Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend with all three major indices closing higher: Hang Seng Index up 2.58% at 27,826.91 points, Hang Seng Tech Index up 2.53% at 5,900.16 points, and the National Enterprises Index up 2.89% at 9,512.24 points [2] - Leading sectors included optical communications, oil, gold, telecommunications, and real estate, while tea and aviation stocks faced downward pressure [3] Optical Communications - Demand for AI infrastructure has spurred the optical communications industry, with Changfei Optical Fiber Cable (06869.HK) leading the sector, closing up 15.43% at 75.20 HKD [4][5] - Corning, a major player in the fiber optics market, saw a single-day increase of over 15%, reaching a historical high, following a long-term agreement with Meta for the procurement of $6 billion worth of fiber optic cables by 2030 [4] Energy Sector - Geopolitical risks have heightened energy security expectations, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883.HK) and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00857.HK) both reaching historical highs, closing up 4.85% and 4.99% respectively [5][6] - The U.S. military's recent military exercises in the Middle East have raised concerns about energy supply stability, contributing to the rise in oil stocks [6] Gold Market - The weakening U.S. dollar has stimulated international gold prices, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) rising 10.65% [7] - The dollar index experienced its largest single-day drop since April 2023, pushing gold prices above $5,200 per ounce [7] Telecommunications - The telecommunications sector is entering a new phase of "deep integration," with China Telecom (00728.HK) rising 6.27% [9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reported that the three major operators have added 108,000 data center racks, indicating a shift in focus from "broad coverage" to "deep integration" [9] Real Estate - Regulatory optimizations have boosted confidence in the real estate sector, with China Jinmao (00817.HK) rising 11.92% [11] - Feedback from multiple real estate companies indicates that the regulatory body has lifted the monthly reporting requirements for most firms, enhancing market expectations for liquidity and operational environment improvements [11] Individual Stock Movements - Wuneng Zhixing (00800.HK) rose 2.11% as it prepares to launch autonomous buses in Abu Dhabi [17][18] - Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) increased by 4.44%, with its AI product, Keling, surpassing 12 million monthly active users and achieving a 350% growth in paid users [19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The communication industry index outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index in December 2025, rising by 12.82% compared to +2.06% for the Shanghai Composite Index and +2.28% for the CSI 300 Index [8][14]. - Key material supply for optical modules remains tight, with major players like Longfei and Hengtong winning bids for China Unicom's hollow-core fiber cable procurement [8][9]. - The retail sales of communication equipment in China increased by 20.9% year-on-year in December 2025, driven by the demand for smartphones [8][41]. - The global smartphone shipment is projected to grow by 2% year-on-year in 2025, reaching 1.25 billion units, with AI smartphones expected to penetrate 34% of the market [8][29]. - The export value of optical modules from China decreased by 15.6% year-on-year in 2025, while Thailand's communication equipment exports surged by 152.1% [8][9]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The communication industry index rose by 12.82% in December 2025, outperforming major indices [14]. - Sub-sectors such as cables and network equipment saw significant gains, with increases of 22.05% and 19.44% respectively [15][19]. Industry Tracking - The capital expenditure of major cloud providers in North America reached $112.43 billion in Q3 2025, a 76.9% increase year-on-year [25][28]. - AI applications are driving cloud business growth, with major companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta significantly increasing their capital expenditures [25][29]. - The Chinese ICT market is expected to grow to approximately $889.43 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 7.0% [39][40]. Domestic Telecom Industry - Telecom business revenue in China reached 1.6096 trillion yuan from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.9% [48]. - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.193 billion by November 2025, accounting for 65.3% of total mobile phone users [49]. - The number of fixed broadband users with gigabit access reached 239 million, representing 34.3% of total users [52].

Core Viewpoint - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is actively promoting the "AI+" initiative among central enterprises, achieving significant progress in key areas such as application, computing power, data, and models [1][2] Group 1: Achievements in AI+ Initiative - Central enterprises have created over 1,000 application scenarios focusing on key industries like energy, manufacturing, and communications [1] - Examples include the State Grid and Southern Power Grid utilizing AI for intelligent management in power dispatch and fault prediction [1] - Central enterprises are integrating into the national computing power layout, with three major telecom operators establishing four "ten thousand card clusters" to support large model training [1] Group 2: Support for AI Development - General models like "Jiutian" from China Mobile and "Xingchen" from China Telecom have empowered over 200 external units, accelerating applications in energy and industrial manufacturing [1] - The "Huanxin Community" initiated by SASAC provides over 2,000 domestic intelligent computing chips for free, gathering over 4,000 models and 800 datasets to promote the widespread application of AI technology [1] Group 3: Future Directions - Central enterprises will intensify efforts in the "AI+" initiative, focusing on enhancing investment traction, deepening scenario cultivation, and optimizing data supply [2] - The goal is to become a key provider of intelligent computing infrastructure, a significant enabler of AI across various industries, and an organizer of systematic industrial layout [2]

摩根士丹利发表研报指，中资电讯商多年的上升周期驱动因素——包括监管放松、竞争减弱、云业务份 额提升及股东回报的基本面素已经过去。宏观环境与通缩持续压力影响移动业务，而人工智能尚不足以 推动业务收入增长。该行将中资电讯股H股评级下调至"与大市同步"，偏好固网多于移动，并偏好H股 多于A股，因为人民币走强以及A股溢价可能收窄。该行预期中资电讯H股在2026年的目标股息率为6- 7%，并继续偏好排序：中国电信>联通>中国移动。 ...

Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the "2025 Communication Industry Statistical Bulletin," indicating ongoing optimization in the structure of China's communication industry and accelerated deployment of new information infrastructure such as 5G and gigabit networks [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The cumulative telecom business revenue is projected to reach 1.75 trillion yuan by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.7% [1] - Revenue from emerging businesses, including cloud computing, big data, and data centers, is expected to reach 450.8 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [1] Group 2: User Statistics - By the end of 2025, the number of 5G mobile phone users is anticipated to exceed 1.2 billion, accounting for 65.9% of the total mobile phone users [1] - The total number of fixed broadband users among the three major telecom operators—China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Unicom—will reach 691 million, with users having access speeds of 1000 Mbps and above making up 34.5% of the total [1] - Fixed internet broadband access services are rapidly expanding in rural areas, with the total number of rural broadband users expected to reach 20.4 million by the end of 2025 [1]

Industry Overview - In 2025, China's telecommunications business revenue reached 1.75 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.7%. The total telecommunications business volume, calculated at last year's prices, grew by 9.1% year-on-year [4][5][7]. Fixed Internet Broadband Access - Fixed internet broadband access revenue in 2025 was 289.6 billion yuan, up 5.9% from the previous year, increasing its share of total telecommunications revenue from 15.9% to 16.5%, contributing 0.9 percentage points to overall revenue growth [5][6]. Mobile Data Traffic - Mobile data traffic revenue in 2025 was 609.7 billion yuan, a decline of 3.1% compared to the previous year, with its share of total telecommunications revenue decreasing from 36.2% to 34.8% [7]. Emerging Business Growth - Revenue from emerging businesses, including cloud computing, big data, mobile IoT, and data centers, reached 450.8 billion yuan in 2025, growing by 4.7% year-on-year. This segment's share of total telecommunications revenue increased from 25% to 25.7%, contributing 1.2 percentage points to overall revenue growth. Specific growth rates included cloud computing at 2.9%, big data at 7.8%, and mobile IoT at 4.9% [8][9]. Voice Business Revenue - Revenue from fixed and mobile voice services was 16.09 billion yuan and 109.2 billion yuan, respectively, with fixed voice revenue increasing by 2.3% and mobile voice revenue decreasing by 1.7%. Together, these services accounted for 7.2% of total telecommunications revenue, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous year [12]. User Development - By the end of 2025, the total number of telephone users in China reached 1.987 billion, with a net increase of 30.91 million users. Mobile phone users totaled 1.827 billion, with a net increase of 37.25 million users, achieving a penetration rate of 130 per 100 people, an increase of 2.9 per 100 people from the previous year. The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.204 billion, accounting for 65.9% of mobile phone users, an increase of 9.2 percentage points [13][18]. Fixed Broadband Access Users - By the end of 2025, the total number of fixed internet broadband access users reached 691 million, with a net increase of 20.99 million users. Users with access speeds of 100 Mbps and above totaled 659 million, with a net increase of 22.99 million users, representing 95.3% of total users [18][20]. Mobile IoT User Growth - By the end of 2025, the number of mobile IoT terminal users reached 2.888 billion, with a net increase of 232 million users, surpassing the number of mobile phone users [21]. Internet TV User Growth - By the end of 2025, the total number of internet TV (IPTV, OTT) users reached 408 million, with a net increase of 590,000 users [22]. Mobile Internet Traffic Growth - In 2025, mobile internet access traffic reached 3.958 trillion GB, a year-on-year increase of 17.3%. The average monthly data usage per mobile internet user was 20.74 GB, up 14.1% from the previous year [23][26]. Network Infrastructure Development - In 2025, the total length of optical cable lines reached 74.99 million kilometers, with 2.113 million kilometers of new lines built. The number of fixed internet broadband access ports reached 1.251 billion, with a net increase of 48.77 million ports [30][31]. 5G Network Expansion - By the end of 2025, the total number of mobile phone base stations reached 12.87 million, with 4.838 million being 5G base stations, accounting for 37.6% of all mobile phone base stations, an increase of 4 percentage points from the previous year [31]. Regional Development - In 2025, the telecommunications business revenue shares for the eastern, central, western, and northeastern regions were 50.9%, 19.7%, 24.3%, and 5.1%, respectively. The telecommunications revenue shares for the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Yangtze River Delta regions were 9.1% and 23.2% [35].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) released the 2025 telecommunications industry statistical bulletin, highlighting the strategic shift of major telecom companies in China towards computing power integration [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - By the end of 2025, the number of data center racks provided externally is projected to reach 938,000, an increase of 108,000 from the previous year [1] - The focus of development is shifting from "broad coverage" to "deep integration," emphasizing the need for resource integration and intelligent scheduling capabilities [1] Group 2: Company Strategies - Major telecom companies, including China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Unicom, are transitioning from providing basic cloud resources to offering intelligent, green, and diversified computing power services [1]

每经AI快讯，1月28日，港股三大运营商集体走高，中国电信涨超5%，中国联通涨近5%，中国移动涨 超3%。 ...

港股市场中资电信股集体走强，其中，中国电信涨超5%，中国联通涨超4%，中国移动涨3%。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

电信股涨幅扩大，截至发稿，中国电信（601728）(00728)涨5.1%，报5.36港元；中国联通（600050） (00762)涨4.79%，报8.1港元；中国移动（600941）(00941)涨2.93%，报80.8港元。 消息面上，1月28日，国务院国资委改革局局长林庆苗在国新办新闻发布会上表示，将扎实做好新央企 组建和战略性重组。国务院国资委副主任庞骁刚则表示，国资央企将更大力度推进"AI+"专项行动，切 实当好我国智算基础设施的重要供给者、人工智能赋能千行百业的重要破题者、产业体系化布局的重要 组织者。 浙商证券（601878）本月初发布研报称，中央强调国企反内卷，利于运营商ARPU值企稳回暖。而险资 风险因子下调，有利于红利板块配置。该行认为，运营商板块当前位置股息投资价值凸显。在复杂宏观 环境背景下，运营商板块整体具备强盈利韧性+高股息属性，铸就安全边际。推荐中国移动、中国电 信、中国联通、中国铁塔、中国通信服务。 ...