Core Insights - The real estate sector has shown a decline of 2.1% over the past week, ranking 17th among 29 sectors in the market, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index and the Wind All A index experienced changes of 0.1% and -1.6% respectively [5][38]. - New home sales in 36 cities reached 1.425 million square meters last week, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 14.2% and a year-on-year increase of 146.5%. However, cumulative sales from January 1 to January 30 totaled 5.398 million square meters, down 30.3% year-on-year [5][10]. - The second-hand housing market saw a total transaction area of 1.706 million square meters across 15 cities last week, with a slight week-on-week decrease of 0.7% but a significant year-on-year increase of 744.4%. Cumulative sales for the same period reached 6.739 million square meters, up 15.8% year-on-year [5][16]. Real Estate Market Conditions - The inventory of new homes in 13 cities stands at 7.7738 million square meters, showing a slight decrease of 0.2% week-on-week and a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%. The average de-stocking period is 23.0 months, which is stable compared to the previous week but has increased by 6.7 months year-on-year [5][24]. - In terms of land transactions, the total area sold in 100 cities from January 26 to February 1 was 1.7955 million square meters, marking a week-on-week increase of 49.2% and a year-on-year increase of 419.7%. The average land price was 979 yuan per square meter, down 28.0% week-on-week and down 74.4% year-on-year [5][32]. Investment Recommendations - For mainland developers, the report recommends companies such as Binjiang Group and China Merchants Shekou in A-shares, and China Overseas Development and Greentown China in Hong Kong stocks, highlighting that sales growth expectations post-market recovery will drive valuation improvements [5][9]. - Light asset operation companies are also recommended, as they are expected to maintain stable fundamentals during the downturn. Suggested companies include Greentown Service for property management and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle for commercial management [5][9]. - For Hong Kong developers, the report suggests focusing on companies like Sun Hung Kai Properties and Henderson Land Development, which are expected to benefit from a recovering residential sales market [5][9]. Financing Conditions - In the realm of domestic credit bonds, real estate companies issued a total of 8 bonds last week, amounting to 4.96 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 42.9% week-on-week but an increase of 346.3% year-on-year. The net financing amount was -3.97 billion yuan due to repayments totaling 8.93 billion yuan [5][36].

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) has experienced a decrease in both share count and total assets since the beginning of the year, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards this fund [1][2]. Fund Overview - The Penghua Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend ETF (159117) was established on September 30, 2025, with a management fee of 0.30% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of February 2, 2025, the fund's latest share count was 89.40 million, with a total asset size of 94.24 million yuan, reflecting a 38.51% decrease in shares and a 36.35% decrease in total assets since December 31, 2025 [1]. Liquidity Analysis - The cumulative trading amount for the ETF over the last 20 trading days reached 174 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 8.68 million yuan [1]. Fund Management - The current fund managers are Yan Dong and Yu Zhanchang, both of whom have managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 7.68% during their tenure [2]. Top Holdings - The ETF's major holdings include Jiangxi Copper Co. (4.39%), Far East Horizon (3.33%), China Shenhua Energy (3.09%), CNOOC (3.04%), and Hang Lung Properties (2.97%), among others, with specific holding percentages and market values detailed [3].

里昂发布研报称，香港地产商本年至今股价表现强劲，主要受惠于部分新盘销售热烈以及市场情绪乐 观。该行相信楼价上升趋势将持续，而信和置业(00083)的净现金价值，相对于同业的物业资产组合将 逐渐下降。因应完工时间变动及新增补缴税项的影响，该行对信置2026及27财年盈利预测分别下调10% 及0.6%。自该行于去年2月给予"高度确信跑赢大市"评级以来，股份已累升42%，且其净现金不再是显 著优势资产，该行对其评级下调至"跑赢大市"，目标价则由10.74港元升至12.1港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，香港地产商本年至今股价表现强劲，主要受惠于部分新盘销售热 烈以及市场情绪乐观。该行相信楼价上升趋势将持续，而信和置业(00083)的净现金价值，相对于同业 的物业资产组合将逐渐下降。因应完工时间变动及新增补缴税项的影响，该行对信置2026及27财年盈利 预测分别下调10%及0.6%。自该行于去年2月给予"高度确信跑赢大市"评级以来，股份已累升42%，且 其净现金不再是显著优势资产，该行对其评级下调至"跑赢大市"，目标价则由10.74港元升至12.1港元。 ...

股息方面，花旗表示，太古地产(01972)及香港置地承诺实现中单位数同比增长，九龙仓置业(01997)的 每股股息增长主要得益稳定的65%派息率下利息成本的节省。新鸿基地产、长实集团(01113)、信和置 业、嘉里建设(00683)、恒隆地产、希慎兴业(00014)、九龙仓集团(00004)，股息预计维持稳定。迎来五 十周年的恒基地产股息存在争议。领展房产基金(00823)、置富产业信托(00778)及冠君产业信托(02778) 因租金负增长，预计每基金单位分派数下降。 盈利方面，花旗预计香港置地、九龙仓置业及置富产业信托录得增长;新鸿基地产、信和置业、长实集 团、希慎兴业大致稳定;恒隆地产及太古地产同比下降0%至5%，但2025年下半年已因零售营业额租金改 善而好转;嘉里建设(倒退15-20%符预期)、恒基地产(倒退40%，因缺乏出售收益等)、冠君产业信托(倒退 10%)、领展表现疲弱。 花旗认为，相较于收租股，发展商在2026至2027年展现更大的每股盈利上行潜力，主要得益房价改善带 来的房屋销售利润率提升，及潜在具增值效益的新土地收购，推荐股票包括新鸿基地产(00016)、信和 置业(00083)、恒基 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles is that investors have overlooked the subdued performance of the Hong Kong real estate market last year, focusing instead on the potential for rising property prices, profit margins, and sales in 2026 and 2027 [1] - Citi believes that property developers will show greater earnings per share upside potential compared to rental stocks from 2026 to 2027, driven by improved housing sales profit margins and potential value-accretive land acquisitions [1] - Recommended stocks include Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016), Sino Land (00083), Henderson Land Development (00012) after March, and Hang Lung Properties (00101) [1] Group 2 - Regarding dividends, Citi states that Swire Properties (01972) and Hongkong Land are committed to achieving mid-single-digit year-on-year growth, while Wharf Real Estate Investment's (01997) per-share dividend growth is mainly due to a stable 65% payout ratio and savings on interest costs [2] - Expected stable dividends for Sun Hung Kai Properties, Cheung Kong Holdings (01113), Sino Land, Kerry Properties (00683), Hang Lung Properties, Hysan Development (00014), Wharf Holdings (00004) [2] - The performance of Link REIT (00823), Prosperity REIT (00778), and Champion REIT (02778) is expected to decline due to negative rental growth [2]

Group 1 - The overall sentiment of surveyed residents in Hong Kong is more cautious than expected, despite stable financial conditions over the past 12 months [1] - The number of respondents with a positive outlook on Hong Kong's economic prospects for the next 12 months has decreased, which has suppressed consumer willingness [1] - Investment sentiment remains relatively stable, with key concerns among respondents including rising living costs and job security [1] Group 2 - UBS believes that the positive momentum in Hong Kong's financial sector should support overall economic and labor demand, with potential for improvement in resident confidence by 2026 [1] - The firm maintains a positive outlook on the real estate and financial sectors, removing Henderson Land Development (00012) from its preferred stock list and replacing it with Sino Land Company (00083) due to higher dividend visibility [1] - Other stocks included in the preferred list are AIA Group (01299), Swire Properties (01972), Galaxy Entertainment (00027), and Wynn Macau (01128) [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS's report indicates that Hong Kong residents exhibit a more cautious sentiment regarding investment and consumption intentions than expected, with a decrease in the number of respondents holding a positive outlook on the economic prospects for the next 12 months [1] Group 1: Economic Sentiment - Respondents' financial situations have remained stable over the past 12 months, but their positive outlook on Hong Kong's economic prospects has diminished, which has suppressed consumption intentions [1] - The most concerning issues for respondents include rising living costs and job security [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - Investment intentions have remained relatively stable, supported by the positive momentum in Hong Kong's financial sector, which is expected to bolster overall economic and labor demand [1] - The robust performance of Hong Kong and A-shares is anticipated to create a positive wealth effect, suggesting that resident confidence may improve by 2026 [1] Group 3: Sector Recommendations - UBS maintains a positive outlook on the real estate and financial sectors, removing Henderson Land Development (00012) from its preferred stock list and replacing it with Sino Land Company (00083) due to higher dividend visibility [1] - Other stocks included in the preferred list are AIA Group (01299), Swire Properties (01972), Galaxy Entertainment (00027), and Wynn Macau (01128) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Hong Kong property developers have shown strong stock performance this year, driven by robust sales of new projects and optimistic market sentiment [1] - The upward trend in property prices is expected to continue, although the net asset value of Sino Land Company is projected to gradually decline compared to its peers [1] - The earnings forecasts for Sino Land for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027 have been revised downwards by 10% and 0.6% respectively due to changes in completion timelines and new tax liabilities [1] Group 2 - Since the "high conviction outperform" rating was assigned in February last year, Sino Land's shares have increased by 42% [1] - The company's net cash is no longer considered a significant competitive advantage [1] - The rating for Sino Land has been downgraded to "outperform," with the target price raised from HKD 10.74 to HKD 12.1 [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong local property stocks collectively rose today, with New World Development increasing by over 4%, and other companies like Sun Hung Kai Properties, Hang Lung Properties, Cheung Kong Property, and Sino Land rising by over 3% [1] - Notably, Sun Hung Kai Properties reached a historical high [1] Group 2 - New World Development's latest price is 9.830, with a market capitalization of 24.739 billion [2] - Sun Hung Kai Properties' latest price is 119.000, with a market capitalization of 344.836 billion [2] - Hang Lung Properties' latest price is 9.540, with a market capitalization of 48.24 billion [2] - Cheung Kong Property's latest price is 45.360, with a market capitalization of 158.75 billion [2] - Sino Land's latest price is 11.650, with a market capitalization of 110.494 billion [2] - Hysan Development's latest price is 21.660, with a market capitalization of 22.245 billion [2] - Kerry Properties' latest price is 23.620, with a market capitalization of 34.28 billion [2] - Kowloon Development's latest price is 26.800, with a market capitalization of 81.371 billion [2] - Swire Properties B's latest price is 12.640, with a market capitalization of 36.011 billion [2] - Link Real Estate Investment Trust's latest price is 35.840, with a market capitalization of 93.146 billion [2] - Kowloon Warehouse Group's latest price is 25.260, with a market capitalization of 77.195 billion [2] - Swire Properties' latest price is 23.200, with a market capitalization of 133.574 billion [2] - Champion REIT's latest price is 2.500, with a market capitalization of 15.338 billion [2] - Henderson Land's latest price is 30.300, with a market capitalization of 146.694 billion [2]