.20%), baked goods (+0.92%), and beverages (-1.64%) [1][24] Liquor Sector Insights - The liquor sector saw a 1.20% increase, outperforming the overall food and beverage industry but underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [2][13] - The price of 25-year Moutai (original) is 1935 yuan, up by 65 yuan from the previous week, indicating a potential recovery in industry confidence [2][13] Consumer Goods Sector Insights - The approval of new food raw materials and the rollout of childcare subsidies are expected to catalyze growth in the health products, soft drinks, snacks, and dairy sectors [4][15] - The childcare subsidy program provides 3600 yuan per child annually, which may positively impact the dairy sector [4][15] Investment Recommendations - For the liquor sector, focus on companies benefiting from concentration and strong alpha, such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai [5][22] - In the consumer goods sector, recommend companies that align with cost reduction and market share growth strategies, including Lihigh Food and Dongpeng Beverage [5][22]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The liquor sector is experiencing a decline in sentiment due to fluctuations in the price of Feitian Moutai, with leading companies actively exploring new consumption scenarios and demographics [2][13] - The health products, soft drinks, and snacks sectors are viewed positively due to high growth potential, low base effects, and upcoming peak seasons [4][15] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 0.88% from June 23 to June 27, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.95% [1][22] - Specific sector performances included health products (+3.65%), baked goods (+2.72%), and soft drinks (-0.58%) [1][22] Liquor Sector Insights - The white liquor sector declined by 1.66%, attributed to seasonal demand weakness and price fluctuations of high-end products like Feitian Moutai [2][13] - Current prices for 25-year Moutai (original/scattered) are 1870 RMB/1800 RMB, down by 80 RMB/100 RMB from the previous week [2][13] - The Shunwan white liquor index PE-TTM is at 18X, which is considered low compared to the historical average [2][13] Health Products and Snacks - The health products sector is experiencing a growth trend, with a 3.65% increase this week, driven by new consumption trends [20] - The snack sector is expected to benefit from low base effects and new product launches, with companies like Three Squirrels and Salted Fish being highlighted [17][21] Soft Drinks and Beer - The soft drink sector saw a slight decline of 0.6%, with notable performances from brands like Master Kong (+5.4%) and Nongfu Spring (+5.3%) [4][15] - The beer sector declined by 1.9%, but there is optimism for recovery with upcoming consumption policies [4][15] Investment Recommendations - Focus on strong alpha companies in the liquor sector such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai, which are expected to benefit from market consolidation [4][21] - In the consumer goods sector, companies that align with cost reduction and market share growth strategies are recommended, including Li Gao Foods and Nongfu Spring [4][21]

Core Insights - Company reported 2024 annual results and Q1 2025 results, showing strong growth in revenue and net profit [1][2] Group 1: 2024 Annual Results - Company achieved revenue of 35.392 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.98% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.207 billion, up 28.56% year-on-year [1] - Non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 263 million, a significant increase of 125.86% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin for power and energy storage batteries improved, with overseas revenue exceeding 10 billion for the first time, growing over 70% year-on-year [1] - Total battery product shipments were approximately 63 GWh [1] Group 2: Q1 2025 Results - Company reported revenue of 9.055 billion for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.61% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 101 million, up 45.55% year-on-year [2] - Non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 15 million, an increase of 37.59% year-on-year [2] - Battery shipments for Q1 2025 were approximately 18 GWh [2] Group 3: Market Position and Growth - Company ranked third globally in lithium iron phosphate battery installation volume with a market share of 6.18% [2] - Global power lithium battery installation volume increased by 73.8%, with a market share of 3.2%, ranking eighth [2] - In China, power lithium battery installation volume grew by 48%, with a market share of 4.59%, ranking fourth [2] Group 4: Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 46.621 billion, 53.673 billion, and 63.690 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 31.73%, 15.13%, and 18.66% respectively [3] - Expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.746 billion, 2.331 billion, and 2.907 billion, with year-on-year growth of 44.67%, 33.46%, and 24.77% respectively [3] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 21.69, 16.25, and 13.02 [3]

资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 证券研究报告：电力设备 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-12 股票投资评级 个股表现 2024-05 2024-07 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 -19% -14% -9% -4% 1% 6% 11% 16% 21% 26% 31% 国轩高科 电力设备 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 21.02 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）18.03 | / 17.25 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）379 | / 363 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 25.41 / 17.87 | | 资产负债率(%) | 72.3% | | 市盈率 | 30.91 | | 第一大股东 | 大众汽车(中国)投资有 | | 限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 国轩高科(002074) 2024 年业绩符合预期，客户结构优化突破 l 投资要点 事件：国轩高科披露 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 2024年 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 640 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 86 million yuan, which is a 69% increase year-on-year [1] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.98 billion yuan, up 39% year-on-year, and a net profit of 430 million yuan, reflecting a 54% year-on-year growth [1] - The company’s sales net profit margin for 2024 was 14.5%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the weighted ROE was 14.2%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The revenue from electric golf carts grew over 9 times in 2024, while electric bicycles and off-road motorcycles saw growth rates exceeding 40% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 640 million yuan and a net profit of 86 million yuan, marking a 23% and 69% increase year-on-year respectively [1] - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 430 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 39% and 54% respectively [1] - The company’s sales net profit margin for 2024 was 14.5%, and the weighted ROE was 14.2% [1] Product Segments - The revenue from smart electric low-speed vehicles in 2024 was 1.89 billion yuan, a 48% increase year-on-year, with electric golf carts contributing 810 million yuan, a staggering 935% increase [2] - The revenue from special vehicles in 2024 was 920 million yuan, with all-terrain vehicles generating 740 million yuan (up 19%) and off-road motorcycles generating 190 million yuan (up 52%) [2] Market Position and Strategy - The company is expected to strengthen its market position as the competitive landscape improves, with its market share likely to increase despite challenges in exports to the U.S. due to high tariffs [3] - The company has established a leading position in overseas production capacity, with factories planned in the U.S., Vietnam, and Thailand, enhancing its core competitiveness [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.79 billion yuan, 4.52 billion yuan, and 5.30 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 19%, and 17% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 573 million yuan, 692 million yuan, and 826 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 33%, 21%, and 19% respectively [4]

事件：今世缘发布 2024 年年报与 2025 年一季报，公司 24 年实现总营收 115.46 亿元，同比增加 14.31%，归母净利润 34.12 亿元，同比增加 8.8%，其中 24Q4 总营收 16.04 亿元，同比减少 7.56%，归母净利润 3.26 亿元，同比减少 34.84%。 25Q1 总营收 50.99 亿元，同比增加 9.17%，归母净利润 16.44 亿元，同比增加 7.27%。公司拟每股派发现金红利 1.2 元（含税），合计派发现金红利 14.96 亿 元（含税）、对应分红率约 43.85%。 2025 年 5 月 7 日 公司研究 稳健收官，市占率继续提升 ——今世缘（603369.SH）2024 年年报与 25 年一季报点评 要点 24 年收入保持双位数以上增幅。1）分产品，24 年特 A+类/特 A 类/A 类/B 类产 品收入 74.9/33.5/4.2/1.4 亿元，同比+15.2%/+16.6%/+2.0%/-11.1%，特 A+类 和特 A 类产品收入保持较高增长，低端产品收入下滑。分量价，24 年白酒销量/ 均价同比+19.5%/-4.3%，均价下移或与公司加大折扣冲 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase of 14.31% year-on-year for 2024, with total revenue reaching 11.546 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.412 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.8% increase [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total revenue was 1.604 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.56% year-on-year, and net profit was 326 million yuan, down 34.84% [1] - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 5.099 billion yuan, an increase of 9.17% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.644 billion yuan, up 7.27% [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.2 yuan per share, totaling 1.496 billion yuan, with a payout ratio of approximately 43.85% [1] Group 2: Product and Regional Performance - In 2024, revenue from different product categories was as follows: Special A+ products 7.49 billion yuan (+15.2%), Special A products 3.35 billion yuan (+16.6%), A products 420 million yuan (+2.0%), and B products 140 million yuan (-11.1%) [2] - The overall white liquor sales volume increased by 19.5% year-on-year, while the average price decreased by 4.3%, indicating a shift in product structure [2] - Revenue by region in 2024 showed growth in key markets: Huai'an 2.24 billion yuan (+12.3%), Nanjing 2.63 billion yuan (+11.7%), and significant growth in Suzhong (+21.2%) [2] Group 3: Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 was 74.7%, down 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, while for Q1 2025, it was 73.6%, down 0.6 percentage points [3] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 29.6%, decreasing by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q1 2025, it was 32.2%, down 0.6 percentage points [3] - As of Q1 2025, contract liabilities were 540 million yuan, showing a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter decline, likely due to proactive channel management [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue growth of 5%-12% in 2025, with net profit growth slightly lower than revenue growth [4] - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 12% and 14% to 3.66 billion yuan and 4.00 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 4.38 billion yuan [4] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected at 16, 15, and 13 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for market share growth [4]

智通财经APP获悉，经络按揭转介研究部及香港土地注册处最新数据显示，2025年四月份现楼按揭宗数 为3,446宗，较三月份的4,015宗下跌569宗(14.2%)，连跌2个月，创5个月新低；而该月的楼花按揭宗数 为467宗，较三月份的709宗减少242宗(34.1%)，连升4个月后回落，创3个月新低。对比去年同期，2025 年四月份现楼按揭宗数比2024年同期4,166宗下跌720宗(17.3%)；楼花按揭宗数比2024年同期186宗增加 281宗(151.1%)。 现楼银行市占率方面，中国银行(香港)七连冠，以市占率27.4%位列榜首；汇丰银行以市占率17.6%排名 第二；恒生银行以市占率11.1%排名第三；中国工商银行(亚洲)以市占率6.8%排名第四；渣打银行及东 亚银行以市占率6.3%排名第五。 楼花银行市占率方面，中国银行(香港)五连冠，以市占25.5%排名第一；汇丰银行以市占率18.6%排名第 二；恒生银行上升一级，以市占率11.3%排名第三；中国工商银行(亚洲)下跌一级，以市占率10.1%排名 第四；渣打银行以市占率9.9%排名第五。 2025年四月份四大银行现楼市占率由上月65.3%下跌3%至6 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·医疗器械 联影医疗（688271） 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评：25Q1 季报 迎来拐点，期待逐季改善 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 11,411 | 10,300 | 11,599 | 13,892 | 16,493 | | 同比（%） | 23.52 | (9.73) | 12.61 | 19.77 | 18.72 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,974 | 1,262 | 1,587 | 2,139 | 2,654 | | 同比（%） | 19.21 | (36.08) | 25.75 | 34.82 | 24.07 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.40 | 1.53 | 1.93 | 2.60 | 3.22 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 55.48 | 86.80 | 69.03 | 51.20 | 41.27 | [T ...