高盛发布研报称，基于香港交易所(00388)9月及10月至今的成交量数据，调整2025至27年每股盈利预 测，分别上调0.8%、下调0.5%及上调0.1%，并引入2028年每股盈测为15.4港元;维持"买入"评级及目标 价544港元。 ...

高盛发表报告，基于港交所9月及10月至今的成交量数据，调整2025至27年每股盈利预测，分别上调 0.8%、下调0.5%及上调0.1%，并引入2028年每股盈测为15.4港元。该行维持对其"买入"评级及目标价 544港元。 ...

Core Insights - Hong Kong's ETF market ranks third globally in liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of HKD 37.8 billion from the beginning of the year to September 30, surpassing South Korea [1] - The asset management scale of the Hong Kong ETP market has increased by 32% year-on-year to HKD 653 billion, with the number of ETPs rising by 16% to 225 [1] - Three main factors contributing to the increase in average daily trading volume of ETFs include improved market structure, enhanced connectivity, and continuous innovation [1][2] Market Structure Improvements - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has implemented various measures to enhance market efficiency and promote liquidity, including the introduction of market makers for ETFs and leveraged and inverse products during pre-opening and closing auction trading sessions [1] Connectivity Enhancements - HKEX has increased its connectivity with the Middle East and some ASEAN markets, which remains crucial for the growth of the Hong Kong ETF market [2] Continuous Innovation - HKEX has introduced various new products to the ETF market, such as covered call option ETFs and recently launched single stock leveraged and inverse products, aiming to meet customer demands and bring suitable products to market [2] ETP Market Growth - As of October 16, HKEX has welcomed 41 new ETPs in 2025, exceeding the previous year's record for ETP issuances [2] - The average daily trading volume of income-generating ETFs has increased to over HKD 200 million, with an asset management scale of approximately HKD 23.4 billion [2] - Currently, there are 29 leveraged and inverse products with a total market value of about HKD 28 billion, accounting for 4.3% of the overall ETP market, and their average daily trading volume is HKD 3.6 billion, representing 9.5% of the entire ETP market [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down 641 points, a decline of 2.48%, and accumulated a weekly drop of 1,043 points or 3.97% [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 243 points or 4.05%, with a weekly loss of 499 points or 7.98% [2] - The trading volume for the day was 314.62 billion, with a net inflow of 6.30 billion from northbound trading [2] Group 2: Company Performance - HSBC Holdings (00005) closed down 1.9% at 100.9 HKD, while AIA Group (01299) fell 2.2% to 69.05 HKD [3] - Semiconductor companies like SMIC (00981) and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) saw declines of 6.5% and 6.9%, respectively [3] - BYD Electronics (00285) was the worst-performing blue chip, dropping 8.1% to 37.74 HKD [3] Group 3: Economic and Regulatory Developments - The Financial Secretary of Hong Kong, Paul Chan, emphasized the importance of attracting U.S. businesses and talent to invest in Hong Kong, highlighting the city's favorable business environment [6] - The Insurance Authority has classified AIA and Prudential as Domestic Systemically Important Insurers (D-SII), which will subject them to enhanced regulatory requirements [8] - The People's Bank of China Governor, Pan Gongsheng, discussed the need for multilateral cooperation in light of increasing global economic challenges [9] Group 4: Retail Sector Insights - Chow Tai Fook (01929) reported a 4.1% year-on-year increase in retail value for the second fiscal quarter, with same-store sales in Hong Kong and Macau rising by 6.2% [11] - Xtep International (01368) experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales in mainland China for the third quarter, with inventory turnover of approximately 4 to 4.5 months [14] Group 5: Financing Activities - Zhengli New Energy (03677) announced a placement of 45.92 million new H shares at a discount of 7.89% to raise approximately 504 million HKD for various projects [12] - Aneng Logistics (09956) received a conditional proposal for potential privatization from a consortium led by Dazhong Capital and Temasek [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [9] Core Insights - Recent market activity remains high, with brokerage firms expected to continue high growth trends in Q3, enhancing their investment value. Insurance companies have also reported significant increases in investment income due to a recovering capital market, leading to substantial profit growth. This supports the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs, indicating a higher certainty of long-term ROE improvement and potential valuation recovery [2][6] - The report recommends companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, including Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, alongside others like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on their performance elasticity and valuation levels [6] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index decreased by 1.3% this week, with a relative excess return of +0.9% compared to the CSI 300, ranking in the middle of the industry [7] - Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up by 6.0%, with a relative excess return of -8.7% against the CSI 300, ranking lower in the industry [7] Company Announcements - New China Life expects a net profit of 29.986 billion to 34.122 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 45% to 65% [8] - Dongwu Securities anticipates a net profit of 2.748 billion to 3.023 billion yuan for the same period, also reflecting a 50% to 65% increase year-on-year [8] Financial Data Tracking - The average daily trading volume in the two markets is 21,928.50 billion yuan, down 15.76% week-on-week, with a daily turnover rate of 2.34%, down 36.82 basis points [7][41] - Margin financing balance has increased to 2.46 trillion yuan, up 0.48% week-on-week [48] Investment Business - The equity market has shown overall fluctuations, with the CSI 300 index down 2.22% and the ChiNext index down 5.71% [46] - The brokerage firms' investment assets are approximately 10%-30% in equities and 70%-90% in bonds, necessitating close monitoring of market changes [46] Financing Activities - In September, equity financing reached 41.634 billion yuan, up 86.6% month-on-month, while bond financing totaled 8.11 trillion yuan, up 8.3% [53]

Core Insights - The Hang Seng Index closed down 22 points, reflecting a volatile performance in the Hong Kong stock market, with significant fluctuations throughout the trading day [3][4] - The technology sector negatively impacted the market, with major companies like Xiaomi, Tencent, and Meituan experiencing declines [4] - The overall market saw a net inflow of capital from the north, amounting to 158.21 million [3] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index opened lower at 25,890 points, peaked at 26,062 points, but ultimately closed at 25,888 points, down 0.09% [3] - Among 88 blue-chip stocks, 46 rose while 40 fell, indicating mixed performance across sectors [4] - The trading volume for the day was 27.54 billion [3] Technology Sector Developments - The Hong Kong Science Park Company announced the development of the INNOPOLE project, aimed at fostering innovation and economic growth in Hong Kong, with an initial phase covering approximately 2.5 hectares [7] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported a significant increase in the number of hard technology companies applying for listings, with about 280 companies currently in the application process, half of which are technology firms [8] Smartphone Market Insights - In the third quarter, smartphone shipments in mainland China decreased by 2.75% year-on-year, with Vivo leading the market share at 18% despite a 9.23% decline in shipments [9] - The overall smartphone market has seen consecutive declines, but the rate of decline is narrowing, suggesting potential recovery in the upcoming quarter [9] Company-Specific News - Xtep International reported low single-digit growth in retail sales for the third quarter, with inventory turnover ranging from 4 to 4.5 months [11] - Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered a licensing agreement with Roche, receiving an upfront payment of $80 million (approximately 624 million HKD) and potential milestone payments totaling up to $1.45 billion (approximately 1,131 million HKD) [12] - China Tower reported a 6.81% year-on-year increase in profit for the first nine months, with total revenue growing by 2.58% [13] - China Pacific Insurance expects a net profit increase of approximately 40% to 60% for the first three quarters, driven by improved operational management and capital market performance [14]

上证报 林铭溱 摄 "前些年赴港上市的内地企业多以软件企业为主，而近年来，赴港上市的硬件、硬科技的企业显著增加。"陆琛健表示，2023年，港交所推出了18C上市章 节，支持半导体、机器人与自动化、人工智能等领域的特专科技企业赴港上市。 今年5月6日，香港证监会与港交所联合推出"科企专线"，港交所设立专责团队，为按照18C章节上市的特专科技企业提供上市指导，同时允许相关企业以保 密形式提交材料。"由此，通过18C章节上市的优质芯片公司可以保密递交材料，我们设置的专人咨询服务通道，能够让相关企业在上市前向专家进行上市 咨询。"陆琛健表示。 上证报中国证券网讯（林铭溱 记者 杨子晏）10月16日，在第二届湾区半导体投融资战略发展论坛上，港交所环球上市服务部副总裁陆琛健透露："目前，在 港交所递交A1上市申请的企业约有280家，其中约有一半是科技公司，约30家是芯片类公司。" "我们将定期参考最新技术的发展趋势，不断更新18C上市章节所涵盖的主题。"陆琛健说。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange's senior advisor emphasizes the urgent need for the London Metal Exchange (LME) and its users to adopt "disturbing" measures for modernization to ensure long-term profitability [1] Group 1: Modernization Needs - The modernization of LME is deemed crucial for its long-term future [1] - LME and its users should consider "controversial" measures to maintain profitability [1] Group 2: Market Strategies - LME should actively explore cross-listing contracts on other exchanges to enhance market liquidity and accessibility [1] - There is a need for LME to further expand its international business footprint [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange's senior advisor, Apurv Bagri, emphasizes the urgent need for the London Metal Exchange (LME) and its users to adopt "disturbing" measures for modernization to ensure long-term profitability [1] Group 1: Modernization Needs - The modernization of the LME is deemed crucial for its long-term future [1] - Users of the LME are encouraged to consider "controversial" measures to maintain profitability [1] Group 2: Strategic Recommendations - The LME should actively explore cross-listing contracts on other exchanges to enhance market liquidity and accessibility [1] - There is a need for the LME to further expand its international business footprint [1]

Simon:下只個股我們看看中芯國際(00981)，股價挨近保力加通道的中線，有些投資者認為可以搏反 彈。我們看看窩輪市場，選擇價外產品，或貼價的價外產品選擇不多，比如行使價在83元的產品不多， 行使價88元的產品只有2只。而行使價88.88元-89元以上的產品選擇多，產品價外幅度有10%以上，綜合 看，當前阻力位88.4元，選擇88.88元的產品是合適的。目前有6只可以選擇，槓桿4倍左右，而溢價看， 有些產品的溢價21.43%，而有的溢價高，處於24.43%，溢價差異比較大。在引伸波幅方面，有些產品 的引伸波幅65%，有些引伸波幅水平67-68%。從產品對比看，有些產品的引伸波幅低，比如引伸波幅 65%水平的產品,而溢價高一些，大概有24%以上。有些溢價低的21%，引伸波幅水平偏高。所以大家需 要做個平衡。沒有一個很完美的產品。我們通常會選擇低溢價、低引伸波幅和槓桿高的產品，但目前出 現這三個條件的產品是沒有的。在這種情況下，我們就會選擇有2個條件比較好的產品，比如槓桿高， 溢價低，而引伸波幅出於中等水平。目前981的價內產品也有一些選擇，槓桿在3-3.3倍。沒有價外的風 險，並且引伸波幅低一些，溢價也低一 ...