Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in December last year was 20.9 billion MOP, approximately 2.61 billion USD, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, but a quarterly decline of 1%, which was below market expectations [1] - In the fourth quarter, Macau's gaming revenue reached 66.1 billion MOP, about 8.26 billion USD, with a year-on-year growth of 15% and a quarterly increase of 5.6% [1] - The report forecasts that Macau's total gaming revenue for 2025 will be 247 billion MOP, around 31 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and reaching 85% of the 2019 levels [1] Group 2 - The report highlights that the mass market revenue has already exceeded 120% of the 2019 levels [1] - The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for Macau gaming stocks is currently at 8.5 times, compared to the 15-year average of 12.8 times, indicating that the sector remains attractive [1] - The report expresses a preference for Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and Sands China (01928), while downgrading MGM China (02282) to "in line with the market" and maintaining a sell rating on SJM Holdings (00880) [1]

摩根士丹利发布研报称，澳门去年12月博彩收入为209亿澳门元，约26.1亿美元，同比增长14.8%，按季 下降1%，低于市场预期。去年第四季澳门博彩收入达到661亿澳门元，约82.6亿美元，同比增长15%， 按季增长5.6%。第四季EBITDA预计同比增长超过10%。 报告指，2025全年澳门博彩收入为2,470亿澳门元，约310亿美元，同比增长9%，达到2019年水平的 85%。其中，中场收入已超过2019年水平的120%。大摩指，澳门博彩股板块的企业价值对EBITDA为 8.5倍，对比过去15年平均12.8倍，仍具吸引力。该行较偏好银河娱乐(00027)及金沙中国(01928)。已将 美高梅中国(02282)降至"与大市同步"，澳博控股(00880)维持减持。当中，美高梅中国在12月表现大幅 落后，或有短期反弹机会。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue in December last year was 20.9 billion MOP, approximately 2.61 billion USD, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, but a quarterly decline of 1%, which was below market expectations [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - Macau's gaming revenue for Q4 reached 66.1 billion MOP, about 8.26 billion USD, showing a year-on-year growth of 15% and a quarterly increase of 5.6% [1] - The EBITDA for Q4 is expected to grow by over 10% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The total gaming revenue for Macau in 2025 is projected to be 247 billion MOP, around 31 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and reaching 85% of the 2019 levels [1] - The mass market revenue has already surpassed 120% of the 2019 levels [1] Group 3: Valuation and Stock Preferences - The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for Macau gaming stocks is currently at 8.5 times, compared to the 15-year average of 12.8 times, indicating attractiveness [1] - Morgan Stanley prefers Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and Sands China (01928) [1] - MGM China (02282) has been downgraded to "in line with the market," while SJM Holdings (00880) is maintained at a sell rating [1] - MGM China significantly underperformed in December but may have short-term rebound opportunities [1]

摩根士丹利发表报告指，澳门去年12月博彩收入为209亿澳门元，按年增长14.8%，按季下降1%，低于 市场预期。2025全年澳门博彩收入为2470亿澳门元，按年增长9%，达到2019年水平的85%。大摩指， 澳门博彩股板块的企业价值对EBITDA为8.5倍，对比过去15年平均12.8倍，仍具吸引力。该行较偏好银 河娱乐及金沙中国；美高梅中国在12月表现大幅落后，或有短期反弹机会，评级降至"与大市同步"，对 澳博控股维持"减持"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley forecasts that Macau's gaming revenue will grow by 15% year-on-year to MOP 20.9 billion by December 2025, reaching 91% of pre-pandemic levels, slightly below market expectations of 18% due to previous upward adjustments [1] Group 1: Revenue Projections - For Q4 2025, gaming revenue is expected to increase by 15% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter to MOP 66.1 billion, marking a six-year high and exceeding both the bank's and market's expectations of 9% year-on-year growth [1] - For the full year of 2025, gaming revenue is projected to grow by 9% to MOP 247.4 billion, surpassing the bank's previous expectation of 5% [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - For 2026, the bank maintains its forecast for Macau's gaming revenue to grow by 5% to 6%, driven by a 7% to 8% increase in mass market and slot machine revenues, while VIP room revenues are expected to decline by 5% [1] - The bank anticipates industry profits will grow by 6% to 7% year-on-year, finally expected to outpace revenue growth [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - In the short term, the bank remains optimistic about Sands China (01928), while in the long term, Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is preferred, with target prices set at HKD 24.5 and HKD 50 respectively, both rated as "Buy" [1]

对于今年1月份，该行预计澳门博彩收入同比增长18%至214.8亿澳门元，高于市场预测3%。首选股维持 银河娱乐(00027)和美高梅中国(02282) 。里昂预计2026年澳门博彩总收入同比增长5%，略低于市场预期 的增长5.5%水平，并意味着日均博彩收入达7.09亿澳门元。 里昂发布研报称，澳门去年12月博彩收入同比增长14.8%至208.9亿澳门元，符合该行预测，但低于市场 预测3%，意味着12月最后十天的平均每日博彩收入为6.24亿澳门元，相对于首21天的每日6.98亿澳门 元。虽然投资者可能对有关数据持负面看法，但该行仍相信人民币兑美元的持续升值将支持博彩收入表 现。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in December increased by 14.8% year-on-year to 20.89 billion MOP, aligning with the bank's forecast but falling short of market expectations by 3% [1] - The average daily gaming revenue for the last ten days of December was 624 million MOP, compared to 698 million MOP for the first 21 days of the month [1] - Despite potential negative sentiment from investors regarding the data, the bank remains optimistic that the continued appreciation of the RMB against the USD will support gaming revenue performance [1] Group 2 - For January, the bank forecasts a year-on-year increase in Macau's gaming revenue of 18% to 21.48 billion MOP, exceeding market expectations by 3% [1] - The bank maintains its preferred stocks as Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) [1] - The bank projects that Macau's total gaming revenue will grow by 5% year-on-year by 2026, slightly below the market expectation of 5.5%, implying an average daily gaming revenue of 709 million MOP [1]

对于今年1月份，该行预计澳门博彩收入同比增长18%至214.8亿澳门元，高于市场预测3%。首选股维持 银河娱乐(00027)和美高梅中国(02282)。里昂预计2026年澳门博彩总收入同比增长5%，略低于市场预期 的增长5.5%水平，并意味着日均博彩收入达7.09亿澳门元。 里昂发布研报称，澳门去年12月博彩收入同比增长14.8%至208.9亿澳门元，符合该行预测，但低于市场 预测3%，意味着12月最后十天的平均每日博彩收入为6.24亿澳门元，相对于首21天的每日6.98亿澳门 元。虽然投资者可能对有关数据持负面看法，但该行仍相信人民币兑美元的持续升值将支持博彩收入表 现。 ...

展望2026年，该行对澳门博彩业维持建设性看法，料需求将维持韧性，料旅游产品升级、市场推广活动 增加以及客户基础更趋多元化带来支持，而这些因素可以持续推动增长，尤其在高端客群领域。 板块中，该行较看好银河娱乐(00027)及永利澳门(01128)，目标价分别为46.9港元及8.9港元，予"买 入"评级。 智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研报称，澳门官方数据显示，2025年12月博彩总收入约为209亿澳门元(下 同)，同比增长15%，环比微跌1%。日均博彩收入约为6.74亿元，环比跌4%，低于市场预期的6.93亿 元。 数据反映12月最后10天的日均收入放缓至6.24亿元，低于首21天的日均6.97亿元，可能因部分赌客将行 程推迟至2026年初的长周末，以及贵宾厅赢率出现波动。该行渠道数据显示，12月贵宾厅赢率低于 3%，明显低于2025年上半年的3.5%，及10月和11月的4.2%。而全年澳门博彩总收入累计为2,470亿元， 同比增长9%。 ...

Industry Overview - UBS reports that Macau's total gaming revenue is projected to reach approximately 20.9 billion MOP by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15% and a slight month-on-month decline of 1% [1] - The average daily gaming revenue is estimated at around 674 million MOP, which is a 4% month-on-month decrease and below market expectations of 693 million MOP [1] - For the entire year, Macau's total gaming revenue is expected to accumulate to 247 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% [1] Future Outlook - The outlook for Macau's gaming industry in 2026 remains constructive, with expectations of resilient demand supported by upgraded tourism products, increased marketing activities, and a more diversified customer base [1] - These factors are anticipated to continue driving growth, particularly in the high-end customer segment [1] Company Recommendations - Within the sector, UBS expresses a favorable view on Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn Macau, setting target prices of 46.9 HKD and 8.9 HKD respectively, with a "buy" rating assigned to both [1]