Group 1 - The report highlights the resilience at the bottom of the cycle, with the successful advancement of the Alashan Phase II project for Boyuan Chemical [4][7] - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16%, and a net profit of 740 million yuan, down 39% year-on-year [4][5] - The core product prices and gross margins for soda ash declined, but the increase in production and sales volume helped mitigate the impact of price drops [5][6] Group 2 - The company has successfully acquired multiple electronic gas projects, enhancing its position in the electronic gas market [9][10] - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.114 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.56%, while net profit decreased by 13.44% [9][10] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 26.37%, down 3.69 percentage points year-on-year, but operating cash flow increased significantly by 84.34% [10] Group 3 - 361 Degrees reported H1 2025 revenue of 5.7 billion yuan, an increase of 11% year-on-year, with a net profit of 860 million yuan, also up 8.6% [12][13] - The e-commerce segment saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 1.82 billion yuan, a 45% increase year-on-year [13][14] - The company opened 49 new stores, enhancing its retail presence and brand image [15] Group 4 - Tencent Holdings reported Q2 2025 revenue of 184.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%, with a net profit of 55.6 billion yuan, up 17% [17][18] - The gaming segment experienced a robust 22% year-on-year growth, with significant contributions from both domestic and international markets [18][19] - The marketing services business grew by 20% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for advertising within the WeChat ecosystem [19] Group 5 - The report indicates that the chromium salt industry is experiencing significant growth, with Zhihua Co. achieving H1 2025 revenue of 2.19 billion yuan, a 10.2% increase year-on-year [29][30] - The company’s gross margin improved to 28.81%, up 3.16 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost management [29][30] - The effective release of production capacity contributed to a notable increase in sales volume, particularly in chromium oxide and alloy additives [32][33] Group 6 - Yonghe Co. reported H1 2025 revenue of 2.445 billion yuan, a 12.39% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 271 million yuan, up 140.82% [35][36] - The refrigerant segment benefited from favorable supply-demand dynamics, leading to a 26.02% increase in revenue [37] - The company is actively pursuing the development of fourth-generation refrigerants and high-end fluorinated fine chemicals [39] Group 7 - The coal industry showed signs of improvement, with July 2025 coal production at 380 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8% [40][41] - The report notes that the overall coal production growth rate has slowed due to adverse weather conditions and regulatory checks [42] - The performance of major coal companies varied, with some showing production increases while others faced declines [42]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China Telecom [2][6] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, China Telecom's operating performance improved steadily, with revenue of 269.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23 billion yuan, up 5.5% year-on-year [1][5] - The company has significantly enhanced its role in technological innovation, leading to improved shareholder returns [1][5] - The growth in basic business revenue is stable, with a notable increase in users and maintained user value [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, China Telecom achieved revenue of 269.4 billion yuan, with service revenue at 249.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.2% [5] - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 134.9 billion yuan, a 2.6% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 14.2 billion yuan, up 7.1% from the previous quarter [5] - Mobile business revenue reached 106.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3% and a net user increase of 3.24 million in Q2 [5] Strategic Developments - The company is accelerating the development of strategic emerging industries, with significant achievements in cloud, AI, quantum, and satellite technologies [5] - The revenue from the Tianyi Cloud business reached 57.3 billion yuan in H1 2025, growing 3.8% year-on-year [5] - AI-related revenues surged by 89.4% year-on-year, reaching 6.3 billion yuan, with over 160 AI applications developed [5] Cost Management and Shareholder Returns - Operating costs increased by only 0.9% year-on-year, which is lower than the revenue growth rate, leading to a net profit margin increase to 9.2% [5] - The company has prioritized shareholder returns, continuing to distribute interim dividends of 0.1812 yuan per share, an increase of 8.4% year-on-year, with a payout ratio of 72% [6] - Capital expenditures in H1 2025 were 34.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.5% year-on-year, with a full-year budget of 83.6 billion yuan [5][6]

Industry Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The demand for AI computing power is driving significant upgrades in data centers, with an increasing share of large and super-large AI data centers (AIDC) [2] - Strong capital expenditure (CAPEX) growth is observed in overseas cloud providers, while domestic major players are also ramping up AI investments, indicating a new wave of development opportunities in infrastructure [3] - Government policies are being introduced to support the healthy and orderly development of the industry, with initiatives like "East Data West Computing" and "dual carbon" policies promoting green transformation [4] Summary by Sections 1. Data Centers Transitioning to AIDC - The evolution of data centers has gone through four stages, with the current focus on AI computing power [11] - AIDC differs fundamentally from traditional IDC in terms of chip types, computing capabilities, and energy consumption requirements [15] 2. Increasing Power Demand in Data Center Racks - The power requirements for data center racks are rising due to the increasing power consumption of new CPU and GPU products [22][26] - The average power density of data center racks is expected to increase significantly, with high-density racks becoming more common [93] 3. IDC Industry Cycle Review - The IDC industry has experienced two cycles from 2013 to 2022, with significant capital expenditure growth during the first cycle driven by mobile internet traffic [31][40] - The second cycle has seen a slowdown in growth rates due to market saturation and changing demand dynamics [47] 4. AIDC Industry Chain and Value Distribution - The AIDC industry chain encompasses a wide range of components, with IT equipment accounting for approximately 90% of the value [69] - The operational costs of data centers are heavily influenced by electricity costs, which constitute the largest portion of expenses [71] 5. Driving Factors for the IDC Industry - The demand for AI computing power is expected to continue growing, with significant investments in intelligent computing centers projected for the future [75][78] - The construction costs for data centers are increasing due to rising land, hardware, and power costs, contributing to the overall value growth of the industry [84] 6. Supply and Demand Analysis in the IDC Industry - The market share of third-party data center operators is increasing as internet companies slow down their self-built data center projects [98]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the AIDC industry, driven by high growth in global capital expenditure and increasing demand for data centers [2][11][18]. Core Insights - The AIDC industry is experiencing a significant transformation towards direct current (DC), high voltage, and high density, with a projected market size of 99.6 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 50% from 2024 to 2030 [2][68]. - The global AI market is entering a high growth phase, with the market size expected to reach approximately $274.5 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 36% [11]. - Major cloud service providers (CSPs) are significantly increasing their capital expenditures for data center infrastructure, with notable investments from companies like Alibaba and Tencent [17][22]. - The evolution of power supply systems in data centers is shifting from traditional UPS to more efficient HVDC systems, which are expected to dominate the market in the coming years [34][49]. Summary by Sections AIDC Capital Expenditure Growth - Global AIDC capital expenditure is experiencing high growth, with CSPs increasing investments in data centers, leading to a projected total installed capacity of over 100 GW by 2025 [2][18]. - The capital expenditure from domestic CSPs is expected to see explosive growth, with Alibaba's capital expenditure forecasted to increase by 239% in 2024 [17][22]. Power Supply System Evolution - The AIDC is rapidly evolving towards direct current and high voltage systems, with a significant focus on improving power supply efficiency and reducing system costs [34][49]. - The report highlights the transition from traditional UPS systems to HVDC systems, which are expected to enhance energy efficiency and reduce operational costs [49][52]. Market Opportunities - The report identifies new market opportunities in auxiliary power sources such as BBU and supercapacitors, which are becoming standard in AI server configurations [2][4]. - The global server power supply market is projected to reach 147 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 42% from 2024 to 2030 [2][68]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for server power supplies is characterized by high barriers to entry, with established players like Delta Electronics and Lite-On Technology dominating the market [81]. - The report emphasizes the importance of customer relationships and technological capabilities as key competitive advantages in the server power supply sector [84][85].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs believes that the "anti-involution" movement will not significantly hinder the factory automation (FA) market in China, but automation demand will enter a period of mild decline from 2025 to 2027 [1][2]. Industry Overview - The industrial automation sector is expected to experience a mild downward cycle, with market growth rates projected at -1% in 2025, -3% in 2026, and -2% in 2027, which is a downward adjustment from previous growth expectations [2][3]. - Capital expenditure (Capex) is expected to expand only in a few sectors such as consumer electronics (foldable smartphones), batteries (solid-state technology), and AIDC, while most manufacturing sectors will struggle with insufficient capacity utilization and output to support increased capital spending [3][6]. Company Drivers - In a slowing industry growth environment, individual company drivers become crucial. Goldman Sachs evaluates companies based on six dimensions: favorable end-market positioning, domestic market share growth, product premiumization, overseas expansion, future industry positioning, and valuation attractiveness [6][7]. - The share of overseas revenue for covered companies is expected to rise from 23% in 2024 to 25% by 2027 [11]. Potential Growth Areas - Opportunities exist in high-end products (such as high-margin software, sensors, and after-sales services) and future industries (like AI and robotics), although high technical barriers may slow commercialization [13]. - Companies are advised to focus on strategic planning comments during earnings seasons rather than just the second-quarter performance [13]. Investment Strategy - A "defensive + AI" barbell strategy is recommended to cope with the soft FA market, favoring selective defensive stocks [13]. - Specific stocks highlighted include: - Nari Tech (600406.SH): Expected revenue growth of 12% in 2025, benefiting from state grid budget increases [13]. - AVIC Jonhon (002179.SZ): Anticipated long-term net profit margin growth from 16.2% in 2024 to 18.8% by 2030 [14]. - Sanhua (H) (2050.HK): Projected revenue contribution from humanoid robot actuators to reach 25% by 2030 [15]. Cautious Outlook on FA Sector - Estun has been downgraded to sell due to reliance on weak demand sectors, with a projected 30%-42% EPS reduction from 2025 to 2030 [16]. - Raycus has also been downgraded to sell, facing challenges in its core fiber laser business with expected product price declines [16]. Stock Recommendations - A list of stocks with "buy" ratings includes: - Nari Tech (600406.SS): Target price of 31.8 CNY, with a 45% upside potential [17]. - Haitian (1882 HK): Target price of 27.2 HKD, with a 32% upside potential [17]. - Kstar (002518.SZ): Target price of 30.9 CNY, with a 30% upside potential [17].

Group 1: Industry Overview - Industrial automation is entering a mild downward cycle, with market growth expected to decline by -1% in 2025, -3% in 2026, and -2% in 2027, reflecting a downward adjustment from previous growth expectations [2] - Goldman Sachs has lowered the average target price (TP) and earnings per share (EPS) for the industry by 5%, with profit expectations for 2025-2027 being 3%-7% lower than the consensus median [2] - Only a few sectors, such as consumer electronics (foldable smartphones), batteries (solid-state technology), and AIDC, are expected to see capital expenditure expansion, while most manufacturing sectors will struggle with capacity utilization and output [2] Group 2: Company Drivers - In the context of industry growth slowdown, company-specific drivers are crucial, evaluated across six dimensions: favorable end-market positioning, domestic market share growth, product premiumization, overseas expansion, future industry positioning, and valuation attractiveness [4] - The key growth drivers for companies include increasing market share and expanding overseas business in the absence of end-market benefits [5] - The share of overseas revenue for covered companies is expected to rise from 23% to 25% between 2024 and 2027 [9] Group 3: Investment Strategy - A "defensive + AI" barbell strategy is recommended to cope with the softening of the FA sector, favoring selective defensive stocks [12] - Nari Tech is highlighted as a core beneficiary of smart grid investment, with expected revenue growth of 12% in 2025, driven by existing orders and potential budget increases from the State Grid [12] - Companies like AVIC Jonhon and China CRRC are also noted for their attractive dividend yields and growth prospects, despite slow growth in their main businesses [13] Group 4: Potential Opportunities - High-end product areas such as high-margin software, sensors, and after-sales services, as well as future industries like AI and robotics, present potential opportunities, although they face high technical barriers and commercialization challenges [11] - Companies like Sanhua and Kstar are identified as having significant growth potential in their respective sectors, with expected revenue and profit growth rates that outperform the market [14] Group 5: Cautious Outlook on FA Sector - Companies like Estun and Raycus are viewed with caution due to their reliance on weak demand sectors and expected declines in earnings per share [15] - Estun's revenue is heavily dependent on the photovoltaic and automotive sectors, which are facing challenges, while Raycus is experiencing stagnant market share and pressure on profit margins [15] Group 6: Stock Recommendations - A list of stocks with "Buy" ratings includes Nari Tech, Haitian, and Kstar, with target prices reflecting significant upside potential [16] - The report emphasizes the importance of evaluating companies based on their specific market dynamics and growth strategies in the current economic environment [16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue decreased by 1.9% year on year to KRW 43.8388 trillion due to net subscriber losses and the suspension of new subscriber sign-ups following a cybersecurity incident [5][6] - Operating income fell by 37.1% year on year to KRW 338.3 billion, while net income dropped by 76.2% year on year to KRW 83.2 billion [5][6] - The financial impact of the cybersecurity incident is expected to be more pronounced in the second half of the year, leading to a revised annual revenue guidance from KRW 17.8 trillion to KRW 17 trillion [19][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mobile Network Operator (MNO) revenue declined due to subscriber churn, with a loss of 750,000 handset subscribers from March to June, resulting in a KRW 38.7 billion drop in MNO revenue quarter on quarter [18] - The AI business revenue grew by 13.9% year on year, partially offsetting declines in telecom revenue, with AIDC revenue increasing by 13.3% year on year to KRW 108.7 billion [7] - The number of 5G subscribers decreased by approximately 220,000 quarter on quarter to 17,020,000, alongside losses in broadband and IPTV subscribers [6][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The cybersecurity incident led to a suspension of new subscriber acquisitions for over a month, impacting the overall subscriber base [6] - The company is implementing a customer appreciation package worth KRW 500 billion to minimize customer churn during the incident recovery period [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen its core telecom business while continuing to grow its AI business, with plans to invest KRW 700 billion over the next five years in information protection innovation [4][10] - A hyperscale AI data center is being established in collaboration with AWS, expected to start operations in 2027, with projected annual sales of approximately KRW 1 trillion [9][33] - The company is focused on regaining customer trust through the accountability and commitment program, which includes various customer assurance measures [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the significant financial impact of the cybersecurity incident on earnings and emphasized the importance of restoring customer trust as a foundation for future growth [19][20] - The company anticipates a decline in revenue and operating profit in the upcoming quarters due to the implementation of customer appreciation measures [19][24] Other Important Information - The Board of Directors set the second quarter dividend per share at KRW 831, with future dividends to be discussed based on visibility of annual earnings [24][25] - The company is actively participating in government-led sovereign AI projects, aiming to position itself as a key player in the national AI ecosystem [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Specific response measures to the cybersecurity incident and financial impact - Management detailed the introduction of a customer assurance package and a KRW 700 billion investment plan for information protection innovation, acknowledging the financial impact on MNO revenue and increased costs due to the incident [14][18] Question: Full year dividend guidance and strategies to win back customers - The company confirmed the second quarter dividend and stated that future dividends will be discussed based on earnings visibility, while outlining strategies to regain customer trust through enhanced security measures and customer appreciation packages [24][26] Question: Investment plans for the AI data center and impact on CapEx guidance - Management discussed the investment plans for the Ulsan AI data center, indicating that total CapEx is expected to rise nearly 10% year over year, while maintaining stable trends in combined CapEx [33][34]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electrical equipment industry is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Insights - The report highlights a divergence in holdings among public funds in Q2 2025, with increased allocations in wind energy, storage, and new technologies [2][4] - The overall heavy holdings in the electrical equipment and new energy sector decreased, with a notable decline in the proportion of electric vehicles, power grids, and photovoltaics [5][6] - Key stocks favored by funds include CATL and Sungrow, while Jinlang Technology and Aisuo shares saw significant increases in allocation [7][8] Industry Dimension Summary - In Q2 2025, the heavy holdings in the new energy sector accounted for approximately 12.31% of the total heavy holdings in A-shares, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from the previous quarter [5][18] - The total market value of heavy holdings in the new energy sector was about 318.6 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.1% decrease [18] - The number of stocks held by institutions in the new energy sector increased to 176, while the total market value of the top ten heavy holdings decreased by 12.16% to 244.2 billion yuan [26] Sector Dimension Summary - The electric vehicle sector saw a 10.2% decrease in heavy holdings, with significant reductions in battery, vehicle, and robotics segments [6][30] - The wind energy sector experienced a 0.15 percentage point increase in heavy holdings, attributed to accelerated construction in Q2 [6][35] - The photovoltaic sector faced a decline due to the end of domestic rush installations and unclear demand and policy expectations for the second half of the year [6][35] Stock Dimension Summary - The top five stocks by fund heavy holdings as a percentage of total shares were Keda Li (21.6%), Zhejiang Rongtai (19.2%), Sungrow (16.6%), CATL (14.5%), and Yiwei Lithium Energy (13.8%) [7][47] - The top five stocks by total market value of heavy holdings were CATL, BYD, Sungrow, Huichuan Technology, and Yiwei Lithium Energy [7][47] - Stocks with increased institutional holdings included Jinlang Technology, Aisuo, and others, primarily driven by the positive outlook in storage, wind energy, and photovoltaic technologies [7][47] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on storage performance exceeding expectations, photovoltaic sector recovery, and ongoing large-scale engineering projects [8][52] - In the photovoltaic sector, it suggests benefiting from the anti-involution trend, particularly in polysilicon and BC battery segments [8][52] - For the wind energy sector, it emphasizes the importance of accelerated offshore wind construction and price recovery in wind turbines [8][54] - The electrical equipment sector is advised to focus on high-voltage approvals and large-scale projects, while also considering opportunities in AI and virtual power plants [8][54]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a strong performance in the AI sector, particularly in overseas markets, with significant capital expenditure increases from major players like Google and Celestica, indicating a bullish outlook for the AI computing and application sectors [5][6][7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The communication industry is projected to outperform the overall market, with a positive trend observed in the industry index compared to the CSI 300 index [2][1] Company Highlights - Celestica reported Q2 2025 revenue of $2.89 billion, a 21% year-on-year increase, exceeding company guidance, with a notable performance in its CCS business, which saw a revenue increase of 28% [5] - Google achieved Q2 2025 revenue of $96.4 billion, a 13.8% year-on-year growth, with its cloud business revenue rising by 31.7% [6] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment opportunities in the AI computing supply chain, recommending specific companies in various segments such as optical modules, optical chips, liquid cooling, and AIDC [7]

Investment Rating - The communication sector maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks such as Tianfu Communication, Ruijie Network, China Mobile, and China Telecom, while China Unicom is rated as "Overweight" [3][5][61]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the communication sector's fund holdings increased to 3.61%, up by 1.31 percentage points, indicating a shift from underweight to overweight status [2][15]. - The communication sector's TTM P/E ratio as of July 24, 2025, is 35.71x, which is at the 37.5% historical percentile since early 2011 [2][15]. - Key areas of focus include the domestic computing power and its supporting industrial chain, particularly in optical modules and related technologies [1][14]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The communication index fell by 0.77% last week, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.67% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.33% [1][14]. Fund Holdings - Q2 2025 saw a rise in the communication sector's fund holdings, with a notable increase in the allocation towards optical modules and military communications, while reducing exposure to data centers and wireless equipment [2][15]. Recommended Stocks - Key recommended stocks include: - Tianfu Communication (300394 CH) with a target price of 119.12 and a "Buy" rating - Ruijie Network (301165 CH) with a target price of 88.70 and a "Buy" rating - China Mobile (600941 CH) with a target price of 126.40 and a "Buy" rating - China Telecom (601728 CH) with a target price of 9.13 and a "Buy" rating - China Unicom (600050 CH) with a target price of 7.62 and an "Overweight" rating [5][61]. Key Stock Performance - The top five stocks with increased fund holdings in Q2 2025 include: - Xinyi Technology (300502 SZ) with a total market value increase of 191.65 billion - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 SZ) with an increase of 182.70 billion - Tianfu Communication (300394 SZ) with an increase of 29.69 billion - Yuanjie Technology (688498 SH) with an increase of 16.90 billion - Haige Communication (002465 SZ) with an increase of 11.01 billion [25][26].