Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of China Telecom [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 269.4 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.3%. Service revenue was 249.1 billion RMB, up 1.2% year-on-year. EBITDA reached 80.6 billion RMB, growing by 4.9%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23 billion RMB, an increase of 5.5% year-on-year. A mid-term dividend of 0.1812 RMB per share (before tax) was proposed, reflecting an 8.4% increase year-on-year [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, mobile communication service revenue was 106.6 billion RMB, up 1.3% year-on-year, with a net increase of approximately 8 million mobile users, bringing the total to 433 million. The mobile ARPU decreased by 0.3 RMB to 46.0 RMB. Fixed-line and smart home service revenue was 64.1 billion RMB, a 0.2% increase year-on-year, with a net increase of about 2 million broadband users, totaling 199 million. The broadband ARPU was 48.3 RMB [2]. Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on upgrading its strategy to "cloud transformation and intelligent benefits," centering around the "Xiangrang" intelligent cloud system. This includes an integrated intelligent cloud service offering "computing power + platform + data + model + application," with a total computing power of 77 EFLOPS. The company has established a data intelligence platform supporting over 20,000 enterprises [3]. Capital Expenditure and Shareholder Returns - Capital expenditure in the first half of 2025 was 34.2 billion RMB, accounting for 12.7% of revenue, a decrease of 5 percentage points year-on-year. The proposed mid-term dividend of 16.58 billion RMB represents 72% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 35.9 billion RMB, 37.6 billion RMB, and 40.2 billion RMB, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios for A-shares are projected to be 19X, 18X, and 17X, while for H-shares, they are 14X for all three years [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Communication Services Index has shown significant growth, with a 7.68% increase over the past month, 16.16% over the past three months, and 34.53% year-to-date [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Communication Services Index reported a value of 1602.62 points [1]. - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of different industries in the Hong Kong market, classified according to the China Securities industry classification standards [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten holdings of the index include Tencent Holdings (15.61%), NetEase-S (13.89%), China Mobile (13.83%), Baidu Group-SW (13.11%), Kuaishou-W (11.9%), Cheung Kong (7.34%), China Telecom (4.55%), China Unicom (3.31%), China Tower (2.89%), and Bilibili-W (2.89%) [1]. - The index is composed entirely of stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [2]. Group 3: Sector Allocation - The sector allocation of the index shows that digital media accounts for 47.16%, telecommunications services for 30.39%, cultural entertainment for 15.87%, communication technology services for 2.89%, data centers for 1.84%, communication equipment for 1.05%, and marketing and advertising for 0.80% [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2]. - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the periodic sample adjustments, and any temporary adjustments are made in response to changes in the underlying index [2].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Chinese telecom operators are expected to outperform the Hang Seng Index from 2019 to 2024, with a double-digit gap, and have shown better performance than the market this year [1] Industry Summary - The top three telecom operators not only offer attractive dividend yields but are also growth companies with AI potential [1] - Healthy competition, improved investment returns, and optimized capital expenditures are expected to drive a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% in industry profits from 2026 to 2027 [1] - Chinese telecom operators have significant exposure to enterprise digitalization, which is growing much faster than traditional telecom services [1] Company Summary - The rise of AI and DeepSeek is anticipated to accelerate revenue growth in cloud computing and AI data centers, further enhancing valuations [1] - Chinese Mobile (00941), China Unicom (00762), and China Telecom (00728) are projected to have potential price increases of 11% to 95% [1] - Among the three telecom operators, China Telecom is preferred due to having the largest cloud platform, expected to benefit the most from the AI theme in China, leading to valuation reassessment and growth in cloud computing business [1] - China Unicom and China Mobile follow in preference order [1] - Although all three operators are rated "overweight" in A-shares, H-shares are favored due to a trading discount of 29% to 35% compared to A-shares [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 269.42 billion in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit of RMB 23 billion, up 5.5% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous expectations [1] - The company plans to distribute a mid-year dividend of RMB 0.18 per share, with a payout ratio of 72%, reflecting an 8.4% increase in dividends year-on-year [1] - The report highlights the company's strong growth potential in digitalization and AI-related services, particularly through its Tianyi Cloud business, which is transitioning towards intelligent cloud services [1][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, mobile communication service revenue grew by 1.3% to RMB 106.6 billion, with mobile users reaching 433 million, a net increase of 25 million from the end of 2024 [2] - Fixed-line and smart home revenue increased by 0.2% to RMB 64.1 billion, with fixed broadband users growing to 199 million, a net increase of 9 million [2] Digital Transformation - The company's digitalization revenue rose by 1.5% to RMB 74.85 billion in 1H25, with Tianyi Cloud revenue increasing by 4% to RMB 57.3 billion [3] - AI-related revenue saw a remarkable growth of 89.4%, with the company's self-owned and accessed intelligent computing capacity reaching 77 EFLOPS [3] Capital Expenditure and Profitability - Capital expenditure in 1H25 was RMB 34.2 billion, with a projected decrease of 10.6% to RMB 83.6 billion for the full year [4] - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved by 0.2 percentage points to 5.0%, and net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 9.2% [4] Future Outlook - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 34.8 billion, RMB 36.7 billion, and RMB 38.4 billion respectively, with a slight downward adjustment of 2%-4% from previous estimates [5] - The company is assigned a target price of RMB 9.11 based on a 1.8x PB valuation for 2025, compared to a global average of 1.51x [5][11]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that China Telecom's service revenue for Q2 reached 124.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [1] Financial Performance - EBITDA margin for Q2 increased by 1 percentage point year-on-year due to effective cost control [1] - Net profit for the quarter was 14.2 billion yuan, up 7.1% compared to the same period last year, exceeding both UBS and market forecasts by 2% [1] - The growth rate of net profit outperformed that of China Mobile and China Unicom [1] Business Outlook - The most notable aspect of China Telecom's performance is the stable outlook for traditional telecom services [1] - The mobile ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) for the first half of the year was 46 yuan, remaining roughly flat compared to the same period last year despite macroeconomic challenges [1] - Management expects traditional telecom revenue to maintain stable growth, with ARPU supported by value-added services and AI upgrades [1] Forecast Adjustments - UBS has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2028 upwards by 0% to 2.5% due to improved cost control assumptions [1] - The target price has been raised from 6.8 HKD to 7.4 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Insights - UBS report indicates that China Telecom's service revenue for Q2 reached 124.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [1] - The EBITDA margin improved by 1 percentage point year-on-year due to effective cost control [1] - Net profit amounted to 14.2 billion yuan, up 7.1% compared to the same period last year, exceeding both UBS and market forecasts by 2% [1] Revenue and Profitability - The most notable aspect of China Telecom's performance is the stable outlook for traditional telecom services [1] - The mobile ARPU for the first half of the year was 46 yuan, remaining roughly flat year-on-year despite adverse macroeconomic factors [1] - Management expects traditional telecom revenue to maintain stable growth, with ARPU supported by value-added services and AI upgrades [1] Future Projections - Assuming improvements in cost control, UBS has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2028 by 0% to 2.5% [1] - The target price has been increased from 6.8 HKD to 7.4 HKD, with a "Buy" rating assigned [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China Telecom [2][6] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, China Telecom's operating performance improved steadily, with revenue of 269.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23 billion yuan, up 5.5% year-on-year [1][5] - The company has significantly enhanced its role in technological innovation, leading to improved shareholder returns [1][5] - The growth in basic business revenue is stable, with a notable increase in users and maintained user value [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, China Telecom achieved revenue of 269.4 billion yuan, with service revenue at 249.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.2% [5] - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 134.9 billion yuan, a 2.6% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 14.2 billion yuan, up 7.1% from the previous quarter [5] - Mobile business revenue reached 106.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3% and a net user increase of 3.24 million in Q2 [5] Strategic Developments - The company is accelerating the development of strategic emerging industries, with significant achievements in cloud, AI, quantum, and satellite technologies [5] - The revenue from the Tianyi Cloud business reached 57.3 billion yuan in H1 2025, growing 3.8% year-on-year [5] - AI-related revenues surged by 89.4% year-on-year, reaching 6.3 billion yuan, with over 160 AI applications developed [5] Cost Management and Shareholder Returns - Operating costs increased by only 0.9% year-on-year, which is lower than the revenue growth rate, leading to a net profit margin increase to 9.2% [5] - The company has prioritized shareholder returns, continuing to distribute interim dividends of 0.1812 yuan per share, an increase of 8.4% year-on-year, with a payout ratio of 72% [6] - Capital expenditures in H1 2025 were 34.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.5% year-on-year, with a full-year budget of 83.6 billion yuan [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Chinese telecom operators are expected to outperform the Hang Seng Index from 2019 to 2024, with a double-digit gap, and have shown better performance than the market this year [1] Group 1: Telecom Operators Performance - The top three telecom operators not only offer attractive dividend yields but are also growth companies with AI potential [1] - The rise of AI and DeepSeek is expected to drive a re-acceleration in cloud computing and artificial intelligence data center revenues, further enhancing valuations [1] - The report anticipates potential stock price increases for China Mobile, China Unicom, and China Telecom ranging from 11% to 95% [1] Group 2: Preferred Stocks and Ratings - Among the three telecom operators, China Telecom is preferred due to having the largest cloud platform, making it the most likely to benefit from the AI theme and experience valuation re-rating and growth in cloud computing [1] - Following China Telecom, China Unicom and China Mobile are also favored [1] - The report maintains an "overweight" rating for the three operators' A-shares but shows a stronger preference for H-shares, which are trading at a discount of 29% to 35% compared to A-shares [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Telecom reported a revenue of RMB 269.4 billion for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.3% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The revenue from strategic new products showed rapid growth, with industrial digitalization revenue reaching RMB 74.9 billion and Tianyi Cloud revenue at RMB 57.3 billion [1] - Tianyi Cloud's revenue increased by 3.8% year-on-year, indicating stable growth despite a backdrop of previous high growth rates [5] Group 2: Industry Trends - The global cloud computing industry is undergoing a "new and old kinetic energy conversion," leading to a noticeable decline in growth for traditional cloud services [3] - The demand for intelligent computing driven by artificial intelligence is robust, marking a critical transition period for the industry [3] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Intelligent revenue for Tianyi Cloud reached RMB 6.3 billion, with a significant year-on-year growth of 89.4%, aligning with global trends towards intelligent cloud services [5] - As of March, Tianyi Cloud became the first cloud service provider to adapt to DeepSeek, signing over 4,000 projects with a total contract value exceeding RMB 4 billion within six months [5] - The company believes that the "AI+" development will significantly drive the structural transformation and growth of Tianyi Cloud, guided by the "cloud transformation and intelligent benefits" strategy [6]

中国电信公告，2025年上半年实现营业收入2694.22亿元，同比增长1.3%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润230.2亿元，同比增长 5.5%。 | | 本报告期末 | 上年度末 | 本报告期末比上 年度末增减(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总资产 | 887,223,855,117.97 | 866,625,200,722.04 | 2.4 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净资产 | 466.871.350.365.87 | 452.389.720.102.38 | 3.2 | | | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上年 同期增减(%) | | 营业收入 | 269.421.736.705.26 | 265,973,118,881.02 | 1.3 | | 利润总额 | 29,594,994,451.69 | 28,238,612,367.32 | 4.8 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | 23.017.044.187.33 | 21,811,826,965.71 | 5.5 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非 经常性损益的净利润 | 21,720,719,4 ...