Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that while the earnings of most Hong Kong real estate stocks are expected to continue declining, the upcoming earnings announcements may represent a low point for many companies, with a significant chance of earnings rebound in the next fiscal year [1] Group 1: Earnings Outlook - The earnings season for Hong Kong real estate stocks is set to begin at the end of January [1] - The impact of the improvement in the Hong Kong residential market on the fiscal year 2025 financial statements is expected to be limited [1] - Most companies are anticipated to report continued earnings decline [1] Group 2: Preferred Stocks - For rental stocks (shopping malls/office buildings), the preferred choices are Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Swire Properties (01972) [1] - For developers, the preferred stock is Sino Land Company (00083) [1] - The report also expresses a positive outlook on the Land Development Company but suggests waiting for a better entry point [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that multiple brokerages have raised their forecasts for Hong Kong's property price growth to between 5% and 10%, which has contributed to an 11% rise in Hong Kong real estate stocks this year, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 6% [1] - Morgan Stanley believes that the market has already priced in a solid recovery in Hong Kong's property market over the next two years, as many companies' stock prices have reached or are close to historical highs [1] - The firm suggests that rental stocks have greater potential for upside, as improvements in their commercial real estate businesses have not yet been fully reflected in stock prices, with most still trading over 30% below their peaks [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley's top picks for rental stocks are Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Swire Properties (01972), due to their ongoing improvements in retail operations in mainland China [1] - Kowloon Development (01997) could become a dark horse if its management expresses a more positive outlook on tenant sales during the earnings release in March [1] - Among developers, Morgan Stanley prefers Sino Land (00083) and Henderson Land (00012), but generally advises waiting for a better entry point [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][27]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong real estate market is expected to rebound in 2025, with both primary and secondary residential transactions reaching a four-year high, showing year-on-year growth of 21.5% and 16.9% respectively, leading to a total increase of 18.3% [3][7]. - The upward trend in property prices began in April 2025, with private residential prices increasing by 4.4% from the low in March 2025, and the leading index rising by 5.8% by January 2026 [3][8]. - Positive factors such as stable GDP growth, increased disposable income, and a recovering stock market are expected to enhance purchasing power and demand in 2026 [3][19]. - The concentration of market share among top developers is significant, with the top five developers holding a 46.8% market share in 2024, indicating strong performance potential during market upturns [3][21][24]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In 2025, the total residential transaction volume reached 63,000 units, marking an 18% increase compared to 2022, with primary sales at 20,500 units and secondary sales at 42,000 units [4][7]. - The influx of mainland buyers is notable, with an estimated 13,800 units purchased by Mandarin-speaking buyers, accounting for 22% of total transactions [7]. Price Trends - Since Q2 2025, property prices have shown a steady upward trend, with the index rising by 8% from the low in March 2025 [8][19]. Rental Market - The rental market has also seen an upward trend, with rental indices increasing by 4.3% by November 2025, and the average rental yield reaching 2.88%, closely aligning with the ten-year government bond yield of 2.94% [11][12]. Supply Dynamics - The supply of new residential units has been contracting, with the number of pre-sale approvals declining by 20% by the end of 2025, creating a favorable environment for price increases [16][19]. Future Outlook - The outlook for 2026 remains positive, with expectations of continued demand recovery and manageable supply pressures, suggesting a sustained upward trend in both volume and prices [19][25].

Group 1 - Citigroup revised its forecast for Hong Kong residential property prices in 2026 from an increase of 3% to 8%, anticipating a further acceleration in 2027, marking the beginning of a multi-year upward cycle [1] - The fundamental supporting factors include a new low in land supply, a decrease in available units, and a projected net absorption starting in 2026, with new sales expected to reach 21,000 units [1][2] - Rental prices are expected to rise cumulatively by 20% from 2023 to 2025, with an average rental yield of 3.5%, supporting future demand [1] Group 2 - The outlook for Hong Kong real estate stocks in 2026 is more positive, driven by an upward price cycle, improved profit margins, and a reduction in debt and financing costs for listed property companies [2] - The second quarter is traditionally a peak season for the property market, with expectations for increased asset turnover starting in March [2] - Recommended stocks include Sun Hung Kai Properties, Sino Land, and Henderson Land, benefiting from rising profit margins and NAV [3]

Group 1 - Shanghai's first land auction of 2026 raised 4.57 billion yuan, with Yuexiu Property acquiring a plot in Pudong New District for 2.561 billion yuan [2] - The first residential land from the Shanghai Zhaojialou urban village renovation project was sold for 664 million yuan [3] - Beijing's Fengtai District plans to supply 10 plots in 2026, focusing on urban village and shantytown redevelopment projects [4] Group 2 - Guangzhou's Panyu District has approved a land reserve plan for 157 hectares aimed at creating a central innovation zone in the Bay Area [5] - China State Construction International won a residential land plot in Guangzhou's Baiyun District for 315 million yuan, with a floor price of 4,642 yuan per square meter [6] - Shenzhen's Shen International and Qianhai Construction Investment won a logistics land plot of nearly 60,000 square meters [7] Group 3 - A consortium of Sino Land and Eagle Group won a residential plot in Hong Kong's Jordan Valley for 1.61 billion HKD, with a floor price of 4,339 HKD per square foot [9] - Fuzhou's first land auction of 2026 is scheduled for January 21, with two commercial and residential plots starting at 204.5 million yuan [10] - Jiangsu Yixing's first land auction of 2026 raised 1.305 billion yuan from three residential plots, with the highest floor price at 6,648 yuan per square meter [11] Group 4 - Qingdao is offering a mixed-use land plot with a starting price of 441 million yuan and a floor price of 10,230 yuan per square meter [12] - Nantong Qidong is auctioning three residential plots with a total starting price of 1.86 billion yuan [13] - Wenzhou's Rui'an is set to auction a residential plot with a starting price of 276 million yuan [14] Group 5 - Taizhou Yuanhe Real Estate acquired a commercial and residential plot in Jinhua for 480 million yuan, with a premium rate of 32.25% [15] - Oriental Asset Management won three plots in Kunming's Songming vocational education new city, totaling 2.9 million yuan [16] - Benchmark Global Group acquired the original Aeon Mall site in Foshan Nanhai District to develop an international racing circuit [17] - Zhongnan Industry won a residential plot in Wenzhou's Longwan District for 403 million yuan, with a floor price of 12,582 yuan per square meter [18]

Core Viewpoint - The Huabao S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159220) has shown a slight decline in its closing price and has experienced a modest increase in its scale since the end of 2025, indicating stable performance in a volatile market [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of January 7, 2025, the fund closed down by 0.50% with a trading volume of 20.57 million yuan [1]. - The fund's management fee is 0.50% annually, and the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1]. - The fund's latest share count is 512 million, with a total scale of 311 million yuan, reflecting a 0.00% increase in shares and a 0.98% increase in scale since December 31, 2025 [1]. Group 2: Trading Activity - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the fund reached 716 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 35.78 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yang Yang and Hu Yijiang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on April 29, 2025, achieving a return of 20.30% during their tenure [2]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The fund's top holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co. (3.33%), Hang Lung Properties (3.17%), China Shenhua Energy (3.10%), and others, with their respective market values and share counts detailed [3].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年12月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 信和置業有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年1月6日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00083 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 9,150,103,814 | | 0 | | 9,150,103,814 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 334, ...

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) experienced a slight decline of 0.68% in its closing price on December 29, with a trading volume of 3.5853 million yuan [1]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The fund was established on September 30, 2025, and is officially named Penghua S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index Securities Investment Fund [1]. - The management fee for the fund is set at 0.30% annually, while the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1]. - The performance benchmark for the fund is the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index return (adjusted for exchange rates) [1]. Group 2: Fund Size and Liquidity - As of December 26, the latest share count for the ETF is 151 million shares, with a total size of 156 million yuan [1]. - Over the past 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 96.319 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 4.8159 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on September 30, 2025, achieving a return of 2.95% during their tenure [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The ETF's top holdings include: - Hang Lung Properties: 1.08% holding, 496,000 shares valued at 4.0664 million yuan - Jiangxi Copper: 1.08% holding, 122,000 shares valued at 4.0565 million yuan - China Shenhua: 1.05% holding, 110,000 shares valued at 3.9728 million yuan - Far East Horizon: 0.99% holding, 588,000 shares valued at 3.7202 million yuan - CNOOC: 0.96% holding, 210,000 shares valued at 3.6159 million yuan - Sino Land: 0.94% holding, 384,000 shares valued at 3.5443 million yuan - PetroChina: 0.87% holding, 496,000 shares valued at 3.2921 million yuan - Hengan International: 0.87% holding, 134,500 shares valued at 3.2589 million yuan - Henderson Land: 0.81% holding, 122,000 shares valued at 3.0452 million yuan - Bank of China Hong Kong: 0.81% holding, 91,000 shares valued at 3.0623 million yuan [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance and details of the Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117), which closed with a slight increase of 0.10% on December 17, with a trading volume of 6.0187 million yuan [1] - The fund was established on September 30, 2025, with an annual management fee of 0.30% and a custody fee of 0.10%, and its performance benchmark is the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index return (adjusted for exchange rates) [1] - As of December 16, the latest share count for the ETF is 155 million shares, with a total size of 158 million yuan [1] - The ETF has shown liquidity with a cumulative trading amount of 97.7976 million yuan over the last 20 trading days, averaging 4.8899 million yuan per day [1] Group 2 - The latest report indicates that the ETF's top holdings include companies such as Hang Lung Properties, Jiangxi Copper, China Shenhua, and others, with specific holding percentages and market values detailed [2] - The top holdings and their respective percentages are as follows: Hang Lung Properties at 1.08% with a market value of 4.0664 million yuan, Jiangxi Copper at 1.08% with a market value of 4.0565 million yuan, and China Shenhua at 1.05% with a market value of 3.9728 million yuan, among others [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) experienced a decline of 1.46% in its closing price on December 16, with a trading volume of 8.09 million yuan [1]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The fund was established on September 30, 2025, and is officially named Penghua S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF [1]. - The management fee for the fund is set at 0.30% annually, while the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1]. - The fund's performance benchmark is the S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index return (adjusted for exchange rates) [1]. Group 2: Fund Size and Liquidity - As of December 15, the latest share count for the ETF is 155 million shares, with a total size of 160 million yuan [1]. - Over the past 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 100 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 5.01 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception on September 30, 2025, achieving a return of 3.58% during their tenure [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The ETF's top holdings include: - Hang Lung Properties: 1.08% holding, 496,000 shares valued at 4.07 million yuan - Jiangxi Copper: 1.08% holding, 122,000 shares valued at 4.06 million yuan - China Shenhua: 1.05% holding, 110,000 shares valued at 3.97 million yuan - Far East Horizon: 0.99% holding, 588,000 shares valued at 3.72 million yuan - CNOOC: 0.96% holding, 210,000 shares valued at 3.62 million yuan - Sino Land: 0.94% holding, 384,000 shares valued at 3.54 million yuan - PetroChina: 0.87% holding, 496,000 shares valued at 3.29 million yuan - Hengan International: 0.87% holding, 134,500 shares valued at 3.26 million yuan - Henderson Land: 0.81% holding, 122,000 shares valued at 3.05 million yuan - Bank of China Hong Kong: 0.81% holding, 91,000 shares valued at 3.06 million yuan [2].