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小摩:澳门10月博彩收入胜预期 料11月增长放缓至8%至10%
智通财经网· 2025-11-03 09:23
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's total gaming revenue for October reached 24 billion MOP, marking a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 32%, representing the strongest gaming performance in six years [1] - The recovery of mass and VIP gaming revenues has returned to approximately 125% and 35% of pre-pandemic levels, respectively [1] - Despite a lackluster performance during the Golden Week, October's gaming revenue exceeded market expectations by 11% to 12% [1] Revenue Breakdown - VIP and high-end mass gaming segments drove VIP business growth of 40% to 45%, while mass gaming grew by 12% to 13% [1] - The outlook for November suggests a more challenging base compared to October, with growth expected to slow to 8% to 10% [1] - Starting in December, the base will become more favorable, with anticipated gaming revenue growth accelerating to 15% to 17%, and at least low double-digit growth expected in the first quarter of next year [1] Stock Recommendations - The company is optimistic about Wynn Macau (01128) in the short term due to attractive valuation and high leverage [1] - In the medium term, Sands China (01928) is favored as there is an opportunity to increase dividends in February next year, with expectations of continued market share expansion in Q4 of this year [1] - Long-term prospects are positive for Galaxy Entertainment (00027), which combines value advantages with long-term growth potential [1] - All mentioned stocks are rated "Buy" with target prices set at HKD 8, HKD 24.5, and HKD 48.5, respectively [1]
大行评级丨摩根大通:预期澳门11月博彩总收入增幅放缓至8%至10% 短期看好永利澳门
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-03 08:47
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's total gaming revenue for October reached 24 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 32%, marking the strongest gaming performance in six years, exceeding market expectations by 11% to 12% [1] Group 1: Short-term Outlook - The bank anticipates that the growth rate may slow to 8% to 10% in November due to a tougher comparison base compared to October [1] - Wynn Macau is viewed positively in the short term due to attractive valuation and high leverage [1] Group 2: Mid-term Outlook - Sands China is favored in the mid-term as there is an opportunity to increase dividends in February next year, and it is expected to continue expanding market share in Q4 of this year [1] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Galaxy Entertainment is seen as a long-term investment opportunity due to its value advantage and long-term growth potential [1] - All mentioned stocks are rated as "Overweight" with target prices set at HKD 8, HKD 24.5, and HKD 48.5 respectively [1]
瑞银:澳门10月博彩收入胜预期 料11月同比升10%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 06:41
Core Insights - UBS reports that Macau's total gaming revenue for October reached approximately 24.1 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 32%, exceeding market expectations [1] - The average daily gaming revenue for October was about 777 million MOP, driven by strong performance following the Golden Week [1] - From October 6 to 31, the average daily gaming revenue was approximately 715 million MOP, which, despite a 35% decline from the peak during the Golden Week, was still higher than September's 610 million MOP and better than the historical average decline of 40% [1] Market Expectations - The market anticipates that November's total gaming revenue will normalize, with an expected average daily revenue of around 673 million MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% but a month-on-month decline of 13%, aligning with the seasonal patterns observed from 2015 to 2019 [1] Stock Recommendations - UBS's preferred stocks in the sector include Wynn Macau (01128), MGM China (02282), and Galaxy Entertainment (00027), all rated as "Buy" with target prices set at 8.4 HKD, 19.8 HKD, and 46.9 HKD respectively [1]
小摩:澳门10月博彩收入存潜在上行趋势 短期偏好永利澳门
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:03
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue for the first 26 days of October reached 20.4 billion MOP, with an average daily revenue of 785 million MOP, reflecting pent-up demand during the Golden Week due to previous disruptions from a typhoon and the Mid-Autumn Festival [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The report suggests a significant upward trend in gaming revenue, with total revenue for October potentially reaching 23 billion MOP, marking a 71-month high [1] - Starting from December, due to a low base, the firm anticipates double-digit growth in gaming revenue, maintaining low double-digit increases into the first quarter of next year [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - The company is optimistic about Wynn Macau (01128), assigning an "Overweight" rating, expecting its Q3 performance to exceed expectations [1] - For the medium term, Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is also viewed positively, receiving an "Overweight" rating [1] - The company holds a negative outlook on SJM Holdings (00880) and Melco International (00200), assigning "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, citing high valuations relative to fundamentals and limited shareholder returns over the next 12 months [1]
小摩:澳门10月博彩收入存潜在上行趋势 短期偏好永利澳门(01128)
智通财经网· 2025-10-28 07:59
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue for the first 26 days of October reached 20.4 billion MOP, indicating a potential upward trend in gaming revenue due to pent-up demand from the Golden Week holiday [1] Industry Summary - The average daily gaming revenue for October is 785 million MOP, with last week's revenue accelerating to 793 million MOP, reflecting increased activity post-typhoon and mid-autumn festival [1] - The total gaming revenue for October could reach 23 billion MOP, potentially marking a 71-month high [1] - Starting from December, a low base is expected to drive double-digit growth in gaming revenue, continuing into the first quarter of next year with low double-digit increases [1] Company Summary - Wynn Macau (01128) is viewed positively in the short term, with an "Overweight" rating and expectations for third-quarter performance to exceed forecasts [1] - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is also favored in the medium term, receiving an "Overweight" rating [1] - The outlook for SJM Holdings (00880) and Melco International (00200) is less favorable, with "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, as their valuations are considered high relative to fundamentals, and shareholder returns over the next 12 months are expected to be limited [1]
大行评级丨摩根大通:澳门10月赌收存在明显潜在上行趋势 短期看好永利澳门
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-28 07:44
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates a significant potential upward trend in Macau's gaming revenue, with October's total revenue possibly reaching 23 billion MOP, marking a 71-month high [1] Group 1: Gaming Revenue Insights - As of October 26, Macau's gaming revenue reached 20.4 billion MOP, with an average daily revenue of 785 million MOP, showing an acceleration to 793 million MOP in the previous week [1] - The report suggests that the increased revenue may reflect pent-up demand during the Golden Week, as many players shortened their trips due to the typhoon and Mid-Autumn Festival [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that starting from December, gaming revenue is expected to record double-digit growth, maintaining low double-digit increases in the first quarter of next year [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - Morgan Stanley has a positive short-term outlook on Wynn Macau, assigning an "Overweight" rating, anticipating that its third-quarter performance may exceed expectations [1] - The firm also maintains an "Overweight" rating on Galaxy Entertainment, indicating a favorable mid-term outlook [1] - Conversely, Morgan Stanley is less optimistic about SJM Holdings and Melco International, assigning "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, citing their valuations as high relative to fundamentals and limited shareholder returns over the next 12 months [1]
港股异动丨濠赌股盘初继续反弹 金沙中国涨超4% 银河娱乐涨超3%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-24 01:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continued rebound of Hong Kong gaming stocks, with significant gains observed in companies such as Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment [1] - The Macao Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau reported that the lucky gaming revenue for Q3 this year reached 62.57 billion Macao Patacas, marking a 12.53% increase compared to 55.602 billion Patacas in the same period last year, and a 2.4% quarter-on-quarter rise [1] - According to a report from Credit Lyonnais, the growth in industrial profits in mainland China is expected to sustain the growth of Macao's gaming revenue, with investors favoring high-quality enterprises [1] Group 2 - The gaming sector is currently trading at an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 9.4 times for 2026, which is below the normalized range of 11 to 12 times for the sector in Macao [1] - Credit Lyonnais maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, identifying Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China as preferred stocks within the sector [1] - The article lists the latest stock prices and percentage changes for various gaming companies, with Sands China up 4.11%, Galaxy Entertainment up 3.37%, and others showing modest gains [1]
小摩:料香港可持续吸引资金流入 首选港交所、创科实业、港铁公司与恒基地产等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 19:16
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley raised its year-end targets for the MSCI Hong Kong Index (MXHK) to 13,000 and 14,000 points, with potential targets for 2026 of 14,366, 15,522, and 16,679 points, indicating potential increases of 8%, 16%, and 25% respectively [1] - The recovery trend in Hong Kong has been significant since 2023, with strong financial market performance and a stabilizing residential property market, making valuations attractive compared to historical levels and other markets [1] - Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook for Hong Kong for the next year, favoring stocks such as Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388), Futu Holdings (FUTU.US), Galaxy Entertainment (00027), MGM China (02282), Techtronic Industries (00669), China State Construction International (03311), Henderson Land Development (00012), and MTR Corporation (00066) [1] Group 2 - Year-to-date, the MSCI Hong Kong Index (MXHK) has returned 26% in USD terms, and its forecasted P/E ratio remains 0.3 standard deviations below the 10-year average, making Hong Kong the cheapest market in the Asia-Pacific region, excluding ASEAN [2]
小摩:料香港可持续吸引资金流入 首选港交所(00388)、创科实业(00669)、港铁公司(00066)与恒基地产(00012)等
智通财经网· 2025-10-23 09:35
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the MSCI Hong Kong Index (MXHK) has returned 26% in USD terms year-to-date, indicating that Hong Kong remains one of the cheapest markets in the Asia-Pacific region, excluding ASEAN, with a forecasted P/E ratio still 0.3 standard deviations below the 10-year average [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The MXHK index's year-to-date return of 26% highlights a significant recovery trend in Hong Kong since 2023 [1] - The financial market performance in Hong Kong has been strong, and the residential property market is stabilizing [1] Group 2: Valuation and Forecast - Morgan Stanley has raised its year-end targets for MXHK to 13,000 and 14,000 points, assuming the index maintains or increases its P/E ratio relative to the past 10 years [1] - Potential targets for the end of 2026 are set at 14,366, 15,522, and 16,679 points, representing potential increases of 8%, 16%, and 25% respectively [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The firm maintains a positive outlook for Hong Kong, expecting continued capital inflows, and has upgraded the telecommunications services sector to "overweight" [1] - Preferred stocks include Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388), Futu Holdings (FUTU.US), Galaxy Entertainment (00027), MGM China (02282), Techtronic Industries (00669), China State Construction International (03311), Henderson Land Development (00012), and MTR Corporation (00066) [1]
大行评级丨摩根大通:预计香港可持续吸引资金流入 首选港交所、富途、银河娱乐等
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-23 05:43
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that the MSCI Hong Kong Index (MXHK) has returned 26% in USD terms year-to-date, and its forecasted P/E ratio for the next 12 months remains 0.3 standard deviations below the 10-year average, making Hong Kong one of the cheapest markets in the Asia-Pacific region, excluding ASEAN [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The recovery trend in Hong Kong has been significant since 2023, with strong performance in financial markets and a stabilizing residential property market [1] - The valuation of Hong Kong is relatively low compared to historical levels and other markets, suggesting a sustainable inflow of capital [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Morgan Stanley has raised its year-end targets for the MXHK to 13,000 points for the basic scenario and 14,000 points for the optimistic scenario [1] - The firm holds a positive outlook for next year, favoring investments in companies such as Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, Futu Holdings, Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, Techtronic Industries, China State Construction International, Henderson Land Development, and MTR Corporation [1] Group 3: Sector Ratings - The communications services sector rating has been upgraded to "Overweight" [1]