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Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the media and internet industry [4][35]. Core Insights - The media industry experienced a decline of 3.89%, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index (-2.19%) and the ChiNext index (1.26%) during the week of March 9-13 [11][12]. - Key companies showing significant gains include Liansheng Technology, Tiandi Online, and Guiguang Network, while companies like Meiri Interactive and Giant Network faced notable declines [11][12]. - Tencent's AI assistant product QClaw has officially entered open beta, emphasizing "WeChat direct connection + zero-threshold deployment" [14][17]. - The AI product MuleRun, described as the "world's first self-evolving personal AI," was launched, allowing users to generate digital employees with zero barriers [17]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector ranked 14th in terms of performance among all sectors, with a decline of 3.89% [11][12][13]. - The top three films at the box office for the week of March 16-22 generated a total of 2.97 billion yuan, with "Flying Life 3" leading at 640 million yuan [19][26]. AI Developments - The rapid development of AI applications is highlighted, with the release of OpenClaw and MuleRun, which are expected to enhance AI capabilities and penetration [3][35]. - The report suggests that the marketing industry will benefit from increased competition for traffic entry points, with opportunities arising from marketing intermediaries and high-quality data sources [3][35]. Gaming Sector - The gaming sector is viewed as a bottoming opportunity, with recommendations for companies like Giant Network, G-bits, and 37 Interactive Entertainment, focusing on product cycles and performance [3][35]. - The top three mobile games in China for February 2026 were identified as "Gossip Harbor: Merge & Story," "Whiteout Survival," and "Kingshot" [26][30]. Key Company Forecasts - Companies such as Kayi Network, G-bits, and 37 Interactive Entertainment are rated as "Outperform the Market," with projected EPS growth for 2025 and 2026 [4][37]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying companies with strong product cycles and AI product implementations for investment opportunities [3][35].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q4 2025 was RMB 194.4 billion, up 13% year-on-year [36] - Gross profit increased to RMB 108.3 billion, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth [36] - Non-IFRS operating profit was RMB 69.5 billion, up 17% year-on-year [37] - Non-IFRS net profit attributable to equity holders was RMB 64.7 billion, also up 17% year-on-year [37] - Overall gross margin improved to 56%, up 3 percentage points year-on-year [38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Value-added services (VAS) revenue was RMB 90 billion, up 14% year-on-year, with social network revenue growing 3% to RMB 31 billion [27] - Domestic games revenue increased by 15% year-on-year, driven by titles like Delta Force and Valorant [28] - International games revenue surged by 32% year-on-year, primarily from Supercell's titles and PUBG Mobile [28] - Marketing services revenue rose 17% year-on-year to RMB 41 billion, benefiting from improved ad targeting and AI enhancements [31] - Fintech and business services revenue was RMB 61 billion, up 8% year-on-year, with fintech services growing modestly [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Video Accounts saw total time spent increase by over 20% due to enhanced content recommendation algorithms [16] - The international games business surpassed $10 billion in annual revenue for the first time [5] - Tencent Cloud achieved RMB 5 billion adjusted operating profit, reflecting a significant turnaround from previous losses [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI as a transformational force, integrating it into existing businesses to enhance user engagement and operational efficiency [8][13] - Investments in new AI products are expected to double in 2026, funded by increasing earnings from core businesses [23] - The strategy includes leveraging AI to reinforce core businesses while exploring new product opportunities [12][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of core businesses amid AI advancements, highlighting strong user engagement and revenue trends [10][13] - The company anticipates that revenue growth may outpace profit growth in 2026 due to increased investments in AI [47] - Management emphasized the importance of building a strong AI talent team and securing GPU resources to support AI initiatives [50][51] Other Important Information - The company plans to propose an annual dividend of HKD 5.3 per share, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase [43] - Free cash flow for Q4 2025 was RMB 34 billion, increasing over six times year-on-year [40] - The company repurchased 153 million shares in 2025, totaling HKD 80 billion [41] Q&A Session Summary Question: AI investment impact on margins - Management acknowledged that revenue growth might exceed profit growth in 2026 due to AI investments, which are seen as long-term opportunities [47][48] Question: Resource allocation for AI development - Management confirmed that they are actively hiring top AI talent and securing GPU resources to prioritize AI product development [50][51] Question: ROI assessment for AI investments - Management indicated that initial investments in AI products are expected to yield attractive returns over time, similar to the trajectory of Tencent Cloud [57] Question: Differentiation in AI stack - Management highlighted the importance of investing across all layers of the AI stack, leveraging Tencent's strengths in product capability and ecosystem [60][70] Question: Value proposition in the agentic era - Management emphasized Tencent's unique capabilities across devices and applications, positioning the company well for the deployment of agentic AI services [75][78]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q4 2025 was CNY 194.4 billion, up 13% year-on-year [36] - Gross profit increased to CNY 108.3 billion, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth [36] - Non-IFRS operating profit was CNY 69.5 billion, up 17% year-on-year [37] - Non-IFRS net profit attributable to equity holders was CNY 64.7 billion, also up 17% year-on-year [37] - Overall gross margin improved to 56%, up 3 percentage points year-on-year [38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Value-added services (VAS) revenue was CNY 90 billion, up 14% year-on-year, with social network revenue growing 3% to CNY 31 billion [27] - Domestic games revenue increased by 15% year-on-year, driven by titles like Delta Force and Valorant [28] - International games revenue surged by 32% year-on-year, primarily from Supercell's titles and PUBG Mobile [28] - Marketing services revenue rose 17% year-on-year to CNY 41 billion, benefiting from improved ad targeting and AI enhancements [31] - Fintech and business services revenue was CNY 61 billion, up 8% year-on-year, with fintech services growing modestly [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International games business surpassed $10 billion in annual revenue for the first time, driven by evergreen and content-driven games [5] - Video Accounts became the second-largest short video service by daily active users (DAU) in China, with total time spent increasing over 20% [16] - The cloud services revenue accelerated due to increased demand and a better pricing environment amid tight supply of memory and CPU [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage AI as a transformational force across its existing businesses, enhancing user engagement and operational efficiency [8] - Investments in AI are prioritized to strengthen core businesses before expanding into new AI products [13] - The company plans to double investments in AI products in 2026, funded by increasing earnings from core businesses [23] - The strategy includes enhancing communication services, gaming, fintech, and cloud services through AI integration [12][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of existing businesses amid AI advancements, highlighting strong user engagement and revenue trends [13] - The company anticipates that revenue growth may outpace profit growth in 2026 due to increased investments in AI [47] - Management emphasized the importance of building a strong AI talent team and securing GPU resources to support AI initiatives [50] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 153 million shares in 2025, with a total consideration of HKD 80 billion [41] - An annual dividend of HKD 5.3 per share is proposed, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase [43] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: AI investment versus margin outlook - Management acknowledged that revenue may grow faster than profit in 2026 due to increased AI investments, which are seen as opportunities for expanding user value [47][48] Question: Resource allocation for AI development - Management confirmed that they have built a strong AI talent team and are actively securing GPU resources to prioritize AI product development [50][51] Question: ROI assessment for AI investments - Management indicated that they have already seen good ROI from AI applications in existing businesses and expect new AI products to generate revenue over time [54][57] Question: Differentiation in AI stack components - Management stated that they aim to invest in all layers of the AI stack, leveraging their strengths in product capability and ecosystem [60][70]

Investment Rating - The report recommends an "Overweight" rating for solid-state batteries, innovative drugs, and humanoid robots, while maintaining a "Neutral" rating for commercial aerospace and other sectors [5][21]. Core Insights - The report highlights a "less loss for win" phase, suggesting a focus on sectors with potential growth despite current market pressures [5]. - Key themes include advancements in solid-state batteries, innovative pharmaceuticals, and humanoid robots, with specific mentions of Tesla's production plans and breakthroughs in battery technology [5][10]. Summary by Relevant Sections Solid-State Batteries - The sector is rated "Overweight" with a strong technical outlook, indicating a low position relative to historical averages and potential for growth [5]. - Recent developments include the second-generation semi-solid-state battery from Funeng Technology, which supports fast charging and has achieved small-scale production [5][10]. Innovative Drugs - Rated "Overweight," this sector shows strong fundamentals despite slight downward adjustments in profit expectations [5]. - Notable events include the acceptance of a clinical trial application by Yangli Pharmaceutical for a drug targeting hypertension, marking a significant step for Chinese innovative drugs in international markets [10]. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is also rated "Overweight," with a strong technical outlook and ongoing developments, such as Tesla's announcement of mass production plans for its Optimus robot [5][10]. Commercial Aerospace - This sector is rated "Neutral," facing adjustment pressures despite recent successful satellite launches [5]. AI Applications and Computing Infrastructure - Both sectors are rated "Neutral," with moderate growth expectations and recent regulatory approvals for industry standards [5][10]. New Consumption - The new consumption sector is rated "Neutral+" with a strong technical outlook, indicating potential growth opportunities as new consumption enterprises prepare for IPOs [5][10]. Gaming - The gaming sector is rated "Neutral," with recent adjustments in commission rates by major platforms like Apple and Google providing a favorable environment for game developers [5][10]. Low-altitude Economy - This sector is rated "Neutral," with ongoing legislative efforts to support its development [5][10]. Deep Sea Economy - Rated "Underweight," this sector faces challenges despite significant contributions to national oil production [5][10]. Military and Defense - The military sector is rated "Neutral," with ongoing expansions and production commitments from major defense contractors [5][10]. Controlled Nuclear Fusion - This sector is rated "Neutral," with recent government initiatives highlighting its strategic importance for future energy solutions [5][10].

Group 1 - The State Council will hold a regular policy briefing to discuss the handling of suggestions from the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference for 2025 [1] - The China Securities Index Co., Ltd. will release the China-Hong Kong Stock Connect Robotics Theme Index and the China-U.S. Stock Connect 30 Index on February 27, providing more investment options for the market [2] - Two companies will have their restricted shares unlocked today, with a total of 63.84 million shares worth 677 million yuan being released. The companies involved are Yinglite and JunChuang Technology, with unlocking ratios of 16.17% and 0.08% respectively [3] - Three companies have announced stock repurchase progress, with Guangzhou Restaurant repurchasing 100 million yuan, JinFeng Technology repurchasing 5.0543 million yuan, and Metro Design repurchasing 3.969 million yuan [4] Group 2 - The German CPI and seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for February will be published [5]

Group 1 - The Consul General of China in Cebu, Zhang Zhen, visited the construction site of China State Construction Engineering Third Bureau and the Visayas regional office of Fenghuo Philippines Limited Liability Company, expressing New Year greetings to employees and acknowledging the achievements of the enterprises [1][2] - During the visit, the Consul General emphasized the importance of safety production, employee rights protection, and legal compliance in business operations, encouraging employees to overcome challenges and contribute to practical cooperation between China and the Philippines [2] - The visit also included a tour of Hikvision's Cebu office led by Consul Song Jinpei, highlighting the engagement of Chinese enterprises in the region [3] Group 2 - The report includes information on various ETFs, such as the AI ETF, which tracks the China Securities Artificial Intelligence Theme Index, showing a recent decline of 5.60% over five days, with a market capitalization of 5.24 billion shares and a net subscription of 92.546 million yuan [5] - The Gaming ETF, tracking the China Securities Animation and Gaming Index, experienced a slight decline of 0.31% over five days, with a market capitalization of 9.01 billion shares and a net redemption of 28.05 million yuan [5] - The Robotics ETF, following the China Securities Robotics Index, saw a decrease of 1.93% over five days, with a market capitalization of 23.45 billion shares and a net redemption of 22.224 million yuan [5]

Group 1 - January housing price data for 70 cities will be released on February 13, 2026 [1] - A total of 6.5482 million shares will be unlocked today from three companies, with a total market value of 363 million yuan [2] - Nine companies have disclosed stock repurchase progress, with one company proposing to repurchase up to 200 million yuan [3] Group 2 - The AI ETF (product code: 515070) has seen a 2.99% increase over the past five days, with a current market capitalization of 5.4 billion yuan [6] - The gaming ETF (product code: 159869) has increased by 9.35% over the past five days, with a market capitalization of 8.37 billion yuan [6] - The robot ETF (product code: 562500) has increased by 3.54% over the past five days, with a market capitalization of 24.17 billion yuan [7]

Core Viewpoint - The cross-border ETFs, particularly rare metal ETFs, have shown strong performance, with significant increases in their values, indicating heightened market interest in these assets [1][5][6]. ETF Performance - On February 11, A-shares exhibited mixed trends, with small metals and oil and gas extraction sectors performing well, while the film and cinema sector experienced a pullback [2]. - A total of 640 stock ETFs (including cross-border) rose, with notable gains in rare metal ETFs, while 713 stock ETFs declined, particularly in the film and media sectors [3][4]. Cross-Border ETF Highlights - Cross-border ETFs performed exceptionally well, with the Huaxia Nikkei ETF surging by 4.85%, leading the market. Other Nikkei ETFs also saw significant increases, indicating growing interest in Japanese stock assets [6]. - The Huaxia Nikkei ETF and Huaxia Nikkei 225 ETF both exceeded 2 billion yuan in scale, while the E Fund Nikkei 225 ETF and ICBC Nikkei ETF surpassed 1.8 billion yuan and 1 billion yuan, respectively [6]. Rare Metal Sector - The rare metal sector experienced a comprehensive surge, with the Jiashi Rare Metal ETF rising by 3.86%, followed closely by ETFs from ICBC Credit Suisse, GF, and Huafu, which increased by 3.79%, 3.78%, and 3.53%, respectively [9]. - The Jiashi Rare Metal ETF is the largest in scale, exceeding 6.5 billion yuan, followed by GF Rare Metal ETF at over 5.1 billion yuan [9]. - Industry experts suggest that limited reserves and increasing demand from sectors like renewable energy and semiconductors may lead to a continued upward trend in rare metal prices [9]. Broader Metal Industry Trends - The non-ferrous metal industry chain also saw gains, with the Taikang Non-Ferrous ETF rising by 3.19%, and other ETFs in the sector showing similar upward trends [10]. Fund Flow Insights - On February 10, broad-based ETFs experienced a net outflow of over 10.6 billion yuan, with significant outflows from the CSI 300 Index and other major indices [11][12]. - The top sectors for fund inflows included media, rare earths, and robotics, while the largest outflows were from the CSI 300 Index and the ChiNext 50 Index [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Bilibili-W (09626.HK) is "Outperform" [1][4][13] Core Viewpoints - 2026 is expected to be a significant year for the gaming industry and AI application advertising, which will likely lead to increased advertising revenue and profits for Bilibili [2][3][5] - Bilibili is anticipated to capture more advertising budgets from gaming and AI application advertisers, driving revenue and profit growth [3][5] - The gaming sector is projected to see a rapid increase in game licenses in 2025, with a nearly 60% year-on-year growth in the number of licenses for App/PC/console games (excluding casual games), leading to an expected over 30% year-on-year growth in Bilibili's gaming advertising in 2026 [3][5] - For AI applications, advertising budgets are expected to increase significantly in 2026, with Bilibili's user base overlapping with the core audience of AI applications, allowing advertisers to acquire high-retention users [3][5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for Bilibili are maintained at 30.2 billion, 32.6 billion, and 36.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with adjusted net profits projected at 2.5 billion, 3.4 billion, and 4.6 billion for the same years [4][13] - The daily active users (DAU) for Bilibili are expected to maintain a growth rate of over 5% in 2026, with an increase in ad load from 6.7% to 7.1% and a projected 5% growth in ECPM [6][7]