Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks showed a positive trend, closing up 0.85% as bulls took control, indicating a lack of negative news is perceived as positive [1] - The U.S. House of Representatives is expected to vote on a compromise plan to end the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, which could restore funding to government agencies [1] - The ADP private sector employment report for October showed a decrease of 45,000 jobs, the largest drop in two and a half years, suggesting a cooling labor market and increasing expectations for a Fed rate cut in December [1] Sector Performance - The banking sector saw a rebound with major banks like Agricultural Bank of China reaching new highs, driven by long-term investments from insurance funds and public funds [1] - Consumer sectors are gaining traction, with companies like "Hushang Auntie" seeing a significant increase of nearly 29%, indicating a recovery in consumer sentiment [2] - Retail sales in Hong Kong are projected to rise by 4% year-on-year in October, benefiting retail rental stocks [3] Company Highlights - Baijie Shenzhou reported a 44.2% increase in total revenue for the first three quarters, driven by sales growth of its self-developed products [3] - Xiaomi announced a significant sales figure of over 29 billion yuan during the Double 11 shopping festival, indicating strong consumer demand [4] - The Ximangdu iron ore project, with reserves exceeding 4.4 billion tons, has commenced production, potentially altering the global iron ore supply landscape and benefiting companies like Maanshan Iron & Steel [5] Industry Developments - The Chinese commercial aerospace sector is set to advance with the upcoming maiden flight of the reusable rocket "Zhuque-3," which aims to reduce launch costs significantly [6] - The sportswear manufacturing sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with Shenzhou International projecting a 15.3% increase in revenue for the first half of 2025 [7] - The company has expanded its overseas production capacity, with 53% of its garment output coming from international facilities, indicating a strategic shift towards globalization [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a collective rise in gaming stocks, driven by upcoming major events in Macau that are expected to attract a significant number of tourists [1] - New World Development (00200) saw a stock increase of 6.2%, trading at HKD 5.31, while Galaxy Entertainment (00027) rose by 3.86% to HKD 42.48 [1] - MGM China (02282) and Wynn Macau (01128) also experienced stock increases of 3.16% to HKD 16.64 and 2.06% to HKD 6.95, respectively [1] Group 2 - Major events in Macau include the 72nd Macau Grand Prix from November 13 to 16, the 15th National Games, and the 25th Macau Food Festival, which are anticipated to boost tourism [1] - UBS research indicates that the average daily gross gaming revenue (GGR) in Macau for the first nine days of November was approximately MOP 711 million, consistent with the average during the National Day Golden Week [1] - The GGR for early November reflects a seasonal increase of about 1% compared to the post-National Day period, indicating a strong demand environment [1]

Group 1 - The gaming stocks experienced a collective rise on November 12, with notable increases in share prices for several companies [2] - New World Development (00200.HK) saw a significant increase of 6.2%, reaching HKD 5.31 [2] - Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK) rose by 3.86%, trading at HKD 42.48 [2] - MGM China (02282.HK) increased by 3.16%, with shares priced at HKD 16.64 [2] - Wynn Macau (01128.HK) experienced a 2.06% rise, reaching HKD 6.95 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a positive trend in the Hong Kong gaming stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major companies such as Melco International Development and Galaxy Entertainment, driven by encouraging data on Macau's gaming revenue [1] - Citigroup's research report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue for the first nine days of November is approximately 6.4 billion MOP, resulting in an average daily revenue of about 711 million MOP, which is seen as a positive sign given the transitional month between October's Golden Week and December's holidays [1] - The report conservatively maintains a forecast of 20.5 billion MOP for November's total gaming revenue, suggesting an expected average daily revenue of around 671 million MOP for the remaining days of the month [1] Group 2 - The Macau Statistics and Census Service reported that non-gaming consumption by tourists reached 20.38 billion MOP in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, with overnight and non-overnight visitors contributing to the growth [1] - Spending by overnight visitors totaled 16.76 billion MOP, up 7.6%, while spending by non-overnight visitors surged by 27.6% to 3.62 billion MOP [1]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on cloud vendors and companies with exceeding expectations in the current market environment [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a divergence in market performance, with consumer companies facing pressure while AI technology companies continue to show mixed results. Concerns about AI valuation bubbles persist, but leading tech companies like Microsoft, Google, and Meta maintain strong cash flows, suggesting a stable outlook for cloud vendors [3]. - The gaming demand remains robust, although there is a short-term lack of new game releases. Attention is drawn to the progress of key game tests and launches, which could drive revenue growth for related companies [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring quarterly reports from major Chinese companies like Tencent, JD, Baidu, and Alibaba, as well as the ongoing value in sectors like PDD and the gaming industry [3]. Summary by Sections 1.1 Consumer & Internet - **Education**: The education index fell by 3.59%, with notable performance differences among companies. The implementation of a spring and autumn break system in Sichuan is expected to impact the sector positively [11][18]. - **Luxury & Gaming**: The luxury goods and gaming sectors are closely tied to macroeconomic conditions. Recent Q3 earnings from major gaming companies exceeded expectations, benefiting from a longer holiday schedule in 2026 [19][24]. - **Coffee & Tea**: The coffee sector remains vibrant, while the tea sector faces challenges due to reduced delivery platform subsidies and seasonal competition [3][27]. - **E-commerce**: The e-commerce sector is under pressure, with a lackluster performance during the Double Eleven shopping festival [3][35]. 1.2 Platform & Technology - **Streaming Platforms**: The streaming sector is driven by domestic demand, with platforms like Spotify reporting better-than-expected earnings [3][42]. - **Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers**: The cryptocurrency market is experiencing volatility, with a significant drop in global market value. However, there are potential buying opportunities following recent corrections [3][43]. - **Automotive Services**: The automotive aftermarket is projected to decline, with a year-over-year decrease of 4% expected by October 2025 [3][61]. 1.3 Media - The media sector is experiencing mixed performance, with streaming services facing challenges but also opportunities for growth through strategic partnerships and content offerings [3][41].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Melco International Development Core Insights - Melco International Development's subsidiary, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, reported a net revenue of USD 1.31 billion for Q3 2025, representing an 11.4% year-over-year increase. The adjusted EBITDA reached USD 0.352 billion, up 16.3% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.9%, an increase of 1.13 percentage points year-over-year [1][9] - The company's total betting amount in Macau reached USD 10.9 billion, a 24.3% year-over-year increase, with VIP betting amounting to USD 5.58 billion, reflecting a 47.0% year-over-year growth [3][11] - The company's market share in Q3 2025 was 14.6%, down from 15.8% in Q2 2025, indicating a decline in market position [6][14] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Melco International Development achieved operating revenue of USD 1.31 billion, a year-over-year increase of 11.4%. The adjusted EBITDA was USD 0.352 billion, up 16.3%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.9%, an increase of 1.13 percentage points year-over-year. For the year-to-date, the operating revenue reached USD 3.87 billion, up 12.3%, and adjusted EBITDA was USD 1.017 billion, up 16.9% [1][9] - The company's gaming gross revenue (GGR) in Macau was USD 1.13 billion, up 11.8% year-over-year, but this growth rate was lower than the industry average of 12.5% [4][12] Business Segments - In Macau, the company's operating revenue was USD 1.1 billion, with gaming and non-gaming segments contributing USD 0.92 billion and USD 0.19 billion, respectively. The gaming segment grew by 12.3% year-over-year, while the non-gaming segment grew by 7.2% [2][10] - The adjusted property EBITDA for the company in Macau was USD 0.317 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21.1% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 28.7%, up 2.3 percentage points year-over-year [5][13] Market Dynamics - The total betting amount in Macau increased significantly, with VIP betting showing the highest growth at 47.0% year-over-year. The VIP win rate for the City of Dreams was reported at 3.68%, exceeding the expected range [3][11] - The company's market share has declined, with a noted decrease from 15.8% in Q2 2025 to 14.6% in Q3 2025, indicating competitive pressures in the market [6][14]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of Melco Resorts in Q3 2025 exceeded consensus expectations, driven by stable operational cost control despite a decline in market share for gaming revenue [1][2] Financial Performance - Melco reported net revenue of $1.31 billion in Q3 2025, an 11% year-on-year increase but a 1% quarter-on-quarter decline, recovering to 91% of Q3 2019 levels [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA was $380 million, up 18% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter, also recovering to 91% of Q3 2019 levels, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $348 million [1] Development Trends - The company noted a weak performance during the Golden Week in October 2025 due to typhoon disruptions, but demand accelerated post-holiday with a 30% year-on-year growth in the following 21 days, achieving the highest monthly total gaming revenue in history at City of Dreams [1] - Management observed that new clients from other countries have been driving growth in direct VIP business in Macau [1] - Following the closure of the Junlong Hotel and Mocha Club in Q3 2025, the company relocated 15 gaming tables to City of Dreams and 90 slot machines to Studio City [1] Strategic Initiatives - A new gaming area was established at the southeast entrance near the Macau light rail station to attract more visitors [2] - Despite intense competition in the Macau gaming industry, Melco believes the long-term trend for high-end mass gaming remains healthy, with no concerns about profit margin erosion [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the current stock price corresponding to 6 times the 2026 estimated EV/adjusted EBITDA, suggesting a 1% upside potential to the target price of $8.50 [2] - For Melco International Development, the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged, with a target price of HKD 5.80, indicating a 20% upside potential based on a 20% discount to net asset value [2]

Core Viewpoint - New World Development (00200) shares rose over 3%, reaching HKD 5, following the announcement of improved operational results from its subsidiary, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, for Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Melco Resorts & Entertainment reported total operational revenue of USD 1.31 billion for Q3 2025, representing an approximate 11% year-on-year increase [1] - The net income attributable to Melco Resorts was USD 74.7 million, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 174% [1] - Earnings per American Depositary Share (ADS) were USD 0.19 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Melco International Development's subsidiary, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, reported a significant increase in operational revenue for Q3 2025, driven by improved performance in both gaming and non-gaming operations [1] Financial Performance - Total operational revenue for Q3 2025 reached $1.31 billion, an increase of approximately 11% compared to $1.18 billion in Q3 2024 [1] - Operational income for Q3 2025 was $184.5 million, up from $138.6 million in Q3 2024 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $380.4 million, compared to $322.6 million in Q3 2024 [1] Net Income - Net income attributable to Melco Resorts for Q3 2025 was $74.7 million, or $0.19 per American Depositary Share, compared to $27.3 million, or $0.06 per American Depositary Share in Q3 2024 [1] - Non-controlling interests reported net losses of $12.6 million and $14.6 million for Q3 2025 and Q3 2024, respectively, primarily related to losses from Studio City and City of Dreams Mediterranean [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Melco International Development (00200.HK) reported a total operating revenue of $1.31 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting an approximate 11% year-on-year increase, driven by improved performance in both gaming and non-gaming operations [1] - Melco's attributable net income reached $74.7 million, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 174%, with earnings per American Depositary Share at $0.19 [1] - As of November 6, 2025, Melco's stock closed at HKD 4.84, up 0.21%, with a trading volume of 3.165 million shares and a turnover of HKD 15.2172 million [1] Group 2 - Melco International Development has a market capitalization of HKD 10.988 billion, ranking 8th among other leisure service companies [1] - Key financial metrics include a Return on Equity (ROE) of -99.55%, a net profit margin of 2.63%, and a debt ratio of 90.45%, compared to industry averages of -4.84%, -55.53%, and 96.35% respectively [1] - The company ranks 4th in terms of operating revenue within the leisure services sector, with reported revenue of HKD 38.372 billion [1]